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I was only nine
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when my grandfather first described to me
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the horrors he witnessed six years earlier
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when human stampedes killed 39 people
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in our hometown of Nashik, India.
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It was during the 2003 Nashik Kumbh Mela,
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one of the world's largest
religious gatherings.
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Every 12 years, over 30 million
Hindu worshippers
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descend upon our city,
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which is built only
for 1.5 million people,
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and stay for 45 days.
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The main purpose is
to wash away all their sins
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to bathing in the river Godavari,
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and stampedes can easily happen
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because a high-density crowd
moves at a slow pace.
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Apart from Nashik, this event happens
in three other places in India
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with varying frequency,
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and between 2001 and 2014,
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over 2,400 lives have been lost
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in stampedes at these events.
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What saddened me the most
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is seeing people around me
resigning to the city's fate
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in witnessing the seemingly
inevitable deaths of dozens
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at every Kumbh Mela.
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I sought to change this,
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and I thought, why can't I try
to find a solution to this?
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Because I knew it is wrong.
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Having learned coding at an early age
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and being a maker,
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I considered the wild idea.
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(Laughter)
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I considered the wild idea
of building a system
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that would help regulate
the flow of people
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and use it in the next Kumbh Mela in 2015,
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to have fewer stampedes
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and hopefully fewer deaths.
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It seemed like a mission impossible,
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a dream too big,
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especially for a 15-year old,
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yet that dream came through in 2015,
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when not only did we succeed
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in reducing the stampedes
and their intensity,
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but we marked 2015
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as the first Nashik Kumbh Mela
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to have zero stampedes.
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(Applause)
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It was the first time in recorded history
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that this event passed
without any casualties.
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How did we do it?
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It all started when I joined
an innovation workshop
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by MIT Media Lab in 2014
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called the Kumbhathon
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that aimed at solving challenging
faced at the grand scale of Kumbh Mela.
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Now, we figured out to solve
the stampede problem,
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we wanted to know only three things:
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the number of people, the location,
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and the rate of people per minute.
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So we started to look for technologies
that would help us get these three things.
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Can we distribute radio frequency tokens
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to identify people?
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We figured out that it would
be too expensive and impractical
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to distribute 30 million tags.
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Can you use CCTV cameras
with image-processing techniques?
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Again, too expensive for that scale,
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along with the disadvantages
of being non-portable
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and being completely useless
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in the case of rain,
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which is a common thing
to happen in Kumbh Mela.
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Can we use cell phone tower data?
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It sounds like the perfect solution,
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but the funny part is,
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most of the people
do not carry cell phones
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in events like Kumbh Mela.
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Also, the data wouldn't have been
granular enough for us.
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So we wanted something that was real-time,
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low-cost, sturdy and waterproof,
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and it was easy to get
the data for processing.
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So we built Ashioto,
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meaning "footstep" in Japanese,
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as it consists of a portable mat
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which has pressure sensors
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which can count the number
of people walking on it
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and sends the data over the internet
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to the advance data analysis
software we created.
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The possible errors,
like overcounting or double-stepping,
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were overcome using design interventions.
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The optimum breadth of the mat
was determined to be 18 inches,
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after we tested many different versions
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and observed the average
stride length of a person.
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Otherwise, people might step
over the sensor.
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We started with a proof of concept
built in three days
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made out of cardboard and aluminum foil.
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It worked for real.
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We built another one
with aluminum composite panels
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and piezoelectric plates,
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which are plates that generate a small
pulse of electricity under pressure.
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We tested this at 30
different pilots in public,
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in crowded restaurants,
in malls, in temples, etc.,
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to see how people reacted.
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And people let us run these pilots
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because they were excited to see locals
work on problems for the city.
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I was 15 and my team members
were in their early 20s.
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When the sensors were colored,
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people would get scared
and would ask us questions like,
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"Will I get electrocuted
if I step on this?"
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Or, if it was very obvious that it was
an electronic sensor on the ground,
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they would just jump over it.
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So we decided to design
a cover for the sensor
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so that people don't have to worry
what it is on the ground.
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So after some experimentation,
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we decided to use an industrial sensor
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used a safety trigger
in hazardous areas as the sensor,
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and we black neoprene rubber sheet
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as the cover.
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Now, another added benefit
of using black rubber
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was that dust naturally
accumulates over the surface,
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eventually camouflaging it
with the ground.
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We also had to make sure that the sensor
is no higher than 12 millimeters.
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Otherwise, people might trip over it,
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which in itself would cause stampedes.
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(Laughter)
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We don't want that.
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So we were able to design a sensor
which was only 10 millimeters thick.
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Now the data is sent
to the server in real time,
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and a heat map is plotted,
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taking into account all
the active devices on the ground.
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The authorities could be alerted
if the crowd movement slowed down
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or if the crowd density moved
beyond a desired threshold.
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We installed five of these mats
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in the Nashik Kumbh Mela 2015,
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and counted over half a million people
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in 18 hours,
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ensuring that the data was available
in realtime at various checkpoints,
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ensuring a safe flow of people.
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Now, this system, eventually,
with other innovations,
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is what helped prevent stampedes
altogether at that festival.
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The code used by Ashioto during Kumbh Mela
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will soon be made publicly available
free to use for anyone.
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I would be glad if someone used this,
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the code, to make
many more gatherings safer.
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Having succeeded at Kumbh Mela
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has inspired me to help others
who may also suffer from stampedes.
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The design of the system
makes it adaptable
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to pretty much any event
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that involves an organized
gathering of people,
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and my new dream is to improve,
adapt, and deploy the system
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all over the world to prevent loss of life
and ensure a safe flow of people,
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because every human soul is precious,
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whether at concerts or sporting events,
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the Maha Kumbh Mela in Allahabad,
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the Hajj in Mecca,
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the Shia procession to Karbala,
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or at the Vatican City.
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So what do you all think, can we do it?
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(Cheers)
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(Applause)