1 00:00:00,537 --> 00:00:04,067 In the last video, we first thought about externalities, 2 00:00:04,067 --> 00:00:05,610 the negative externalities 3 00:00:05,610 --> 00:00:07,603 of having plastic bags around. 4 00:00:07,603 --> 00:00:09,612 It causes litter, it might damage animals 5 00:00:09,612 --> 00:00:11,614 and the environment in some way. 6 00:00:11,614 --> 00:00:14,275 We're assuming ... And we assumed in that video 7 00:00:14,275 --> 00:00:16,613 that we were able to calculate the actual 8 00:00:16,613 --> 00:00:19,282 external cost of a plastic bag. 9 00:00:19,282 --> 00:00:21,692 This two cents a bag is the impact on 10 00:00:21,692 --> 00:00:22,668 litter in the environment. 11 00:00:22,668 --> 00:00:24,268 Then we were able to figure out 12 00:00:24,268 --> 00:00:25,667 that if we factor this in, 13 00:00:25,667 --> 00:00:27,139 instead of just having the regular 14 00:00:27,139 --> 00:00:28,540 marginal cost cover the suppliers, 15 00:00:28,540 --> 00:00:30,360 if we added that marginal cost curve 16 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:32,139 to the external cost, 17 00:00:32,139 --> 00:00:33,699 we would get a supplier plus 18 00:00:33,699 --> 00:00:36,334 external costs, marginal cost curve, 19 00:00:36,334 --> 00:00:37,999 and then we'd get what is actually 20 00:00:37,999 --> 00:00:42,111 the optimal price and quantity of plastic bags 21 00:00:42,111 --> 00:00:44,454 so that we actually do not eat into 22 00:00:44,454 --> 00:00:45,935 our surplus by creating all of this 23 00:00:45,935 --> 00:00:49,156 negative surplus where the total cost 24 00:00:49,156 --> 00:00:50,210 of the bags are higher than 25 00:00:50,210 --> 00:00:52,134 the total benefit. 26 00:00:52,134 --> 00:00:53,719 One thing that we did not touch on 27 00:00:53,719 --> 00:00:56,042 in that video, is how does this actually happen? 28 00:00:56,042 --> 00:00:59,216 If we just let things be, 29 00:00:59,216 --> 00:01:00,471 and we just had the supplier's 30 00:01:00,471 --> 00:01:01,668 marginal cost curve 31 00:01:01,668 --> 00:01:04,332 and we have the consumer's demand curve, 32 00:01:04,332 --> 00:01:06,717 in this case, the consumers were the supermarkets, 33 00:01:06,717 --> 00:01:08,340 then the equilibrium price that'll be 34 00:01:08,340 --> 00:01:09,932 reached will be right over here 35 00:01:09,932 --> 00:01:12,209 because although we're theoretically 36 00:01:12,209 --> 00:01:14,004 saying that there's this cost over here, 37 00:01:14,004 --> 00:01:17,544 the cost won't be factored in 38 00:01:17,544 --> 00:01:18,884 into the markets. 39 00:01:18,884 --> 00:01:21,135 So if you are the benevolent emperor 40 00:01:21,135 --> 00:01:23,875 in this society, what do you do? 41 00:01:23,875 --> 00:01:26,298 What do you do to get the quantity 42 00:01:26,298 --> 00:01:28,550 closer to this point right over here 43 00:01:28,550 --> 00:01:30,133 than what the equilibrium quantity 44 00:01:30,133 --> 00:01:31,801 will be when you don't factor in 45 00:01:31,801 --> 00:01:33,009 the external cost? 46 00:01:33,009 --> 00:01:34,742 There's a bunch of options here. 47 00:01:34,742 --> 00:01:37,468 You could just ban plastic bags ... 48 00:01:37,468 --> 00:01:41,134 ban plastic bags, 49 00:01:41,134 --> 00:01:44,066 you could put a quota on plastic bags, 50 00:01:44,066 --> 00:01:47,883 you could put a quota, so saying that 51 00:01:47,883 --> 00:01:50,467 more than a certain amount of bags 52 00:01:50,467 --> 00:01:52,404 could not be produced, or 53 00:01:52,404 --> 00:01:54,468 you could tax plastic bags, 54 00:01:54,468 --> 00:01:57,332 or you could tax plastic bags. 55 00:01:57,332 --> 00:01:59,340 Let's think about which of these will 56 00:01:59,340 --> 00:02:01,596 result in the most surplus, 57 00:02:01,596 --> 00:02:05,042 the most benefit to society in aggregate. 58 00:02:05,042 --> 00:02:06,963 One core assumption we're going to make 59 00:02:06,963 --> 00:02:10,404 is that this is an accurate assessment 60 00:02:10,404 --> 00:02:13,331 of the external cost per bag. 61 00:02:13,331 --> 00:02:15,403 If you were to just ban plastic bags 62 00:02:15,403 --> 00:02:16,885 as this benevolent emperor, 63 00:02:16,885 --> 00:02:18,070 maybe seemingly or hopefully 64 00:02:18,070 --> 00:02:20,403 benevolent emperor of this society right here, 65 00:02:20,403 --> 00:02:22,067 if you just banned plastic bags, 66 00:02:22,067 --> 00:02:23,404 what would happen? 67 00:02:23,404 --> 00:02:25,468 Well, then this market just won't exist. 68 00:02:25,468 --> 00:02:27,883 All of this surplus that could have existed, 69 00:02:27,883 --> 00:02:29,550 won't exist anymore, 70 00:02:29,550 --> 00:02:32,130 so you would actually be destroying surplus. 71 00:02:32,130 --> 00:02:33,669 You could say, "No, no, no ... plastic bags 72 00:02:33,669 --> 00:02:35,736 are horrible. They should just be outright banned. 73 00:02:35,736 --> 00:02:37,465 There's no amount of benefit for which 74 00:02:37,465 --> 00:02:40,337 plastic bags are worth using," 75 00:02:40,337 --> 00:02:41,884 but in that case, you're actually arguing 76 00:02:41,884 --> 00:02:43,711 this point right over here. 77 00:02:43,711 --> 00:02:45,069 You'd be arguing that, "No, it's not 78 00:02:45,069 --> 00:02:46,920 2 cents a bag, it's 10 cents a bag," 79 00:02:46,920 --> 00:02:50,281 of negative externality, and because of that, 80 00:02:50,281 --> 00:02:52,449 you would have this curve shift up even more 81 00:02:52,449 --> 00:02:54,784 and then there's no positive quantity there 82 00:02:54,784 --> 00:02:56,611 and maybe a ban would be all right. 83 00:02:56,611 --> 00:02:58,922 But if the 2 cents is the externality, 84 00:02:58,922 --> 00:03:00,358 the negative externality, 85 00:03:00,358 --> 00:03:02,050 and if you were to ban plastic bags, 86 00:03:02,050 --> 00:03:04,194 then you would actually be removing, 87 00:03:04,194 --> 00:03:07,522 you would be removing this surplus from society. 88 00:03:07,522 --> 00:03:10,386 That doesn't seem like a good option. 89 00:03:10,386 --> 00:03:12,354 Now what about a quota? 90 00:03:12,354 --> 00:03:15,191 You kind of look at the study right over here 91 00:03:15,191 --> 00:03:17,747 and you say, "Look, the optimal amount 92 00:03:17,747 --> 00:03:20,623 of plastic bags is 1.9 million bags per week, 93 00:03:20,623 --> 00:03:22,802 so I will just say that that's most 94 00:03:22,802 --> 00:03:24,872 that the market can produce." 95 00:03:24,872 --> 00:03:26,667 But when you say that, that's assuming 96 00:03:26,667 --> 00:03:28,538 that you really do understand what this 97 00:03:28,538 --> 00:03:30,206 demand curve looks like. 98 00:03:30,206 --> 00:03:31,403 I just drew a straight line here 99 00:03:31,403 --> 00:03:32,617 just out of simplicity, and 100 00:03:32,617 --> 00:03:33,933 assuming that you really do understand 101 00:03:33,933 --> 00:03:36,287 what this marginal cost curve looks like. 102 00:03:36,287 --> 00:03:38,371 Throughout this playlist, 103 00:03:38,371 --> 00:03:39,672 we've been assuming that we kind of do 104 00:03:39,672 --> 00:03:40,869 understand those things, but 105 00:03:40,869 --> 00:03:43,736 in the real world, it's actually very hard 106 00:03:43,736 --> 00:03:45,533 to know exactly what the marginal cost 107 00:03:45,533 --> 00:03:46,705 of the curve looks like, 108 00:03:46,705 --> 00:03:47,808 and it's also hard to know exactly 109 00:03:47,808 --> 00:03:49,737 what the marginal benefit curve, 110 00:03:49,737 --> 00:03:51,207 or the demand curve looks like, 111 00:03:51,207 --> 00:03:53,330 especially because they're always changing. 112 00:03:53,330 --> 00:03:54,446 There's always more competitors, 113 00:03:54,446 --> 00:03:56,451 less competitors, more substitute products, 114 00:03:56,451 --> 00:03:58,665 more R&D, things are getting more efficient, 115 00:03:58,665 --> 00:04:00,621 less efficient; and so it's very hard 116 00:04:00,621 --> 00:04:03,615 to know what the true equilibrium 117 00:04:03,615 --> 00:04:05,598 quantity should be. 118 00:04:05,598 --> 00:04:07,951 A quota is difficult. 119 00:04:07,951 --> 00:04:10,469 We don't have quite the right information. 120 00:04:10,469 --> 00:04:12,403 A tax is interesting. 121 00:04:12,403 --> 00:04:14,468 A tax says, "Look, regardless of 122 00:04:14,468 --> 00:04:16,205 what the marginal cost curve really is, 123 00:04:16,205 --> 00:04:19,286 we're just going to shift it up by 2 cents." 124 00:04:19,286 --> 00:04:21,933 We saw that when we first talked about taxes. 125 00:04:21,933 --> 00:04:24,534 When we first talked about taxes, we talked about 126 00:04:24,534 --> 00:04:26,623 they're introducing a dead weight loss 127 00:04:26,623 --> 00:04:28,884 because you're not producing as much quantity 128 00:04:28,884 --> 00:04:30,735 as you would have otherwise, or 129 00:04:30,735 --> 00:04:32,955 as much quantity isn't being consumed. 130 00:04:32,955 --> 00:04:34,673 But here, a tax could actually prevent 131 00:04:34,673 --> 00:04:36,954 a dead weight loss because if you have 132 00:04:36,954 --> 00:04:40,394 a 2 cent tax, essentially adding the cost 133 00:04:40,394 --> 00:04:43,067 of the negative externality in the form of a tax 134 00:04:43,067 --> 00:04:46,136 on top of the supplier's cost right over here, 135 00:04:46,136 --> 00:04:48,736 you are going to cause the equilibrium quantity 136 00:04:48,736 --> 00:04:51,367 to be the quantity where you're not 137 00:04:51,367 --> 00:04:53,735 generating all of this negative surplus, 138 00:04:53,735 --> 00:04:56,202 and it's just a positive side effect, 139 00:04:56,202 --> 00:04:57,341 and once again, this is all assuming 140 00:04:57,341 --> 00:04:58,538 that this is the right number, 141 00:04:58,538 --> 00:05:00,602 but it would be a positive side effect 142 00:05:00,602 --> 00:05:02,289 that you would also generate some revenue 143 00:05:02,289 --> 00:05:03,467 for the government. 144 00:05:03,467 --> 00:05:05,803 What's good about the tax in this circumstance 145 00:05:05,803 --> 00:05:07,866 right over here, you're not assuming anything 146 00:05:07,866 --> 00:05:09,800 about what the marginal cost curve looks like 147 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,138 or what the demand curve looks like. 148 00:05:12,138 --> 00:05:13,676 As long as you're assuming that this 149 00:05:13,676 --> 00:05:14,622 is the right number, 150 00:05:14,622 --> 00:05:18,070 the tax will always shift whatever 151 00:05:18,070 --> 00:05:19,537 the marginal cost curve is, 152 00:05:19,537 --> 00:05:21,452 it'll always shift it to the right point 153 00:05:21,452 --> 00:05:26,372 to intersect wherever the demand curve is 154 00:05:26,372 --> 00:05:28,203 at this equilibrium point, 155 00:05:28,203 --> 00:05:29,534 that gives us an equilibrium price 156 00:05:29,534 --> 00:05:30,948 and an equilibrium quantity. 157 00:05:30,948 --> 00:05:32,618 So if this is the right number and 158 00:05:32,618 --> 00:05:34,404 you put a 2 cent tax per bag, 159 00:05:34,404 --> 00:05:37,282 a 2 cent tax per bag, 160 00:05:37,282 --> 00:05:40,382 then this is probably going to be the best option 161 00:05:40,382 --> 00:05:43,696 in terms of optimizing the total surplus.