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I want you to imagine
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walking into a room,
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a control room with a bunch of people,
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a hundred people, hunched
over a desk with little dials,
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and that that control room
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will shape the thoughts and feelings
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of a billion people.
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This might sound like science fiction,
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but this actually exists
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right now today.
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I know because I used to be
in one of those control rooms.
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I was a design ethicist at Google,
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where I studied how do you ethically
steer people's thoughts?
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Because what we don't talk about
are how the handful of people
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working at a handful
of technology companies
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through their choices will steer
what a billion people are thinking today.
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Because when you pull out your phone
and they design how this works
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or what's on the feed,
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it's scheduling little blocks
of time in our minds.
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If you see a notification,
it schedules you to have thoughts
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that maybe you didn't intend to have.
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If you swipe over that notification,
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it schedules you into spending
a little bit of time
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getting sucked into something
that maybe you didn't intend
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to get sucked into.
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When we talk about technology,
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we tend to talk about it
as this blue sky opportunity.
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It could go any direction.
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And I want to get serious for a moment
and tell you why it's going
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in a very specific direction.
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Because it's not evolving randomly.
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There's a hidden goal
driving the direction
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of all of the technology we make,
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and that goal is the race
for our attention.
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Because every new site --
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TED, elections, politicians,
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games, even meditation apps --
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have to compete for one thing,
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which is our attention,
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and there's only so much of it.
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And the best way to get people's attention
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is to know how someone's mind works.
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And there's a whole bunch
of persuasive techniques
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that I learned in college at a lab
called the Persuasive Technology Lab
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to get people's attention.
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A simple example is YouTube.
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YouTube wants to maximize
how much time you spend,
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and so what do they do?
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They autoplay the next video.
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And let's say that works really well.
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They're getting a little bit more
of people's time.
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Well, if you're Netflix, you look at that
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and say, well that's shrinking
my market share,
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so I'm going to autoplay the next episode.
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But then if you're Facebook, you say,
well no, that's shrinking
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all of my market share, so now
I have to autoplay
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all the videos in the newsfeed
before waiting for you to click play.
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So the Internet is not evolving at random.
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The reason it feels like it's
sucking us in the way it is
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is because of this race for attention.
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We know where this is going.
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Technology is not neutral,
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and it becomes this race to the bottom
of the brainstem of who can go lower
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to get it.
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Let me give you an example of Snapchat.
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If you didn't know,
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Snapchat is the number one way
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that teenagers in
the United States communicate.
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So if you're like me, and you use
text messages to communicate,
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Snapchat is that for teenagers,
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and there's, like, a hundred million
of them that use it.
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And they invented a feature
called Snapstreaks,
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which shows the number of days in a row
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that two people have
communicated with each other.
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In other words, what they just did
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is they gave two people
something they don't want to lose,
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because if you're a teenager,
and you have 150 days in a row,
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you don't want that to go away,
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and so think of the little blocks of time
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that that schedules in kids' minds.
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This isn't theoretical: when kids
go on vacation, it's been shown
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they give their passwords
to up to five other friends
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to keep their Snapstreaks going,
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even when they can't do it.
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And they have, like, 30 of these things,
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and so they have to get through
taking photos of just pictures or walls
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or ceilings just to get through their day.
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So it's not even like
they're having real conversations.
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We have a temptation to think about this
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as, oh, they're just using Snapchat
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the way we used
to gossip on the telephone.
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It's probably okay.
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Well, what this misses
is that in the 1970s
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when you were just gossiping
on the telephone,
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there wasn't a hundred engineers
on the other side of the screen
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who knew exactly
how your psychology worked
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and orchestrated you into
a double bind with each other.
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Now, if this is making you
feel a little bit outraged,
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notice that that thought
just comes over you.
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Outrage is a really good way also
of getting your intention,
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because we don't choose outrage.
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It happens to us.
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And if you're the Facebook news feed,
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whether you'd want to or not
you actually benefit
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when there's outrage,
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because outrage doesn't just
schedule a reaction
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in emotional time, space, for you.
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We want to share that outrage
with other people.
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So we want to share it, saying,
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"Can you believe the thing
that they said?"
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And so outrage works really well
at getting attention,
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such that if Facebook had a choice
between showing you the outrage feed
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and a calm news feed,
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they would want to show you
the outrage feed,
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not because someone
consciously chose that,
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but because that worked better
at getting your attention.
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And the news feed control room
is not accountable to us.
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It's only accountable
to maximizing attention.
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It's also accountable, because
of the business model of advertising,
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for anybody who can pay the most
to actually walk into the control room
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and say, "That group over there,
I want to schedule these thoughts
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into their minds."
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So you can target,
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you can precisely target a lie
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directly to the people
who are most susceptible.
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And because this is profitable,
it's only going to get worse.
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So I'm here today
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because the costs are so obvious.
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I don't know a more urgent
problem than this,
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because this problem is underneath
all other problems.
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It's not just taking away our agency
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to spend our attention and live
the lives that we want,
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it's changing the way
that we have our conversations,
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it's changing our democracy,
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and it's changing our ability
to have the conversations
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and relationships we want with each other,
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and it affects everyone,
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because a billion people
have one of these in their pocket.
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So how do we fix this?
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We need to make three radical changes
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to technology and to our society.
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The first is we need to acknowledge
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that we are persuadable.
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Once you start understanding
that your mind can be scheduled
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into having little thoughts
or little blocks of time
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that you didn't choose,
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wouldn't we want to use that understanding
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and protect against the way
that that happens?
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I think we need to see ourselves
fundamentally in a new way.
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It's almost like a new period
of human history,
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like the Enlightenment,
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but almost a kind of
self-aware Enlightenment,
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that we can be persuaded,
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and there might be something
we want to protect.
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The second is we need new models
and accountability systems
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so that as the world gets better
and more and more persuasive over time,
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because it's only going
to get more persuasive,
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that the people in those control rooms
are accountable and transparent
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to what we want.
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The only form of ethical
persuasion that exists
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is when the goals of the persuader
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are aligned with the goals
of the persuadee.
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And that involves questioning big things,
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like the business model of advertising.
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Lastly, we need a design renaissance,
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because once you have
this view of human nature,
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that you can steer the timelines
of a billion people --
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Just imagine, there's people
who have some desire
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about what they want to do
and what they want to be thinking
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and what they want to be feeling
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and how they want to be informed,
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and we're all just tugged
into these other directions,
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and you have a billion people just tugged
into all these different directions.
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Well imagine an entire design renaissance
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that tried to orchestrate the exact
and most empowering
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time-well-spent way for those
timelines to happen.
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And that would involve two things:
one would be protecting against
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the timelines that we don't
want to be experiencing,
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the thoughts that we wouldn't
want to be happening,
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so that when that ding happens,
not having the ding
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that sends us away;
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and the second would be empowering us
to live out the timeline that we want.
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So let me give you a concrete example.
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Today, let's say your friend
cancels dinner on you,
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and you are feeling a little bit lonely.
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And so what do you do in that moment?
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You open up Facebook.
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And in that moment,
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the designers in the control room
want to schedule exactly one thing,
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which is to maximize how much time
you spend on the screen.
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Now instead, imagine if those designers
created a different timeline
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that was the easiest way,
using all of their data,
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to actually help you get out
with the people that you care about?
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Just imagine how, just think,
alleviating all loneliness in society,
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if that was the timeline that Facebook
wanted to make possible for people.
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Or imagine a different conversation
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where, let's say you wanted to post
something super-controversial on Facebook,
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which is a really important
thing to be able to do,
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to talk about controversial topics.
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And right now, when there's
that big comment box,
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it's almost asking you,
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what key do you want to type?
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In other words, it's scheduling
a little timeline of things
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you're going to continue
to do on the screen.
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And imagine instead that there was
another button there saying,
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well what would be most
time well spent for you?
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And you click "host a dinner."
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And right there underneath the item,
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it said, "Who wants
to RSVP for the dinner?"
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And so you'd still have a conversation
about something controversial,
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but you'd be having it in the most
empowering place on your timeline,
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which would be at home that night
with a bunch of a friends over
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to talk about it.
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So imagine we're running, like,
a find and replace
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on all of the timelines that are
currently steering us towards more
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and more screen time persuasively
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and replacing all of those timelines
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with what do we want in our lives.
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It doesn't have to be this way.
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Instead of handicapping our attention,
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imagine if we used all of this data
and all of this power
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and this new view of human nature
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to give us a superhuman ability to focus
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and a superhuman ability to put
our attention to what we cared about
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and a superhuman ability to have
the conversations that we need
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to have for a democracy.
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The most complex challenges in the world
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require not just us to use
our attention individually.
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They require us to use our attention
and coordinate it together.
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Climate change is going to require
that a lot of people
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are being able to coordinate
their attention
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in the most empowering way together.
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And imagine creating a superhuman
ability to do that.
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Sometimes the world's most pressing
and important problems
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are not these hypothetical future things
that we could create in the future.
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Sometimes the most pressing problems
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are the ones that are
right underneath our noses,
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the things that are already directing
a billion people's thoughts.
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And maybe instead of getting excited
about the new augmented reality
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and virtual reality and these
cool things that could happen,
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which are going to be susceptible
to the same race for attention,
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if we could fix the race for attention
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on the thing that's already
in a billion people's pockets.
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Maybe instead of getting excited
about the most exciting new cool
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fancy education apps,
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we could fix the way kids' minds
are getting manipulated
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into sending empty messages
back and forth.
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(Applause)
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Maybe instead of worrying about
hypothetical future runaway
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artificial intelligences that are
maximizing for one goal,
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we could solve the runaway
artificial intelligence
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that already exists right now,
TED Translators admin
Hi All,
Please note note that 1:41 "new" has been updated to "news."
Thank you!