1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I am a capitalist, 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and after a 30-year career in capitalism 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 spanning three dozen companies 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 generating tens of billions of dollars in market value, 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm not just in the top one percent, I'm in the top 0.1 percent of all earners. 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Today, I have come to share the secrets of our success, 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because rich capitalists like me have never been richer. 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So the question is, how do we do it? 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do we manage to grab 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 an ever-increasing share of the economic pie every year? 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is it that rich people are smarter than we were 30 years ago? 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is it that we're working harder than we once did? 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Are we taller, better looking? 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Sadly, no. 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It all comes down to just one thing: 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 economics. 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because, here's the dirty secret. 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There was a time in which the economics profession 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 worked in the public interest for everyone 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but in the neoliberal era, 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 today, 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they work only for big corporations 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and billionaires, 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and that is creating a little bit of a problem. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We could choose to enact economic policies 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that raise taxes on the rich, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 regulate powerful corporations, or raise wages for workers. 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have done it before. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But neoliberal economists would warn 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that all of these policies would be a terrible mistake, 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because raising taxes always kills economic growth, 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and and any form of government regulation 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is inefficient, 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and raising wages always kills jobs. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, as a consequence of that thinking, 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 over the last 30 years, in the USA alone, 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the top one percent has grown 21 trillion dollars richer 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 while the bottom 50 percent have grown 900 billion dollars poorer, 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a pattern of widening inequality that has largely repeated itself 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 across the world. 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And yet, as middle class families struggle to get by 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on wages that have not budged in about 40 years, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 neoliberal economists continue to warn that the only reasonable response 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the painful dislocations of austerity and globalization 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is even more austerity and globalization. 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, what is a society to do? 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, it's super-clear to me what we need to do. 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We need a new economics. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, economics has been described as the dismal science, 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and for good reason, because as much as it is taught today, 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it isn't a science at all, in spite of all of the dazzling mathematics. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, a growing number of academics and practitioners 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 have concluded that neoliberal economic theory is dangerously wrong 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and that today's growing crises of rising inequality 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and growing political instability 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are the direct result of decades of bad economic theory. 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What we now know is that the economics that made me so rich isn't just wrong, 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's backwards, 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because it turns out 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it isn't capital that creates economic growth, 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's people; 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it isn't self-interest that promotes the public good, 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's reciprocity; 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it isn't competition that produces our prosperity, 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's cooperation. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What we can now see is that an economics that is neither just nor inclusive 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 can never sustain the high levels of social cooperation 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 necessary to enable a modern society to thrive. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So where did we go wrong? 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, it turns out that it's become painfully obvious 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the fundamental assumptions that undergird neoliberal economic theory 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are just objectively false, 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and so today first I want to take you through some of those mistaken assumptions 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then after describe where the science suggests prosperity actually comes from. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So neoliberal assumption number one is 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the market is an efficient equilibrium system, 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which basically means that if one thing in the economy, like wages, goes up, 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 another thing in the economy, like jobs, must go down. 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So for example, in Seattle, where I live, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when in 2014 we passed our nation's first 15 dollar minimum wage, 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the neoliberals freaked out over their precious equilibrium. 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 "If you raise the price of labor," they warned, 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 "business will purchase less of it. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thousands of low-wage workers will lose their jobs. 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The restaurants will close." 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Except, they didn't. 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The unemployment rate fell dramatically. 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The restaurant business in Seattle boomed. 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Why? 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because there is no equilibrium. 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because raising wages doesn't kill jobs, it creates them, 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because, for instance, 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when restaurant owners are suddenly required to pay restaurant workers enough 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 so that now even they can afford to eat in restaurants, 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it doesn't shrink the restaurant business, 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it grows it, obviously. 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Applause) 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you. 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The second assumption is 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the price of something is always equal to its value, 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which basically means that if you earn 50,000 dollars a year 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I earn 50 million dollars a year, 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's because I produce a thousand times as much value as you. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, it will not surprise you to learn 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that this is a very comforting assumption 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if you're a CEO paying yourself 50 million dollars a year 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but paying your workers poverty wages. 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But please, take it from somebody who has run dozens of businesses: 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is nonsense. 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 People are not paid what they are worth. 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They are paid what they have the power to negotiate, 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and wages' falling share of GDP 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is not because workers have become less productive 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but because employers have become more powerful. 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Applause) 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And by pretending that the giant imbalance in power between capital and labor 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 doesn't exist, 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 neoliberal economic theory became essentially 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a protection racket for the rich. 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The third assumption, and by far the most pernicious, 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a behavioral model 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that describes human beings as something called "homo economicus," 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which basically means that we are all perfectly selfish, 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 perfectly rational, and relentlessly self-maximizing. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But just ask yourself, 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is it plausible that every single time for your entire life, 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when you did something nice for somebody else, 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 all you were doing was maximizing your own utility? 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is it plausible that when a soldier jumps on a grenade to defend fellow soldiers, 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they're just promoting their narrow self-interest? 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If you think that's nuts, 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 contrary to any reasonable moral intuition, 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's because it is, 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and according to the latest science, 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not true. 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But it is this behavioral model 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is at the cold, cruel heart of neoliberal economics, 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it is as morally corrosive 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as it is scientifically wrong, 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because if we accept at face value 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that humans are fundamentally selfish 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then we look around the world 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at all of the unambiguous prosperity in it, 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then it follows logically, 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then it must be true by definition, 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that billions of individual acts of selfishness 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 magically transubstantiate into prosperity and the common good. 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If we humans are merely selfish maximizers, 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then selfishness is the cause of our prosperity. 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Under this economic logic, 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 greed is good, 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 widening inequality is efficient, 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the only purpose of the corporation 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 can be to enrich shareholders, 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because to do otherwise would be to slow economic growth 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and harm the economy overall. 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it is this gospel of selfishness 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which forms the ideological cornerstone of neoliberal economics, 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a way of thinking which has produced economic policies 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which have enabled me and my rich buddies in the top one percent 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to grab virtually all of the benefits of growth over the last 40 years. 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But, if instead 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we accept the latest empirical research, 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 real science, which correctly describes human beings 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as highly cooperative, 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 reciprocal, 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and intuitively moral creatures, 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then it follows logically 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that it must be cooperation 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and not selfishness 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that is the cause of our prosperity, and it isn't our self-interest 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but rather our inherent reciprocity 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that is humanity's economic superpower. 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So at the heart of this new economics 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a story about ourselves that grants us permission to be our best selves, 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, unlike the old economics, 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is a story that is virtuous 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and also has the virtue of being true. 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, I want to emphasize that this new economics 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is not something I have personally imagined or invented. 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Its theories and models are being developed and refined 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in universities around the world 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 building on some of the best new research in economics, 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 complexity theory, evolutionary theory, 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 psychology, anthropology, and other disciplines. 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And although this new economics does not yet have its own textbook 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or even a commonly agreed upon name, 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in broad strokes 189 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 its explanation of where prosperity comes from goes something like this.