[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.00,0:00:03.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Toby Walsh) I wanna talk \Nabout artificial intelligence: it's -- Dialogue: 0,0:00:03.67,0:00:05.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm a professor of artificial intelligence Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.09,0:00:09.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and its a great time, 2015, \Nto be working in AI. Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.54,0:00:10.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We're making real palpable progress Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.54,0:00:12.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there's loads of money \Nbeing thrown at us. Dialogue: 0,0:00:12.82,0:00:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Google just spent \Nfive hundred million dollars -- Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.00,0:00:21.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,pounds buying an AI startup called Deep Mind a couple of weeks ago, Dialogue: 0,0:00:21.99,0:00:25.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,today they announced that they were \Ngoing to spend a billion dollars Dialogue: 0,0:00:25.67,0:00:28.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,setting up an AI lab in Silicon Valley. Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.00,0:00:31.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,IBM is betting about \Na third of the company Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.83,0:00:34.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,on their cognitive AI computing effort. Dialogue: 0,0:00:35.08,0:00:38.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So it's really interesting time to be working in AI. Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.63,0:00:41.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But the first thing I wanted to \Nhelp inform you about Dialogue: 0,0:00:42.25,0:00:46.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is what is the state of art, \Nwhat progress have we made in AI Dialogue: 0,0:00:46.79,0:00:51.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because Hollywood paints \Nall these pictures, Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.19,0:00:53.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,these mostly dystopian pictures of AI. Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.50,0:00:58.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Whenever the next science fiction movie\Ncomes out, I put my head in my hands Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.67,0:01:01.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and think Oh my God, what do people think\Nthat we're doing? Dialogue: 0,0:01:01.76,0:01:08.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, I wanted to start by just giving you\Na feel for what actually is really capable. Dialogue: 0,0:01:09.08,0:01:13.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So a couple of years ago, IBM Watson\Nwon the game show Jeopardy 1, Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.87,0:01:19.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the million dollar prize in the game show,\NJeopardy P, the reigning human champions. Dialogue: 0,0:01:19.74,0:01:23.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, you might think, well that's just\Na party trick, isn't it? Dialogue: 0,0:01:23.36,0:01:27.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a -- pour enough of Wikipedia \Nand the internet into a computer, Dialogue: 0,0:01:27.62,0:01:30.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it can answer general knowledge\Nquestions. Dialogue: 0,0:01:30.54,0:01:33.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, you guys are being a bit unfair to\NIBM Watson, Dialogue: 0,0:01:33.20,0:01:35.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,there are the cryptic questions\Nthey are answering. Dialogue: 0,0:01:35.88,0:01:40.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But just to give you a real feel for \Nwhat is technically possible today, Dialogue: 0,0:01:40.88,0:01:43.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,something that was announced\Njust two days ago: Dialogue: 0,0:01:43.83,0:01:51.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,some colleagues of mine at NII in Japan\Npassed the University Entrance Exam Dialogue: 0,0:01:51.87,0:01:53.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with an AI program. Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.43,0:01:56.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, I thought long and hard about\Nputting up a page of maths. Dialogue: 0,0:01:56.33,0:01:58.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I thought, well, I'm going to get -- Dialogue: 0,0:01:58.01,0:02:01.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,half of the audience is going to leave \Nimmediately if I put up a page of math Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.35,0:02:03.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But I wanted you to see, just to feel Dialogue: 0,0:02:03.96,0:02:07.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the depth of questions \Nthat they are answering. Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.40,0:02:11.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this is from the maths paper, you know,\Na non trivial, sort of, Dialogue: 0,0:02:11.51,0:02:15.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if you come from the UK, \NA-level-like math question Dialogue: 0,0:02:15.15,0:02:16.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that they were able to answer Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.27,0:02:21.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Here is a physics question\Nabout Newtonian dynamics Dialogue: 0,0:02:21.89,0:02:23.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that they were able to answer. Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.55,0:02:28.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now they got 511 points, out of\Na maximum of 950. Dialogue: 0,0:02:28.94,0:02:32.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's more than the average score\Nof Japanese students Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.39,0:02:34.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,sitting the entrance exam. Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.01,0:02:38.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They would have got into most \NJapanese universities with a score of 511. Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.91,0:02:40.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's what's possible today. Dialogue: 0,0:02:40.62,0:02:44.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Their ambition in 10 years' time is to get\Ninto Tokyo, University of Tokyo, Dialogue: 0,0:02:44.13,0:02:46.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is one of the best universities\Nin the world. Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.49,0:02:50.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, this is why I put up \Na picture of Terminator, Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.48,0:02:53.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because whenever I talk to the media\Nabout what we do in AI, Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.48,0:02:55.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they put up a picture of Terminator,\Nright? Dialogue: 0,0:02:55.77,0:02:58.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I don't want you to worry \Nabout Terminator, Dialogue: 0,0:02:58.10,0:03:02.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Terminator is at least \N50 to 100 years away. Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.58,0:03:05.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there are lots of reasons why\Nwe don't have to worry about it, Dialogue: 0,0:03:05.98,0:03:07.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about Terminator. Dialogue: 0,0:03:07.25,0:03:08.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm not going to go and spend\Ntoo much time Dialogue: 0,0:03:08.98,0:03:11.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,on why you don't have to worry about Terminator. //// Dialogue: 0,0:05:29.17,0:05:31.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,depressing news story very comparison\Nbut the chief economist at Bank of Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.21,0:05:35.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,England went on the record saying fifty\Npercent of jobs under threat Dialogue: 0,0:05:35.94,0:07:49.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,47 Dialogue: 0,0:07:49.12,0:08:40.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it's not just technology other\Nongoing global financial crisis which Dialogue: 0,0:08:40.99,0:09:41.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,seems like it will never disappear great\Nimpact factor Dialogue: 0,0:09:41.74,0:11:30.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,under threat Dialogue: 0,0:11:30.07,0:13:24.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,not technically minded that final answer\Nyour question Dialogue: 0,0:13:24.42,0:13:51.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,jobs