Technology's epic story
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0:00 - 0:03I want to talk about my investigations
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0:03 - 0:08into what technology means in our lives --
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0:08 - 0:11not just our immediate life, but in the cosmic sense,
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0:11 - 0:14in the kind of long history of the world
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0:14 - 0:17and our place in the world:
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0:17 - 0:19What is this stuff?
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0:19 - 0:21What is the significance?
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0:21 - 0:23And so, I want to kind of go through my
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0:23 - 0:25little story of what I found out.
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0:25 - 0:27And one of the first things that I started to investigate was
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0:27 - 0:31the history of the name of technology.
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0:31 - 0:33And in the United States there is a State of the Union address
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0:33 - 0:36given by every president since 1790.
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0:36 - 0:39And each one of those is really kind of
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0:39 - 0:41summing up the most important things
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0:41 - 0:43for the United States at that time.
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0:43 - 0:45If you search for the word "technology,"
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0:45 - 0:49it was not used until 1952.
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0:49 - 0:51So, technology was sort of absent
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0:51 - 0:54from everybody's thinking until 1952, which happened to be the year of my birth.
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0:54 - 0:57And obviously, technology
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0:57 - 0:59had existed before then, but we weren't aware of it,
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0:59 - 1:01and so it was sort of an awakening
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1:01 - 1:04of this force in our life.
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1:04 - 1:06I actually did research to find out the first
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1:06 - 1:08use of the word "technology."
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1:08 - 1:10It was in 1829,
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1:10 - 1:13and it was invented by a guy who was starting a curriculum --
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1:13 - 1:15a course, bringing together all the kinds
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1:15 - 1:18of arts and crafts, and industry --
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1:18 - 1:20and he called it "Technology."
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1:20 - 1:22And that's the very first use of the word.
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1:22 - 1:24So, what is this stuff
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1:24 - 1:27that we're all consumed by,
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1:27 - 1:30and bothered by?
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1:30 - 1:32Alan Kay calls it, "Technology is anything
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1:32 - 1:34that was invented after you were born."
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1:34 - 1:35(Laughter)
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1:35 - 1:39Which is sort of the idea that we normally have about what technology is:
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1:39 - 1:41It's all that new stuff.
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1:41 - 1:43It's not roads, or penicillin,
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1:43 - 1:47or factory tires; it's the new stuff.
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1:47 - 1:49My friend Danny Hillis says kind of a similar one,
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1:49 - 1:52he says, "Technology is anything that doesn't work yet."
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1:52 - 1:53(Laughter)
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1:53 - 1:55Which is, again, a sense that it's all new.
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1:55 - 1:57But we know that it's just not new.
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1:57 - 1:59It actually goes way back, and what I want to suggest
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1:59 - 2:03is it goes a long way back.
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2:03 - 2:05So, another way to think about technology, what it means,
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2:05 - 2:07is to imagine a world without technology.
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2:07 - 2:10If we were to eliminate every single bit of technology in the world today --
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2:10 - 2:12and I mean everything,
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2:12 - 2:16from blades to scrapers to cloth --
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2:16 - 2:19we as a species would not live very long.
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2:19 - 2:22We would die by the billions, and very quickly:
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2:22 - 2:25The wolves would get us, we would be defenseless,
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2:25 - 2:28we would be unable to grow enough food, or find enough food.
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2:28 - 2:32Even the hunter-gatherers used some elementary tools.
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2:32 - 2:34And so, they had minimal technology,
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2:34 - 2:36but they had some technology.
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2:36 - 2:39And if we study those hunter-gatherer tribes
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2:39 - 2:43and the Neanderthal, which are very similar to early man,
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2:43 - 2:46we find out a very curious thing about this world without technology,
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2:46 - 2:49and this is a kind of a curve of their average age.
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2:49 - 2:52There are no Neanderthal fossils that are older than 40 years old
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2:52 - 2:54that we've ever found,
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2:54 - 2:56and the average age of most of these
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2:56 - 2:59hunter-gatherer tribes is 20 to 30.
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2:59 - 3:02There are very few young infants
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3:02 - 3:05because they die -- high mortality rate -- and there's very few old people.
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3:05 - 3:09And so the profile is sort of for your average San Francisco neighborhood:
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3:09 - 3:11a lot of young people.
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3:11 - 3:13And if you go there, you say, "Hey, everybody's really healthy."
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3:13 - 3:15Well, that's because they're all young.
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3:15 - 3:17And the same thing with the hunter-gatherer tribes and early man
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3:17 - 3:20is that you didn't live beyond the age of 30.
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3:20 - 3:22So, it was a world without grandparents.
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3:22 - 3:24And grandparents are very important,
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3:24 - 3:28because they are the transmitter of cultural evolution and information.
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3:28 - 3:31Imagine a world and basically everybody was 20 to 30 years old.
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3:31 - 3:33How much learning can you do?
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3:33 - 3:35You can't do very much learning in your own life,
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3:35 - 3:37it's so short,
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3:37 - 3:39and there's nobody to pass on what you do learn.
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3:39 - 3:42So, that's one aspect.
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3:42 - 3:44It was a very short life. But at the same time
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3:44 - 3:47anthropologists know
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3:47 - 3:49that most hunter-gatherer tribes of the world,
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3:49 - 3:51with that very little technology, actually did not spend
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3:51 - 3:54a very long time gathering the food that they needed:
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3:54 - 3:56three to six hours a day.
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3:56 - 3:59Some anthropologists call that the original affluent society.
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3:59 - 4:02Because they had banker hours basically.
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4:02 - 4:05So, it was possible to get enough food.
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4:05 - 4:07But when the scarcity came
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4:07 - 4:09when the highs and lows and the droughts came,
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4:09 - 4:12then people went into starvation.
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4:12 - 4:14And that's why they didn't live very long.
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4:14 - 4:16So, what technology brought,
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4:16 - 4:21through the very simple tools like these stone tools here --
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4:21 - 4:23even something as small as this --
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4:23 - 4:25the early bands of humans were actually able
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4:25 - 4:28to eliminate to extinction
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4:28 - 4:32about 250 megafauna animals
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4:32 - 4:36in North America when they first arrived 10,000 years ago.
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4:36 - 4:38So, long before the industrial age
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4:38 - 4:41we've been affecting the planet on a global scale,
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4:41 - 4:43with just a small amount of technology.
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4:43 - 4:46The other thing that the early man invented was fire.
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4:46 - 4:48And fire was used to clear out, and again,
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4:48 - 4:52affected the ecology of grass and whole continents,
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4:52 - 4:55and was used in cooking.
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4:55 - 4:57It enabled us to actually eat all kinds of things.
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4:57 - 4:59It was sort of, in a certain sense, in a McLuhan sense,
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4:59 - 5:02an external stomach,
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5:02 - 5:05in the sense that it was cooking food that we could not eat otherwise.
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5:05 - 5:08And if we don't have fire, we actually could not live.
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5:08 - 5:11Our bodies have adapted to these new diets.
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5:11 - 5:14Our bodies have changed in the last 10,000 years.
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5:14 - 5:17So, with that little bit of technology,
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5:17 - 5:19humans went from a small band of 10,000 or so --
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5:19 - 5:21the same number as Neanderthals everywhere --
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5:21 - 5:23and we suddenly exploded. With the invention of language
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5:23 - 5:25around 50,000 years ago,
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5:25 - 5:27the number of humans exploded,
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5:27 - 5:30and very quickly became the dominant species on the planet.
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5:30 - 5:34And they migrated into the rest of the world at two kilometers per year
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5:34 - 5:37until, within several tens of thousands of years,
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5:37 - 5:39we occupied every single watershed on the planet
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5:39 - 5:41and became the most dominant species,
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5:41 - 5:43with a very small amount of technology.
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5:43 - 5:46And even at that time, with the introduction of agriculture,
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5:46 - 5:488,000, 10,000 years ago
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5:48 - 5:50we started to see climate change.
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5:50 - 5:52So, climate change is not a new thing.
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5:52 - 5:54What's new is just the degree of it. Even during
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5:54 - 5:57the agricultural age there was climate change.
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5:57 - 5:59And so, already small amounts of technology
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5:59 - 6:01were transforming the world.
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6:01 - 6:03And what this means, and where I'm going, is that
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6:03 - 6:07technology has become the most powerful force in the world.
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6:07 - 6:09All the things that we see today
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6:09 - 6:11that are changing our lives, we can always trace back
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6:11 - 6:13to the introduction of some new technology.
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6:13 - 6:17So, it's a force that is the most powerful force
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6:17 - 6:19that has been unleashed on this planet,
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6:19 - 6:22and in such a degree that I think
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6:22 - 6:27that it's become our -- who we are.
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6:27 - 6:30In fact, our humanity, and everything that we think about ourselves
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6:30 - 6:32is something that we've invented.
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6:32 - 6:34So, we've invented ourselves. Of all the animals that we have domesticated,
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6:34 - 6:36the most important animal that we've domesticated
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6:36 - 6:39has been us. Okay?
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6:39 - 6:42So, humanity is our greatest invention.
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6:42 - 6:44But of course we're not done yet.
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6:44 - 6:47We're still inventing, and this is what technology is allowing us to do --
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6:47 - 6:50it's continually to reinvent ourselves.
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6:50 - 6:52It's a very, very strong force.
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6:52 - 6:55I call this entire thing -- us humans as our technology,
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6:55 - 6:58everything that we've made, gadgets in our lives --
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6:58 - 7:00we call that the technium. That's this world.
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7:00 - 7:02My working definition of technology
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7:02 - 7:05is "anything useful that a human mind makes."
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7:05 - 7:07It's not just hammers and gadgets, like laptops.
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7:07 - 7:12But it's also law. And of course cities are ways to make
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7:12 - 7:14things more useful to us.
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7:14 - 7:16While this is something that comes from our mind,
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7:16 - 7:19it also has its roots deeply
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7:19 - 7:21into the cosmos.
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7:21 - 7:23It goes back. The origins and roots of technology
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7:23 - 7:25go back to the Big Bang,
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7:25 - 7:27in this way, in that they are part of this
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7:27 - 7:29self-organizing thread
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7:29 - 7:31that starts at the Big Bang
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7:31 - 7:34and goes through galaxies and stars,
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7:34 - 7:36into life, into us.
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7:36 - 7:38And the three major phases of the early universe
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7:38 - 7:40was energy, when the dominant force was energy;
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7:40 - 7:43then it became, the dominant force, as it cooled, became matter;
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7:43 - 7:47and then, with the invention of life, four billion years ago,
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7:47 - 7:49the dominant force in our neighborhood became information.
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7:49 - 7:51That's what life is: It's an information process
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7:51 - 7:54that was restructuring and making new order.
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7:54 - 7:57So, those energy, matter Einstein show
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7:57 - 8:00were equivalent, and now new sciences
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8:00 - 8:02of quantum computing show that entropy
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8:02 - 8:05and information and matter and energy
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8:05 - 8:09are all interrelated, so it's one long continuum.
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8:09 - 8:12You put energy into the right kind of system
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8:12 - 8:15and out comes wasted heat, entropy
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8:15 - 8:18and extropy, which is order.
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8:18 - 8:20It's the increased order.
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8:20 - 8:22Where does this order come from? Its roots go way back.
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8:22 - 8:24We actually don't know.
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8:24 - 8:27But we do know that the self-organization trend
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8:27 - 8:29throughout the universe is long,
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8:29 - 8:31and it began with things like galaxies;
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8:31 - 8:34they maintained their order for billions of years.
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8:34 - 8:38Stars are basically nuclear fusion machines
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8:38 - 8:41that self-organize and self-sustain themselves for billions of years,
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8:41 - 8:43this order against the entropy of the world.
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8:43 - 8:49And flowers and plants are the same thing, extended,
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8:49 - 8:53and technology is basically an extension of life.
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8:53 - 8:57One trend that we notice in all those things is that
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8:57 - 8:59the amount of energy per gram per second
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8:59 - 9:02that flows through this, is actually increasing.
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9:02 - 9:07The amount of energy is increasing through this little sequence.
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9:07 - 9:11And that the amount of energy per gram per second that flows through life
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9:11 - 9:13is actually greater than a star --
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9:13 - 9:16because of the star's long lifespan,
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9:16 - 9:19the energy density in life is actually higher than a star.
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9:19 - 9:22And the energy density that we see in the greatest
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9:22 - 9:25of anywhere in the universe is actually in a PC chip.
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9:25 - 9:28There is more energy flowing through, per gram per second,
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9:28 - 9:31than anything that we have any other experience with.
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9:31 - 9:34What I would suggest is that if you want to see
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9:34 - 9:37where technology is going, we continue that trajectory,
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9:37 - 9:40and we say "Well what's going to become more energy-dense,
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9:40 - 9:42that's where it's going." And so what I've done
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9:42 - 9:44is, I've taken the same kinds of things
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9:44 - 9:46and looked at other aspects
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9:46 - 9:48of evolutionary life and say,
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9:48 - 9:50"What are the general trends in evolutionary life?"
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9:50 - 9:52And there are things moving towards
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9:52 - 9:54greater complexity, moving towards greater diversity,
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9:54 - 9:57moving towards greater specialization,
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9:57 - 10:01sentience, ubiquity and most important, evolvability:
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10:01 - 10:05Those very same things are also present in technology.
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10:05 - 10:07That's where technology is going.
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10:07 - 10:09In fact, technology is accelerating
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10:09 - 10:12all the aspects of life,
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10:12 - 10:15and we can see that happening; just as there's diversity in life,
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10:15 - 10:18there's more diversity in things we make.
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10:18 - 10:20Things in life start out being general cell,
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10:20 - 10:22and they become specialized: You have tissue cells,
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10:22 - 10:24you have muscle, brain cells. And same things happens with
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10:24 - 10:26say, a hammer, which is general at first
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10:26 - 10:28and becomes more specific.
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10:28 - 10:31So, I would like to say that while there is six kingdoms of life,
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10:31 - 10:33we can think of technology basically
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10:33 - 10:35as a seventh kingdom of life.
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10:35 - 10:37It's a branching off from the human form.
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10:37 - 10:39But technology has its own agenda,
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10:39 - 10:41like anything, like life itself.
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10:41 - 10:44For instance, right now, three-quarters of the energy that we use
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10:44 - 10:46is actually used to feed the technium itself.
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10:46 - 10:48In transportation, it's not to move us, it's to move
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10:48 - 10:50the stuff that we make or buy.
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10:50 - 10:52I use the word "want." Technology wants.
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10:52 - 10:55This is a robot that wants to plug itself in to get more power.
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10:55 - 10:57Your cat wants more food.
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10:57 - 11:00A bacterium, which has no consciousness at all,
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11:00 - 11:02wants to move towards light.
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11:02 - 11:05It has an urge, and technology has an urge.
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11:05 - 11:07At the same time, it wants to give us things,
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11:07 - 11:10and what it gives us is basically progress.
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11:10 - 11:12You can take all kinds of curves, and they're all pointing up.
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11:12 - 11:15There's really no dispute about progress,
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11:15 - 11:18if we discount the cost of that.
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11:18 - 11:20And that's the thing that bothers most people,
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11:20 - 11:22is that progress is really real,
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11:22 - 11:26but we wonder and question: What are the environmental costs of it?
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11:26 - 11:30I did a survey of a number of species of artifacts in my house,
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11:30 - 11:33and there's 6,000. Other people have come up with 10,000.
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11:33 - 11:36When King Henry of England died,
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11:36 - 11:38he had 18,000 things in his house,
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11:38 - 11:41but that was the entire wealth of England.
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11:41 - 11:45And with that entire wealth of England,
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11:45 - 11:48King Henry could not buy any antibiotics,
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11:48 - 11:51he could not buy refrigeration, he could not buy a trip of a thousand miles.
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11:51 - 11:54Whereas this rickshaw wale in India
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11:54 - 11:56could save up and buy antibiotics
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11:56 - 11:58and he could buy refrigeration.
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11:58 - 12:01He could buy things that King Henry, in all his wealth, could never buy.
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12:01 - 12:03That's what progress is about.
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12:03 - 12:06So, technology is selfish; technology is generous.
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12:06 - 12:09That conflict, that tension, will be with us forever,
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12:09 - 12:11that sometimes it wants to do what it wants to do,
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12:11 - 12:13and sometimes it's going to do things for us.
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12:13 - 12:17We have confusion about what we should think about a new technology.
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12:17 - 12:19Right now the default position about when
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12:19 - 12:21a new technology comes along, is we --
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12:21 - 12:23people talk about the precautionary principle,
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12:23 - 12:26which is very common in Europe,
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12:26 - 12:28which says, basically, "Don't do anything. When you meet a new
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12:28 - 12:30technology, stop,
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12:30 - 12:32until it can be proven that there's no harm."
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12:32 - 12:35I think that really leads nowhere.
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12:35 - 12:37But a better way is to, what I call proactionary principle,
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12:37 - 12:40which is: You engage with technology.
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12:40 - 12:42You try it out.
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12:42 - 12:46You obviously do what the precautionary principle suggests,
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12:46 - 12:48you try to anticipate it, but after anticipating it,
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12:48 - 12:50you constantly asses it,
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12:50 - 12:52not just once, but eternally.
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12:52 - 12:55And when it diverts from what you want,
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12:55 - 12:57we prioritize risk, we evaluate not just
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12:57 - 12:59the new stuff, but the old stuff.
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12:59 - 13:02We fix it, but most importantly, we relocate it.
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13:02 - 13:04And what I mean by that is that
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13:04 - 13:06we find a new job for it.
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13:06 - 13:08Nuclear energy, fission, is really bad idea
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13:08 - 13:10for bombs.
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13:10 - 13:12But it may be a pretty good idea
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13:12 - 13:15relocated into sustainable nuclear energy
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13:15 - 13:18for electricity, instead of burning coal.
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13:18 - 13:21When we have a bad idea, the response to a bad idea
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13:21 - 13:24is not no ideas, it's not to stop thinking.
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13:24 - 13:26The response to a bad idea --
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13:26 - 13:29like, say, a tungsten light bulb --
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13:29 - 13:31is a better idea. OK?
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13:31 - 13:35So, better ideas is really -- always the response
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13:35 - 13:36to technology that we don't like
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13:36 - 13:39is basically, better technology.
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13:39 - 13:41And actually, in a certain sense, technology
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13:41 - 13:44is a kind of a method for generating better ideas,
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13:44 - 13:46if you can think about it that way.
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13:46 - 13:49So, maybe spraying DDT on crops is a really bad idea.
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13:49 - 13:52But DDT sprayed on local homes,
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13:52 - 13:55there's nothing better to eliminate malaria,
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13:55 - 13:59besides insect DDT-impregnated mosquito nets.
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13:59 - 14:02But that's a really good idea; that's a good job for technology.
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14:02 - 14:04So, our job as humans is to
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14:04 - 14:06parent our mind children,
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14:06 - 14:08to find them good friends,
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14:08 - 14:10to find them a good job.
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14:10 - 14:12And so, every technology is sort of a creative force
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14:12 - 14:14looking for the right job.
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14:14 - 14:16That's actually my son, right here.
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14:16 - 14:17(Laughter)
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14:17 - 14:20There are no bad technologies,
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14:20 - 14:22just as there are no bad children.
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14:22 - 14:24We don't say children are neutral, children are positive.
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14:24 - 14:27We just have to find them the right place.
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14:27 - 14:30And so, what technology gives us,
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14:30 - 14:32over the long term, over the sort of
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14:32 - 14:34extended evolution -- from the beginning of time,
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14:34 - 14:38through the invention of the plants and animals,
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14:38 - 14:41and the evolution of life, the evolution of brains --
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14:41 - 14:43what that is constantly giving us
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14:43 - 14:45is increasing differences:
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14:45 - 14:47It's increasing diversity, it's increasing options,
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14:47 - 14:49it's increasing choices, opportunities,
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14:49 - 14:51possibilities and freedoms.
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14:51 - 14:54That's what we get from technology
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14:54 - 14:56all the time. That's why people leave villages
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14:56 - 14:58and go into cities, is because they are always
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14:58 - 15:02gravitating towards increased choices and possibilities.
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15:02 - 15:05And we are aware of the price.
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15:05 - 15:07We pay a price for that, but we are aware of it, and generally
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15:07 - 15:09we will pay the price for increased freedoms,
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15:09 - 15:12choices and opportunities.
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15:12 - 15:15Even technology wants clean water.
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15:15 - 15:17Is technology diametrically opposed
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15:17 - 15:19to nature?
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15:19 - 15:22Because technology is an extension of life,
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15:22 - 15:24it's in parallel and aligned with the same things
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15:24 - 15:27that life wants.
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15:27 - 15:29So that I think technology loves biology,
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15:29 - 15:31if we allow it to.
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15:31 - 15:35Great movement that is starting billions of years ago
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15:35 - 15:37is moving through us and it continues to go,
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15:37 - 15:40and our choice, so to speak,
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15:40 - 15:42in technology, is really to align ourselves
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15:42 - 15:44with this force much greater than ourselves.
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15:44 - 15:47So, technology is more than just the stuff in your pocket.
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15:47 - 15:50It's more than just gadgets; it's more than just things that people invent.
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15:50 - 15:53It's actually part of a very long story,
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15:53 - 15:56a great story, that began billions of years ago.
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15:56 - 15:58And it's moving through us, this self-organization,
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15:58 - 16:00and we're extending and accelerating it,
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16:00 - 16:02and we can be part of it by aligning the technology
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16:02 - 16:04that we make with it.
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16:04 - 16:08I really appreciate your attention today. Thank you.
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16:08 - 16:12(Applause)
- Title:
- Technology's epic story
- Speaker:
- Kevin Kelly
- Description:
-
In this wide-ranging, thought-provoking talk from TEDxAmsterdam, Kevin Kelly muses on what technology means in our lives -- from its impact at the personal level to its place in the cosmos.
- Video Language:
- English
- Team:
closed TED
- Project:
- TEDTalks
- Duration:
- 16:12
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Krystian Aparta commented on English subtitles for Technology's epic story | |
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Krystian Aparta edited English subtitles for Technology's epic story | |
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Krystian Aparta edited English subtitles for Technology's epic story | |
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TED edited English subtitles for Technology's epic story | |
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TED added a translation |
Krystian Aparta
The English transcript was updated on 6/21/2017. At 11:52, "rickshaw wale" was changed to "rickshaw wallah."