The Zero Marginal Cost Society - Jeremy Rifkin
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0:04 - 0:08We're just beginning to glimpse
-
0:08 - 0:11the bare outlines of a new economic system
-
0:11 - 0:16entering onto the world stage. This is
the first new economic system -
0:16 - 0:20to emerge since the advent of capitalism
and its antagonist socialism -
0:20 - 0:23in the early 19th century. It's a
remarkable historical -
0:23 - 0:29event. It has long term implications for
every one of us our children and our grandchildren. -
0:29 - 0:32This new economic system is the
collaborative commons. -
0:32 - 0:37And what's triggering this shift to a new
economic paradigm -
0:37 - 0:41a collaborative commons economic system
is something called -
0:41 - 0:44zero marginal cost. Marginal cost
-
0:44 - 0:48the cost of producing an additional
unit of a good and service -
0:48 - 0:54after your fix costs are covered. The prospect
of a technology revolution so extreme in -
0:54 - 0:55its productivity
-
0:55 - 0:59that it can reduce those marginal
cost to near zero across the value chain -
0:59 - 1:02making goods and services essentially
priceless -
1:02 - 1:06nearly free abundant and beyond the
market exchange economy. -
1:06 - 1:11Then this zero marginal cost phenomena
went on to invade the entire information -
1:11 - 1:12goods industry.
-
1:12 - 1:15Millions of consumers became prosumers
-
1:15 - 1:18and they began producing their own
information goods. -
1:18 - 1:21If you take a look at the
newspaper industry magazines, book -
1:21 - 1:23publishing and the recording industry
-
1:23 - 1:26they've never come back from zero marginal
cost. -
1:26 - 1:30Our economists have thought well we think
there's a firewall here. -
1:30 - 1:33And that is even though more and more
information goods are heading toward -
1:33 - 1:35near zero marginal cost
-
1:35 - 1:37in virtual worlds
-
1:37 - 1:40that they will not cross the firewall
into the physical world -
1:40 - 1:44of brick and mortar goods and services. No longer.
-
1:44 - 1:48What's happening now is that the
communication internet -
1:48 - 1:51is now expanding to an Internet of
Things. A physical internet -
1:51 - 1:56that allows us to go
from the world of bits to the world -
1:56 - 1:59atoms. And when we have these three
internets -
1:59 - 2:04embedded in one system - a communication
internet that's interacting continually with an -
2:04 - 2:07energy internet and a transport and
logistics internet in one platform - -
2:07 - 2:12this Internet Of Things allows us to begin
moving near zero marginal cost -
2:12 - 2:18from information goods to physical
goods. By 2020 IBM says we'll be at 30 billion sensors -
2:18 - 2:23and a recent forecast study
a few months ago says that by 2030 -
2:23 - 2:27we will have a 100 trillion sensors
-
2:27 - 2:31connecting everything with everyone in
one global -
2:31 - 2:35neural network. When we move from the
internet to the Internet of Things -
2:35 - 2:40and we move from bits to atoms we begin
to see a completely new economic model -
2:40 - 2:42that can get us to near zero marginal
cost -
2:42 - 2:46in the production and distribution of
physical energy and physical products. -
2:46 - 2:51Anyone of millions of prosumers will
be able to increase their productivity -
2:51 - 2:55dramatically reduce their marginal cost
and produce -
2:55 - 2:58consume and share their own physical
energy and -
2:58 - 3:03manufactured goods with each other just
like we now do with information goods. -
3:03 - 3:07The big wild card here is food and
water and climate change. -
3:07 - 3:12Because if we can't address climate change
and we continue on this road, -
3:12 - 3:16if we can't produce food and don't have
access to water in a reliable fashion -
3:16 - 3:19everything I'm telling you is derailed.
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3:22 - 3:26This new system is already in place in Europe.
Let's take energy. -
3:26 - 3:29The moment you put up a solar panel on
your building -
3:29 - 3:33or a wind turbine on-site, even before you
pay back the fixed cost -
3:33 - 3:37- and that's usually 3 to 8 years so it's not
a long time. Immediately though your -
3:37 - 3:39marginal costs are near-zero
-
3:39 - 3:43because the sun off your roof is free. The
wind off the side of your building is free. -
3:43 - 3:46The geothermal heat coming up from
under the ground is free. Your garbage -
3:46 - 3:50converted in a bioconverter to energy
in your kitchen, it's all free. -
3:50 - 3:54And millions of small players had joined
together in cooperatives -
3:54 - 3:59small and medium-sized businesses, homeowners.
They're generating the new electricity -
3:59 - 4:03The Internet Of Things is designed to be
distributed, collaborative, -
4:03 - 4:07peer-directed and it scales to
lateral economies of scale. -
4:07 - 4:11Then let's take 3D printed products. We
now have -
4:11 - 4:14several hundred thousand hobbyists,
thousands of small and medium-sized -
4:14 - 4:18startup companies that are printing out
their own 3D printed products. -
4:18 - 4:21And they're attaching their 3D printing
operation, at least in Europe, -
4:21 - 4:24into this new Internet Of Things, this third
Industrial Revolution. -
4:24 - 4:29You go up on the Internet, you download your software - it's all free,
-
4:29 - 4:33open source - then you use for your
feed stock -
4:33 - 4:37recycled plastic, paper or even using
sand and gravel -
4:37 - 4:40and melting it down at near zero
marginal cost. Then they're -
4:40 - 4:42powering their 3D printing factory
-
4:42 - 4:45with green energy from their energy
internet that's generated -
4:45 - 4:47at near zero marginal cost.
-
4:47 - 4:49Then they're marketing their products on
global websites -
4:49 - 4:51with very little advertising cost,
-
4:51 - 4:55you just pay a short fee, low marginal
cost. And then we're just beginning to -
4:55 - 4:57put in the logistics internet.
-
4:57 - 5:01You'll be able to power your vehicle
to send your 3D printed product to -
5:01 - 5:04market with your own green electricity
from the energy internet, -
5:04 - 5:07and the electric vehicles in a few years
from now will be printed out. -
5:07 - 5:11The first printed vehicle now exists in
Canada. It runs on solar. -
5:11 - 5:15We'll have driverless vehicles that can
move across the system at will -
5:15 - 5:17near zero marginal cost.
-
5:21 - 5:25This is a revolution.
-
5:27 - 5:31The question becomes this. If millions
then hundreds of millions -
5:31 - 5:35of people can begin to produce, consume or
share -
5:35 - 5:41their own information goods, energy and a
lot of their manufactured goods -
5:41 - 5:44at near zero marginal cost, making them
nearly free -
5:44 - 5:48and beyond the exchange model of the
capitalist market, what kind of new economic -
5:48 - 5:51system do we have to envision to
organize the world -
5:51 - 5:53the one that I'm laying out here?
-
5:53 - 5:55It's the
social commons. -
5:55 - 5:59What's happening now is the social
commons, which is a venerable institution -
5:59 - 6:03that we rely on for education
institutions that are non-profit, -
6:03 - 6:06health services, day care centers for
our children, -
6:06 - 6:08assisted living for the elderly,
-
6:08 - 6:10environmental organizations,
-
6:10 - 6:12cultural, sports, arts, it goes on and on.
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6:12 - 6:15If they were eliminated and we just had the marketplace,
-
6:15 - 6:18we would not have much of a life on the planet.
-
6:18 - 6:23The social commons is ignored by economists because
-
6:23 - 6:26it doesn't create finance capital. It
creates social capital. -
6:26 - 6:30But it's a big revenue player. What's
making this -
6:30 - 6:34social commons now more relevant than
any time in the past -
6:34 - 6:37is this Internet Of Things.
-
6:37 - 6:41Because the Internet Of Things is a
general purpose technology platform -
6:41 - 6:44that's designed to be the technological
soulmate -
6:44 - 6:48of the social commons. The whole design is
to be distributed, -
6:48 - 6:51collaborative, scales latterally, not
vertically -
6:51 - 6:55and it rewards collaboration across these
lateral networks. -
6:55 - 6:58It creates a sharing community.
-
6:58 - 7:02If millions and millions of people are
producing and sharing their own energy -
7:02 - 7:05and 3D printed products and information goods, they're going to need less income,
-
7:05 - 7:08at zero marginal cost.
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7:08 - 7:12They're still going to need employment. If the marketplace doesn't need them
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7:12 - 7:17because we can produce the energy and the products, you know
-
7:17 - 7:20in the marketplace with just
high-technology, -
7:20 - 7:22where will you get the employment?
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7:22 - 7:27In the social commons. The social
commons creates social capital -
7:27 - 7:31human beings with the other human beings,
creating communities - -
7:31 - 7:35cultural, sports, arts, wellness, health,
quality of life. -
7:35 - 7:39Those are the more important employments.
Making widgets is not as intellectually -
7:39 - 7:42challenging and motivating to the young mind as it is
-
7:42 - 7:44trying to create a sense of human community,
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7:44 - 7:46a sense of transcendence and
-
7:46 - 7:49sense of finding meaning in the world
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7:50 - 7:52Last thought.
-
7:52 - 7:54We can get to nearly free energy.
-
7:54 - 7:59We're already there, nearly free goods
and services, but without food and water -
7:59 - 8:02we don't survive. And we don't know, if we
can even feed people -
8:02 - 8:06and provide water for people, how do we
repopulate millions of people in -
8:06 - 8:08the western part of the US in 30 years?
-
8:08 - 8:11So... climate change is
-
8:11 - 8:16the elephant in the room. What's
important to acknowledge here is that the -
8:16 - 8:20third Industrial Revolution, this Internet
Of Things allows us -
8:20 - 8:24to move quickly out of fossil fuels.
And have millions of people begin to -
8:24 - 8:26produce and share their own green energy.
-
8:26 - 8:30And this Internet of Things, because its
entire purpose -
8:30 - 8:34is to increase efficiencies to reduce
marginal costs it means -
8:34 - 8:38it shows us how to use less resources more effectively.
-
8:38 - 8:42So we don't put a big burden
on the planet that we live in. -
8:42 - 8:44So we have young people here not only sharing
-
8:44 - 8:47information goods and energy now
and 3D printed products, -
8:47 - 8:51but so we have car sharing and bike
sharing and now we're sharing apartments and -
8:51 - 8:54homes and clothes and tools and toys.
-
8:54 - 8:56So we have a generation that's beginning to believe
-
8:56 - 8:58it's not about ownership, it's access,
-
8:58 - 9:03and if more people share what they have,
less has to be produced. -
9:03 - 9:06It does have a negative impact on
GDP -
9:06 - 9:09but it has a positive impact on quality
of life, and that's the way -
9:09 - 9:11to measure a good economy.
-
9:11 - 9:17It isn't just technology. What it does is
it democratizes the economy. -
9:17 - 9:21And hopefully you'll be in a world in
2050 that won't be the 1% or the 99%. -
9:21 - 9:25It'll be a shared economy, a sustainable
good quality of life, -
9:25 - 9:29where no one's left behind. Now is it Utopia?
No. -
9:29 - 9:33We need to change the human narrative. We
need a new story for the -
9:33 - 9:35human race to go with the technology.
-
9:35 - 9:39We have to move from geopolitics to
biosphere consciousness -
9:39 - 9:42in one generation. Everything we do
-
9:42 - 9:46intimately impacts some other human, some
other ecosystem -
9:46 - 9:50some other species on this Earth. We've got a
young generation here that's beginning to see -
9:50 - 9:54we live in one indivisible community, the biosphere.
-
9:54 - 9:56So I'm guardedly hopeful.
-
9:56 - 9:59And if we can dramatically increase
efficiencies, -
9:59 - 10:03reduce our marginal cost, and that means
using less resources -
10:03 - 10:07more effectively and taking a less burden
on the planet, -
10:07 - 10:10we may get to a better world by mid-century.
-
10:10 - 10:15You need to help lead this, so we
have a chance of rehealing the planet -
10:15 - 10:19and creating a future for our children.
- Title:
- The Zero Marginal Cost Society - Jeremy Rifkin
- Description:
-
Jeremy Rifkin, economist, government advisor & New York Times bestselling author of the book: The Zero Marginal Cost Society.
Jeremy Rifkin describes how the emerging Internet of Things is speeding us to an era of nearly free goods and services, precipitating the meteoric rise of a global Collaborative Commons and the eclipse of capitalism.
ENVIENTA Open Source Ecology - Live In An Economic Revolution
With the current rise of global economical problems, more people have to sacrifice their time to earn more income in order to keep up with the times. This is due to the cost of living that has drastically increased compared to that of 10 years ago. Our living needs have changed so much since then, that we find it hard to cope with our daily life.
We depend so much on the main electricity and power this day, from how we cook food to heating up the water with water heaters during our shower. Not only do we have to deal with the problem of the rising electricity bills, we have to also tackle the problems with our economic system that were caused by the usage of these conveniences.
A non-profit association has sprung its doors open to cater to you, me and our beloved Mother Earth. The ENVIENTA has seemed to figure out an answer to this rising issue. They have come up with a whole revolutionary open source based economic system that might be just the exact solution for a better, cleaner and greener living for us.
The concept that they have put together will definitely change how we look at the whole issue. Imagine living in a space where it costs lesser than regular houses, but, it is fitted and controlled entirely with a smart home system. It costs lesser because, instead of a regular brick house, it is made out of upcycled shipping container which is reconstructed to cater to our basic living needs.
As the rising costs of bills does have a huge impact on not only our monthly income, but the time invested to earn the pay cheque, these houses will be fully powered through the natural source of light. Solar panels will be fixed on this housing concept, where light energy from the Sun will be captured and conserved. It will then be converted into electrical energy when needed.
This would mean that all our equipment and electronics will be powered by this natural source of energy. Thus, there will be no monthly electric bills, lifting off the huge burden from our shoulders.
What ENVIENTA has included in their economic revolution concept is the use of Hydroponics and Aeroponics to meet our food demands. This is not only a great idea, but something that has never been put to thought to exist in our own homes as well.
As known to many, more vegetables and plantations today are grown with the excessive use of pesticides, insecticides and other types of chemical. The food that we consume might not be as safe as we thought it is. This will not only be able to reduce the amount of spending on vegetation, but eat food products that are proven to be cleaner and chemical-free, as well as reduce the amount of land or soil used in its growth.
Adding the use of Hydroponics and Aeroponics to the concept for our own use is certainly a vital point for our sustainability in the future and will be able to progress us to live greener as well.
Another great idea that the ENVIENTA has included in their concept is the usage of 3D printing technology. Depending on mainstream mass production line of products would mean that more amount of plastic, paper and other materials were produced in efforts to create a particular product of interest.
Most of us know very well how much waste we produce by day, and some of the waste cannot be recycled such as plastic matter. The idea that ENVIENTA project has introduced in using 3D technology might be another great solution that one could think of. Replacing mass produced furnitures with recycled plastics made from using 3D printing technology is a very innovative idea.
The whole concept seems to work well hand in hand, making it a whole new living edge and space. The amount of ideas ENVIENTA has come up with and how practical and broad they are is something that is sought upon. They might just be the next vital project that will bring the world into a spectrum of economic revolution and the answer to the future.
Sign up today and get notified on new updates:
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- Video Language:
- English
- Duration:
- 10:30
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Kaife Amin edited English subtitles for The Zero Marginal Cost Society - Jeremy Rifkin |