0:00:00.537,0:00:04.067 In the last video, we first[br]thought about externalities, 0:00:04.067,0:00:05.610 the negative externalities 0:00:05.610,0:00:07.603 of having plastic bags around. 0:00:07.603,0:00:09.612 It causes litter, it might damage animals 0:00:09.612,0:00:11.614 and the environment in some way. 0:00:11.614,0:00:14.275 We're assuming ... And[br]we assumed in that video 0:00:14.275,0:00:16.613 that we were able to calculate the actual 0:00:16.613,0:00:19.282 external cost of a plastic bag. 0:00:19.282,0:00:21.692 This two cents a bag is the impact on 0:00:21.692,0:00:22.668 litter in the environment. 0:00:22.668,0:00:24.268 Then we were able to figure out 0:00:24.268,0:00:25.667 that if we factor this in, 0:00:25.667,0:00:27.139 instead of just having the regular 0:00:27.139,0:00:28.540 marginal cost cover the suppliers, 0:00:28.540,0:00:30.360 if we added that marginal cost curve 0:00:30.360,0:00:32.139 to the external cost, 0:00:32.139,0:00:33.699 we would get a supplier plus 0:00:33.699,0:00:36.334 external costs, marginal cost curve, 0:00:36.334,0:00:37.999 and then we'd get what is actually 0:00:37.999,0:00:42.111 the optimal price and[br]quantity of plastic bags 0:00:42.111,0:00:44.454 so that we actually do not eat into 0:00:44.454,0:00:45.935 our surplus by creating all of this 0:00:45.935,0:00:49.156 negative surplus where the total cost 0:00:49.156,0:00:50.210 of the bags are higher than 0:00:50.210,0:00:52.134 the total benefit. 0:00:52.134,0:00:53.719 One thing that we did not touch on 0:00:53.719,0:00:56.042 in that video, is how[br]does this actually happen? 0:00:56.042,0:00:59.216 If we just let things be, 0:00:59.216,0:01:00.471 and we just had the supplier's 0:01:00.471,0:01:01.668 marginal cost curve 0:01:01.668,0:01:04.332 and we have the consumer's demand curve, 0:01:04.332,0:01:06.717 in this case, the consumers[br]were the supermarkets, 0:01:06.717,0:01:08.340 then the equilibrium price that'll be 0:01:08.340,0:01:09.932 reached will be right over here 0:01:09.932,0:01:12.209 because although we're theoretically 0:01:12.209,0:01:14.004 saying that there's this cost over here, 0:01:14.004,0:01:17.544 the cost won't be factored in 0:01:17.544,0:01:18.884 into the markets. 0:01:18.884,0:01:21.135 So if you are the benevolent emperor 0:01:21.135,0:01:23.875 in this society, what do you do? 0:01:23.875,0:01:26.298 What do you do to get the quantity 0:01:26.298,0:01:28.550 closer to this point right over here 0:01:28.550,0:01:30.133 than what the equilibrium quantity 0:01:30.133,0:01:31.801 will be when you don't factor in 0:01:31.801,0:01:33.009 the external cost? 0:01:33.009,0:01:34.742 There's a bunch of options here. 0:01:34.742,0:01:37.468 You could just ban plastic bags ... 0:01:37.468,0:01:41.134 ban plastic bags, 0:01:41.134,0:01:44.066 you could put a quota on plastic bags, 0:01:44.066,0:01:47.883 you could put a quota, so saying that 0:01:47.883,0:01:50.467 more than a certain amount of bags 0:01:50.467,0:01:52.404 could not be produced, or 0:01:52.404,0:01:54.468 you could tax plastic bags, 0:01:54.468,0:01:57.332 or you could tax plastic bags. 0:01:57.332,0:01:59.340 Let's think about which of these will 0:01:59.340,0:02:01.596 result in the most surplus, 0:02:01.596,0:02:05.042 the most benefit to society in aggregate. 0:02:05.042,0:02:06.963 One core assumption we're going to make 0:02:06.963,0:02:10.404 is that this is an accurate assessment 0:02:10.404,0:02:13.331 of the external cost per bag. 0:02:13.331,0:02:15.403 If you were to just ban plastic bags 0:02:15.403,0:02:16.885 as this benevolent emperor, 0:02:16.885,0:02:18.070 maybe seemingly or hopefully 0:02:18.070,0:02:20.403 benevolent emperor of[br]this society right here, 0:02:20.403,0:02:22.067 if you just banned plastic bags, 0:02:22.067,0:02:23.404 what would happen? 0:02:23.404,0:02:25.468 Well, then this market just won't exist. 0:02:25.468,0:02:27.883 All of this surplus[br]that could have existed, 0:02:27.883,0:02:29.550 won't exist anymore, 0:02:29.550,0:02:32.130 so you would actually[br]be destroying surplus. 0:02:32.130,0:02:33.669 You could say, "No,[br]no, no ... plastic bags 0:02:33.669,0:02:35.736 are horrible. They should[br]just be outright banned. 0:02:35.736,0:02:37.465 There's no amount of benefit for which 0:02:37.465,0:02:40.337 plastic bags are worth using," 0:02:40.337,0:02:41.884 but in that case, you're actually arguing 0:02:41.884,0:02:43.711 this point right over here. 0:02:43.711,0:02:45.069 You'd be arguing that, "No, it's not 0:02:45.069,0:02:46.920 2 cents a bag, it's 10 cents a bag," 0:02:46.920,0:02:50.281 of negative externality,[br]and because of that, 0:02:50.281,0:02:52.449 you would have this[br]curve shift up even more 0:02:52.449,0:02:54.784 and then there's no[br]positive quantity there 0:02:54.784,0:02:56.611 and maybe a ban would be all right. 0:02:56.611,0:02:58.922 But if the 2 cents is the externality, 0:02:58.922,0:03:00.358 the negative externality, 0:03:00.358,0:03:02.050 and if you were to ban plastic bags, 0:03:02.050,0:03:04.194 then you would actually be removing, 0:03:04.194,0:03:07.522 you would be removing[br]this surplus from society. 0:03:07.522,0:03:10.386 That doesn't seem like a good option. 0:03:10.386,0:03:12.354 Now what about a quota? 0:03:12.354,0:03:15.191 You kind of look at the[br]study right over here 0:03:15.191,0:03:17.747 and you say, "Look, the optimal amount 0:03:17.747,0:03:20.623 of plastic bags is 1.9[br]million bags per week, 0:03:20.623,0:03:22.802 so I will just say that that's most 0:03:22.802,0:03:24.872 that the market can produce." 0:03:24.872,0:03:26.667 But when you say that, that's assuming 0:03:26.667,0:03:28.538 that you really do understand what this 0:03:28.538,0:03:30.206 demand curve looks like. 0:03:30.206,0:03:31.403 I just drew a straight line here 0:03:31.403,0:03:32.617 just out of simplicity, and 0:03:32.617,0:03:33.933 assuming that you really do understand 0:03:33.933,0:03:36.287 what this marginal cost curve looks like. 0:03:36.287,0:03:38.371 Throughout this playlist, 0:03:38.371,0:03:39.672 we've been assuming that we kind of do 0:03:39.672,0:03:40.869 understand those things, but 0:03:40.869,0:03:43.736 in the real world, it's actually very hard 0:03:43.736,0:03:45.533 to know exactly what the marginal cost 0:03:45.533,0:03:46.705 of the curve looks like, 0:03:46.705,0:03:47.808 and it's also hard to know exactly 0:03:47.808,0:03:49.737 what the marginal benefit curve, 0:03:49.737,0:03:51.207 or the demand curve looks like, 0:03:51.207,0:03:53.330 especially because[br]they're always changing. 0:03:53.330,0:03:54.446 There's always more competitors, 0:03:54.446,0:03:56.451 less competitors, more[br]substitute products, 0:03:56.451,0:03:58.665 more R&D, things are[br]getting more efficient, 0:03:58.665,0:04:00.621 less efficient; and so it's very hard 0:04:00.621,0:04:03.615 to know what the true equilibrium 0:04:03.615,0:04:05.598 quantity should be. 0:04:05.598,0:04:07.951 A quota is difficult. 0:04:07.951,0:04:10.469 We don't have quite the right information. 0:04:10.469,0:04:12.403 A tax is interesting. 0:04:12.403,0:04:14.468 A tax says, "Look, regardless of 0:04:14.468,0:04:16.205 what the marginal cost curve really is, 0:04:16.205,0:04:19.286 we're just going to[br]shift it up by 2 cents." 0:04:19.286,0:04:21.933 We saw that when we[br]first talked about taxes. 0:04:21.933,0:04:24.534 When we first talked about[br]taxes, we talked about 0:04:24.534,0:04:26.623 they're introducing a dead weight loss 0:04:26.623,0:04:28.884 because you're not[br]producing as much quantity 0:04:28.884,0:04:30.735 as you would have otherwise, or 0:04:30.735,0:04:32.955 as much quantity isn't being consumed. 0:04:32.955,0:04:34.673 But here, a tax could actually prevent 0:04:34.673,0:04:36.954 a dead weight loss because if you have 0:04:36.954,0:04:40.394 a 2 cent tax, essentially adding the cost 0:04:40.394,0:04:43.067 of the negative externality[br]in the form of a tax 0:04:43.067,0:04:46.136 on top of the supplier's[br]cost right over here, 0:04:46.136,0:04:48.736 you are going to cause[br]the equilibrium quantity 0:04:48.736,0:04:51.367 to be the quantity where you're not 0:04:51.367,0:04:53.735 generating all of this negative surplus, 0:04:53.735,0:04:56.202 and it's just a positive side effect, 0:04:56.202,0:04:57.341 and once again, this is all assuming 0:04:57.341,0:04:58.538 that this is the right number, 0:04:58.538,0:05:00.602 but it would be a positive side effect 0:05:00.602,0:05:02.289 that you would also generate some revenue 0:05:02.289,0:05:03.467 for the government. 0:05:03.467,0:05:05.803 What's good about the[br]tax in this circumstance 0:05:05.803,0:05:07.866 right over here, you're[br]not assuming anything 0:05:07.866,0:05:09.800 about what the marginal[br]cost curve looks like 0:05:09.800,0:05:12.138 or what the demand curve looks like. 0:05:12.138,0:05:13.676 As long as you're assuming that this 0:05:13.676,0:05:14.622 is the right number, 0:05:14.622,0:05:18.070 the tax will always shift whatever 0:05:18.070,0:05:19.537 the marginal cost curve is, 0:05:19.537,0:05:21.452 it'll always shift it to the right point 0:05:21.452,0:05:26.372 to intersect wherever the demand curve is 0:05:26.372,0:05:28.203 at this equilibrium point, 0:05:28.203,0:05:29.534 that gives us an equilibrium price 0:05:29.534,0:05:30.948 and an equilibrium quantity. 0:05:30.948,0:05:32.618 So if this is the right number and 0:05:32.618,0:05:34.404 you put a 2 cent tax per bag, 0:05:34.404,0:05:37.282 a 2 cent tax per bag, 0:05:37.282,0:05:40.382 then this is probably[br]going to be the best option 0:05:40.382,0:05:43.696 in terms of optimizing the total surplus.