The hidden opportunities of the informal economy

The informal markets of Africa
are stereotypically seen

as chaotic and lackadaisical.

The downside of hearing the word informal

is this automatic association we have,

which is very negative,

and it's had significant consequences
and economic losses,

easily adding --

or subrtacting 40 to 60 percent
of the profit margin

for the informal markets alone.

As part of a task of mapping
the informal trade ecosystem,

we've done an extensive literature review
of all the reports and reseach

on cross-border trade in East Africa,

going back 20 years.

This was to prepare us for field work
to understand what was the problem,

what was holding back informal trade
in the informal sector.

What we discovered over the last 20 years

was nobody had distinguished
between illicit,

which is like smuggling or contraband
in the informal sector,

from the legal but unrecorded,

such as tomatoes, oranges --

fruit.

This criminalization,

what in Swahili refers to as "Biashara,"

which is the trade or the commerce,

versus "Magendo,"

which is the smuggling or contraband.

This criminalization
of the informal sector,

in English,

by not distinguishing these aspects,

easily can cost each African economy
between 60 to 80 percent addition

on the annual DP growth rate

because we are not recognizing

the engine of what keeps
the economies running.

The informal sector is growing jobs
at four times the rate

of the traditional formal economy,

or "modern" economy, as many call it.

It offers employment and income
generation opportunities

to the most "unskilled"
in conventional disciplines.

But can you make a french fry
machine out of an old car?

So, this, ladies and gentlemen,

is what so desperately needs
to be recognized.

As long as the current assumptions hold
that this is criminal,

this is shadow,

this is illegal,

there will be no attempt at integrating
the informal economic ecosystem

with the form or even the global one.

I'm going to tell you a story of Theresea,

a trader who overturned
all our assumptions,

made us question all the stereotypes
that we'd gone in on

based on 20 years of literature review.

Theresea sells clothes under a tree
in a town called [Manaba]

on the border of Uganda and Kenya.

You think it's very simple, don't you?

We'll go hang up new clothes
from the branches,

put out the tarp,

settle down,

wait for customers

and there we have it.

She was everything we were expecting
according to the literature,

to the research.

Right down to she was a single mom,

driven to trade,

supporting her kids.

So what overturned our assumptions?

What surprised us?

First, Theresea paid the county
government market fees

every single working day

for the privilege of setting
up shop under her tree.

She's been doing it for seven years,

and she's been getting receipts.

She keeps records.

We're seeing not a marginal,

underprivileged,

[wearable],

African woman trader
by the side of the road,

no.

We were seeing somebody who's keeping
sales records for years.

Somebody who had an entire ecosystem
of retail that comes in from Uganda

to pick up inventory.

Someone who's got handcarts
bringing the goods in,

[and the] mobile money agent
who comes to collect cash

at the end of the evening.

Can you guess how much Theresea spends
on average each month on inventory --

stocks of new clothes
that she gets from Nairobi?

$1,500 US dollars.

That's around 20,000 US dollars
invested in trade goods and services

every year.

This is Theresea,

the invisible one,

the hidden middle.

And she's only the first rung
of the small entrepreneurs,

the microbusinesses that can be found
in these market towns,

at least in the larger [Malaba] border,

she's at the first rung.

The people further up the value chain

are easily running
three lines of business,

investing 2,500 to 3,000
US dollars every month.

So the problem turned out
that it wasn't the criminalization,

you can't really criminalize someone
you're charging receipts from,

it's the lack of recognition
of their skilled occupations.

The bank systems and structures
have no means to recognize them

as microbusinesses,

much less the fact that,

you know,

a tree doesn't have a forwarding address.

So she's trapped in the middle.

She's falling through the cracks
of our assumptions.

You know all those microloans
to help African women traders?

They're going to loan her
50 dollars or 100 dollars.

What's she going to do with it?

She spends 10 times
that amount every month

just on inventory,

we're not talking about
the additional services

or the support ecosystem.

These are the ones who fit neither
the policy stereotype

of the low-skilled and the marginalized,

nor the white-collar,
salaried office worker

or civil servant with a pension

that the middle classes
are allegedly composed of.

Instead, what we have here
are the [proto-esenes],

these are the fertile seeds
of businesses and enterprises

that keep the engines running.

They put food on your table.

Even here in this hotel,

the invisible ones,

the butchers, the bakers
the candle-stick makers.

They make the machines that make
your french fries and they make your beds.

These are the invisible businesswomen
trading across borders.

All on the side of the road,

and so they're invisible
to data gatherers.

And get mashed together
with the vast informal sector

that doesn't bother to distinguish
between smuggles and tax evaders

and those running illegal whatnot,

and the ladies who trade
and who put food on the table,

and send their kids to university.

So that's really what I'm asking here.

That's all that we need
to start by doing.

Can we start by recognizing the skills,

the occupations,

we could transform the informal economy
by beginning the recognition

and then designing the customized doorways
for them to enter or integrate

with the formal, with global,
with the entire system.

Thank you ladies and gentlemen.

(Applause)