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An urgent call to protect the world's "Third Pole"

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    On the 17th of October, 2009,
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    President Mohamed Nasheed of the Maldives
    did something unusual.
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    He held his cabinet meeting underwater.
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    He literally took his ministers
    scuba diving, as it were,
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    to warn the world
    that his country could drown
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    unless we control global warming.
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    Now I don't know whether he got
    his message across to the world or not,
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    but he certainly caught mine.
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    I saw a political stunt.
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    You see, I'm a politician,
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    and I notice these things.
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    And let's be honest,
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    the Maldives are distant
    from where I come from --
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    my country is Bhutan --
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    so I didn't lose any sleep
    over their impending fate.
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    Barely two months later,
    I saw another political stunt.
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    This time, the prime minister of Nepal,
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    he held his cabinet meeting
    on Mt. Everest.
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    He took all his ministers all the way up
    to the base camp of Everest
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    to warn the world
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    that the Himalayan glaciers were melting.
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    Now did that worry me?
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    You bet it did.
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    I live in the Himalayas.
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    But did I lose any sleep over his message?
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    No.
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    I wasn't ready to let a political stunt
    interfere with my beauty sleep.
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    (Laughter)
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    Now fast-forward 10 years.
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    In February this year,
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    I saw this report.
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    This here report basically concludes
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    that one third of the ice
    on the Hindu Kush Himalaya mountains
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    could melt by the end of the century.
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    But that's only if,
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    if we are able to contain global warming
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    to 1.5 degrees centigrade
    over preindustrial levels.
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    Otherwise, if we can't,
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    the glaciers would melt much faster.
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    1.5 degrees Celsius. "No way," I thought.
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    Even the Paris Agreement's
    ambitious targets
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    aimed to limit global warming
    to two degrees centigrade.
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    1.5 degrees centigrade is what they call
    the best-case scenario.
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    "Now this can't be true," I thought.
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    The Hindu Kush Himalaya region
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    is the world's third-largest
    repository of ice
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    after the North and South Poles.
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    That's why we are also called
    the Third Pole.
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    There's a lot of ice in the region.
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    And yes, the glaciers, they are melting.
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    We know that.
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    I have been to those in my country.
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    I've seen them, and yes, they are melting.
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    They are vulnerable.
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    "But they can't be that vulnerable,"
    I remember thinking.
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    But what if they are?
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    What if our glaciers melt
    much more quickly than I anticipate?
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    What if our glaciers are much more
    vulnerable than previously thought?
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    And what if, as a result,
    the glacial lakes --
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    now these are lakes
    that form when glaciers melt --
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    what if those lakes burst
    under the weight of additional water?
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    And what if those floods
    cascade into other glacial lakes,
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    creating even bigger outbursts?
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    That would create unprecedented
    flash floods in my country.
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    That would wreck my country.
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    That would wreak havoc in my country.
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    That would have the potential
    to literally destroy our land,
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    our livelihood, our way of life.
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    So that report caught my attention
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    in ways that political stunts couldn't.
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    It was put together
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    by the International Centre for Integrated
    Mountain Development, or ICIMOD,
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    which is based in Nepal.
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    Scientists and experts have studied
    our glaciers for decades,
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    and their report kept me awake at night,
    agonizing about the bad news
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    and what it meant for my country
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    and my people.
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    So after several sleepless nights,
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    I went to Nepal to visit ICIMOD.
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    I found a team of highly competent
    and dedicated scientists there,
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    and here's what they told me.
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    Number one:
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    the Hindu Kush Himalaya glaciers
    have been melting for some time now.
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    Take that glacier, for instance.
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    It's on Mt. Everest.
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    As you can see, this once massive glacier
    has already lost much of its ice.
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    Number two:
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    the glaciers are now melting
    much more quickly --
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    so quickly, in fact, that at just
    1.5 degrees centigrade of global warming,
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    one-third of the glaciers would melt.
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    At two degrees centigrade
    of global warming,
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    half the glaciers would disappear.
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    And if current trends were to continue,
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    a full two-thirds
    of our glaciers would vanish.
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    Number three:
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    global warming means that our mountains
    receive more rain and less snow ...
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    and, unlike snowfall, rain melts ice,
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    which just hurts
    the health of our glaciers.
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    Number four:
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    pollution in the region has increased
    the amount of black carbon
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    that's deposited on our glaciers.
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    Black carbon is like soot.
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    Black carbon absorbs heat
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    and just accelerates
    the melting of glaciers.
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    To summarize,
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    our glaciers are melting rapidly,
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    and global warming is making them
    melt much more quickly.
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    But what does this mean?
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    It means that the 240 million people
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    who live in the Hindu Kush
    Himalaya region --
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    in Afghanistan, Pakistan, India,
    China, Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar
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    and my own beloved country Bhutan --
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    these people will be directly affected.
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    When glaciers melt,
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    when there's more rain and less snow,
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    there will be huge changes
    in the way water behaves.
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    There will be more extremes:
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    more intense rain,
    more flash floods, more landslides,
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    more glacial lake outburst floods.
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    All this will cause
    unimaginable destruction
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    in a region that already has
    some of the poorest people on earth.
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    But it's not just the people
    in the immediate region
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    who'll be affected.
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    People living downstream
    will also be hit hard.
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    That's because 10 of their major rivers
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    originate in the Hindu Kush
    Himalaya mountains.
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    These rivers provide
    critical water for agriculture
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    and drinking water
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    to more than 1.6 billion people
    living downstream.
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    That's one in five humans.
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    That's why the Hindu Kush
    Himalaya mountains
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    are also called the water towers of Asia.
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    But when glaciers melt,
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    when monsoons turn severe,
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    those rivers will obviously flood,
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    so there will be deluges
    when water is not required
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    and droughts will be very common,
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    when water is desperately required.
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    In short, Asia's water tower
    will be broken,
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    and that will be disastrous
    for one-fifth of humanity.
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    Should the rest of the world care?
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    Should you, for instance, care?
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    Remember, I didn't care
    when I heard that the Maldives
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    could disappear underwater.
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    And that is the crux
    of the problem, isn't it?
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    We don't care.
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    We don't care until
    we are personally affected.
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    I mean, we know.
    We know climate change is real.
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    We know that we face
    drastic and dramatic change.
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    We know that it is coming fast.
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    Yet most of us
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    act as if everything were normal.
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    So we must care,
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    all of us,
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    and if you can't care for those who are
    affected by the melting of glaciers,
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    you should at least care for yourself.
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    That's because the Hindu Kush
    Himalaya mountains --
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    the entire region
    is like the pulse of the planet.
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    If the region falls sick,
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    the entire planet will eventually suffer,
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    and right now,
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    with our glaciers melting rapidly,
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    the region is not just sick --
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    it is crying out for help.
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    And how will it affect
    the rest of the world?
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    One obvious scenario
    is the potential destabilization
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    caused by tens of millions
    of climate refugees,
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    who'll be forced to move
    because they have no or little water,
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    or because their livelihoods
    have been destroyed
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    by the melting of glaciers.
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    Another scenario we can't take lightly
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    is the potential of conflict over water,
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    and the political destabilization
    in a region that has three nuclear powers:
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    China, India, Pakistan.
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    I believe that the situation
    in our region is grave enough
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    to warrant the creation
    of a new intergovernmental agency.
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    So as a native
    from that part of the world,
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    I want to propose here, today,
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    the establishment
    of the Third Pole Council,
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    a high-level,
    intergovernmental organization
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    tasked with the singular responsibility
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    of protecting the world's
    third-largest repository of ice.
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    A Third Pole Council
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    would consist of all eight countries
    located in the region
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    as member countries,
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    as equal member countries,
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    and could also include
    representative organizations
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    and other countries
    who have vested interests in the region
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    as non-voting members.
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    But the big idea
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    is to get all stakeholders together
    to work together.
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    To work together to monitor
    the health of the glaciers;
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    to work together to shape and implement
    policies to protect our glaciers,
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    and, by extension,
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    to protect the billions of people
    who depend on our glaciers.
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    We have to work together,
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    because thinking globally,
    acting locally ...
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    does not work.
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    We've tried that in Bhutan.
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    We've made immense sacrifices
    to act locally ...
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    and while individual localized efforts
    will continue to be important,
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    they cannot stand up
    to the onslaught of climate change.
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    To stand up to climate change,
    we must work together.
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    We must think globally and act regionally.
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    Our entire region must come together,
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    to work together,
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    to fight climate change together,
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    to make our voices heard together.
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    And that includes India and China.
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    They must step up their game.
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    They must take the ownership
    of the fight to protect our glaciers.
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    And for that, these two countries,
    these two powerful giants,
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    must reduce their own greenhouse gases,
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    control their pollution,
    and lead the fight.
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    Lead the global fight
    against climate change.
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    And all that with a renewed
    sense of urgency.
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    Only then -- and that, too, only maybe --
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    will our region
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    and other regions
    that depend on our glaciers
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    have any chance to avoid
    major catastrophes.
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    Time is running out.
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    We must act together, now.
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    Otherwise, the next time
    Nepal's cabinet meets on Mt. Everest,
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    that spectacular backdrop ...
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    may look quite different.
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    And if that happens,
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    if our glaciers melt,
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    rising sea levels
    could well drown the Maldives,
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    and while they can hold
    their cabinet meetings underwater
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    to send an SOS to the world,
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    their country can keep existing
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    only if their islands keep existing.
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    The Maldives are still distant, away.
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    Their islands are distant
    from where I live.
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    But now, I pay close attention
    to what happens out there.
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    Thank you very much.
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    (Applause)
Title:
An urgent call to protect the world's "Third Pole"
Speaker:
Tshering Tobgay
Description:

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Video Language:
English
Team:
closed TED
Project:
TEDTalks
Duration:
14:33

English subtitles

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