1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The Two Parent Privilege with Melissa Kearney 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ♪ [up-tempo opening music] ♪ 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEVIN DEYOUNG, HOST] Greetings and salutations. 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Welcome back to “Life & Books & Everything.” 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm Kevin DeYoung, Senior Pastor 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at Christ Covenant Church in Matthews, North Carolina. 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I am joined today by my special guest, Melissa Kearney. 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we're going to talk about her new book called “The Two-Parent Privilege.” 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Melissa has a very august resume here. 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 She's Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland; 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 director of a number of different research groups; 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and a nonresident, senior fellow at Brookings; 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and a scholar in a number of different labs and affiliations and journals 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and lots of good academic work that she's done. 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 She did her undergraduate at Princeton, PhD in Economics at MIT. 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Melissa, thank you for coming on here to talk about your new book. 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[MELISSA KEARNEY, GUEST] Happy to be here. 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thanks so much for having me. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] So this is a book about parents, 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it's a book where you're using your expertise as a trained academic economist. 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But you also write personally. 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You say at the beginning and at the end, in particular, 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that you're a mom and an economist, and that's in the correct order. 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's what's most important. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And you have three kids. So tell us about your family. 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Okay. It's exactly right. I'm a trained economist, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I think the greatest thing I do is be a mom to my three kids, 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a boy and two girls, and I'm raising them with my husband in suburban Maryland. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] And how did you get to the University of Maryland? 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And are you a big “Terps” [Terrapins] sports fan? 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY, chuckling] I mean, I admit that I spend most of my time 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 over in the economics department, 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I do cheer for the Terps every now and then, 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I'm delighted when they do well. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I have been at the University of Maryland for 17 years now; 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 moved down to DC from the Boston area probably 19 years ago; 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 went to Brookings on a two-year fellowship, did some dedicated research there 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on topics that I've been working on for over two decades 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (U.S. inequality, poverty, child and family well-being); 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then took a tenure track job at Maryland where I've been ever since, 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I enjoy teaching the undergrads there and training PhD students there 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and working as part of a really intellectually vibrant economics department. 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] And how did you get interested in this topic, 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which I know is part of broader interest. 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You just mentioned inequality and other things, 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but this area having to do with families and parents? 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Since I was an undergrad, 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I've really been interested in the economic and social lives of women and children. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I really have sort of always had an interest 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in questions about how society works or doesn't work well for certain groups of people 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with a particular interest in less economically advantaged groups. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so those are the questions that brought me to economics, actually. 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let me just say, because a lot of people, I think, 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 think about economics as finance or stock picking and that kind of thing, 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is nothing to do with the kind of economics I do. 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You know, as an undergrad, I was interested in questions of society and public policy, 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 took a bunch of those classes, 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but loved the sort of rigor and theory and empirical work of economics. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so I used those tools of economics to ask these questions. 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How did I become interested in questions about women and families? 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I suppose it has to do with, you know, 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like many of us being interested in the world around us the way we grew up. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so it was, you know, I grew up in New Jersey in the ‘80s, 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 very cognizant of the fact that I had educational opportunities, 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 economic opportunities that my mom and my grandma and their sisters didn't have. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so were my grandma's sisters didn't have. 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so those kinds of questions really were at the forefront of my mind. 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then I spent a summer in college — 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this was really a very salient experience for me — 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I spent a summer in college 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 working at a welfare-to-work center in Bridgeport, Connecticut. 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And you know, got to know and work with women who were my age at the time, 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 probably between 17 and 22, and they were all moms receiving welfare, 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they had to go to this training program in order to keep their benefits. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But that summer just, you know, really sort of cemented my interest 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in thinking about how policies and economic conditions 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 affect the decisions and well-being of women and families. 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so that's been a common thread of my research 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 throughout my time as an academic economist. 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] So I'm not an expert in these things. I'm a pastor. 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 My PhD is in history, but I like reading these things. 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so I was interested to read not only you citing Sarah McLanahan a number of times, 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but you had her at Princeton. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So tell us about her influence, 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and anyone who's read in this area of marriage and family 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 knows that she's done lots of really important empirical research. 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What role did she play in your intellectual formation or interest in this? 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Sarah McClanahan really was a pioneer in this field. 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 She created or launched what was called “The Fragile Family Survey” 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that you know, interviewed and collected data 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on unmarried parents at the time of their child's birth and tracked them over time. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so it's really a credit to Sarah McClanahan 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we have as much information as we do 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on these particularly vulnerable families: unmarried parents, mostly low-income. 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so she really trained a lot of students in this field. 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I am actually not— I don't consider myself a direct trainee of Sarah. 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 She was a sociologist, 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I did have the great fortune of taking her Sociology of Poverty class 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when I was an undergrad, even though I was an economics major. 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it was in her class that I was really introduced to this topic of family structure 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as it relates to poverty and child well-being. 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I think that was really formative 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because economists sort of pose questions in different ways. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so my work as an economist over the past 20 plus years, 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 looking at inequality and poverty 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has tended to focus on issues other than family structure. 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Mm-hm. 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY] But I was, like, teed up to recognize the importance of that early on, 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 having been exposed to Sarah McLanahan as a professor and her work from early on. 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, actually, that's sort of the confluence of those events, 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 me being an economist, bringing an economist lens to the topic. 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But knowing Sarah McClanahan's work really well, I think has just kept me noticing. 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Every time there's a study on inequality, social mobility, kids outcomes, 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you just see how important family structure is in the data. 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, I think, you know, it was she— 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 knowing her work, having her teach me early on in my studies of these topics 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has just sort of heightened my awareness 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the role of family structure in driving these kinds of economic outcomes. 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Give you the lens to see what maybe other people haven't seen 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or didn't want to see. 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We'll get to that in a moment. But let's jump into your book. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I'm talking to Melissa Kearney, “The Two-Parent Privilege: 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How Americans Stopped Getting Married and Started Falling Behind.” 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It just came out this fall, published by University of Chicago Press. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So big-picture question, What is the “two-parent privilege”? 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY] The two-parent privilege, as I'm using the term, refers to the fact 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that having two parents in one's home confers a lot of advantages to children. 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is VERY well established in the data and in empirical research. 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The reason I call it a privilege is because not only is this a very advantageous situation, 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but increasingly in this country, 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this has become an advantageous situation 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 enjoyed disproportionately by an already advantaged class. 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so it's really now college-educated parents 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who continue to raise their kids in two-parent homes at very high rates. 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Meanwhile, over the past 40 years, 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the share of children being raised in two-parent households, 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 among those who were born to parents WITHOUT a four-year college degree 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has decreased by a really sizable amount and has just been a steady downward trend. 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so now, having a two-parent family is yet another privilege 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the already most privileged economic class in American society. 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] So this is how you put it. 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You have some great summaries at the end and at the beginning, 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but here's one in the preface. 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You say, I've studied U.S. poverty, inequality, family structure 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for almost a quarter of a century. 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I approached these issues as a hard-headed, albeit soft-hearted MIT-trained economist. 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Based on the overwhelming evidence at hand, I can say with the utmost confidence 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the decline in marriage and the corresponding rise in the share 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of children being raised in one-parent homes 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has contributed to the economic insecurity of American families; 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has widened gap in opportunities and outcomes 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for children from different backgrounds; 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and today poses economic and social challenges 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we cannot afford to ignore, but may not be able to reverse.” 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I found a quotation just again, Sarah McClanahan and Isabel Sawhill say 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (this is the 2015 journal “Future of Children”) 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 quote “Most scholars now agree 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that children raised by two biological parents in a stable marriage 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 do better than children and other family forms across a wide range of outcomes.” 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I want to dive into the data that you give in just a moment, 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but back up a little bit and talk about Why is this so hard to talk about? 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because it's very clear in reading your book 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that you're trying very hard to stick with the data 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and not to make moral value judgments. 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm a pastor, so I can't avoid, you know, when I'm speaking from the Bible, 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 making some value judgments that I think the Bible teaches. 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But that's obviously not what you're doing, and you're studiously trying to avoid that. 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And yet, you talk at the beginning 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about how these conversations at academic conferences, 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “I'm an economist, much more comfortable talking about earned income tax credit 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and other kind of policy.” 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And when you talk about, well, what about marriage? 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the proverbial lead balloon. 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What has your experience been? 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Why is even talking about this so difficult, 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 probably, especially for someone like you in academic atmosphere? 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY, chuckling] That's right. 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I have had plenty of people comment on my book. 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This isn't hard for ME to talk about. 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I talk about it with my church friends all the time. 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Uh-huh. Right. 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY But in academic settings, 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's difficult, and there's a lot of reasons here. 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm going to say most of them are very, very well intentioned, 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is that most of us don't want to sound like 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we're blaming single mothers for their difficult circumstances… 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY] …and the relative disadvantage that their children suffers. 189 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I mean, I certainly don't want to sound like I'm blaming mothers. 190 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But also very sincerely, I mean this. I'm NOT blaming the single mothers. 191 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm recognizing that this is a challenging situation. 192 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Any of us who are parents would, I think, readily recognize that parenting is difficult. 193 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Doing it by oneself is, you know, that much more difficult. 194 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So there's a genuine empathy there. 195 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I think people get nervous about calling attention to the relative disadvantage 196 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that kids from single mother homes face 197 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because it sounds like we're blaming people who are in a very tough spot. 198 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. 199 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [KEARNEY] Right? And I think we should be very capable of recognizing 200 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that single parents — the majority of whom are still single moms — 201 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 single parents are in a very difficult spot, and that puts their kids in a difficult spot. 202 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so we should be able to recognize that and have an honest conversation about it. 203 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The other reason I think as academics, as economists interested in policy, 204 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it becomes difficult for us to talk about 205 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is because we don't have a very good answer 206 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the critical question of: “Well, what do we do about it?” 207 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yes. 208 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Right? So if we talk instead 209 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about the fact that our tax code is not progressive enough 210 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or we're not raising enough revenue 211 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to cover expenses of things we feel like we might need to pay for, 212 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like more early childhood education or more public subsidies of childcare, 213 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's pretty easy for us to sit in a room 214 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and come up with ways to make the tax code more progressive 215 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or design transfer programs to reach more people. 216 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It becomes a lot harder for us, and it takes us out of our real comfort zone 217 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when it comes to things like: 218 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do we affect very personal decisions people are making 219 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about how to form their families and raise their children? 220 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. Yeah. 221 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's very personal, and it's almost impossible 222 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for any of us to talk about this or hear it without thinking of how I grew up, 223 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how I'm raising my kids. 224 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Do I have kids, all these personal things? I think that's why it's so difficult. 225 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There was a survey. I found these a couple years ago. 226 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's an online survey, whatever they're worth. 227 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I don't know the scientific methodology here, 228 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but it said, more than 70% of participants believed 229 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that a single parent can do just as good a job as two parents. 230 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 60% of women (quote) “agreed that children do best with multiple adults invested, 231 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but two married parents are not necessary.” 232 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Christina Cross, a few years ago, in The New York Times,” had an article, “The Myth of the Two-Parent Home.” 233 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And even as I say those, I feel myself wanting to say, 234 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Uh, yeah, we're not just all the things you just said, Melissa.” 235 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We’re not saying that, you know, 236 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the single mom is to blame for all these problems, 237 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You know, where's the dad? 238 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The dad is, you know, for any number of reasons — 239 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we're going to get to talking about boys and dads and just a bit — 240 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I think that just underscores those surveys for whatever they're worth. 241 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I imagine people getting that phone call or online, being asked that question 242 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and thinking, “Well, I don't want to say 243 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that married couples are better than anyone else. 244 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Of course. Any number of people. 245 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And one of the myths — and I'd love for you to expound on this here — 246 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 one of the myths you talk about several times in the book, 247 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that people have the idea, 248 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Well, sure, people aren't married 249 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and kids aren't being raised as much in married families. 250 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But it's just kind of European style, laissez-faire relationships. 251 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's the same thing. 252 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's just people haven't gone through the formal structures of getting married.” 253 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is that true? 254 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Let me answer that 255 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then come back to address the earlier points that you made, 256 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 specifically about some of the reactions. 257 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So that is completely NOT true, which is really important 258 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because, again, since I'm taking an economist lens to this issue, 259 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what really matters in the way I describe, frame, model, 260 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then empirically study marriage is the resources coming into a household. 261 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 TIME 16:09 262 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So if you had two parents who were together the whole time 263 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 committed to sharing their resources, which is their income, their time, 264 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 their energy to raising kids together throughout a kid's childhood, 265 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In my version (economic version) of this story, it shouldn't matter, 266 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but at a very practical level, 267 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's NOT what unmarried parents are doing. 268 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 40% of kids in this country are now born to unmarried parents. 269 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 52% of kids born to moms without a four-year college degree 270 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are born to unmarried parents. 271 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 70% of children born to Black moms in this country, unmarried parents. 272 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These parents aren't married at the time of the child's birth. 273 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And as a practical matter, 274 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 very few of them will be together cohabiting, raising their kids together 275 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by the time this child is 5 years old, let alone 14 years old. 276 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is one of the things we see in the data 277 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that Sarah McClanahan collected with her colleagues. 278 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, at a practical level, marriage -- 279 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then, you know, there's a whole bunch of theories as to why this is true -- 280 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but marriage just provides an institutional framework, essentially, 281 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that keeps parents together in this arrangement raising their kids together. 282 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so we can't be blasé about these really high number of kids 283 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 being raised in an unmarried-parent home, being born to unmarried parents, 284 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because, again, just very what does that mean, practically? 285 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It means that most of them will grow up in a one-parent home. 286 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay, let me talk specifically 287 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 just to respond to the reactions or critics that you raise. 288 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You know, 70% of adults say it's fine for kids to be raised in a single-mother home. 289 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, that could mean very many things. 290 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 First, of course, there are lots of children 291 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who are raised by single moms who do phenomenally well. 292 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And there are plenty of single moms who have enough income 293 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or, you know, a village around them such that they can raise their kids 294 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in ways that are enriching home environments, 295 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the kids can do very well. 296 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm focused on averages and large trends. 297 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so we can all recognize the heroic efforts 298 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that some single moms go to 299 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to make sure their kids are just as successful as anyone else's children. 300 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But that doesn't mean that on average, 301 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 two parents in a home don't have an easier time than one parent. 302 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And again, what we see in the data very clearly 303 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that in a typical situation, two-parent homes deliver more benefits to kids 304 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and kids are more likely to stay out of poverty, 305 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 graduate high school, graduate college, 306 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 achieve these markers of, you know, just sort of basic markers of success, 307 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 setting aside personal, you know, qualities that we want in our children. 308 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The Christina Cross New York Times, you know, piece 309 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that said the myth of the two-parent family, what she was arguing really is that— 310 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and she and I come to different conclusions— 311 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what she was arguing is that if you look at Black families, 312 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the benefit of marriage wouldn't be as great as for White families, 313 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and so she's like, “marriage doesn't solve our problems.” 314 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And here's how I think about this. 315 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I've done extensive research on this 316 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I've written academic paper, and I described this in the book. 317 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The way we should think about the benefits of marriage to a child 318 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 depends on what the second parent would bring into the home. 319 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So if the second parent is not stably employed or has low income 320 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or isn't committed to the child, or in extreme situations, 321 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 would be a harmful presence or an abusive presence, 322 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then there wouldn't be a benefit of marriage. 323 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But this doesn't mean that the decline in the two-parent home isn't a crisis 324 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for children and families in this country. 325 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It means that it's not as easy as just saying “more people should get married.” 326 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It means we have to actually grapple with: 327 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What is it that's keeping millions of parents or millions of adults who have kids together 328 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from getting married. 329 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What is it that's keeping millions of dads from being committed to their families. 330 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It just it makes us look at root causes of the problem, 331 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it doesn't mean there's not a problem or that two-parent homes aren't beneficial. 332 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 TIME 20:27 333 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right, and I remember looking at Cross's argument, 334 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you look at yes, there are differences between Black families and White families; 335 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and yet the data show that just again, averages, it is better in America to be 336 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (I mean, if you were to predict adult outcomes) 337 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to be a Black child raised by two parents, 338 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than to be a White child raised in a one-parent home. 339 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, yes, there's still differences, but— 340 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and marriage, of course, doesn't solve all problems. 341 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I don't know who would argue that marriage is going to solve all those problems. 342 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But on the whole, all other things, it's an advantage. 343 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Melissa, you write about this in the book, 344 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you go through different options and theories, 345 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, you know, like a good economist, 346 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you have to say, “Well, it could be this, and it could be that. 347 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We can't finally determine.” 348 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But where do you think, in particular, this class divide goes? 349 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, you know, ten years ago in Charles Murray's book, “Coming Apart,” 350 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where he has, you know, fictional Fishtown in Belmont, 351 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and sort of, you know, in Belmont, 352 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the upper middle class are living one way, and in Fishtown, another way. 353 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And one of the ironies he says is, 354 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the people in this Belmont are giving their stated views of one thing. 355 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like, it doesn't matter, and yet the way they're living 356 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 shows a different kind of value system: 357 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that “graduate school, get married, then have your children,” 358 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which you know, lots of studies show, you do those things in that order. 359 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And the chances of you being in poverty in this country are very small. 360 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So how, where did the very stark division— 361 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because it wasn't like this you show. 362 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, it wasn't like this in 1960 that there was such a division 363 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 between, you know, “the Haves” and “the Have Nots” 364 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 getting even wider apart on their very marital formation. 365 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How did we get here? 366 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Yeah, so this has really-- this class gap in family structure 367 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the share of kids being raised in two-parent homes 368 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has emerged over the past 40 years. 369 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And frankly, this is why anybody who professes to be 370 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 concerned about income inequality or the erosion of social mobility 371 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 needs to contend with this 372 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because two-parent homes are very protective of children, 373 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they really increase, you know, 374 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 kids’ likelihood of hitting all of these markers of success. 375 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, what happened? 376 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, here's the broad stroke of the story I tell 377 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 based on my reading of all the data and relevant evidence, 378 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is, we had a social cultural revolution in the ‘60s and ‘70s, 379 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 changed our expectations for marriage, social norms around gender roles. 380 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It eroded, a bit, the social convention 381 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of needing to be married to have kids together, okay? 382 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And what we saw in the ‘60s and ‘70s 383 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was a reduction in marriage sort of across the board, 384 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even proportion across adults of different education levels. 385 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In the ‘80s and ‘90s, things diverged quite starkly 386 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such that the decline in marriage stalled, stopped declining among adults, 387 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 went men and women with a four-year college degree. 388 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So their rates of marriage have barely declined in 40 years, 389 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we see that the share of kids being raised in a married-parent home, 390 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if they're born to a mom with a four-year college degree, 391 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's decreased over this 40-year period by only six percentage points, from 90% to 84%. 392 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's a very small decrease 393 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when you realize how much bigger and more diverse that group is. 394 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So now about 30% of moms have a four-year college degree 395 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as compared to only about 11%, 396 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and yet still, raising your kids in a married-parent home 397 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is holding steady among that class. 398 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But in the ‘80s and ‘90s, 399 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we saw that the share of kids being raised in a married parent home, 400 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not just for the most educationally disadvantaged adults 401 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 without a high school degree, 402 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but really interestingly, and I think underappreciated in the middle. 403 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So moms with a high school degree or some college, 404 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we might have considered them sort of the middle class, right? 405 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The likelihood that their kids are being raised in a married-parent home 406 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 fell from 83% to 60%. 407 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is a massive drop in 40 years. 408 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So now, where are we in 2020? 409 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You know, we've got this really large, very obvious class divergence. 410 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I think part of this is driven 411 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by the economic challenges facing non–college-educated men in particular, 412 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 over the ‘80s, ‘90s and early 2000s. 413 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have a lot of research from economics 414 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 showing that secular global changes 415 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 think, you know, increased import competition from abroad; 416 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 think, the adoption of technologies and industrial robots 417 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that pushed-- sort of both of those trends 418 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 pushed non–college-educated men out of well-paying middle-class jobs, 419 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 either out of the workforce or into lower paying jobs; 420 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 think, the erosion of unions and other sort of wage-supporting institutions. 421 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Basically, all of these trends were unkind to non–college-educated workers, 422 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which, in an economic sense, 423 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 made them less attractive or necessary as marriage partners to the extent 424 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that one of the things husbands do is bring financial resources to a home. 425 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so that's, I think, part of the story. 426 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But then you've got this, you know, cyclical effect 427 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where the economics make the institution of marriage less attractive or necessary 428 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because women outside the college-educated class 429 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are doing better compared to men, right? 430 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So they're more likely to be able to do it on their own, 431 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and he's less likely to be a stable provider. 432 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So you've got this confluence events, and that changes the social norm 433 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because now, more and more people in your community, 434 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 having and raising their kids outside a two-parent home, 435 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then these things amplify each other. 436 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So you've got economics and social changes amplifying each other. 437 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And that's why this is a cycle that really needs to be broken. 438 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 TIME 26:43 439 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] So I want to come back to those numbers in just a second. 440 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I need to just mention our irst sponsor, Crossway Books. 441 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you for sponsoring Life & Books & Everything. 442 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And today, I want to mention their New Testament theology series. 443 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's one of the volumes [singsong as he shows the book] 444 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on 2nd Corinthians by Dane Ortlund. 445 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So thank you to Crossway for sponsoring LBE 446 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and check out their good books and that new series. 447 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Uh, Melissa, I want to just underscore, 448 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you have this nice chart, these numbers you just gave here on the book. 449 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So just to say, because this is really important, and you just said this. 450 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So four-year college. This is in 1980. 451 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So 90% of children living with married parents, 452 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 high school or college in 1980: 83%; less than high school: 80%. 453 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So that's a really tight— Back in 1980, you know, 80-90%. 454 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So whether you had high school, some high school, college, 455 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you're roughly the same. 456 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In statistical terms, it's pretty close. 457 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then, I mean, you just show how four-year college declines a little bit. 458 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But these other 83[%] to 60[%], 459 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from 80% to 57% is a major decline among those less educated. 460 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And you've talked about some of the reasons why that may be 461 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and about the “marriageable man” thesis. 462 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so you hit on that there. 463 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I want to ask the question. So maybe it's twofold. 464 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The women -- because almost all of these single-parent households 465 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are headed by women -- Is it in the case 466 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that they're looking to get married and they just can't find the right guy? 467 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or is it the case that the norms are such 468 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that marriage just isn't something that they think of. 469 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then, you know, follow up is, is there anything we can do about that? 470 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm reminded of a quip… 471 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I wrote an article last year for "First Things," 472 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is a Catholic journal about declining fertility rates, 473 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I looked at all of the things they've tried to do in Japan and other places 474 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which have had almost no effect on increasing fertility, 475 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and somebody had this line, you know, 476 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Government programs can help you maybe encourage you to have the kids you want, 477 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but they won't convince you to have the kids you don't want.” 478 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it’s maybe sort of the same with marriage. 479 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are some policy things. 480 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If you want to get married, they can help it. 481 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But if you're not looking for that, what can we do? 482 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] This is a really important point, 483 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is that there does not seem to be evidence 484 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that people in the U.S. have whole-scale rejected the institution of marriage. 485 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I know there are some groups 486 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that essentially say marriage is a patriarchal institution, 487 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it's not compatible with modern day feminism. 488 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, of course, you're going to have a reduction in marriage. 489 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And let me just say before I go further on this 490 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that let's keep coming back to the fact that college-educated women, 491 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the most economically successful women perhaps in the history of, like, the world. 492 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We're still getting married and raising our kids in married- parent homes. 493 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I reject the proposition that marriage is inherently at odds 494 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with any feminist view of women's economic participation or success. 495 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So then it's the question of: 496 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Well, why has marriage fallen out of favor outside the college-educated class?” 497 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And when you look at the ethnographic evidence 498 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the qualitative surveys of low-income couples, 499 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 unmarried couples who avail themselves 500 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of some of the government programs 501 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or government-funded programs, their community-offered programs 502 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that work with unmarried parents trying to strengthen families, 503 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what you see in those interviews and those qualitative studies 504 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that a lot of these couples say they want to be together. 505 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we saw this in the “Fragile Family” survey, too, right? 506 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They say they want to be together, they plan to be together. 507 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then for a whole variety of reasons, they can't make that work. 508 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This too should really affect our willingness to grapple with this as an equity issue. 509 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If you've got high income couples, highly educated couples 510 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who are managing to achieve 511 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and make this very advantageous structure work for them, 512 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 shouldn't we want more people 513 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who say they WANT to be able to have a two-parent home 514 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and a happy, healthy marriage, 515 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 shouldn't we help them achieve it, 516 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even if they can't pay for high-priced marriage counseling or whatever. 517 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What do you see? There are real barriers? 518 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There's economic instability 519 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that makes someone either less willing to commit to taking care of a family 520 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or makes, you know, the mother of his children 521 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 less likely to accept him as a resident dad. 522 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. 523 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] You see substance abuse, you see mental health challenges. 524 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You see a lot of these adults grew up in homes 525 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that weren't characterized by stable, healthy marriages, 526 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 growing up in communities where their friends and cousins and other role models 527 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are not raising their kids in this way. 528 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So here's an opportunity for community groups and for public funding 529 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and philanthropic groups and for church groups to say: 530 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “What can we do to help strengthen families 531 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to meet them where they are and help make them stronger?” 532 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the same time, creating a social convention and expectation 533 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 among children being raised and teenagers now 534 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that this is something to strive for. 535 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This will make your household more economically viable. 536 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It will confer benefits to your children. 537 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So it's both meeting families where they are now. 538 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I think, setting our sights on: 539 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “What do we want to accomplish going forward and how do we get there? 540 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] That's great. And really helpful. 541 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You have a great chapter on boys and dads, and I'm going to ask you a question, 542 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not so much as an economist (so you know, if you want to answer it or not) 543 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but as a teacher and as a professor, and maybe the sort of students that are coming to University of Maryland 544 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are so self-selecting of such a high elite caliber that you wouldn't see this. 545 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I just wonder in your years of teaching, 546 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there's lots of social science research on the ways that boys are falling behind. 547 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we can even say anecdotally, young men are drawn to online influencers, 548 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 some of whom you are sort of helpful, some of whom are really unhelpful. 549 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I just wonder, have you sensed something? 550 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, you work with young people of different ages. 551 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Have you sensed in, you know, the last generation 552 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that there are more challenges or more anxiety, despondency? 553 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What are you, sort of on the ground, sense? And in particular, about boys and men? 554 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 TIME 33:53 555 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] I think the single biggest thing that gets me down as a professor, 556 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, you know, I've been working with the young adults now for almost 20 years. 557 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There really is, you just see it, just a widespread anxiety among them 558 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (men and women alike) 559 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that I just I don't I don't think-- I certainly didn't notice it 20 years ago. 560 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, I'm very aware of the fact that I've been a parent. 561 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so now I see these 20-year-olds. 562 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is like closer and closer to my own children. 563 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. Uh-huh. 564 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] But the amount of kids, I mean, KIDS, right? They're young adults. 565 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They’re like 18 to 22 who come to my office. 566 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Often--Like you know, young men, too, I'll call them in, and I'll say, 567 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “What happened? happened on the test,” right? 568 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Like, what happened? Do you come to class? Like, what?” 569 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And they're big guys, and they have their hoodie up, 570 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they look like they don't care. 571 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Uh-huh. 572 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] And then they'll start crying. 573 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And they'll be like-- You know, I'm not I'm not making this up, right? 574 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And all of these anecdotes are part of the reason 575 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 why I felt so like I had to write this book, 576 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even though I don't tell these anecdotes in the book. 577 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They'll be like, you know, “My parents just announced they're getting divorced. 578 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I think they thought it was okay because we're at college now, 579 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I'm having a tough semester.” 580 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or you know, “My grandma raised me, and it was just me and my grandma 581 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and my grandma died, and I'm having a tough semester.” 582 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or “I can't figure out what I'm going to do with the rest of my life, 583 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I'm really stressed 584 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I'm supposed to be interviewing for jobs, and I just don't know.” 585 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And just the amount of sadness and anxiety among young people 586 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who have their whole lives ahead of them. 587 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. 588 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Right? I think just should be filled with energy. 589 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I don't want to overtell this story 590 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because there is something that's also really energizing among young people. 591 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I just, I worry about them. I do. 592 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I worry about them, and I wish as adults, we could do more to make them feel 593 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 comfortable and confident and safe and secure, and, like, it's okay. 594 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. Do you think boys in particular are wondering-- 595 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, I suppose, men and women, 596 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but you know, you talk about the incredible importance of dads. 597 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And, you know, that wonderful story about the dad (was it in Louisiana?) 598 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who showed up at school, and gang participation plummeted. 599 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And even some of the metrics you give with— It even seems that boys in the home 600 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are more affected by the lack of a father than girls are. 601 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Yeah, I mean, again, this comes out of really rigorous econometric studies. 602 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We see that the gender gap favoring girls 603 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (meaning girls are now less likely to get in trouble at school; 604 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they've always been, but that gap has widened). 605 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They're more likely to graduate high school. They're more likely to go to college. 606 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Again, girls are more likely to hit all these markers of success. 607 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This has been happening over the same decade that we've had a tremendous rise 608 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the share of kids growing up without dads in their home. 609 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And researchers, economists have worked very hard 610 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to establish a causal link here showing that that gender gap that favors girls 611 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is wider among kids coming from mother- only homes than two-parent homes. 612 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then economists have gone further and looked at the mechanisms 613 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and shown that the absence of additional parental inputs, 614 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 meaning time nurturing parenting that kids from single-parent homes get. 615 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Again, not because single moms aren't great parents. 616 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's because they don't have a second parent in the house to help, right? 617 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] My wife is always saying, “I don't know how I would do this.” 618 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I certainly don't know how I would do it. 619 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] So this isn't to impugn single moms. 620 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Again, it's to say that there are more parenting resources in two-parent homes, 621 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we see that lower level of parenting inputs and nurturing parenthood 622 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has a large, larger effect on the behaviors and outcomes of boys. 623 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I want to be careful because I don't think we should erroneously conclude from that 624 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that girls aren't necessarily struggling. 625 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But girls might be struggling in different ways. 626 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Whereas boys, again, we know on average are more likely to express their struggles 627 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by acting out in ways that are going to get them suspended, in trouble with the law, 628 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 all sorts of things that could really impede their educational and economic— 629 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] They have outward aggressive, noticeable, public 630 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Again, on average, right? 631 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Uh huh. 632 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] And so that's bad for them. 633 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This, too, is why this is SO important to intervene. 634 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like, from all angles and break this 635 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because let's get back to why we think there's a reduction 636 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in marriage outside the college-educated class. 637 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Men are either viewing themselves 638 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as less likely to be stable, good providers for family. 639 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Women are less likely to view them that way. 640 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then you have millions of boys being raised without dads in their house. 641 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That actually makes them less likely 642 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to be in a position to be, you know, 643 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 stably employed, emotionally stable, supportive husbands and fathers. 644 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And this gets back to something else you brought up with. 645 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, the elite class is raising their kids in this way. 646 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And frankly, it's I mean, not only does it reject the overwhelming evidence and data 647 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 showing that kids benefit from having dads in their homes, 648 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but it's extraordinarily elitist and obnoxious, quite frankly, to say: 649 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “No, my kid benefits from having me in the home because I'm a great guy 650 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I can read to them and really equip them.” 651 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But do we really expect the, you know, 40% of kids who are born to less-educated dads 652 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to benefit from their fathers? 653 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like, “Let's give up on those guys 654 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and just assume a government program is going to make up for them”? 655 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I just I refuse to resign ourselves to that view of society. 656 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. Oh, I hadn't thought of it that way, 657 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but there is a level of self-aggrandizement. 658 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Of course, I'm valuable. 659 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I wouldn't want my kids to be without, because I'm a very special parent.” 660 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, we're all probably all probably capable of being better parents than we think, 661 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we're probably less special than we think at the same time. 662 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Kevin, this is analogous to the conversation about college. 663 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we know that people with a college degree do better in the labor market. 664 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And there's a push to try and get more people through college, right? 665 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have lots of policy interventions aimed at doing that. 666 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But there's a group of people that says, “Well, not everybody needs college.” 667 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And the critics of that view always say, “But ask them if they're sending THEIR kid to college.” 668 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Right? 669 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. Yes. 670 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] It’s a similar thing. 671 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like, “Well, YOU don't need two parents, and your kid doesn't go to college. 672 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But by the way, I'm going to shower two parents’ worth of resources on my kid 673 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and make sure they go to a four-year college.” 674 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah, I wonder-- I would love to-- I mean, if you're willing, 675 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how does this affect how you are as a mom? 676 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If your kids are anything like my kids, they are not going to read your book. 677 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY laughs] 678 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Maybe your kids are really high over achievers, 679 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I've written some stuff, and I try to gift it. 680 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “No, I'm not interested in it.” 681 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But this is informing and is shaped by and probably downstream in some ways 682 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from your own parenting. 683 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What sort of messages, 684 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 given the expertise you have in this area, are you trying to give to your own kids? 685 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] To be overt, I am very aware of the fact that my kids are growing up, 686 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not only in a two-parent household themselves, 687 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but surrounded by people who are being raised in two-parent household-- 688 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Which is huge. 689 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>KEARNEY] because that's what it looks like in, you know, sort of well-off community, 690 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is where we live. 691 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, I'm very open about the fact 692 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that I recognize my kids are being raised in a very privileged setting. 693 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so it's you know, kids absorb what they see around them. 694 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And again, we know this from evidence, even though it also is incredibly intuitive 695 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that kids’ world view is shaped by what they experience. 696 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so I mean, I probably should talk about it more explicitly, let's say, with my kids, 697 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I don't really worry that my daughters are thinking 698 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that maybe they would become young unmarried mothers. 699 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's-- I mean, I'm not foolish to think that things don't happen. 700 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right, for sure. 701 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >[KEARNEY] But that's not really something 702 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they observe very often in the people around them that they're being raised with, right? 703 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so they just sort of, by default, expect that they're going to go to college. 704 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And also, you know, interesting for me as a mom, 705 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they see me and my sisters all working and having careers. 706 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I assume that that affects the way they think of it. 707 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, my daughters also think I work too much, and they don't want to work as much… 708 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG chuckles] 709 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >[KEARNEY] …which is also fair, right? Like they’re definitely-- 710 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But that was something actually, I grew up in a different generation than my mom, 711 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where I assumed I was going to work and have a career, 712 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but then, thinking of my own mom, 713 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I also assumed I was going to have kids and be a really involved mom 714 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and there was some conflict there. 715 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I think about that a lot, you know, 716 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how our kids see us and our communities affect what the aspirations… 717 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. Absolutely. 718 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] …you know, they have for themselves. 719 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] So, maybe that's a good transition 720 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to sort of a last line of questioning. 721 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I do want to— Let's see. I’ll mention one other sponsor, Desiring God, new book: 722 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Foundations for Lifelong Learning, Education, and Serious Joy” by John Piper, 723 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 available next week when this is recorded. 724 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So check that out. Always great to see what John is writing there 725 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about education and serious joy. 726 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you to Desiring God. 727 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's a great transition because you used a phrase a number of times in the book, 728 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and this is really what you're talking about, 729 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “social norms” because there are lots of things as an economist, 730 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you think about different policies, and those things do matter. 731 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They're not irrelevant. They can nudge people. 732 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They can make certain decisions more or less likely or palatable. 733 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But then you have this big bucket Of, well, social norms. 734 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 One of the things I underlined throughout the book 735 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that you would often mention as a kind of aside, you'd say, 736 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Well, Asian families are the exception to this.” 737 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I couldn't help but say, 738 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Well, there are some very strong social norms, 739 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's not just a stereotype.” 740 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, there's data to support that. 741 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Very strong social norms about marriage, about education, about all these things. 742 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So is there a possibility to affect social norms? How do we go about it? 743 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because it seems like the biggest thing— 744 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We can do lots of things around the edges to try to help push people 745 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the right direction for the well-being of society and their families and kids. 746 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And yet, social norms are very— 747 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There's no program to change a community’s social norms. 748 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] This is why this is a hard issue for like economists and policy wonks 749 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because, like you said, we could do all sorts of tinkering around the edges. 750 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I can propose (and I have proposed) changes to the tax code 751 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that would be less punishing, frankly, of marriage. 752 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are definitely tinkering policy things— 753 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] If you get more tax breaks for having kids. 754 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I have nine kids, so I welcome as many as you can get. [chuckles] 755 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Yeah, I'm all for an expanded child tax credit. 756 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm all for a child allowance. 757 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm certainly for what I've referred to as a secondary earner tax deduction 758 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 so that we don't penalize married couples or two workers when they get married. 759 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have all sorts of ways we could tinker around the edges, 760 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I think those will, you know, l 761 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ike you said, nudge some people and have incremental effects. 762 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But really turning this around is going to require a change in social conventions, 763 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and now you're moving further and further away from the economist policy tool kit. 764 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But again, you know, some critics are like: 765 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Oh, she tells us this big problem and then there's no real solutions.” 766 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But in some sense, one of the things I'm trying to accomplish with this book is, 767 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Here, I know there's a problem… 768 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right. 769 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] …Now, all of you who do things more than just tinker with the tax code, 770 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 let's address this together.” This is-- 771 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] This is pastors and communities and other, yeah-- 772 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] There are things we could do. 773 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, that's on the one hand. 774 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 On the other hand, (because I am an economist, 775 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's how we do things: “on the one hand, on the other hand”), 776 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Social norms are surprisingly malleable, and they can also change very quickly. 777 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we have, again, good social science evidence 778 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 showing that things like role models matters (we were just discussing); 779 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 things like media messaging matters. 780 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let me give you a couple examples. 781 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Eliana La Ferrara and her colleagues 782 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 have shown that in Brazil, when soap operas came on TV— 783 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is sort of amazing-- 784 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 using variation in where they were viewed at different timing, 785 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they document a causal link, exposure to the smaller families and divorce on— 786 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you know, like in those communities that saw those media images, 787 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that led to a change in family formation, an increase in divorce, fewer kids. 788 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like people responded by emulating what they saw on TV. 789 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In a very different setting, my colleague Phil Levin and I looked at what happened 790 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when the “16 and Pregnant” and “Teen Mom” franchise came on MTV 791 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah, talk about that. 792 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That was a really interesting point of the book. 793 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] This is crazy. 794 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 All of a sudden, one year, teen childbearing in the U.S. 795 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 went down by way more than it had been falling. 796 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So teen childbearing had been falling in the U.S. 797 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then one year, there was a really large drop. 798 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we had studied this issue 799 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 enough to know [that] it wasn't the unemployment rate. 800 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It wasn't sex ed. 801 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What could this be? 802 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It turns out that when this show came on TV, which millions of teenagers watched, 803 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it was a pretty realistic depiction of how unglamorous it was to be pregnant at 16, 804 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] “16 and Pregnant” is the MTV show. 805 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] “16 and Pregnant.” 806 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so we had an R.A. [research assistant?] 807 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 watch all the shows and code up what happens. 808 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, what happens? Most of the boyfriends don't stick around. 809 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Most of these young girls are stuck with a crying baby in the middle of the night. 810 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like, you might have thought that people would know being a teen mom was hard, 811 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but apparently, this was really salient. 812 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And in those communities 813 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where more people were watching MTV before this show even came on 814 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (so MTV just had more market penetration in certain areas). 815 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When this show came on the air, 816 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you saw a larger reduction in teen childbearing in those places. 817 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so the idea here is: Gosh, this show really changed hearts and minds 818 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in ways that affected behaviors that affected birth rates. 819 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so we got access to Google and Twitter data, 820 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you see that when these episodes aired, 821 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there would be a spike in Google searching for how to get birth control. 822 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There would be a spike in tweets mentioning this show and birth control. 823 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So there was this idea that people saw this show 824 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and decided they didn't want to become pregnant as a teenager. 825 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Which again, it's just really amazing because it validates this idea 826 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that exposure to content and ideas affects people's attitudes 827 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in ways that affects their behaviors, 828 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even in the really complicated domains of marriage, family formation, and having kids. 829 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] It was really fascinating. 830 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I've heard of the show. 831 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I can't say I've watched it before or that we have a lot of MTV on. 832 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But yeah, I mean, you did the homework 833 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to show there's probably some connection there. 834 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You say at the end of the book: 835 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Here are things we should do to address the challenges I've laid out, 836 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then some things I do not think we should do.” 837 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And these are good. 838 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I want to highlight two because I just wonder: 839 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do we do both of these things? 840 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So here's what you say we should do: 841 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Work to restore and foster a norm of two-parent homes for children.” 842 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Good. 843 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Here's one thing we should not do: 844 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Stigmatize single mothers or encourage unhealthy marriages.” 845 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I agree with both of those things. 846 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's what I wrestle with a lot, and I wrestle with it as a pastor 847 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it’s stigma. 848 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So we think of stigma as universally a bad thing, 849 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and yet we want to stigmatize racism or all sorts of things. 850 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are bad behaviors that our culture and our communities do a lot to say: 851 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “That's a bad thing to do.” 852 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I think as a pastor-- and I don't know what your views are on this. 853 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm not presuming that you share these personal views. 854 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But, I believe the Bible says that sex before marriage is wrong, 855 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but also the Bible says you can be forgiven for that. 856 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's not the end of your life. 857 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so, on the one hand, I think about our church community, 858 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which has a pretty thick culture 859 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and what you described, you know, your neighborhood, 860 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there are certain norms. 861 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are certain things that it just looks normal to have a mom and a dad. 862 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It looks normal to work hard at school. It looks normal to not do drugs. 863 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [It looks normal] to pursue education. 864 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 All of these things are good. 865 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so there would be if somebody in our church, you know, was 16 and pregnant, 866 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it would raise eyebrows and there'd be something of a stigma. 867 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So on the one hand, I wanna say— 868 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] But also hope you guys would love her and embrace her 869 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and pay for her diapers and-- 870 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yes, absolutely. 871 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So what I'm getting to is: 872 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do we do it so that the behavior, like in our case, would be stigmatized, 873 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but the person is not cast off. 874 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And in fact, somebody said, this really just helped open my eyes. 875 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Of course, I should-- You know, it's not even out-of-wedlock births. 876 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, we should, from my perspective, applaud the mom who is going through 877 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and having the child and working to, you know, sacrifice so much. 878 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We want to applaud that decision, I do. 879 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So it's always this push and pull of how to establish norms, 880 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because norms say something is normal. 881 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But then when something is outside of that normal, as you were right to interject, 882 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 yeah, I want our community to love that mom and sign up for meals, 883 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which I know they would and buy diapers and do all of that. 884 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do you think about that as an economist 885 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or even just as a mom or as— 886 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] As a person? [chuckles] 887 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. 888 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, I think you completely put your finger 889 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on probably the hardest needle I'm trying to thread 890 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by saying those two things. 891 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And somebody said directly to me, like, “We DO need to bring back shame.” 892 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But there's, you know, there's a role for it. So here's what I mean when I say that. 893 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'll give you examples of things on those two points-- 894 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Mm-hmm. 895 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] that I would and wouldn’t do. 896 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So the stigma of single moms and their kids that basically in the past, 897 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 made them outcast from society, 898 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 let's all agree we should never go back to that, right? 899 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We do not want women feeling like they're trapped in abusive marriages, right? 900 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we do not want children and their single parents 901 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to be even more deprived of resources 902 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by punishing them for where they are. 903 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] You're 18, and you get a second-class life for the rest of it. 904 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Yeah. And here you are. 905 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So those are terribly counterproductive approaches that we should never go back to. 906 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the same time, I mean, 907 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm not going to totally point my finger at like Disney Plus or Netflix or Hollywood. 908 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But you know, the television portrayal of families has gone so far to say: 909 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Hey, it's totally fine.” 910 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You know, this one's being raised with her mom and her new boyfriend, 911 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but her old boyfriend is still they're all good friends and it's awesome. 912 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But that's, like, such a farce. That's not really what it looks like. 913 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So let's be honest that, you know, 914 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we could accept and love all sorts of family arrangements, 915 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 while still being honest about what is best for kids in particular. 916 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And by the way, it's not great for single parents who tend to be under-resourced 917 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to be doing this by themselves. 918 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, the kinds of things about fostering norms, 919 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for instance, a lot of the social service agencies or programs 920 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for, you know, single moms and their kids, the dads will tell you this: 921 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You go into those buildings, and the picture, 922 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like, the logo is basically a mom and her daughter, or a mom and her child. 923 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah. 924 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] There's not even a dad in the picture, right? 925 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right, that’s a norm. 926 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] And so these responsible fatherhood programs walk in, 927 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they're like, the dad isn't even in the picture. 928 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In an effort to being sort of welcoming of the reality 929 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that a lot of these programs serve single moms and their kids, 930 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there's not even an expectation of a dad being around. 931 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And that kind of subtlety, I think matters, right? 932 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, I was even talking to a woman 933 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who runs a program for lifting up single moms, and I said to her: 934 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 “Well, you're part of the solution. You're working to strengthen families.” 935 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And she stopped, and very thoughtfully, she said, “But I've never thought to ask, where's the dad? Why isn't he around?” 936 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And that's a bit of a mind shift, right? 937 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 To say, let's think about strengthening families. 938 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's talk about the importance of dads, how they can contribute 939 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 without stigmatizing the one parent and their child so strongly 940 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that they feel like they're not enveloped in support. 941 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Right, yeah, and I think you said earlier, 942 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is going to happen at a personal level and community level. 943 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I mean, I think of a number of women in our church who volunteer 944 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with a Christian Young Lives program that reaches out 945 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and my younger daughters have volunteered to do some of the babysitting 946 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 so these single moms can get training, 947 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, you know, in our context, it’s Bible studies and other things. 948 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And there's lots of people who do care about these things. 949 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And anybody listening who does, 950 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there are things and good programs that can make a difference and help with these. 951 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So my last question for you. 952 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you so much for writing this book, Melissa. 953 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If any of my kids go to the University of Maryland, 954 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's not on their list, but if they do, I'll tell them to take a class. 955 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY, laughing] Great! 956 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] You're doing undergrads. 957 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What do you have coming up next? 958 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What are you working on? Academic books, popular books? 959 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What are you doing? 960 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Hopefully, you know, some of the negative feedback you're probably getting on this book 961 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 doesn't keep you away from it because it's really helpful. 962 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] I appreciate that. 963 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I will say, because I wrapped up this manuscript, you know, some time ago 964 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 before it actually shows up in print. 965 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] In COVID, I think. 966 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Yeah. Over the past two years, 967 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I've been working a lot trying to understand the decline in fertility, 968 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is another, you know, not uncontroversial topic. 969 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Uh-huh. 970 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] But again, there's a lot of economic causes and consequences 971 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the decline in fertility, and so that's another one 972 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where setting aside all sorts of moral or value judgments 973 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about how we think somebody should live their lives. 974 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The fact that in high income countries, we are now below replacement level, 975 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 fertility is going to pose a lot of challenges on our economic and social structures. 976 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Good. 977 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] Studying that is, you know, what I've been thinking about. 978 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Well, I will read that. 979 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY, laughing] Okay, great. 980 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Glad for you to write that. 981 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's really important. 982 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Again, talking to Melissa, “The Two-Parent Privilege: 983 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How Americans Stopped Getting Married and Started Falling Behind.” 984 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you so much for taking time 985 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and working before we started this to get all the mics and headsets. 986 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And thank you to your husband. 987 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[KEARNEY] It was a pleasure. Thanks for having me. 988 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 >>[DEYOUNG] Yeah, thank you. 989 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So thank you for listening to Life & Books & Everything, 990 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a ministry of Clearly Reformed. 991 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You can get episodes like this and other resources at clearlyreformed.org 992 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Until next time glorify God, enjoy him forever, read a good book. 993 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ♪ [up-tempo closing music] ♪ 994 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [END]