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There are times when I feel
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really quite ashamed
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to be a European.
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In the last year,
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more than a million people
arrived in Europe in need of our help,
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and our response, frankly,
has been pathetic.
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There are just so many contradictions.
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We mourn the tragic death
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of two-year old Alan Kurdi,
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and yet since then, more than 200 children
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have subsequently drowned
in the Mediterranean.
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We have international treaties
that recognize that refugees
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are a shared responsibility,
-
and yet we accept that tiny Lebanon
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hosts more Syrians
than the whole of Europe combined.
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We lament the existence
of human smugglers,
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and yet we make that the only viable route
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to seek asylum in Europe.
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We have labor shortages,
and yet we exclude people who fit
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our economic and demographic needs
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from coming to Europe.
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We proclaim our liberal values
in opposition to fundamentalist Islam,
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and yet we have repressive policies
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that detain child asylum seekers,
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that separate children
from their families,
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and that seize property from refugees.
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What are we doing?
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How has the situation come to this,
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that we've adopted such an inhumane
response to a humanitarian crisis?
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I don't believe it's because
people don't care,
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or at least I don't want to believe
it's because people don't care.
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I believe it's because
our politicians lack a vision,
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a vision for how to adapt
an international refugee system
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created over 50 years ago
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for a changing and globalized world.
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And so what I want to do
is take a step back
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and ask two really fundamental questions,
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the two questions we all need to ask.
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First, why is the current system
not working?
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And second, what can we do to fix it?
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So the modern refugee regime
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was created in the aftermath
of the Second World War by these guys.
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Its basic aim is to ensure
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that when a state fails,
or worse, turns against its own people,
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people have somewhere to go,
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to live in safety and dignity
until they can go home.
-
It was created precisely for situations
like the situation we see in Syria today.
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Through an international convention
signed by 147 governments,
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the 1951 Convention
on the Status of Refugees,
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and an international organization, UNHCR,
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states committed to reciprocally
admit people onto their territory
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who flee conflict and persecution.
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But today, that system is failing.
-
In theory, refugees have a right
to seek asylum.
-
In practice, our immigration policies
block the path to safety.
-
In theory, refugees have a right
to a pathway to integration,
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or return to the country
they've come from.
-
But in practice, they get stuck
in almost indefinite limbo.
-
In theory, refugees
are a shared global responsibility.
-
In practice, geography means
that countries proximate the conflict
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take the overwhelming majority
of the world's refugees.
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The system isn't broken
because the rules are wrong.
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It's that we're not applying them
adequately to a changing world,
-
and that's what we need to reconsider.
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So I want to explain to you a little bit
about how the current system works.
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How does the refugee regime actually work?
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But not from a top-down
institutional perspective,
-
rather from the perspective of a refugee.
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So imagine a Syrian woman.
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Let's call her Amira.
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And Amira to me represents
many of the people I've met in the region.
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Amira, like around 25 percent
of the world's refugees,
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is a woman with children,
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and she can't go home
because she comes from this city
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that you see before you, Homs,
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a once beautiful and historic city
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now under rubble.
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And so Amira can't go back there.
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But Amira also has no hope
of resettlement to a third country,
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because that's a lottery ticket
only available to less than one percent
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of the world's refugees.
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So Amira and her family
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face an almost impossible choice.
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They have three basic options.
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The first option is that Amira
can take her family to a camp.
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In the camp, she might get assistance,
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but there are very few prospects
for Amira and her family.
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Camps are in bleak, arid locations,
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often in the desert.
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In the Zaatari Refugee Camp in Jordan,
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you can hear the shells
across the border in Syria at nighttime.
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There's restricted economic activity.
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Education is often of poor quality.
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And around the world,
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some 80 percent of refugees
who are in camps
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have to stay for at least five years.
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It's a miserable existence,
-
and that's probably why, in reality,
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only nine percent of Syrians
choose that option.
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Alternatively, Amira can head
to an urban area
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in a neighboring country,
like Amman or Beirut.
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That's an option that about 75 percent
of Syrian refugees have taken.
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But there, there's
great difficulty as well.
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Refugees in such urban areas
don't usually have the right to work.
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They don't usually get
significant access to assistance,
-
and so when Amira and her family
have used up their basic savings,
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they're left with very little
and likely to face urban destitution.
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So there's a third alternative,
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and it's one that increasing
numbers of Syrians are taking.
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Amira can seek some hope for her family
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by risking their lives
on a dangerous and perilous journey
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to another country,
-
and it's that which we're seeing
in Europe today.
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Around the world, we present refugees
with an almost impossible choice
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between three options:
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encampment, urban destitution,
and dangerous journeys.
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For refugees, that choice is
the global refugee regime today.
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But I think it's a false choice.
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I think we can reconsider that choice.
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The reason why we limit those options
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is because we think
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that those are the only options
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that are available to refugees,
and they're not.
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Politicians frame the issue
as a zero-sum issue,
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that if we benefit refugees,
we're imposing costs on citizens.
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We tend to have a collective assumption
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that refugees are an inevitable cost
or burden to society.
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But they don't have to.
They can contribute.
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So what I want to argue
is are there are ways
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in which we can expand that choice set
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and still benefit everyone else:
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the host states and communities,
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our societies, and refugees themselves.
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And I want to suggest four ways
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we can transform the paradigm
of how we think about refugees.
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All four ways have one thing in common:
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they're all ways in which we take
the opportunities of globalization,
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mobility, and markets,
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and update the way we think
about the refugee issue.
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The first one I want to think about
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is the idea of enabling environments,
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and it starts from
a very basic recognition
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that refugees are human beings
like everyone else,
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but they're just in
extraordinary circumstances.
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Together with my colleagues in Oxford,
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we've embarked on
a research project in Uganda
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looking at the economic lives of refugees.
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We chose Uganda not because
it's representative of all host countries.
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It's not. It's exceptional.
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Unlike most host countries
around the world,
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what Uganda has done
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is give refugees economic opportunity.
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It gives them the right to work.
It gives them freedom of movement.
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And the results of that are extraordinary
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both for refugees and the host community.
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In the capital city Kampala,
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we found that 21 percent of refugees
own a business that employs other people,
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and 40 percent of those employees
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are nationals of the host country.
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In other words, refugees are making jobs
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for citizens of the host country.
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Even in the camps, we found
extraordinary examples
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of vibrant, flourishing,
and entrepreneurial businesses.
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For example,
in a settlement called Nakivale,
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we found examples of Congolese refugees
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running digital music exchange businesses.
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We found a Rwandan
who runs a business that's available
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to allow the youth to play computer games
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on recycled game consoles
and recycled televisions.
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Against the odds of extreme constraint,
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refugees are innovating,
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and the gentlemen you see before you
is a Congolese guy called Demuke.
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Demuke arrived in the settlement
with very little,
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but he wanted to be a filmmaker,
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so with friends and colleagues,
he started a community radio station,
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he rented a video camera,
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and he's now making films.
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He made two documentary films
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with and for our team,
-
and he's making a successful business
out of very little.
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It's those kinds of examples
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that should guide
our response to refugees.
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Rather than seeing refugees
as inevitably dependent
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upon humanitarian assistance,
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we need to provide them with opportunities
for human flourishing.
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Yes, clothes, blankets, shelter, food
are all important in the emergency phase,
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but we need to also look beyond that.
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We need to provide opportunities
to connectivity, electricity,
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education, the right to work,
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access to capital and banking.
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All the ways in which we take for granted
that we are plugged in
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to the global economy
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can and should apply to refugees.
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The second idea I want to discuss
is economic zones.
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Unfortunately, not every
host country in the world
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takes the approach Uganda has taken.
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Most host countries don't open up their
economies to refugees in the same way.
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But there are still pragmatic
alternative options that we can use.
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Last April, I traveled to Jordan
with my colleague,
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the development economist Paul Collier,
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and we brainstormed an idea
while we were there
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with the international community
and the government,
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an idea to bring jobs to Syrians
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while supporting Jordan's
national development strategy.
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The idea is for an economic zone,
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one in which we could potentially
integrate the employment of refugees
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alongside the employment
of Jordanian host nationals.
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And just 15 minutes away
from the Zaatari Refugee Camp,
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home to 83,000 refugees,
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is an existing economic zone
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called the King Hussein
Bin Talal Development Area.
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The government has spent
over a hundred million dollars
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connecting it to the electricity grid,
connecting it to the road network,
-
but it lacked two things:
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access to labor and inward investment.
-
So what if refugees
were able to work there
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rather than being stuck in camps,
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able to support their families and develop
skills through vocational training
-
before they go back to Syria?
-
We recognized that
that could benefit Jordan,
-
whose development strategy
requires it to make the leap
-
as a middle income country
to manufacturing.
-
It could benefit refugees,
but it could also contribute
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to the post-conflict
reconstruction of Syria
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by recognizing that we need
to incubate refugees
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as the best source
of eventually rebuilding Syria.
-
We published the idea
in the journal Foreign Affairs.
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King Abdullah has picked up on the idea.
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It was announced at the London
Syria conference two weeks ago,
-
and a pilot will begin in the summer.
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(Applause)
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The third idea that I want to put to you
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is preference matching
between states and refugees
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to lead to the kinds of happy outcomes
you see here in the selfie
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featuring Angela Merkel
and a Syrian refugee.
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What we rarely do is ask refugees
what they want, where they want to go,
-
but I'd argue we can do that
-
and still make everyone better off.
-
The economist Alvin Roth has developed
the idea of matching markets,
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ways in which the preference ranking
of the parties shapes an eventual match.
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My colleagues Will Jones
and Alex Teytelboym
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have explored ways in which that idea
could be applied to refugees,
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to ask refugees to rank
their preferred destinations,
-
but also allow states to rank
the types of refugees they want
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on skills criteria or language criteria
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and allow those to match.
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Now, of course you'd need to build in
quotas on things like diversity
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and vulnerability,
-
but it's a way of increasing
the possibilities of matching.
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The matching idea
has been successfully used
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to match, for instance, students
with university places,
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to match kidney donors with patients,
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and it underlines the kind of algorithms
that exist on dating websites.
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So why not apply that
to give refugees greater choice?
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It could also be used
at the national level,
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where one of the great challenges we face
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is to persuade local communities
to accept refugees.
-
And at the moment,
in my country, for instance,
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we often send engineers to rural areas
and farmers to the cities,
-
which makes no sense at all.
-
So matching markets offer a potential way
to bring those preferences together
-
and listen to the needs and demands
of the populations that host
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and the refugees themselves.
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The fourth idea I want to put to you
is of humanitarian visas.
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Much of the tragedy and chaos
we've seen in Europe
-
was entirely avoidable.
-
It stems from a fundamental contradiction
in Europe's asylum policy,
-
which is the following:
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that in order to seek asylum in Europe,
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you have to arrive spontaneously
by embarking on those dangerous journeys
-
that I described.
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But why should those journeys be necessary
in an era of the budget airline
-
and modern consular capabilities?
-
They're completely unnecessary journeys,
-
and last year, they led to the deaths
of over 3,000 people
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on Europe's borders
and within European territory.
-
If refugees were simply allowed
to travel directly
-
and seek asylum in Europe,
we would avoid that,
-
and there's a way of doing that
-
through something called
a humanitarian visa,
-
that allows people to collect a visa
at an embassy
-
or a consulate in a neighboring country
-
and then simply pay their own way
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through a ferry or a flight to Europe.
-
It costs around a thousand Euros
to take a smuggler
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from Turkey to the Greek islands.
-
It costs 200 Euros to take a budget
airline from Bodrum to Frankfurt.
-
If we allowed refugees to do that,
it would have major advantages.
-
It would save lives,
-
it would undercut
the entire market for smugglers,
-
and it would remove the chaos
we see from Europe's front line
-
in areas like the Greek islands.
-
It's politics that prevents us doing that
rather than a rational solution.
-
And this is an idea that has been applied.
-
Brazil has adopted a pioneering approach
where over 2,000 Syrians
-
have been able to get humanitarian visas,
-
enter Brazil, and claim refugee status
on arrival in Brazil,
-
and in that scheme, every Syrian
who has gone through it
-
has received refugee status
and been recognized as a genuine refugee.
-
There is a historical precedent
for it as well.
-
Between 1922 and 1942,
-
these Nansen passports were used
as travel documents
-
to allow 450,000 Assyrians,
Turks, and Chechens
-
to travel across Europe
and claim refugee status
-
elsewhere in Europe,
-
and the Nansen
International Refugee Office
-
received the Nobel Peace Prize
-
in recognition of this
being a viable strategy.
-
So all four of these ideas
that I've presented you
-
are ways in which we can expand
Amira's choice set.
-
They're ways in which we can have
greater choice for refugees
-
beyond those basic
impossible three options
-
I explained to you,
-
and still leave others better off.
-
In conclusion, we really need
a new vision,
-
a vision that enlarges
the choices of refugees
-
but recognizes that they don't
have to be a burden.
-
There's nothing inevitable
about refugees being a cost.
-
Yes, they are
a humanitarian responsibility,
-
but they're human beings with skills,
talents, aspirations,
-
with the ability to make contributions
if we let them.
-
In the new world,
-
migration is not going to go away.
-
What we've seen in Europe
will be with us for many years.
-
People will continue to travel,
-
they'll continue to be displaced,
-
and we need to find rational,
realistic ways of managing this,
-
not based on the old logics
of humanitarian assistance,
-
not based on logics of charity,
-
but building on the opportunities
offered by globalization,
-
markets, and mobility.
-
I'd urge you all to wake up
and urge our politicians
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to wake up to this challenge.
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Thank you very much.
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(Applause)