How to make inefficiency work for us
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0:01 - 0:04Who doesn't love efficiency, I do.
-
0:04 - 0:07Efficiency means more for less.
-
0:07 - 0:11More miles per gallon,
more light per watt, -
0:11 - 0:16more words per minute, more
for less is the next best thing -
0:16 - 0:18to something for nothing.
-
0:19 - 0:24Algorithms, big data, the cloud
are giving us more for less. -
0:24 - 0:28Are we heading toward
a friction-free utopia -
0:28 - 0:31or toward a nightmare of surveillance?
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0:31 - 0:32I don't know.
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0:32 - 0:33My interest is in the present.
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0:34 - 0:38And, I'd like to show you how the past
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0:38 - 0:40can help us understand the present.
-
0:40 - 0:43There's nothing that summarizes
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0:43 - 0:46both the promise and
the danger of efficiency -
0:46 - 0:48like the humble potato.
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0:48 - 0:50The potato originated in the Andes
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0:50 - 0:55and it spread to Europe
from the ancient Inca. -
0:56 - 1:00The potato is a masterpiece
of balanced nutrition. -
1:01 - 1:04And it had some very powerful friends.
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1:05 - 1:08King Frederick the Great of Prussia
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1:08 - 1:10was the first enthusiast.
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1:10 - 1:13He believed that the potato could help
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1:13 - 1:16increase the population
of healthy Prussians. -
1:16 - 1:19And the more healthy Prussians,
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1:19 - 1:22the more healthy Prussian soldiers.
-
1:22 - 1:25And some of those
healthy Prussian soldiers -
1:25 - 1:28captured a French military
pharmacist named Parmentier. -
1:29 - 1:32Parmentier, at first, was appalled
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1:32 - 1:36by the morning, noon, and night diet,
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1:36 - 1:41fed to POWs, of potatoes,
but he came to enjoy it. -
1:41 - 1:45He thought they were making
him a healthier person. -
1:45 - 1:48And so, when he was released,
he took it on himself -
1:48 - 1:51to spread the potato to France.
-
1:51 - 1:54And he had some powerful friends.
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1:54 - 1:59Benjamin Franklin advised
him to hold a banquet, -
1:59 - 2:02at which every dish included potatoes.
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2:03 - 2:05And Franklin was a guest of honor.
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2:06 - 2:08Even the King and Queen of France
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2:08 - 2:11were persuaded to wear potatoes,
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2:13 - 2:14potato flowers, pardon me.
-
2:16 - 2:20The King wore a potato
flower in his lapel, -
2:20 - 2:24and the Queen wore a
potato flower in her hair. -
2:24 - 2:28That was a truly great
public relations idea. -
2:28 - 2:30But, there was a catch.
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2:30 - 2:33The potato was too
efficient for Europe's good. -
2:33 - 2:35In Ireland, it seemed a miracle.
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2:35 - 2:39Potatoes flourished, the population grew.
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2:39 - 2:41But there was a hidden risk.
-
2:41 - 2:44Ireland's potatoes were
genetically identical. -
2:44 - 2:48They were a very efficient
breed, called the Lumper. -
2:48 - 2:52And, the problem with the
Lumper was that a blight, -
2:52 - 2:56from South America,
that affected one potato -
2:56 - 2:57would affect them all.
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2:58 - 3:01Britain's exploitation and
callousness played a role -
3:01 - 3:05but, it was because of this monoculture
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3:05 - 3:09that a million people died
and another two million -
3:09 - 3:12were forced to emigrate.
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3:12 - 3:14A plant that was supposed to end famine
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3:14 - 3:17created one of the most tragic ones.
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3:18 - 3:20The problems of efficiency today
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3:20 - 3:22are less drastic but more chronic.
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3:22 - 3:24They can also prolong the evils
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3:24 - 3:26that they were intended to solve.
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3:26 - 3:28Take the electronic medical record.
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3:28 - 3:31It seemed to be the answer to the problem
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3:31 - 3:34of doctors handwriting
and it had the benefit -
3:34 - 3:37of providing much better
data for treatments. -
3:37 - 3:39In practice, instead, it has meant
-
3:39 - 3:42much more electronic
paperwork and physicians -
3:42 - 3:45are now complaining that they have less,
-
3:45 - 3:50rather than more time to
see patients individually. -
3:50 - 3:51The obsession with efficiency
-
3:51 - 3:54can actually make us less efficient.
-
3:54 - 3:58Efficiency also bites
back with false positives. -
3:58 - 4:01Hospitals have hundreds of
devices registering alarms. -
4:01 - 4:03Too often, they're crying wolf.
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4:03 - 4:05It takes time to rule those out.
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4:05 - 4:10And that time results in
fatigue, stress and once more, -
4:10 - 4:15the neglect of the
problems of real patients. -
4:15 - 4:18There are also false positives
in pattern recognition. -
4:18 - 4:20A school bus, viewed from the wrong angle,
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4:20 - 4:22can resemble a punching bag.
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4:23 - 4:25So, precious time is required
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4:25 - 4:28to eliminate misidentification.
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4:28 - 4:31False negatives are a problem too.
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4:31 - 4:34Algorithms can learn a lot, fast.
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4:34 - 4:37But they can tell us only about the past.
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4:37 - 4:42So many future classics get
bad reviews, like Moby Dick. -
4:42 - 4:44Or, are turned down by
multiple publishers, -
4:44 - 4:46like the Harry Potter series.
-
4:46 - 4:50It can be wasteful to
try to avoid all waste. -
4:50 - 4:54Efficiency is also a trap
when the opposition copies it. -
4:54 - 4:56Take the late 19th Century,
-
4:56 - 4:59French 75 millimeter artillery piece.
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4:59 - 5:02It was a masterpiece of lethal design.
-
5:02 - 5:06This piece could fire a
shell every four seconds. -
5:06 - 5:08But that wasn't so unusual.
-
5:08 - 5:09What was really brilliant was that
-
5:09 - 5:12because of the recoil mechanism,
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5:12 - 5:15it could return to the exact same position
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5:15 - 5:16without having to be re-aimed.
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5:16 - 5:20So, the effective rate of firing
was drastically increased. -
5:20 - 5:23Now, this seemed to be a way for France
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5:23 - 5:27to defeat Germany,
the next time they fought. -
5:27 - 5:30But, predictably, the Germans were working
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5:30 - 5:32on something very similar.
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5:32 - 5:34So, when the First World War broke out
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5:34 - 5:37the result was the trench warfare
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5:37 - 5:41that lasted longer than
anybody had expected. -
5:41 - 5:43A technology that was designed
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5:43 - 5:45to shorten the war, prolonged it.
-
5:46 - 5:50The biggest cost of all may
be missed opportunities. -
5:50 - 5:53The platform economy
connecting buyers and sellers -
5:53 - 5:56can be a great investment
and we have seen that -
5:56 - 5:58in the last few weeks.
-
5:58 - 6:00Companies that are still losing
-
6:00 - 6:01hundreds of millions of dollars,
-
6:01 - 6:05may be creating billionaires
with initial public offerings. -
6:07 - 6:10But, the really difficult inventions
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6:10 - 6:13are the physical and chemical ones.
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6:13 - 6:15They mean bigger risks.
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6:15 - 6:18They may be losing out
because hardware is hard. -
6:18 - 6:21It's much harder to scale up a physical
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6:21 - 6:24or chemical invention than it is
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6:24 - 6:26a software based invention.
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6:26 - 6:28Think of batteries.
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6:28 - 6:30Lithium-ion batteries in portable devices
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6:30 - 6:35and electric cars are based
on a 30-year-old principle. -
6:35 - 6:38How many smart phone batteries, today,
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6:38 - 6:42will last a full day on a single charge?
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6:42 - 6:43Yes, hardware is hard.
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6:45 - 6:48It took over 20 years for the patent
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6:48 - 6:50on the principle of dry photocopying,
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6:50 - 6:53by Chester Carlson in 1938,
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6:53 - 6:58to result in the Xerox 914
copier introduced in 1959. -
7:01 - 7:05The small, brave company,
Haloid in Rochester, NY -
7:06 - 7:09had to go through what most corporations
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7:09 - 7:11would never have tolerated.
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7:11 - 7:13There was one failure after another
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7:13 - 7:16and one of the special problems was fire.
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7:16 - 7:20In fact, when the 914
was finally released, -
7:20 - 7:24it still had a device that it was called
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7:24 - 7:26a scorch eliminator but actually
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7:26 - 7:29it was a small fire extinguisher built in.
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7:30 - 7:35My answer to all these questions
is inspired inefficiency. -
7:35 - 7:39Data and measurement are
essential, but they're not enough. -
7:39 - 7:43Let's leave room for human
intuition and human skills. -
7:43 - 7:47There are seven facets
of inspired inefficiency. -
7:47 - 7:51First, take the scenic route,
say yes to serendipity. -
7:51 - 7:53Wrong turns can be productive.
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7:53 - 7:55Once, when I was exploring the east bank
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7:55 - 7:58of the Mississippi, I took the wrong turn.
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7:58 - 8:02I was approaching a toll
bridge crossing the great river -
8:02 - 8:05and the toll collector
said I could not turn back. -
8:05 - 8:09So, I paid my 50 cents,
that's all it was at the time, -
8:09 - 8:12and I was in Muscatine, Iowa.
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8:12 - 8:14I had barely heard of Muscatine,
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8:14 - 8:17but it proved to be a fascinating place.
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8:17 - 8:22Muscatine had some of the
worlds richest mussel beds. -
8:22 - 8:25A century ago, a third
of the worlds buttons -
8:25 - 8:29were produced in Muscatine,
1.5 billion a year. -
8:29 - 8:31The last plants have closed now,
-
8:31 - 8:35but there is still a museum
of the pearl button industry -
8:35 - 8:38that's one of the most
unusual in the world. -
8:38 - 8:40But buttons were only the beginning.
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8:40 - 8:42This is the house in Muscatine,
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8:42 - 8:45where China's future
president stayed in 1986, -
8:45 - 8:48as a member of an agricultural delegation.
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8:48 - 8:51It is now the Sino-U.S. Friendship House
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8:51 - 8:54and it's a pilgrimage site
for Chinese tourists. -
8:54 - 8:56How could I have foreseen that?
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8:56 - 8:57(Laughter)
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8:58 - 9:02Second, get up from the couch.
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9:02 - 9:04Sometimes it can be more efficient
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9:04 - 9:05to do things the hard way.
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9:05 - 9:07Consider the internet of things.
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9:07 - 9:10It's wonderful to be
able to control lights, -
9:10 - 9:13set the thermostat, even vacuum the room
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9:13 - 9:15without leaving ones seat.
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9:15 - 9:17But, medical research has shown
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9:17 - 9:20that actually fidgeting,
getting up, walking around -
9:20 - 9:24is one of the best things
you can do for your heart. -
9:24 - 9:26It's good for the heart and the waistline.
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9:27 - 9:30Third, monetize your mistakes.
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9:30 - 9:32Great forms can be created
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9:32 - 9:35by imaginative development of accidents.
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9:35 - 9:38Tad Leski, an architect of
the Metropolitan Opera -
9:38 - 9:40at Lincoln Center, was working on a sketch
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9:40 - 9:43and some white ink fell on the drawing.
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9:44 - 9:47Other people might just
have thrown it away, -
9:47 - 9:52but Leski was inspired to
produce a starburst chandelier -
9:52 - 9:54that was probably the most notable
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9:54 - 9:56of its kind of the 20th century.
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9:57 - 10:00Fourth, sometimes try the hard way.
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10:00 - 10:04It can be more efficient
to be less fluent. -
10:04 - 10:06Psychologists call this
desirable difficulty. -
10:06 - 10:09Taking detailed notes with a keyboard
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10:09 - 10:11would seem to be the best way to grasp
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10:11 - 10:16what a lecturer is saying, to
be able to review it verbatim. -
10:16 - 10:20However, studies have shown
that when we have to abbreviate, -
10:20 - 10:23when we have to summarize
what a speaker is saying, -
10:23 - 10:27when we're taking notes with
a pen or a pencil on paper, -
10:27 - 10:29we're processing that information.
-
10:29 - 10:32We're making that our
own and we're learning -
10:32 - 10:37much more actively than when
we were just transcribing -
10:37 - 10:39what was being said.
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10:39 - 10:42Fifth, get security through diversity.
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10:42 - 10:45Monoculture can be deadly,
remember the potato? -
10:45 - 10:47It was efficient until it wasn't.
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10:47 - 10:50Diversity applies to organizations too.
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10:50 - 10:53Software can tell what has made people
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10:53 - 10:56in an organization succeed in the past.
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10:56 - 10:59And it's useful, sometimes,
in screening employees. -
10:59 - 11:03But, remember the environment
is constantly changing -
11:03 - 11:07and software, screening
software, has no way to tell, -
11:07 - 11:08and we have no way to tell
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11:08 - 11:12who is going to be useful in the future.
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11:12 - 11:17So, we need to supplement
whatever the algorithm tells us -
11:17 - 11:20by an intuition and by looking for people
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11:20 - 11:23with various backgrounds
and various outlooks. -
11:23 - 11:28Sixth, achieve safety through
redundancy and human skills. -
11:28 - 11:31Why did two 737 Max aircraft crash?
-
11:31 - 11:33We still don't know the full story
-
11:33 - 11:36but we know how to
prevent future tragedies. -
11:36 - 11:39We need multiple independent systems.
-
11:39 - 11:43If one fails then the
others can override it. -
11:43 - 11:46We also need skilled operators
to come to the rescue, -
11:46 - 11:49and that means constant training.
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11:49 - 11:52Seven, be rationally extravagant.
-
11:52 - 11:55Thomas Edison was a pioneer
of the film industry, -
11:55 - 11:57as well as of camera technology.
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11:57 - 12:01Nobody has done more for
efficiency than Thomas Edison. -
12:01 - 12:03But his cross cutting broke down.
-
12:04 - 12:07His manager hired a so-called
efficiency engineer, -
12:07 - 12:09who advised him to save money
-
12:09 - 12:13by using more of the film
stock that he'd shot, -
12:13 - 12:15having fewer retakes.
-
12:15 - 12:17Well, Edison was a genius
but he didn't understand -
12:17 - 12:22the new rules of feature films
and the fact that failure -
12:22 - 12:25was becoming the price of success.
-
12:25 - 12:27On the other hand, some great directors,
-
12:27 - 12:29like Erich von Stroheim,
were the opposite. -
12:29 - 12:31They were superb dramatists,
-
12:31 - 12:34and Stroheim was also a memorable actor.
-
12:34 - 12:36But they couldn't live
within their budgets. -
12:36 - 12:38So that was not sustainable.
-
12:39 - 12:42It was Irving Thalberg, a former secretary
-
12:42 - 12:46with intuitive genius, who
achieved rational extravagance. -
12:46 - 12:49First at Universal, and then at MGM,
-
12:49 - 12:53becoming the ideal of
the Hollywood producer. -
12:53 - 12:56Summing up, to be truly efficient,
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12:56 - 12:59we need optimal inefficiency.
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12:59 - 13:01The shortest path may be a curve
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13:01 - 13:03rather than a straight line.
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13:03 - 13:06Charles Darwin understood that.
-
13:06 - 13:07When he encountered a tough problem,
-
13:07 - 13:09he made a circuit of a trail,
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13:09 - 13:12the sand-walk that he'd
built behind his house. -
13:13 - 13:16A productive path can be
physical, like Darwin's, -
13:16 - 13:20or a virtual one, or an unforeseen detour
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13:20 - 13:22from a path we had laid out.
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13:22 - 13:25Too much efficiency can weaken itself.
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13:25 - 13:29But a bit of inspired
efficiency can strengthen it. -
13:29 - 13:33Sometimes, the best way to move forward
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13:33 - 13:35is to follow a circle.
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13:35 - 13:36Thank you.
-
13:36 - 13:39(Applause)
- Title:
- How to make inefficiency work for us
- Speaker:
- Edward Tenner
- Description:
-
Is our obsession with efficiency actually making us less efficient? In this revelatory talk, writer and historian Edward Tenner discusses the promises and dangers of our drive to get things done as quickly as possible -- and suggests seven ways we can use "inspired inefficiency" to be more productive.
- Video Language:
- English
- Team:
closed TED
- Project:
- TEDTalks
- Duration:
- 13:53
![]() |
Erin Gregory edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Joanna Pietrulewicz edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Joanna Pietrulewicz edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Erin Gregory edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Erin Gregory edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Erin Gregory edited English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Helene Batt approved English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency | |
![]() |
Helene Batt accepted English subtitles for The paradox of efficiency |