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How the pandemic will shape the near future

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    Chris Anderson. Welcome, Bill Gates.
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    Bill Gates: Thank you.
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    CA: All right. It's great
    to have you here, Bill.
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    You know, we had a TED conversation
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    about three months ago
    about this pandemic,
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    and back then I think fewer than --
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    I think that was the end of March --
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    Back then, fewer than
    a thousand people in the US had died,
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    and fewer than 20,000 worldwide.
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    I mean, the numbers now are,
    like, 128,000 dead in the US
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    and more than half a million worldwide.
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    in three months.
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    In three months.
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    What is your diagnosis of what is possible
    for the rest of this year?
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    You look at a lot of models.
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    What do you think best
    and worst case scenarios might be?
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    BG: Well, the range of scenarios, sadly,
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    is quite large, including that,
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    as we get into the fall,
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    we could have death rates
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    that rival the worst of what we had
    in the April time period.
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    If you get a lot of young people infected,
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    eventually they will infect
    old people again,
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    and so you'll get into the nursing homes,
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    the homeless shelters,
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    the places where we've had
    a lot of our deaths.
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    The innovation track,
Title:
How the pandemic will shape the near future
Speaker:
Bill Gates
Description:

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Video Language:
English
Team:
closed TED
Project:
TEDTalks
Duration:
43:07

English subtitles

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