WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:03.204 (Toby Walsh) I wanna talk about artificial intelligence: it's -- 00:00:03.674 --> 00:00:05.089 I'm a professor of artificial intelligence 00:00:05.089 --> 00:00:09.271 and its a great time, 2015, to be working in AI. 00:00:09.544 --> 00:00:10.544 We're making real palpable progress 00:00:10.544 --> 00:00:12.820 and there's loads of money being thrown at us. 00:00:12.820 --> 00:00:17.000 Google just spent five hundred million dollars -- 00:00:17.000 --> 00:00:21.989 pounds buying an AI startup called Deep Mind a couple of weeks ago, 00:00:21.989 --> 00:00:25.172 today they announced that they were going to spend a billion dollars 00:00:25.671 --> 00:00:28.469 setting up an AI lab in Silicon Valley. 00:00:29.001 --> 00:00:31.591 IBM is betting about a third of the company 00:00:31.830 --> 00:00:34.858 on their cognitive AI computing effort. 00:00:35.084 --> 00:00:38.216 So it's really interesting time to be working in AI. 00:00:38.631 --> 00:00:41.782 But the first thing I wanted to help inform you about 00:00:42.250 --> 00:00:46.792 is what is the state of art, what progress have we made in AI 00:00:46.792 --> 00:00:51.187 because Hollywood paints all these pictures, 00:00:51.187 --> 00:00:53.488 these mostly dystopian pictures of AI. 00:00:53.495 --> 00:00:58.672 Whenever the next science fiction movie comes out, I put my head in my hands 00:00:58.672 --> 00:01:01.755 and think Oh my God, what do people think that we're doing? 00:01:01.755 --> 00:01:08.729 So, I wanted to start by just giving you a feel for what actually is really capable. 00:01:09.081 --> 00:01:13.872 So a couple of years ago, IBM Watson won the game show Jeopardy 1, 00:01:13.872 --> 00:01:19.737 the million dollar prize in the game show, Jeopardy P, the reigning human champions. 00:01:19.737 --> 00:01:23.357 Now, you might think, well that's just a party trick, isn't it? 00:01:23.357 --> 00:01:27.625 It's a -- pour enough of Wikipedia and the internet into a computer, 00:01:27.625 --> 00:01:30.543 and it can answer general knowledge questions. 00:01:30.543 --> 00:01:33.204 Well, you guys are being a bit unfair to IBM Watson, 00:01:33.204 --> 00:01:35.881 there are the cryptic questions they are answering. 00:01:35.881 --> 00:01:40.878 But just to give you a real feel for what is technically possible today, 00:01:40.878 --> 00:01:43.586 something that was announced just two days ago: 00:01:43.834 --> 00:01:51.869 some colleagues of mine at NII in Japan passed the University Entrance Exam 00:01:51.869 --> 00:01:53.433 with an AI program. 00:01:53.433 --> 00:01:56.326 Now, I thought long and hard about putting up a page of maths. 00:01:56.326 --> 00:01:58.007 I thought, well, I'm going to get -- 00:01:58.007 --> 00:02:01.354 half of the audience is going to leave immediately if I put up a page of math 00:02:01.354 --> 00:02:03.133 But I wanted you to see, just to feel 00:02:03.962 --> 00:02:07.403 the depth of questions that they are answering. 00:02:07.403 --> 00:02:11.507 So this is from the maths paper, you know, a non trivial, sort of, 00:02:11.507 --> 00:02:15.148 if you come from the UK, A-level-like math question 00:02:15.148 --> 00:02:16.468 that they were able to answer 00:02:17.272 --> 00:02:21.889 Here is a physics question about Newtonian dynamics 00:02:21.889 --> 00:02:23.552 that they were able to answer. 00:02:23.552 --> 00:02:28.545 Now they got 511 points, out of a maximum of 950. 00:02:28.939 --> 00:02:32.391 That's more than the average score of Japanese students 00:02:32.391 --> 00:02:34.007 sitting the entrance exam. 00:02:34.007 --> 00:02:38.542 They would have got into most Japanese universities with a score of 511. 00:02:38.908 --> 00:02:40.621 That's what's possible today. 00:02:40.621 --> 00:02:44.134 Their ambition in 10 years' time is to get into Tokyo, University of Tokyo, 00:02:44.134 --> 00:02:46.434 which is one of the best universities in the world. 00:02:48.488 --> 00:02:50.475 So, this is why I put up a picture of Terminator, 00:02:50.475 --> 00:02:53.468 because whenever I talk to the media about what we do in AI, 00:02:53.476 --> 00:02:55.769 they put up a picture of Terminator, right? 00:02:55.769 --> 00:02:58.098 So I don't want you to worry about Terminator, 00:02:58.098 --> 00:03:02.117 Terminator is at least 50 to 100 years away. 00:03:02.582 --> 00:03:05.985 and there are lots of reasons why we don't have to worry about it, 00:03:05.985 --> 00:03:07.248 about Terminator. 00:03:07.248 --> 00:03:08.979 I'm not going to go and spend too much time 00:03:08.979 --> 00:03:11.424 on why you don't have to worry about Terminator. //// 00:05:29.167 --> 00:05:31.210 depressing news story very comparison but the chief economist at Bank of 00:05:31.210 --> 00:05:35.940 England went on the record saying fifty percent of jobs under threat 00:05:35.940 --> 00:07:49.120 47 00:07:49.120 --> 00:08:40.990 and it's not just technology other ongoing global financial crisis which 00:08:40.990 --> 00:09:41.740 seems like it will never disappear great impact factor 00:09:41.740 --> 00:11:30.070 under threat 00:11:30.070 --> 00:13:24.420 not technically minded that final answer your question 00:13:24.420 --> 00:13:51.529 jobs