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Seven years ago, a student came to me
and asked me to invest in his company.
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He said, "I'm working with three friends,
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and we're going to try to disrupt
an industry by selling stuff online."
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And I said, "Okay, you guys spent
the whole summer on this, right?"
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"No, we all took internships
just in case it doesn't work out."
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"All right, but you're going to go in
full time once you graduate."
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"Not exactly. We've all
lined up backup jobs."
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Six months go by,
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it's the day before the company launches,
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and there is still not
a functioning website.
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"You guys realize,
the entire company is a website.
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That's literally all it is."
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So I obviously
declined to invest,
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and they ended up
naming the company Warby Parker.
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(Laughter)
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They sell glasses online.
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They were recently recognized
as the world's most innovative company
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and valued at over a billion dollars.
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And now? My wife handles our investments.
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Why was I so wrong?
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To find out, I've been studying people
that I come to call originals.
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Originals are nonconformists,
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people who not only have new ideas
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but take action to champion them.
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They are people who stand out
and speak up.
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Originals drive creativity
and change in the world.
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They're the people you want to bet on.
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And they look nothing like I expected.
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I want to show you today
three things I've learned
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about recognizing originals
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and becoming a little bit more like them.
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So the first reason
that I passed on Warby Parker
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was they were really slow
getting off the ground.
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Now, you are all intimately familiar
with the mind of a procrastinator.
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Well, I have a confession for you.
I'm the opposite.
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I'm a precrastinator.
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Yes, that's an actual term.
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You know that panic you feel
a few hours before a big deadline
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when you haven't done anything yet.
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I just feel that a few months
ahead of time.
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(Laughter)
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So this started early: when I was a kid,
I took Nintendo games very seriously.
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I would wake up at 5 a.m.,
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start playing and not stop
until I had mastered them.
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Eventually it got so out of hand
that a local newspaper came
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and did a story on the dark side
of Nintendo, starring me.
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(Laughter)
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(Applause)
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Since then, I have traded hair for teeth.
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(Laughter)
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But this served me well in college,
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because I finished my senior thesis
four months before the deadline.
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And I was proud of that,
until a few years ago.
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I had a student named Jeehay,
who came to me and said,
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"I have my most creative ideas
when I'm procrastinating."
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And I was like, "That's cute,
where are the four papers you owe me."
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(Laughter)
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No, she was one of
our most creative students,
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and as an organizational psychologist,
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this is the kind of idea that I test.
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So I challenged her to get some data.
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She goes into a bunch of companies.
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She has people to fill out surveys
about how often they procrastinate.
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Then she gets their bosses to rate
how creative and innovative they are,
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and sure enough, the precrastinators like
me who rush in and do everything early
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are rated as less creative
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than people who procrastinate moderately.
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So I want to know what happens
to the chronic procrastinators.
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She was like, "I don't know.
They didn't fill out my survey."
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(Laughter)
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No, here are our results.
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You actually do see that the people
who wait til the last minute
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are so busy goofing off
that they don't have any new ideas,
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and on the flip side,
the people who race in
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are in such a frenzy of anxiety that they
don't have original thoughts either.
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There's a sweet spot
where originals seem to live.
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Why is this?
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Maybe original people
just have bad work habits.
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Maybe procrastinating
does not cause creativity.
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To find out, we designed some experiments.
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We asked people to generate
new business ideas,
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and then we get independent readers
to evaluate how creative
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and useful they are,
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and some of them are asked
to do the task right away.
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Others we randomly assigned
to procrastinate
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by dangling Minesweeper in front of them
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for either five or 10 minutes.
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And sure enough,
the moderate procrastinators
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are 16 percent more creative
than the other two groups.
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Now, Minesweeper is awesome,
but it's not the driver or the effect,
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because if you play the game first
before you learn about the task,
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there's no creativity boost.
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It's only when you're told that you're
going to be working on this problem,
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and then you start procrastinating,
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but the task is still active
in the back of your mind,
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that you start to incubate.
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Procrastination gives you time
to consider divergent ideas,
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to think in non-linear ways,
to make unexpected leaps.
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So just as we were finishing
these experiments,
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I was starting to write
a book about originals,
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and I thought, "This is the perfect time
to teach myself to procrastinate,
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while writing a chapter
on procrastination."
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So I meta procrastinated,
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and like any self-respecting
precrastinator,
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I woke up early the next morning
and I made a to-do list
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with steps on how to procrastinate.
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(Laughter)
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And then I worked diligently
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toward my goal of not making progress
toward my goal.
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I started writing
the procrastination chapter,
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and one day, I was halfway through.
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I literally put it away in mid-sentence
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for months.
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It was agony.
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But when I came back to it,
I had all sorts of new ideas.
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As Aaron Sorkin put it,
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"You call it procrastinating.
I call it thinking."
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And along the way I discovered
that a lot of great originals
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in history were procrastinators.
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Take Leonardo da Vinci.
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He toiled on and off for 16 years
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on the Mona Lisa.
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He felt like a failure.
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He wrote as much in his journal.
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But some of the diversions
he took in optics
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transformed the way
that he modeled light
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and made him into a much better painter.
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What about Martin Luther King, Jr.?
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The night before the biggest
speech of his life,
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the March on Washington,
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he was up past 3 a.m., rewriting it.
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He's sitting in the audience
waiting for his turn to go onstage,
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and he is still scribbling notes
and crossing out lines.
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When he gets onstage, 11 minutes in,
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he leaves his prepared remarks
to utter four words
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that changed the course of history:
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"I have a dream."
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That was not in the script.
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By delaying the task of finalizing
the speech until the very last minute,
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he left himself open
to the widest range of possible ideas,
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and because the text wasn't set in stone,
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he had freedom to improvise.
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Procrastinating is a vice
when it comes to productivity,
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but it can be a virtue for creativity.
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What you see with a lot of great originals
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is that they are quick to start
but slow to finish,
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and this is what I missed
with Warby Parker.
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When they were dragging
their heels for six months,
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I looked at them and said,
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"You know, a lot of other companies
are starting to sell glasses online.
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They missed the first mover advantage."
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But what I didn't realize was
they were spending all that time
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trying to figure out how to get people
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to be comfortable
ordering glasses online.
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And it turns out the first mover
advantage is mostly a myth.
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Look at a classic study
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of over 50 product categories,
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comparing the first movers
who created the market
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with the improvers who introduced
something different and better.
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What you see is that the first movers
had a failure rate of 47 percent,
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compared with only 8 percent
for the improvers.
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Look at Facebook, waiting to build
a social network until after Myspace
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and Friendster.
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Look at Google, waiting for years
after Altavista and Yahoo.
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It's much easier to improve
on somebody else's idea
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than it is to create
something new from scratch.
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So the lesson I learned is that
to be original you don't have to be first.
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You just have to be different and better.
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But that wasn't the only reason
I passed on Warby Parker.
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They were also full of doubts.
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They had backup plans lined up,
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and that made me doubt
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that they had the courage to be original,
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because I expected that originals
would look something like this.
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(Laughter)
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Now, on the surface,
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a lot of original people look confident,
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but behind the scenes, they feel
the same fear and doubt
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that the rest of us do.
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They just manage it differently.
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Let me show you: this is a depiction
of how the creative process
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works for most of us.
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(Laughter)
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Now, in my research, I discovered
there are two different kinds of doubt.
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There's self-doubt and idea doubt.
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Self-doubt is paralyzing.
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It leads you to freeze.
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But idea doubt is energizing.
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It motivates you to test,
to experiment, to refine,
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just like MLK did,
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and so the key to being original
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is just a simple thing
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of avoiding the leap
from step three to step four.
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Instead of saying, "I'm crap,"
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you say, "The first few drafts
are always crap,
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and I'm just not there yet."
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So how do you get there?
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Well, there's a clue it turns out
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in the Internet browser that you use.
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We can predict your job performance
and your commitment
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just by knowing
what web browser you use.
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Now, some of you are not
going to like the results of this study.
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(Laughter)
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But there is good evidence
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that Firefox and Chrome users
significantly outperform
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Internet Explorer and Safari users.
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Yes.
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(Applause)
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They also stay in their jobs
15 percent longer, by the way.
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Why? It's not a technical advantage.
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The four browser groups on average
have similar typing speed
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and they also have similar levels
of computer knowledge.
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It's about how you got the browser,
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because if you use
Internet Explorer or Safari,
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those came preinstalled on your computer,
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and you accepted the default option
that was handed to you.
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If you wanted Firefox or Chrome,
you had to doubt the default
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and ask, is there
a different option out there,
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and then be a little resourceful
and download a new browser.
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So people hear about this study
and they're like, "Great,
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if I want to get better at my job,
I just need to upgrade my browser?"
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(Laughter)
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No, it's about the being
the kind of person
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who takes the initiative
to doubt the default
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and look for a better option,
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and if you do that well,
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you will open yourself up
to the opposite of deja vu.
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There's a name for it.
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It's called vuja de.
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(Laughter)
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Vuja de is when you look at something
you've seen many times before
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and all of a sudden
see it with fresh eyes.
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It's a screenwriter who looks
at a movie script
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that can't get the green light
for more than half a century.
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In every past version, the main character
has been an evil queen.
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But Jennifer Lee starts to question
whether that makes sense.
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She rewrites the first act,
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reinvents the villain as a tortured hero,
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and "Frozen" becomes the most
successful animated movie ever.
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So there's a simple
message from this story.
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When you feel doubt, don't let it go.
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(Laughter)
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What about fear?
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Originals feel fear too.
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They're afraid of failing,
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but what sets them apart
from the rest of us
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is that they're even more
afraid of failing to try.
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They know you can fail
by starting a business that goes bankrupt
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or by failing to start a business at all.
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They know that in the long run,
our biggest regrets
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are not our actions
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but our inactions.
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The things we wish we could redo,
if you look at the science,
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are the chances not taken.
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Elon Musk told me recently,
he didn't expect Tesla to succeed.
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He was sure the first few SpaceX launches
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would fail to make it to orbit,
let alone get back,
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but it was too important not to try.
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And for so many of us,
when we have an important idea,
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we don't bother to try.
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But I have some good news for you.
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You are not going to get judged
on your bad ideas.
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A lot of people think they will.
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If you look across industries
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and ask people about their biggest idea,
their most important suggestion,
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85 percent of them stayed silent
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instead of speaking up.
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They were afraid of embarrassing
themselves, of looking stupid.
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But guess what? Originals
have lots and lots of bad ideas,
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tons of them in fact.
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Take the guy who invented this.
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Do you care that he came up
with a talking doll so creepy
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that it scared not only kids
but adults too?
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No. You celebrate Thomas Edison
for pioneering the light bulb.
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(Laughter)
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If you look across fields,
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the greatest originals are the ones
who fail the most,
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because they're the ones who try the most.
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Take classical composers,
the best of the best.
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Why do some of them get more pages
in encyclopedias than others
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and also have their compositions
rerecorded more times?
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One of the best predictors
is the sheer volume
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of compositions that they generate.
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The more output you churn out,
the more variety you get,
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and the better your chances
of stumbling on something truly original.
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Even the three icons of classical music --
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Bach, Beethoven, Mozart --
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had to generate hundreds
and hundreds of compositions
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to come up with a much smaller
number of masterpieces.
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Now you may be wondering,
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how did this guy become great
without doing a whole lot?
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I don't know how Wagner pulled that off,
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but for most of us,
if we want to be more original,
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we have to generate more ideas.
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The Warby Parker founders, when they
were trying to name their company,
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they needed something sophisticated,
unique, with no negative associations
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to build a retail brand,
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and they tested over 2,000 possibilities
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before they finally put together
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Warby and Parker.
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So if you put all this together,
what you see is that originals
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are not that different
from the rest of us.
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They feel fear and doubt.
They procrastinate.
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They have bad ideas.
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And sometimes, it's not in spite
of those qualities but because of them
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that they succeed.
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So when you see those things,
don't make the same mistake I did.
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Don't write them off.
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And when that's you,
don't count yourself out either.
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Know that being quick to start but slow
to finish can boost your creativity,
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that you can motivate yourself
by doubting your ideas
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and embracing the fear of failing to try,
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and that you need a lot of bad ideas
in order to get a few good ones.
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Look, being original is not easy,
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but I have no doubt about this:
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it's the best way to improve
the world around us.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)