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What has been announced so far from
Beijing?
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Well, as you said, that antitrust
investigation into Google, as well as a
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series of tariffs, 10 to 15% on American
agricultural machines, as well as oil,
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coal, LNG, a couple of American
companies added to this unreliable
-
entity list and also export control on
tungsten related materials, materials
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used for solar panels, semiconductors,
very precise and very targeted measures,
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although not extensive.
But it shows that China is not going to
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back down without a fight.
Some analysts had expected that maybe
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China will not retaliate so quickly.
And clearly this is a very highly
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choreographed move given that China had
waited exactly until after the tariffs
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kicked in at 1:01 p.m.
local Beijing time before announcing
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these series of coordinated measures.
And this comes as Trump had said he
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plans to speak with presidency within 24
hours.
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That was several hours ago.
And he said that if no deal is reached,
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that the tariffs could be, quote, very,
very substantial.
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So 10% is just a starting point.
It could go up or go down from there
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depending on how negotiations go.
Yeah.
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China and Beijing clearly had a ready to
bake response, didn't they?
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Quick, quick, swift and targeted, as you
say, oven ready response from Beijing.
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Where do we stand then on those talks
between China and the US?
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Well, there's really an infinite number
of ways that negotiations could go.
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And one thing that China could do is
maybe to return to that starting point
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of the first trade deal that was struck
with President Trump in his first term
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in office, committing to buy maybe a
certain number of a certain amount of
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American products in exchange for other
things that they want, for instance,
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more market access into the US or
perhaps being able to buy what they want
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to buy, including advanced
semiconductors, for example.
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President Trump had said the reason for
imposing these tariffs include
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fentanyl.
China producing the ingredients for
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that.
And this is perhaps an off ramp that
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could be offered to China because that
is a low hanging fruit is something that
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Beijing could very easily clamp down on
if it so chooses to.
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This is also something that both
countries have already began working on.
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So that's one possible thing.
But again, you know, many of these
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measures, they're not that easy to undo.
Once you're on an entity list, it's not
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that easy to get off it.
So it remains to be seen how those
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negotiations will go.
And, you know, it's really a trade war
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that could escalate further.
And we have to see what happens in the
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next few days.