WEBVTT 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 I am a capitalist, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and after a 30-year career in capitalism 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 spanning three dozen companies 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 generating tens of billions of dollars in market value, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 I'm not just in the top one percent, I'm in the top 0.1 percent of all earners. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Today, I have come to share the secrets of our success, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because rich capitalists like me have never been richer. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So the question is, how do we do it? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 How do we manage to grab 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 an ever-increasing share of the economic pie every year? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Is it that rich people are smarter than we were 30 years ago? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Is it that we're working harder than we once did? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Are we taller, better looking? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Sadly, no. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It all comes down to just one thing: 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 economics. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Because, here's the dirty secret. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 There was a time in which the economics profession 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 worked in the public interest for everyone 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 but in the neoliberal era, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 today, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 they work only for big corporations 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and billionaires, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and that is creating a little bit of a problem. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We could choose to enact economic policies 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that raise taxes on the rich, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 regulate powerful corporations, or raise wages for workers. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We have done it before. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But neoliberal economists would warn 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that all of these policies would be a terrible mistake, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because raising taxes always kills economic growth, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and and any form of government regulation 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is inefficient, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and raising wages always kills jobs. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, as a consequence of that thinking, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 over the last 30 years, in the USA alone, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the top one percent has grown 21 trillion dollars richer 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 while the bottom 50 percent have grown 900 billion dollars poorer, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 a pattern of widening inequality that has largely repeated itself 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 across the world. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 And yet, as middle class families struggle to get by 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 on wages that have not budged in about 40 years, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 neoliberal economists continue to warn that the only reasonable response 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to the painful dislocations of austerity and globalization 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is even more austerity and globalization. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So, what is a society to do? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, it's super-clear to me what we need to do. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We need a new economics. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So, economics has been described as the dismal science, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and for good reason, because as much as it is taught today, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it isn't a science at all, in spite of all of the dazzling mathematics. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 In fact, a growing number of academics and practitioners 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 have concluded that neoliberal economic theory is dangerously wrong 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and that today's growing crises of rising inequality 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and growing political instability 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 are the direct result of decades of bad economic theory. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 What we now know is that the economics that made me so rich isn't just wrong, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it's backwards, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because it turns out 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it isn't capital that creates economic growth, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it's people; 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and it isn't self-interest that promotes the public good, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it's reciprocity; 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and it isn't competition that produces our prosperity, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it's cooperation. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 What we can now see is that an economics that is neither just nor inclusive 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 can never sustain the high levels of social cooperation 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 necessary to enable a modern society to thrive. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So where did we go wrong? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, it turns out that it's become painfully obvious 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that the fundamental assumptions that undergird neoliberal economic theory 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 are just objectively false, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and so today first I want to take you through some of those mistaken assumptions 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and then after describe where the science suggests prosperity actually comes from. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So neoliberal assumption number one is 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that the market is an efficient equilibrium system, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which basically means that if one thing in the economy, like wages, goes up, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 another thing in the economy, like jobs, must go down. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So for example, in Seattle, where I live, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 when in 2014 we passed our nation's first 15 dollar minimum wage, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the neoliberals freaked out over their precious equilibrium. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 "If you raise the price of labor," they warned, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 "business will purchase less of it. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Thousands of low-wage workers will lose their jobs. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The restaurants will close." 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Except, they didn't. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The unemployment rate fell dramatically. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The restaurant business in Seattle boomed. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Why? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Because there is no equilibrium. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Because raising wages doesn't kill jobs, it creates them, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because, for instance, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 when restaurant owners are suddenly required to pay restaurant workers enough 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 so that now even they can afford to eat in restaurants, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it doesn't shrink the restaurant business, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 it grows it, obviously. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 (Applause) 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Thank you. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The second assumption is 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that the price of something is always equal to its value, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which basically means that if you earn 50,000 dollars a year 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and I earn 50 million dollars a year, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that's because I produce a thousand times as much value as you. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now, it will not surprise you to learn 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that this is a very comforting assumption 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 if you're a CEO paying yourself 50 million dollars a year 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 but paying your workers poverty wages. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But please, take it from somebody who has run dozens of businesses: 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 this is nonsense. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 People are not paid what they are worth. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 They are paid what they have the power to negotiate, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and wages' falling share of GDP 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is not because workers have become less productive 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 but because employers have become more powerful. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 (Applause) 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 And by pretending that the giant imbalance in power between capital and labor 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 doesn't exist, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 neoliberal economic theory became essentially 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 a protection racket for the rich. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The third assumption, and by far the most pernicious, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is a behavioral model 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that describes human beings as something called "homo economicus," 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which basically means that we are all perfectly selfish, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 perfectly rational, and relentlessly self-maximizing. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But just ask yourself, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is it plausible that every single time for your entire life, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 when you did something nice for somebody else, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 all you were doing was maximizing your own utility? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Is it plausible that when a soldier jumps on a grenade to defend fellow soldiers, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 they're just promoting their narrow self-interest? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If you think that's nuts, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 contrary to any reasonable moral intuition, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that's because it is, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and according to the latest science, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 not true. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But it is this behavioral model 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which is at the cold, cruel heart of neoliberal economics, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and it is as morally corrosive 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 as it is scientifically wrong, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because if we accept at face value 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that humans are fundamentally selfish 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and then we look around the world 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 at all of the unambiguous prosperity in it, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 then it follows logically, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 then it must be true by definition, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that billions of individual acts of selfishness 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 magically transubstantiate into prosperity and the common good. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If we humans are merely selfish maximizers, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 then selfishness is the cause of our prosperity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Under this economic logic, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 greed is good, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 widening inequality is efficient, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and the only purpose of the corporation 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 can be to enrich shareholders, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because to do otherwise would be to slow economic growth 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and harm the economy overall. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 And it is this gospel of selfishness 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which forms the ideological cornerstone of neoliberal economics, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 a way of thinking which has produced economic policies 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which have enabled me and my rich buddies in the top one percent 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to grab virtually all of the benefits of growth over the last 40 years. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But, if instead 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 we accept the latest empirical research, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 real science, which correctly describes human beings 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 as highly cooperative, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 reciprocal, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and intuitively moral creatures, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 then it follows logically 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that it must be cooperation 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and not selfishness 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that is the cause of our prosperity, and it isn't our self-interest 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 but rather our inherent reciprocity 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 that is humanity's economic superpower. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So at the heart of this new economics 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is a story about ourselves that grants us permission to be our best selves, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and, unlike the old economics, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 this is a story that is virtuous 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and also has the virtue of being true. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now, I want to emphasize that this new economics 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is not something I have personally imagined or invented. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Its theories and models are being developed and refined 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 in universities around the world 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 building on some of the best new research in economics, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 complexity theory, evolutionary theory, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 psychology, anthropology, and other disciplines. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 And although this new economics does not yet have its own textbook 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 or even a commonly agreed upon name, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 in broad strokes 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 its explanation of where prosperity comes from goes something like this.