0:00:00.000,0:00:02.000 We are here today 0:00:02.000,0:00:04.000 because [the] United Nations 0:00:04.000,0:00:06.000 have defined goals 0:00:06.000,0:00:08.000 for the progress of countries. 0:00:08.000,0:00:11.000 They're called Millennium Development Goals. 0:00:11.000,0:00:14.000 And the reason I really like these goals 0:00:14.000,0:00:17.000 is that there are eight of them. 0:00:17.000,0:00:19.000 And by specifying eight different goals, 0:00:19.000,0:00:21.000 the United Nations has said 0:00:21.000,0:00:23.000 that there are so many things needed 0:00:23.000,0:00:25.000 to change in a country 0:00:25.000,0:00:27.000 in order to get the good life for people. 0:00:27.000,0:00:29.000 Look here -- you have to end poverty, 0:00:29.000,0:00:31.000 education, gender, 0:00:31.000,0:00:33.000 child and maternal health, 0:00:33.000,0:00:36.000 control infections, protect the environment 0:00:36.000,0:00:38.000 and get the good global links between nations 0:00:38.000,0:00:40.000 in every aspect 0:00:40.000,0:00:43.000 from aid to trade. 0:00:43.000,0:00:46.000 There's a second reason I like these development goals, 0:00:46.000,0:00:49.000 and that is because each and every one is measured. 0:00:49.000,0:00:52.000 Take child mortality; 0:00:52.000,0:00:54.000 the aim here is to reduce child mortality 0:00:54.000,0:00:56.000 by two-thirds, 0:00:56.000,0:00:59.000 from 1990 to 2015. 0:00:59.000,0:01:02.000 That's a four percent reduction per year -- 0:01:03.000,0:01:05.000 and this, with measuring. 0:01:05.000,0:01:07.000 That's what makes the difference 0:01:07.000,0:01:09.000 between political talking like this 0:01:09.000,0:01:11.000 and really going for the important thing, 0:01:11.000,0:01:14.000 a better life for people. 0:01:14.000,0:01:16.000 And what I'm so happy about with this 0:01:16.000,0:01:18.000 is that we have already documented 0:01:18.000,0:01:20.000 that there are many countries 0:01:20.000,0:01:22.000 in Asia, in the Middle East, 0:01:22.000,0:01:25.000 in Latin America and East Europe 0:01:25.000,0:01:27.000 that [are] reducing with this rate. 0:01:27.000,0:01:30.000 And even mighty Brazil is going down with five percent per year, 0:01:30.000,0:01:32.000 and Turkey with seven percent per year. 0:01:32.000,0:01:34.000 So there's good news. 0:01:34.000,0:01:37.000 But then I hear people saying, "There is no progress in Africa. 0:01:37.000,0:01:39.000 And there's not even statistics on Africa 0:01:39.000,0:01:41.000 to know what is happening." 0:01:41.000,0:01:44.000 I'll prove them wrong on both points. 0:01:44.000,0:01:47.000 Come with me to the wonderful world of statistics. 0:01:47.000,0:01:50.000 I bring you to the webpage, ChildMortality.org, 0:01:50.000,0:01:52.000 where you can take deaths in children 0:01:52.000,0:01:55.000 below five years of age for all countries -- 0:01:55.000,0:01:57.000 it's done by U.N. specialists. 0:01:57.000,0:01:59.000 And I will take Kenya as an example. 0:01:59.000,0:02:01.000 Here you see the data. 0:02:01.000,0:02:04.000 Don't panic -- don't panic now, I'll help you through this. 0:02:04.000,0:02:06.000 It looks nasty, like in college 0:02:06.000,0:02:08.000 when you didn't like statistics. 0:02:08.000,0:02:10.000 But first thing, when you see dots like this, 0:02:10.000,0:02:12.000 you have to ask yourself: 0:02:12.000,0:02:14.000 from where do the data come? 0:02:14.000,0:02:16.000 What is the origin of the data? 0:02:16.000,0:02:18.000 Is it so that in Kenya, 0:02:18.000,0:02:20.000 there are doctors and other specialists 0:02:20.000,0:02:22.000 who write the death certificate at the death of the child 0:02:22.000,0:02:24.000 and it's sent to the statistical office? 0:02:24.000,0:02:27.000 No -- low-income countries like Kenya 0:02:27.000,0:02:30.000 still don't have that level of organization. 0:02:30.000,0:02:32.000 It exists, but it's not complete 0:02:32.000,0:02:35.000 because so many deaths occur in the home 0:02:35.000,0:02:37.000 with the family, 0:02:37.000,0:02:39.000 and it's not registered. 0:02:39.000,0:02:41.000 What we rely on is not an incomplete system. 0:02:41.000,0:02:44.000 We have interviews, we have surveys. 0:02:44.000,0:02:46.000 And this is highly professional 0:02:46.000,0:02:48.000 female interviewers 0:02:48.000,0:02:50.000 who sit down for one hour with a woman 0:02:50.000,0:02:52.000 and ask her about [her] birth history. 0:02:52.000,0:02:54.000 How many children did you have? 0:02:54.000,0:02:56.000 Are they alive? 0:02:56.000,0:02:59.000 If they died, at what age and what year? 0:02:59.000,0:03:01.000 And then this is done in a representative sample 0:03:01.000,0:03:04.000 of thousands of women in the country 0:03:04.000,0:03:06.000 and put together in what used to be called 0:03:06.000,0:03:09.000 a demographic health survey report. 0:03:09.000,0:03:11.000 But these surveys are costly, 0:03:11.000,0:03:14.000 so they can only be done [in] three- to five-year intervals. 0:03:14.000,0:03:16.000 But they have good quality. 0:03:16.000,0:03:18.000 So this is a limitation. 0:03:18.000,0:03:21.000 And all these colored lines here are results; 0:03:21.000,0:03:23.000 each color is one survey. 0:03:23.000,0:03:26.000 But that's too complicated for today, so I'll simplify it for you, 0:03:26.000,0:03:29.000 and I give you one average point for each survey. 0:03:29.000,0:03:32.000 This was 1977, 1988, 0:03:32.000,0:03:34.000 1992, '97 0:03:34.000,0:03:37.000 and 2002. 0:03:37.000,0:03:39.000 And when the experts in the U.N. 0:03:39.000,0:03:42.000 have got these surveys in place in their database, 0:03:42.000,0:03:45.000 then they use advanced mathematical formulas 0:03:45.000,0:03:48.000 to produce a trend line, and the trend line looks like this. 0:03:48.000,0:03:51.000 See here -- it's the best fit they can get of this point. 0:03:51.000,0:03:53.000 But watch out -- 0:03:53.000,0:03:55.000 they continue the line 0:03:55.000,0:03:57.000 beyond the last point 0:03:57.000,0:03:59.000 out into nothing. 0:03:59.000,0:04:02.000 And they estimated that in 2008, 0:04:02.000,0:04:05.000 Kenya had per child mortality of 128. 0:04:05.000,0:04:07.000 And I was sad, 0:04:07.000,0:04:09.000 because we could see 0:04:09.000,0:04:11.000 this reversal in Kenya 0:04:11.000,0:04:14.000 with an increased child mortality in the 90s. 0:04:14.000,0:04:16.000 It was so tragic. 0:04:16.000,0:04:19.000 But in June, I got a mail in my inbox 0:04:19.000,0:04:21.000 from Demographic Health Surveys, 0:04:21.000,0:04:23.000 and it showed good news from Kenya. 0:04:23.000,0:04:25.000 I was so happy. 0:04:25.000,0:04:28.000 This was the estimate of the new survey. 0:04:28.000,0:04:30.000 Then it just took another three months 0:04:30.000,0:04:32.000 for [the] U.N. to get it into their server, 0:04:32.000,0:04:35.000 and on Friday we got the new trend line -- 0:04:35.000,0:04:37.000 it was down here. 0:04:37.000,0:04:39.000 Isn't it nice -- isn't it nice, yeah? 0:04:39.000,0:04:42.000 I was actually, on Friday, sitting in front of my computer, 0:04:42.000,0:04:44.000 and I saw the death rate fall 0:04:44.000,0:04:47.000 from 128 to 84 just that morning. 0:04:47.000,0:04:49.000 So we celebrated. 0:04:49.000,0:04:51.000 But now, when you have this trend line, 0:04:51.000,0:04:53.000 how do we measure progress? 0:04:53.000,0:04:55.000 I'm going into some details here, 0:04:55.000,0:04:57.000 because [the] U.N. do it like this. 0:04:57.000,0:05:00.000 They start [in] 1990 -- they measure to 2009. 0:05:00.000,0:05:03.000 They say, "0.9 percent, no progress." 0:05:03.000,0:05:05.000 That's unfair. 0:05:05.000,0:05:08.000 As a professor, I think I have the right to propose something differently. 0:05:08.000,0:05:10.000 I would say, at least do this -- 0:05:10.000,0:05:12.000 10 years is enough to follow the trend. 0:05:12.000,0:05:15.000 It's two surveys, and you can see what's happening now. 0:05:15.000,0:05:17.000 They have 2.4 percent. 0:05:17.000,0:05:19.000 Had I been in the Ministry of Health in Kenya, 0:05:19.000,0:05:22.000 I may have joined these two points. 0:05:22.000,0:05:24.000 So what I'm telling you 0:05:24.000,0:05:26.000 is that we know the child mortality. 0:05:26.000,0:05:28.000 We have a decent trend. 0:05:28.000,0:05:30.000 It's coming into some tricky things then 0:05:30.000,0:05:32.000 when we are measuring MDGs. 0:05:32.000,0:05:35.000 And the reason here for Africa is especially important, 0:05:35.000,0:05:37.000 because '90s was a bad decade, 0:05:37.000,0:05:40.000 not only in Kenya, but across Africa. 0:05:40.000,0:05:42.000 The HIV epidemic peaked. 0:05:42.000,0:05:45.000 There was resistance for the old malaria drugs, until we got the new drugs. 0:05:45.000,0:05:47.000 We got, later, the mosquito netting. 0:05:47.000,0:05:49.000 And there was socio-economic problems, 0:05:49.000,0:05:52.000 which are now being solved at a much better scale. 0:05:52.000,0:05:54.000 So look at the average here -- 0:05:54.000,0:05:56.000 this is the average for all of sub-Saharan Africa. 0:05:56.000,0:05:58.000 And [the] U.N. says 0:05:58.000,0:06:01.000 it's a reduction with 1.8 percent. 0:06:01.000,0:06:03.000 Now this sounds a little theoretical, 0:06:03.000,0:06:05.000 but it's not so theoretical. 0:06:05.000,0:06:07.000 You know, these economists, 0:06:07.000,0:06:10.000 they love money, they want more and more of it, they want it to grow. 0:06:10.000,0:06:13.000 So they calculate the percent annual growth rate of [the] economy. 0:06:13.000,0:06:16.000 We in public health, we hate child death, 0:06:16.000,0:06:18.000 so we want less and less and less of child deaths. 0:06:18.000,0:06:20.000 So we calculate the percent reduction per year, 0:06:20.000,0:06:22.000 but it's sort of the same percentage. 0:06:22.000,0:06:24.000 If your economy grows with four percent, 0:06:24.000,0:06:26.000 you ought to reduce child mortality four percent; 0:06:26.000,0:06:29.000 if it's used well and people are really involved 0:06:29.000,0:06:32.000 and can get the use of the resources in the way they want it. 0:06:32.000,0:06:35.000 So is this fair now to measure this over 19 years? 0:06:35.000,0:06:38.000 An economist would never do that. 0:06:38.000,0:06:40.000 I have just divided it into two periods. 0:06:40.000,0:06:43.000 In the 90s, only 1.2 percent, 0:06:43.000,0:06:45.000 only 1.2 percent. 0:06:45.000,0:06:47.000 Whereas now, second gear -- 0:06:47.000,0:06:49.000 it's like Africa had first gear, 0:06:49.000,0:06:51.000 now they go into second gear. 0:06:51.000,0:06:53.000 But even this 0:06:53.000,0:06:55.000 is not a fair representation of Africa, 0:06:55.000,0:06:57.000 because it's an average, 0:06:57.000,0:06:59.000 it's an average speed of reduction in Africa. 0:06:59.000,0:07:02.000 And look here when I take you into my bubble graphs. 0:07:02.000,0:07:04.000 Still here, 0:07:04.000,0:07:07.000 child death per 1,000 on that axis. 0:07:07.000,0:07:09.000 Here we have [the] year. 0:07:09.000,0:07:12.000 And I'm now giving you a wider picture than the MDG. 0:07:12.000,0:07:14.000 I start 50 years ago 0:07:14.000,0:07:17.000 when Africa celebrated independence in most countries. 0:07:17.000,0:07:19.000 I give you Congo, which was high, 0:07:19.000,0:07:21.000 Ghana -- lower. And Kenya -- even lower. 0:07:21.000,0:07:24.000 And what has happened over the years since then? Here we go. 0:07:24.000,0:07:27.000 You can see, with independence, literacy improved 0:07:27.000,0:07:30.000 and vaccinations started, smallpox was eradicated, 0:07:30.000,0:07:33.000 hygiene was improved, and things got better. 0:07:33.000,0:07:35.000 But then, in the '80s, watch out here. 0:07:35.000,0:07:37.000 Congo got into civil war, 0:07:37.000,0:07:39.000 and they leveled off here. 0:07:39.000,0:07:41.000 Ghana got very ahead, fast. 0:07:41.000,0:07:44.000 This was the backlash in Kenya, and Ghana bypassed, 0:07:44.000,0:07:46.000 but then Kenya and Ghana go down together -- 0:07:46.000,0:07:48.000 still a standstill in Congo. 0:07:48.000,0:07:50.000 That's where we are today. 0:07:50.000,0:07:53.000 You can see it doesn't make sense 0:07:53.000,0:07:56.000 to make an average of this zero improvement 0:07:56.000,0:07:59.000 and this very fast improvement. 0:08:00.000,0:08:02.000 Time has come 0:08:02.000,0:08:06.000 to stop thinking about sub-Saharan Africa as one place. 0:08:06.000,0:08:09.000 Their countries are so different, 0:08:09.000,0:08:12.000 and they merit to be recognized in the same way, 0:08:12.000,0:08:14.000 as we don't talk about Europe as one place. 0:08:14.000,0:08:17.000 I can tell you that the economy in Greece and Sweden are very different -- 0:08:17.000,0:08:19.000 everyone knows that. 0:08:19.000,0:08:22.000 And they are judged, each country, on how they are doing. 0:08:22.000,0:08:25.000 So let me show the wider picture. 0:08:25.000,0:08:28.000 My country, Sweden: 0:08:28.000,0:08:31.000 1800, we were up there. 0:08:31.000,0:08:34.000 What a strange personality disorder we must have, 0:08:34.000,0:08:37.000 counting the children so meticulously in spite of a high child death rate. 0:08:37.000,0:08:40.000 It's very strange. It's sort of embarrassing. 0:08:40.000,0:08:42.000 But we had that habit in Sweden, you know, 0:08:42.000,0:08:44.000 that we counted all the child deaths, 0:08:44.000,0:08:46.000 even if we didn't do anything about it. 0:08:46.000,0:08:48.000 And then, you see, these were famine years. 0:08:48.000,0:08:50.000 These were bad years, and people got fed up with Sweden. 0:08:50.000,0:08:53.000 My ancestors moved to the United States. 0:08:53.000,0:08:56.000 And eventually, soon they started to get better and better here. 0:08:56.000,0:08:59.000 And here we got better education, and we got health service, 0:08:59.000,0:09:01.000 and child mortality came down. 0:09:01.000,0:09:04.000 We never had a war; Sweden was in peace all this time. 0:09:04.000,0:09:06.000 But look, the rate of lowering 0:09:06.000,0:09:08.000 in Sweden 0:09:08.000,0:09:10.000 was not fast. 0:09:10.000,0:09:13.000 Sweden achieved a low child mortality 0:09:13.000,0:09:16.000 because we started early. 0:09:16.000,0:09:18.000 We had primary school actually 0:09:18.000,0:09:20.000 started in 1842. 0:09:20.000,0:09:22.000 And then you get that wonderful effect 0:09:22.000,0:09:24.000 when we got female literacy 0:09:24.000,0:09:26.000 one generation later. 0:09:26.000,0:09:29.000 You have to realize that the investments we do in progress 0:09:29.000,0:09:31.000 are long-term investments. 0:09:31.000,0:09:33.000 It's not about just five years -- 0:09:33.000,0:09:35.000 it's long-term investments. 0:09:35.000,0:09:38.000 And Sweden never reached [the] Millennium Development Goal rate, 0:09:38.000,0:09:40.000 3.1 percent when I calculated. 0:09:40.000,0:09:43.000 So we are off track -- that's what Sweden is. 0:09:43.000,0:09:45.000 But you don't talk about it so much. 0:09:45.000,0:09:48.000 We want others to be better than we were, and indeed, others have been better. 0:09:48.000,0:09:50.000 Let me show you Thailand, 0:09:50.000,0:09:52.000 see what a success story, Thailand from the 1960s -- 0:09:52.000,0:09:54.000 how they went down here 0:09:54.000,0:09:57.000 and reached almost the same child mortality levels as Sweden. 0:09:57.000,0:10:00.000 And I'll give you another story -- Egypt, 0:10:00.000,0:10:03.000 the most hidden, glorious success in public health. 0:10:03.000,0:10:05.000 Egypt was up here in 1960, 0:10:05.000,0:10:07.000 higher than Congo. 0:10:07.000,0:10:10.000 The Nile Delta was a misery for children 0:10:10.000,0:10:12.000 with diarrheal disease 0:10:12.000,0:10:14.000 and malaria and a lot of problems. 0:10:14.000,0:10:17.000 And then they got the Aswan Dam. They got electricity in their homes, 0:10:17.000,0:10:19.000 they increased education 0:10:19.000,0:10:21.000 and they got primary health care. 0:10:21.000,0:10:23.000 And down they went, you know. 0:10:23.000,0:10:26.000 And they got safer water, they eradicated malaria. 0:10:26.000,0:10:28.000 And isn't it a success story. 0:10:28.000,0:10:31.000 Millennium Development Goal rates for child mortality 0:10:31.000,0:10:33.000 is fully possible. 0:10:33.000,0:10:35.000 And the good thing is 0:10:35.000,0:10:37.000 that Ghana today is going with the same rate 0:10:37.000,0:10:40.000 as Egypt did at its fastest. 0:10:40.000,0:10:42.000 Kenya is now speeding up. 0:10:42.000,0:10:44.000 Here we have a problem. 0:10:44.000,0:10:47.000 We have a severe problem in countries which are at a standstill. 0:10:48.000,0:10:51.000 Now, let me now bring you to a wider picture, 0:10:51.000,0:10:53.000 a wider picture of child mortality. 0:10:53.000,0:10:55.000 I'm going to show you the relationship 0:10:55.000,0:10:58.000 between child mortality on this axis here -- 0:10:58.000,0:11:01.000 this axis here is child mortality -- 0:11:01.000,0:11:04.000 and here I have the family size. 0:11:04.000,0:11:06.000 The relationship between child mortality and family size. 0:11:06.000,0:11:08.000 One, two, three, four children per woman: 0:11:08.000,0:11:10.000 six, seven, eight children per woman. 0:11:10.000,0:11:12.000 This is, once again, 1960 -- 0:11:12.000,0:11:14.000 50 years ago. 0:11:14.000,0:11:16.000 Each bubble is a country -- 0:11:16.000,0:11:18.000 the color, you can see, a continent. 0:11:18.000,0:11:20.000 The dark blue here is sub-Saharan Africa. 0:11:20.000,0:11:23.000 And the size of the bubble is the population. 0:11:24.000,0:11:26.000 And these are 0:11:26.000,0:11:28.000 the so-called "developing" countries. 0:11:28.000,0:11:31.000 They had high, or very high, child mortality 0:11:31.000,0:11:34.000 and family size, six to eight. 0:11:34.000,0:11:36.000 And the ones over there, 0:11:36.000,0:11:38.000 they were so-called Western countries. 0:11:38.000,0:11:40.000 They had low child mortality 0:11:40.000,0:11:42.000 and small families. 0:11:42.000,0:11:44.000 What has happened? 0:11:44.000,0:11:47.000 What I want you [to do] now is to see with your own eyes 0:11:47.000,0:11:50.000 the relation between fall in child mortality 0:11:50.000,0:11:53.000 and decrease in family size. 0:11:53.000,0:11:55.000 I just want not to have any room for doubt -- 0:11:55.000,0:11:57.000 you have to see that for yourself. 0:11:57.000,0:12:00.000 This is what happened. Now I start the world. 0:12:00.000,0:12:02.000 Here we come down with the eradication of 0:12:02.000,0:12:04.000 smallpox, better education, 0:12:04.000,0:12:06.000 health service. 0:12:06.000,0:12:09.000 It got down there -- China comes into the Western box here. 0:12:09.000,0:12:11.000 And here Brazil is in the Western Box. 0:12:11.000,0:12:14.000 India is approaching. The first African countries coming into the Western box, 0:12:14.000,0:12:16.000 and we get a lot a new neighbors. 0:12:16.000,0:12:18.000 Welcome to a decent life. 0:12:18.000,0:12:20.000 Come on. We want everyone down there. 0:12:20.000,0:12:22.000 This is the vision we have, isn't it. 0:12:22.000,0:12:25.000 And look now, the first African countries here are coming in. 0:12:25.000,0:12:27.000 There we are today. 0:12:28.000,0:12:30.000 There is no such thing 0:12:30.000,0:12:32.000 as a "Western world" and "developing world." 0:12:32.000,0:12:34.000 This is the report from [the] U.N., 0:12:34.000,0:12:36.000 which came out on Friday. 0:12:36.000,0:12:39.000 It's very good -- "Levels and Trends in Child Mortality" -- 0:12:39.000,0:12:41.000 except this page. 0:12:41.000,0:12:43.000 This page is very bad; 0:12:43.000,0:12:46.000 it's a categorization of countries. 0:12:46.000,0:12:49.000 It labels "developing countries," -- I can read from the list here -- 0:12:49.000,0:12:52.000 developing countries: Republic of Korea -- South Korea. 0:12:52.000,0:12:54.000 Huh? 0:12:54.000,0:12:57.000 They get Samsung, how can they be [a] developing country? 0:12:57.000,0:12:59.000 They have here Singapore. 0:12:59.000,0:13:01.000 They have the lowest child mortality in the world, Singapore. 0:13:01.000,0:13:03.000 They bypassed Sweden five years ago, 0:13:03.000,0:13:05.000 and they are labeled a developing country. 0:13:05.000,0:13:07.000 They have here Qatar. 0:13:07.000,0:13:09.000 It's the richest country in the world with Al Jazeera. 0:13:09.000,0:13:11.000 How the heck could they be [a] developing country? 0:13:11.000,0:13:13.000 This is crap. 0:13:13.000,0:13:16.000 (Applause) 0:13:16.000,0:13:18.000 The rest here is good -- the rest is good. 0:13:18.000,0:13:20.000 We have to have a modern concept, 0:13:20.000,0:13:22.000 which fits to the data. 0:13:22.000,0:13:24.000 And we have to realize 0:13:24.000,0:13:27.000 that we are all going to into this, down to here. 0:13:27.000,0:13:30.000 What is the importance now with the relations here. 0:13:30.000,0:13:32.000 Look -- even if we look in Africa -- 0:13:32.000,0:13:34.000 these are the African countries. 0:13:34.000,0:13:37.000 You can clearly see the relation with falling child mortality 0:13:37.000,0:13:39.000 and decreasing family size, 0:13:39.000,0:13:41.000 even within Africa. 0:13:41.000,0:13:43.000 It's very clear that this is what happens. 0:13:43.000,0:13:46.000 And a very important piece of research came out on Friday 0:13:46.000,0:13:50.000 from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle 0:13:50.000,0:13:52.000 showing that almost 50 percent 0:13:52.000,0:13:54.000 of the fall in child mortality 0:13:54.000,0:13:57.000 can be attributed to female education. 0:13:57.000,0:14:00.000 That is, when we get girls in school, 0:14:00.000,0:14:02.000 we'll get an impact 15 to 20 years later, 0:14:02.000,0:14:05.000 which is a secular trend which is very strong. 0:14:05.000,0:14:08.000 That's why we must have that long-term perspective, 0:14:08.000,0:14:10.000 but we must measure the impact 0:14:10.000,0:14:12.000 over 10-year periods. 0:14:12.000,0:14:14.000 It's fully possible 0:14:14.000,0:14:16.000 to get child mortality down in all of these countries 0:14:16.000,0:14:18.000 and to get them down in the corner 0:14:18.000,0:14:21.000 where we all would like to live together. 0:14:22.000,0:14:25.000 And of course, lowering child mortality 0:14:25.000,0:14:28.000 is a matter of utmost importance 0:14:28.000,0:14:30.000 from humanitarian aspects. 0:14:30.000,0:14:32.000 It's a decent life for children, 0:14:32.000,0:14:34.000 we are talking about. 0:14:34.000,0:14:37.000 But it is also a strategic investment 0:14:37.000,0:14:39.000 in the future of all mankind, 0:14:39.000,0:14:42.000 because it's about the environment. 0:14:42.000,0:14:44.000 We will not be able to manage the environment 0:14:44.000,0:14:46.000 and avoid the terrible climate crisis 0:14:46.000,0:14:48.000 if we don't stabilize the world population. 0:14:48.000,0:14:50.000 Let's be clear about that. 0:14:50.000,0:14:52.000 And the way to do that, 0:14:52.000,0:14:55.000 that is to get child mortality down, get access to family planning 0:14:55.000,0:14:58.000 and behind that drive female education. 0:14:58.000,0:15:00.000 And that is fully possible. Let's do it. 0:15:00.000,0:15:02.000 Thank you very much. 0:15:02.000,0:15:12.000 (Applause)