WEBVTT 00:00:00.537 --> 00:00:04.067 In the last video, we first thought about externalities, 00:00:04.067 --> 00:00:05.610 the negative externalities 00:00:05.610 --> 00:00:07.603 of having plastic bags around. 00:00:07.603 --> 00:00:09.612 It causes litter, it might damage animals 00:00:09.612 --> 00:00:11.614 and the environment in some way. 00:00:11.614 --> 00:00:14.275 We're assuming ... And we assumed in that video 00:00:14.275 --> 00:00:16.613 that we were able to calculate the actual 00:00:16.613 --> 00:00:19.282 external cost of a plastic bag. 00:00:19.282 --> 00:00:21.692 This two cents a bag is the impact on 00:00:21.692 --> 00:00:22.668 litter in the environment. 00:00:22.668 --> 00:00:24.268 Then we were able to figure out 00:00:24.268 --> 00:00:25.667 that if we factor this in, 00:00:25.667 --> 00:00:27.139 instead of just having the regular 00:00:27.139 --> 00:00:28.540 marginal cost cover the suppliers, 00:00:28.540 --> 00:00:30.360 if we added that marginal cost curve 00:00:30.360 --> 00:00:32.139 to the external cost, 00:00:32.139 --> 00:00:33.699 we would get a supplier plus 00:00:33.699 --> 00:00:36.334 external costs, marginal cost curve, 00:00:36.334 --> 00:00:37.999 and then we'd get what is actually 00:00:37.999 --> 00:00:42.111 the optimal price and quantity of plastic bags 00:00:42.111 --> 00:00:44.454 so that we actually do not eat into 00:00:44.454 --> 00:00:45.935 our surplus by creating all of this 00:00:45.935 --> 00:00:49.156 negative surplus where the total cost 00:00:49.156 --> 00:00:50.210 of the bags are higher than 00:00:50.210 --> 00:00:52.134 the total benefit. 00:00:52.134 --> 00:00:53.719 One thing that we did not touch on 00:00:53.719 --> 00:00:56.042 in that video, is how does this actually happen? 00:00:56.042 --> 00:00:59.216 If we just let things be, 00:00:59.216 --> 00:01:00.471 and we just had the supplier's 00:01:00.471 --> 00:01:01.668 marginal cost curve 00:01:01.668 --> 00:01:04.332 and we have the consumer's demand curve, 00:01:04.332 --> 00:01:06.717 in this case, the consumers were the supermarkets, 00:01:06.717 --> 00:01:08.340 then the equilibrium price that'll be 00:01:08.340 --> 00:01:09.932 reached will be right over here 00:01:09.932 --> 00:01:12.209 because although we're theoretically 00:01:12.209 --> 00:01:14.004 saying that there's this cost over here, 00:01:14.004 --> 00:01:17.544 the cost won't be factored in 00:01:17.544 --> 00:01:18.884 into the markets. 00:01:18.884 --> 00:01:21.135 So if you are the benevolent emperor 00:01:21.135 --> 00:01:23.875 in this society, what do you do? 00:01:23.875 --> 00:01:26.298 What do you do to get the quantity 00:01:26.298 --> 00:01:28.550 closer to this point right over here 00:01:28.550 --> 00:01:30.133 than what the equilibrium quantity 00:01:30.133 --> 00:01:31.801 will be when you don't factor in 00:01:31.801 --> 00:01:33.009 the external cost? 00:01:33.009 --> 00:01:34.742 There's a bunch of options here. 00:01:34.742 --> 00:01:37.468 You could just ban plastic bags ... 00:01:37.468 --> 00:01:41.134 ban plastic bags, 00:01:41.134 --> 00:01:44.066 you could put a quota on plastic bags, 00:01:44.066 --> 00:01:47.883 you could put a quota, so saying that 00:01:47.883 --> 00:01:50.467 more than a certain amount of bags 00:01:50.467 --> 00:01:52.404 could not be produced, or 00:01:52.404 --> 00:01:54.468 you could tax plastic bags, 00:01:54.468 --> 00:01:57.332 or you could tax plastic bags. 00:01:57.332 --> 00:01:59.340 Let's think about which of these will 00:01:59.340 --> 00:02:01.596 result in the most surplus, 00:02:01.596 --> 00:02:05.042 the most benefit to society in aggregate. 00:02:05.042 --> 00:02:06.963 One core assumption we're going to make 00:02:06.963 --> 00:02:10.404 is that this is an accurate assessment 00:02:10.404 --> 00:02:13.331 of the external cost per bag. 00:02:13.331 --> 00:02:15.403 If you were to just ban plastic bags 00:02:15.403 --> 00:02:16.885 as this benevolent emperor, 00:02:16.885 --> 00:02:18.070 maybe seemingly or hopefully 00:02:18.070 --> 00:02:20.403 benevolent emperor of this society right here, 00:02:20.403 --> 00:02:22.067 if you just banned plastic bags, 00:02:22.067 --> 00:02:23.404 what would happen? 00:02:23.404 --> 00:02:25.468 Well, then this market just won't exist. 00:02:25.468 --> 00:02:27.883 All of this surplus that could have existed, 00:02:27.883 --> 00:02:29.550 won't exist anymore, 00:02:29.550 --> 00:02:32.130 so you would actually be destroying surplus. 00:02:32.130 --> 00:02:33.669 You could say, "No, no, no ... plastic bags 00:02:33.669 --> 00:02:35.736 are horrible. They should just be outright banned. 00:02:35.736 --> 00:02:37.465 There's no amount of benefit for which 00:02:37.465 --> 00:02:40.337 plastic bags are worth using," 00:02:40.337 --> 00:02:41.884 but in that case, you're actually arguing 00:02:41.884 --> 00:02:43.711 this point right over here. 00:02:43.711 --> 00:02:45.069 You'd be arguing that, "No, it's not 00:02:45.069 --> 00:02:46.920 2 cents a bag, it's 10 cents a bag," 00:02:46.920 --> 00:02:50.281 of negative externality, and because of that, 00:02:50.281 --> 00:02:52.449 you would have this curve shift up even more 00:02:52.449 --> 00:02:54.784 and then there's no positive quantity there 00:02:54.784 --> 00:02:56.611 and maybe a ban would be all right. 00:02:56.611 --> 00:02:58.922 But if the 2 cents is the externality, 00:02:58.922 --> 00:03:00.358 the negative externality, 00:03:00.358 --> 00:03:02.050 and if you were to ban plastic bags, 00:03:02.050 --> 00:03:04.194 then you would actually be removing, 00:03:04.194 --> 00:03:07.522 you would be removing this surplus from society. 00:03:07.522 --> 00:03:10.386 That doesn't seem like a good option. 00:03:10.386 --> 00:03:12.354 Now what about a quota? 00:03:12.354 --> 00:03:15.191 You kind of look at the study right over here 00:03:15.191 --> 00:03:17.747 and you say, "Look, the optimal amount 00:03:17.747 --> 00:03:20.623 of plastic bags is 1.9 million bags per week, 00:03:20.623 --> 00:03:22.802 so I will just say that that's most 00:03:22.802 --> 00:03:24.872 that the market can produce." 00:03:24.872 --> 00:03:26.667 But when you say that, that's assuming 00:03:26.667 --> 00:03:28.538 that you really do understand what this 00:03:28.538 --> 00:03:30.206 demand curve looks like. 00:03:30.206 --> 00:03:31.403 I just drew a straight line here 00:03:31.403 --> 00:03:32.617 just out of simplicity, and 00:03:32.617 --> 00:03:33.933 assuming that you really do understand 00:03:33.933 --> 00:03:36.287 what this marginal cost curve looks like. 00:03:36.287 --> 00:03:38.371 Throughout this playlist, 00:03:38.371 --> 00:03:39.672 we've been assuming that we kind of do 00:03:39.672 --> 00:03:40.869 understand those things, but 00:03:40.869 --> 00:03:43.736 in the real world, it's actually very hard 00:03:43.736 --> 00:03:45.533 to know exactly what the marginal cost 00:03:45.533 --> 00:03:46.705 of the curve looks like, 00:03:46.705 --> 00:03:47.808 and it's also hard to know exactly 00:03:47.808 --> 00:03:49.737 what the marginal benefit curve, 00:03:49.737 --> 00:03:51.207 or the demand curve looks like, 00:03:51.207 --> 00:03:53.330 especially because they're always changing. 00:03:53.330 --> 00:03:54.446 There's always more competitors, 00:03:54.446 --> 00:03:56.451 less competitors, more substitute products, 00:03:56.451 --> 00:03:58.665 more R&D, things are getting more efficient, 00:03:58.665 --> 00:04:00.621 less efficient; and so it's very hard 00:04:00.621 --> 00:04:03.615 to know what the true equilibrium 00:04:03.615 --> 00:04:05.598 quantity should be. 00:04:05.598 --> 00:04:07.951 A quota is difficult. 00:04:07.951 --> 00:04:10.469 We don't have quite the right information. 00:04:10.469 --> 00:04:12.403 A tax is interesting. 00:04:12.403 --> 00:04:14.468 A tax says, "Look, regardless of 00:04:14.468 --> 00:04:16.205 what the marginal cost curve really is, 00:04:16.205 --> 00:04:19.286 we're just going to shift it up by 2 cents." 00:04:19.286 --> 00:04:21.933 We saw that when we first talked about taxes. 00:04:21.933 --> 00:04:24.534 When we first talked about taxes, we talked about 00:04:24.534 --> 00:04:26.623 they're introducing a dead weight loss 00:04:26.623 --> 00:04:28.884 because you're not producing as much quantity 00:04:28.884 --> 00:04:30.735 as you would have otherwise, or 00:04:30.735 --> 00:04:32.955 as much quantity isn't being consumed. 00:04:32.955 --> 00:04:34.673 But here, a tax could actually prevent 00:04:34.673 --> 00:04:36.954 a dead weight loss because if you have 00:04:36.954 --> 00:04:40.394 a 2 cent tax, essentially adding the cost 00:04:40.394 --> 00:04:43.067 of the negative externality in the form of a tax 00:04:43.067 --> 00:04:46.136 on top of the supplier's cost right over here, 00:04:46.136 --> 00:04:48.736 you are going to cause the equilibrium quantity 00:04:48.736 --> 00:04:51.367 to be the quantity where you're not 00:04:51.367 --> 00:04:53.735 generating all of this negative surplus, 00:04:53.735 --> 00:04:56.202 and it's just a positive side effect, 00:04:56.202 --> 00:04:57.341 and once again, this is all assuming 00:04:57.341 --> 00:04:58.538 that this is the right number, 00:04:58.538 --> 00:05:00.602 but it would be a positive side effect 00:05:00.602 --> 00:05:02.289 that you would also generate some revenue 00:05:02.289 --> 00:05:03.467 for the government. 00:05:03.467 --> 00:05:05.803 What's good about the tax in this circumstance 00:05:05.803 --> 00:05:07.866 right over here, you're not assuming anything 00:05:07.866 --> 00:05:09.800 about what the marginal cost curve looks like 00:05:09.800 --> 00:05:12.138 or what the demand curve looks like. 00:05:12.138 --> 00:05:13.676 As long as you're assuming that this 00:05:13.676 --> 00:05:14.622 is the right number, 00:05:14.622 --> 00:05:18.070 the tax will always shift whatever 00:05:18.070 --> 00:05:19.537 the marginal cost curve is, 00:05:19.537 --> 00:05:21.452 it'll always shift it to the right point 00:05:21.452 --> 00:05:26.372 to intersect wherever the demand curve is 00:05:26.372 --> 00:05:28.203 at this equilibrium point, 00:05:28.203 --> 00:05:29.534 that gives us an equilibrium price 00:05:29.534 --> 00:05:30.948 and an equilibrium quantity. 00:05:30.948 --> 00:05:32.618 So if this is the right number and 00:05:32.618 --> 00:05:34.404 you put a 2 cent tax per bag, 00:05:34.404 --> 00:05:37.282 a 2 cent tax per bag, 00:05:37.282 --> 00:05:40.382 then this is probably going to be the best option 00:05:40.382 --> 00:05:43.696 in terms of optimizing the total surplus.