1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 On the fourth of January, 1934, 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A young man delivered a report 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the United States Congress 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that 80 years on, 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 still shapes the lives of everyone in this room today. 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Still shapes the lives of everyone on this planet. 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That young man wasn't a politician, 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 he wasn't a businessman, 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a civil rights activist, 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or a faith leader. 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 He was the most unlikely of heroes, 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 an economist. 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Laughter) 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 His name was Simon Kuznets 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the report that he delivered was called, 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 "National Income, 1929-32" 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, you might think that 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is a rather dry and dull report, 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you're absolutely right. 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's dry as a bone. 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But this report is the foundation 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of how, today, we judge the success of countries. 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What we know best as Gross Domestic Product, 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or GDP. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 GDP has defined and shaped our lives 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for the last 80 years. 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And today I want to talk about 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a different way to measure the success of countries. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A different way to define and shape our lives 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for the nest 80 years. 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But first, we need to understand 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how GDP came to dominate our lives. 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Kuznet's report was delivered 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at a moment of crisis. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The U.S. economy was plumetting 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 into the Great Depression. 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and policy makers were struggling to respond. 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Struggling because they didn't know what was going on. 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They didn't have data and statistics. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So what Kuznet's report gave them 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was reliable data on what the U.S. economy 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was producing, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 updated year by year. 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And armed with this information, 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 policy makers were, eventually, 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 able to find a way out of the slump. 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And because Kuznet's invention 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was found to be so useful, 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it spread around the world. 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And now today, every country 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 produces GDP statistics. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But, in that first report, 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Kuznets himself delivered a warning. 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's in the introductory chapter, 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 page 7 he says, 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 "The welfare of a nation can, therefore, 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 scarcely be inferred 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from a measurement of national income 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as defined above." 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's not the greatest soundbite in the world, 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's dressed up in the coursest language 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the economist, 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but his message was clear, 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 GDP is a tool 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to help us measure economic performance. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's not a measure of our wellbeing. 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it shouldn't be a guide 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to all decision making. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But we have ignored 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Kuznet's warning. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We live in a world where 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 GDP is the benchmark of sucess 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in a global economy. 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our politicians boast when GDP goes up, 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Markets move 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and trillions of dollars in capital 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 move around the world 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 based on which countries are going up, 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and which countries are going down. 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 All measured in GDP. 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our societies have become 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 engines to create more GDP. 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But we know that GDP is flawed. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It ignores the environment. 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It counts bombs and prisons and progress. 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It can't count happiness 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or community. 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it has nothing to say 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about fairness or justice. 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Is it any surprise, 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that our world, 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 marching to the drumbeat of GDP, 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is teetering on the brink 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of environmental disaster 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and filled with anger and conflict? 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We need a better way 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to measure our societies. 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A measure based on the real things 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that matter to real people.