Chris Anderson. Welcome, Bill Gates.
Bill Gates: Thank you.
CA: All right. It's great to have you here, Bill.
You know, we had a TED conversation
about three months ago about this pandemic,
and back then I think fewer than --
I think that was the end of March --
Back then, fewer than a thousand people in the US had died,
and fewer than 20,000 worldwide.
I mean, the numbers now are, like, 128,000 dead in the US
and more than half a million worldwide.
in three months.
In three months.
What is your diagnosis of what is possible for the rest of this year?
You look at a lot of models.
What do you think best and worst case scenarios might be?
BG: Well, the range of scenarios, sadly,
is quite large, including that,
as we get into the fall,
we could have death rates
that rival the worst of what we had in the April time period.
If you get a lot of young people infected,
eventually they will infect old people again,
and so you'll get into the nursing homes,
the homeless shelters,
the places where we've had a lot of our deaths.
The innovation track,