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What has been announced so far from Beijing?
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Well, as you said,
that antitrust investigation into Google,
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as well as a series of tariffs, 10 to 15% on American agricultural machines,
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as well as oil, coal, LNG,
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a couple of American companies
added to this unreliable entity list
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and also export control on tungsten
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related materials, materials used for solar panels, semiconductors,
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very precise and very targeted measures,
although not extensive.
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But it shows that China is not going to
back down without a fight.
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Some analysts had expected that
maybe China will not retaliate so quickly.
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And clearly this is a very
highly choreographed move given that
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China had waited exactly
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until after the tariffs kicked in
at 1:01 p.m. local Beijing time
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before announcing
these series of coordinated measures.
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And this comes as Trump had said
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he plans to speak with presidency within 24 hours.
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That was several hours ago.
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And he said that if no deal is reached,
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that the tariffs could be, quote, very,
very substantial.
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So 10% is just a starting point.
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It could go up or go down from there
depending on how negotiations go.
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Yeah.
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China and Beijing clearly had a ready to
bake response, didn't they?
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Quick, quick, swift and targeted, as you
say, oven ready response from Beijing.
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Where do we stand then on those talks
between China and the US?
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Well, there's really an infinite number
of ways that negotiations could go.
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And one thing that China could do is
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maybe to return to that starting point of the first trade deal
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that was struck with President Trump
in his first term in office,
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committing to buy maybe a certain number of a certain amount of American products
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in exchange for other things that they want,
for instance,
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more market access into the US or
perhaps being able to buy what they want to buy,
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including advanced semiconductors, for example.
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President Trump had said the reason for
imposing these tariffs include fentanyl.
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China producing the ingredients for that.
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And this is perhaps an off ramp
that could be offered to China
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because that is a low hanging fruit,
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is something that Beijing could very easily clamp down on if it so chooses to.
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This is also something that
both countries have already began working on.
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So that's one possible thing.
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But again, you know, many of these measures,
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they're not that easy to undo.
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Once you're on an entity list,
it's not that easy to get off it.
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So it remains to be seen how those negotiations will go.
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And, you know, it's really a trade war
that could escalate further.
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And we have to see what happens
in the next few days.