1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,204 (Toby Walsh) I wanna talk about artificial intelligence: it's -- 2 00:00:03,674 --> 00:00:05,089 I'm a professor of artificial intelligence 3 00:00:05,089 --> 00:00:09,271 and its a great time, 2015, to be working in AI. 4 00:00:09,544 --> 00:00:10,544 We're making real palpable progress 5 00:00:10,544 --> 00:00:12,820 and there's loads of money being thrown at us. 6 00:00:12,820 --> 00:00:17,000 Google just spent five hundred million dollars -- 7 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:21,989 pounds buying an AI startup called Deep Mind a couple of weeks ago, 8 00:00:21,989 --> 00:00:25,172 today they announced that they were going to spend a billion dollars 9 00:00:25,671 --> 00:00:28,469 setting up an AI lab in Silicon Valley. 10 00:00:29,001 --> 00:00:31,591 IBM is betting about a third of the company 11 00:00:31,830 --> 00:00:34,858 on their cognitive AI computing effort. 12 00:00:35,084 --> 00:00:38,216 So it's really interesting time to be working in AI. 13 00:00:38,631 --> 00:00:41,782 But the first thing I wanted to help inform you about 14 00:00:42,250 --> 00:00:46,792 is what is the state of art, what progress have we made in AI 15 00:00:46,792 --> 00:00:51,187 because Hollywood paints all these pictures, 16 00:00:51,187 --> 00:00:53,488 these mostly dystopian pictures of AI. 17 00:00:53,495 --> 00:00:58,672 Whenever the next science fiction movie comes out, I put my head in my hands 18 00:00:58,672 --> 00:01:01,755 and think Oh my God, what do people think that we're doing? 19 00:01:01,755 --> 00:01:08,729 So, I wanted to start by just giving you a feel for what actually is really capable. 20 00:01:09,081 --> 00:01:13,872 So a couple of years ago, IBM Watson won the game show Jeopardy 1, 21 00:01:13,872 --> 00:01:19,737 the million dollar prize in the game show, Jeopardy P, the reigning human champions. 22 00:01:19,737 --> 00:01:23,357 Now, you might think, well that's just a party trick, isn't it? 23 00:01:23,357 --> 00:01:27,625 It's a -- pour enough of Wikipedia and the internet into a computer, 24 00:01:27,625 --> 00:01:30,543 and it can answer general knowledge questions. 25 00:01:30,543 --> 00:01:33,204 Well, you guys are being a bit unfair to IBM Watson, 26 00:01:33,204 --> 00:01:35,881 there are the cryptic questions they are answering. 27 00:01:35,881 --> 00:01:40,878 But just to give you a real feel for what is technically possible today, 28 00:01:40,878 --> 00:01:43,586 something that was announced just two days ago: 29 00:01:43,834 --> 00:01:51,869 some colleagues of mine at NII in Japan passed the University Entrance Exam 30 00:01:51,869 --> 00:01:53,433 with an AI program. 31 00:01:53,433 --> 00:01:56,326 Now, I thought long and hard about putting up a page of maths. 32 00:01:56,326 --> 00:01:58,007 I thought, well, I'm going to get -- 33 00:01:58,007 --> 00:02:01,354 half of the audience is going to leave immediately if I put up a page of math 34 00:02:01,354 --> 00:02:03,133 But I wanted you to see, just to feel 35 00:02:03,962 --> 00:02:07,403 the depth of questions that they are answering. 36 00:02:07,403 --> 00:02:11,507 So this is from the maths paper, you know, a non trivial, sort of, 37 00:02:11,507 --> 00:02:15,148 if you come from the UK, A-level-like math question 38 00:02:15,148 --> 00:02:16,468 that they were able to answer 39 00:02:17,272 --> 00:02:21,889 Here is a physics question about Newtonian dynamics 40 00:02:21,889 --> 00:02:23,552 that they were able to answer. 41 00:02:23,552 --> 00:02:28,545 Now they got 511 points, out of a maximum of 950. 42 00:02:28,939 --> 00:02:32,391 That's more than the average score of Japanese students 43 00:02:32,391 --> 00:02:34,007 sitting the entrance exam. 44 00:02:34,007 --> 00:02:38,542 They would have got into most Japanese universities with a score of 511. 45 00:02:38,908 --> 00:02:40,621 That's what's possible today. 46 00:02:40,621 --> 00:02:44,134 Their ambition in 10 years' time is to get into Tokyo, University of Tokyo, 47 00:02:44,134 --> 00:02:46,434 which is one of the best universities in the world. 48 00:02:48,488 --> 00:02:50,475 So, this is why I put up a picture of Terminator, 49 00:02:50,475 --> 00:02:53,468 because whenever I talk to the media about what we do in AI, 50 00:02:53,476 --> 00:02:55,769 they put up a picture of Terminator, right? 51 00:02:55,769 --> 00:02:58,098 So I don't want you to worry about Terminator, 52 00:02:58,098 --> 00:03:02,117 Terminator is at least 50 to 100 years away. 53 00:03:02,582 --> 00:03:05,985 and there are lots of reasons why we don't have to worry about it, 54 00:03:05,985 --> 00:03:07,248 about Terminator. 55 00:03:07,248 --> 00:03:08,979 I'm not going to go and spend too much time 56 00:03:08,979 --> 00:03:11,424 on why you don't have to worry about Terminator. //// 57 00:05:29,167 --> 00:05:31,210 depressing news story very comparison but the chief economist at Bank of 58 00:05:31,210 --> 00:05:35,940 England went on the record saying fifty percent of jobs under threat 59 00:05:35,940 --> 00:07:49,120 47 60 00:07:49,120 --> 00:08:40,990 and it's not just technology other ongoing global financial crisis which 61 00:08:40,990 --> 00:09:41,740 seems like it will never disappear great impact factor 62 00:09:41,740 --> 00:11:30,070 under threat 63 00:11:30,070 --> 00:13:24,420 not technically minded that final answer your question 64 00:13:24,420 --> 00:13:51,529 jobs