-
Not Synced
♪ [music] ♪
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] "Infinity War" is known
for its spectacular special effects.
-
Not Synced
But we can pretty certain
that in a couple of decades.
-
Not Synced
they'll look old and outdated.
-
Not Synced
That's just the way it goes with movies.
-
Not Synced
- [Ian] The first adult movie
-
Not Synced
that I ever saw was
the original "Jaws" in summer camp.
-
Not Synced
It was terrifying,
-
Not Synced
and now you go back
and look at the mechanical shark
-
Not Synced
that jumped onto the boat,
-
Not Synced
the great white,
over 20 feet long, thrashing about,
-
Not Synced
and you go that is a ridiculous,
stupid-looking thing.
-
Not Synced
So, I feel pretty clear
that we have come a long way
-
Not Synced
since the '70s in terms
of graphics.
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] This constant
improvement is not limited
-
Not Synced
to special effects --
-
Not Synced
sound quality, picture quality,
theater seats.
-
Not Synced
You name it,
it seems to have improved.
-
Not Synced
Well, maybe not the acting.
-
Not Synced
- [Edward] Oh no, not the bees!
Not the bees! Ahh!
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] Economists have a term
for this type of improvement --
-
Not Synced
"creative destruction."
-
Not Synced
- [Tyler] Creative destruction was
a term in Economics
-
Not Synced
coined by an Austrian economist,
Joseph Schumpeter,
-
Not Synced
early in the 20th century.
-
Not Synced
It's really become
a central driving idea in Economics.
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] Creative destruction
describes the continual process
-
Not Synced
of innovation in which new products
and services replace outdated ones.
-
Not Synced
Take photos -- we live in a world
-
Not Synced
of smartphones, Instagram,
and augmented reality.
-
Not Synced
How we got here reveals
a long and winding path
-
Not Synced
of creative destruction.
-
Not Synced
- When I was a kid,
you take a photo,
-
Not Synced
and the Polaroid comes out,
-
Not Synced
you wave it around 'cause you think
it's going to make it dry faster.
-
Not Synced
I don't know
if that actually worked.
-
Not Synced
And it's several minutes later,
-
Not Synced
and it probably doesn't
look very good,
-
Not Synced
but you have it!
-
Not Synced
And 10 years later, it's all faded,
and it probably doesn't keep.
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] Before the digital era,
you might have a Polaroid
-
Not Synced
or you might buy film,
typically from Kodak.
-
Not Synced
You had to pay
a few dollars for film,
-
Not Synced
which got you about 20 pictures,
-
Not Synced
and then pay more
to get them developed.
-
Not Synced
- [man] Got double prints with mine!
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] If, whoops,
your eyes were shut -- too bad!
-
Not Synced
You didn't know until days later.
-
Not Synced
And if you accidentally
opened your camera,
-
Not Synced
poof, your pictures are gone!
-
Not Synced
Digital cameras came on the scene
at the end of the 20th century.
-
Not Synced
Entrepreneurs quickly improved
the cameras, the software,
-
Not Synced
and the accessories.
-
Not Synced
People increasingly switched
away from film.
-
Not Synced
It was cheaper, easier
and more enjoyable.
-
Not Synced
These entrepreneurs represent
the creative side
-
Not Synced
of creative destruction.
-
Not Synced
But what about the flip side,
the destruction?
-
Not Synced
Polaroid employed
over 20,000 people in their heyday.
-
Not Synced
Kodak dwarfed Polaroid,
employing over 120,000 employees
-
Not Synced
and being one of the most
well-known companies in the world.
-
Not Synced
The digital age, while rejoiced
by consumers ushered
-
Not Synced
them both into bankruptcy.
-
Not Synced
- But let's be clear, the people
that used to make the Polaroids
-
Not Synced
and the Kodaks don't like
that development
-
Not Synced
because they just lost jobs.
-
Not Synced
Polaroids have had
a bit of a resurgence lately
-
Not Synced
as a retro product,
-
Not Synced
but that's actually
not the same company
-
Not Synced
that made the originals.
-
Not Synced
That Polaroid is long gone.
-
Not Synced
See, there are two sides
of creative destruction,
-
Not Synced
entrepreneurs inventing new products
or ways to save money
-
Not Synced
are how we improve
our standard of living.
-
Not Synced
These improvements are
the foundation of prosperity,
-
Not Synced
and positively impact
generation after generation.
-
Not Synced
But the flip side can make jobs
or even whole industries go extinct.
-
Not Synced
Unlike the games,
that pain typically subsides.
-
Not Synced
People usually find new jobs.
-
Not Synced
Most of those thousands
of employees at Polaroid and Kodak
-
Not Synced
went on to other types of work.
-
Not Synced
When you take the long view,
these job changes have
-
Not Synced
historically been beneficial.
-
Not Synced
In the 1800s, more than half
of the United States
-
Not Synced
was employed in farming.
-
Not Synced
Because of time-saving inventions
like the tractor,
-
Not Synced
farmers now make up less
than 2 percent of the workforce.
-
Not Synced
- Now you might think,
"My goodness! Those poor farmers --
-
Not Synced
where did they go? What kind of jobs
could they possibly have had?"
-
Not Synced
But by liberating that labor,
we made it possible for people
-
Not Synced
to do things,
like produce automobiles,
-
Not Synced
produce airplanes for more people
to become entertainers
-
Not Synced
or movie stars,
more people to become doctors.
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] So in the long run,
we have more people working
-
Not Synced
with film and more building
photo apps and the like.
-
Not Synced
However, in the short run,
-
Not Synced
the transition can
be extremely painful.
-
Not Synced
If you've spent your life perfecting
the craft of developing film,
-
Not Synced
you're not walking out of Kodak
and into a sweet gig at Instagram.
-
Not Synced
You might just be out of a job
and out of luck.
-
Not Synced
Creative destruction comes
in many forms.
-
Not Synced
We often think
of the transformative technology,
-
Not Synced
like the tractor,
or the digital camera,
-
Not Synced
or the smartphone,
which fundamentally changes
-
Not Synced
how we do things.
-
Not Synced
Here's a not so obvious source
of creative destruction -- trade.
-
Not Synced
- Trading with another nation,
it is a kind of technology.
-
Not Synced
It's a way of getting
something else more cheaply.
-
Not Synced
You're taking things
you used to produce,
-
Not Synced
finding a newer, cheaper way
of doing it --
-
Not Synced
be it with tractors,
or with robots,
-
Not Synced
or with foreign trade.
-
Not Synced
And they're all technologies
enabling us to produce
-
Not Synced
new and better things more cheaply.
-
Not Synced
- [Narrator] For example,
roses used to be grown in the U.S.
-
Not Synced
raised in heated greenhouses.
-
Not Synced
Now instead of burning fuel
to keep the roses warm,
-
Not Synced
most of our roses come
from warm weather climates.
-
Not Synced
This creative destruction has
produced a plentiful supply
-
Not Synced
of affordable roses.
-
Not Synced
But just like with Kodak,
not everyone benefits.
-
Not Synced
That rose farmer
in Pennsylvania isn't thrilled
-
Not Synced
by the introduction of foreign roses.
-
Not Synced
She might be out of a job.
-
Not Synced
More than ever, better education
and training programs are needed
-
Not Synced
so that people can transition
to new types of work.
-
Not Synced
- Why is this so important now? 613