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- What would the world look like
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if extreme climate change becomes reality?
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Well, here's just one example.
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If temperatures were to rise
by three more degrees Celsius,
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Shanghai, a city of 24
million people in China
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will be wiped off the map.
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And it's not just the only coastal city,
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that's at risk of disappearing
beneath rising sea levels.
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Globally 2019 was the second
hottest year on record.
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Cities all throughout the world,
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experienced record setting
summer temperatures.
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In June, 2019, temperatures
in Churu, India,
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exceeded 120 degrees Fahrenheit,
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to the point that the
government warned citizens
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to avoid drinking coffee, tea, and alcohol
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at a fear of overheating.
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Heat waves are becoming more severe
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and come in place due to climate change.
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Projected to lead to
deaths at the same rate
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as all infectious diseases combined.
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This map here, shows the
increase in the severity
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and prevalence of heat
waves if the world follows
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a moderate warming scenario.
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By 2050, summertime highs
of 95 degrees Fahrenheit,
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or 35 degrees Celsius,
will become the new normal,
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in nearly 1000 cities
triple the number of cities
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that currently experience
these sweltering temperatures.
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But the irony is that
cities are not just affected
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by climate change,
they're also causing it.
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Cities consume between 60 and
80% of global energy resources
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and account for approximately 70%
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of global carbon dioxide emissions.
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As we can see here in this map,
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the light blue and the yellow areas
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correspond to those with the highest
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fossil fuel based carbon
dioxide emissions,
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and also correspond to
major urban centers.
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Aside from cities energy
consumption, growing urban areas,
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convert the planets green surfaces
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to buildings and pavement,
and these can absorb
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more of the sun's energy,
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than the natural grasslands and forests
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that they've replaced,
making urban areas hotter
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than their surrounding environments.
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This phenomenon is called
the urban heat island effect.
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Here in Singapore, downtown neighborhoods
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can be as much as seven degrees Celsius
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or 13 degrees Fahrenheit hotter,
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than the rain forests that were once here.
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While it's true that
cities are contributing
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to climate change, they're also key actors
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in forging low carbon emission pathways.
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In dense cities like New York
city and Tokyo for instance,
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the average resident is responsible
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for over two tons of carbon
dioxide emissions per capita.
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This is less than a
single passenger car emits
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in a single year in the United States.
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Cities around the world are stepping up
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to tackle climate change,
with ambitious policies
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that often exceed the requirements
of national governments.
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Take Copenhagen for example,
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it's committed to become
carbon neutral by 2025
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and Glasgow in Scotland also plans
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to become carbon neutral by 2030.
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Today, there are more than 10,000 cities
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all around the world, that are committing
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to their own ambitious climate actions,
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plans that include
emissions reduction targets,
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clean energy and sustainable
transit projects,
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and also energy efficiency policies,
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that can save people and cities,
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money, energy, and emissions.
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Recent analysis shows
there's just 6,000 cities
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combined with regions and companies,
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are undertaking climate initiatives
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that can reduce global emissions
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by up to two gigatons of carbon
dioxide equivalent in 2030.
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That's roughly 4% of the
world's total annual emissions
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on top of what national
governments have pledged.
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And this is just the start,
imagine what could happen
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if 20,000 cities were to band together
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to curb climate change.
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While this potential for
city's climate action
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sounds really promising,
cities must work to make sure
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that these policies are
implemented fairly and equitably.
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Where you live in a city,
your income, your race,
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research is showing that
these factors can determine
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your access to environmental benefits
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like green space and sustainable transit,
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and they can also determine your share
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of environmental burdens
like air pollution
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and climate change.
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We observe these neighborhood
level disparities,
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particularly clearly, in
the side-by-side images
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of Los Angeles, comparing
income on the left,
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and tree cover on the right.
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The darkest green neighborhood
has an average annual income
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of over a hundred thousand
U.S. dollars per person.
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And over 70% of it has tree cover.
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The blue neighborhoods
towards the bottom of the map,
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only have a third of the income per person
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and less than 5% tree
cover, 70% versus five.
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This disparity has real consequences.
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Green spaces are often public spaces,
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and they're known to be associated
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with social and economic wellbeing.
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They can also reduce crime
and foster social cohesion.
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Trees also can help to
filter harmful air pollution
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and provide evaporative cooling and shade
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and relief for some of
these high temperatures.
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So not only are those poor neighborhoods
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at a greater disadvantage
from access to green space,
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but they're also more
vulnerable to air pollution
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and climate change.
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We can observe particularly
pronounced disparities
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and urban heat according to race.
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Our latest research shows that 97%
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of major urban areas in the United States,
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are exposing black populations
and people of color,
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to a full degree Celsius
higher of urban heat
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than their white counterparts.
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Take a look at this map of my hometown
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of Greenville, South Carolina,
unlike the name suggests
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it is not green for everyone.
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The hottest areas of the
county shown on the map in red
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correspond with the highest percentages
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of black and poor populations.
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And we're seeing similar
patterns throughout cities,
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all across the United States.
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To address these inequalities,
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cities are starting to
strategize and develop plans,
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that can ensure that climate benefits
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are provided to all of
their citizens equally.
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Take Bogota, the capital
city of Columbia for example,
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it has one of the most
extensive bike networks
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in all of Latin America,
connecting people to jobs,
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education centers, and
recreational opportunities.
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A new bike highway project can allow
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for around 42,000 daily bicycle
trips, and potentially avoid
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270,000 tons of greenhouse gas emissions.
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In Africa, where many cities
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lack universal access to electricity,
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many grids are providing
approximately 73 million households
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with clean electricity.
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So as we can see from these examples,
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tackling climate change
has to start in cities.
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Many cities are starting
to flip the script
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on climate change, proving
to be part of the solution
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and not just the problem.
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And bringing the kind of
innovative solutions that we need
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for a more just and
sustainable world, thank you.