[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.80,0:00:04.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I've been "futuring,"\Nwhich is a term I made up --
Dialogue: 0,0:00:04.20,0:00:05.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.48,0:00:06.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about three seconds ago.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:06.72,0:00:09.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I've been futuring for about 20 years,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.56,0:00:12.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and when I first started,\NI would sit down with people,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:12.92,0:00:15.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and say, "Hey,\Nlet's talk 10, 20 years out."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.84,0:00:17.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And they'd say, "Great."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.64,0:00:20.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I've been seeing that time horizon
Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.16,0:00:22.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,get shorter and shorter
Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.24,0:00:23.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and shorter,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:23.88,0:00:27.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so much so that I met\Nwith a CEO two months ago
Dialogue: 0,0:00:27.28,0:00:29.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I said -- we started\Nour initial conversation.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.68,0:00:33.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,He goes, "I love what you do.\NI want to talk about the next six months."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:33.44,0:00:35.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:36.04,0:00:39.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We have a lot of problems\Nthat we are facing.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:39.20,0:00:41.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,These are civilizational-scale problems.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:43.52,0:00:44.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The issue though is,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.60,0:00:47.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we can't solve them
Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.32,0:00:49.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,using the mental models\Nthat we use right now
Dialogue: 0,0:00:49.92,0:00:51.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to try and solve these problems.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.52,0:00:54.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Yes, a lot of great\Ntechnical work is being done,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:54.20,0:00:59.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but there is a problem that\Nwe need to solve for a priori, before,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:59.60,0:01:02.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if we want to really\Nmove the needle on those big problems.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:03.16,0:01:04.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Short-termism."
Dialogue: 0,0:01:04.92,0:01:07.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right? There's no marches.\NThere's no bracelets.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.40,0:01:11.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's no petitions that you can sign\Nto be against short-termism.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.28,0:01:14.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I tried to put one up, and no one signed.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:14.12,0:01:15.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was weird.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.36,0:01:16.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:01:17.28,0:01:20.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But it prevents us from doing so much.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.32,0:01:23.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism, for many reasons,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:23.04,0:01:25.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,has pervaded every\Nnook and cranny of our reality.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.96,0:01:27.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I just want you to take a second
Dialogue: 0,0:01:27.56,0:01:31.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and just think about an issue\Nthat you're thinking, working on.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:31.40,0:01:33.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It could be personal, it could be at work
Dialogue: 0,0:01:33.40,0:01:35.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or it could be\Nmove-the-needle world stuff,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:35.48,0:01:37.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and think about\Nhow far out you tend to think
Dialogue: 0,0:01:37.84,0:01:40.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the solution set for that.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:41.92,0:01:46.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because short-termism prevents the CEO
Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.36,0:01:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from buying really\Nexpensive safety equipment.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.92,0:01:51.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It'll hurt the bottom line.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:51.92,0:01:53.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we get the Deepwater Horizon.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:54.40,0:01:57.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism prevents teachers
Dialogue: 0,0:01:57.16,0:02:00.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from spending quality\None-on-one time with their students.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:00.72,0:02:02.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So right now in America,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:02.88,0:02:05.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a high school student\Ndrops out every 26 seconds.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.36,0:02:10.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism prevents Congress --
Dialogue: 0,0:02:10.12,0:02:12.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,sorry if there's anyone\Nin here from Congress --
Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.76,0:02:14.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:02:14.32,0:02:16.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or not really that sorry --
Dialogue: 0,0:02:16.40,0:02:18.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:02:18.64,0:02:21.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from putting money\Ninto a real infrastructure bill.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:21.84,0:02:24.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what we get\Nis the I-35W bridge collapse
Dialogue: 0,0:02:24.48,0:02:26.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,over the Mississippi a few years ago,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.32,0:02:27.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,13 killed.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:28.76,0:02:31.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It wasn't always like this.\NWe did the Panama Canal.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.60,0:02:34.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We pretty much\Nhave eradicated global polio.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.88,0:02:37.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We did the transcontinental railroad,\Nthe Marshall Plan.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.56,0:02:42.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it's not just big, physical\Ninfrastructure problems and issues.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.92,0:02:44.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Women's suffrage, the right to vote.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:44.84,0:02:47.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But in our short-termist time,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:47.64,0:02:50.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where everything seems to happen right now
Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.16,0:02:54.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we can only think out\Npast the next tweet or timeline post,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:54.68,0:02:56.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we get hyper-reactionary.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.72,0:02:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what do we do?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:58.88,0:03:02.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We take people who are fleeing\Ntheir war-torn country,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.16,0:03:03.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we go after them.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:03.44,0:03:07.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We take low-level drug offenders,\Nand we put them away for life.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:07.08,0:03:09.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then we build McMansions\Nwithout even thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:03:09.48,0:03:12.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about how people are going\Nto get between them and their job.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:12.37,0:03:13.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a quick buck.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.76,0:03:17.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, the reality is,\Nfor a lot of these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:17.12,0:03:19.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,there are some technical fixes,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.92,0:03:21.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a lot of them.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:21.16,0:03:24.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I call these technical fixes\Nsandbag strategies.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:24.72,0:03:26.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you know there's a storm coming,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:26.44,0:03:29.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the levee is broken,\Nno one's put any money into it,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:29.20,0:03:31.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you surround your home with sandbags.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.04,0:03:32.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And guess what? It works.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:34.60,0:03:36.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Storm goes away,\Nthe water level goes down,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:36.64,0:03:38.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you get rid of the sandbags,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:38.04,0:03:40.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do this storm\Nafter storm after storm.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:41.92,0:03:43.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And here's the insidious thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:44.12,0:03:46.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A sandbag strategy
Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.04,0:03:47.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,can get you reelected.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:48.32,0:03:49.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A sandbag strategy
Dialogue: 0,0:03:49.72,0:03:51.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,can help you make your quarterly numbers.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:54.24,0:03:57.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, if we want to move forward
Dialogue: 0,0:03:57.24,0:04:00.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,into a different future\Nthan the one we have right now,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.04,0:04:02.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because I don't think we've hit --
Dialogue: 0,0:04:02.12,0:04:04.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,2016 is not peak civilization.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:04.12,0:04:05.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:04:05.48,0:04:07.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's some more we can do.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:07.28,0:04:11.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But my argument is that unless we shift\Nour mental models and our mental maps
Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.92,0:04:14.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,on how we think about the short,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:14.28,0:04:15.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it's not going to happen.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.00,0:04:18.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what I've developed\Nis something called "longpath,"
Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.00,0:04:20.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it's a practice.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:20.76,0:04:24.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And longpath isn't\Na kind of one-and-done exercise.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:24.72,0:04:27.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm sure everyone here\Nat some point has done an off-site
Dialogue: 0,0:04:27.44,0:04:29.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with a lot of Post-It notes\Nand whiteboards,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.56,0:04:32.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do --
Dialogue: 0,0:04:32.48,0:04:34.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,no offense to the consultants\Nin here who do that --
Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.96,0:04:36.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do a long-term plan,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:36.60,0:04:39.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and then two weeks later,\Neveryone forgets about it.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:40.64,0:04:43.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right? Or a week later.\NIf you're lucky, three months.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:44.84,0:04:48.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a practice because\Nit's not necessarily a thing that you do.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:48.44,0:04:52.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a process where you have\Nto revisit different ways of thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:04:52.24,0:04:54.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for every major decision\Nthat you're working on.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:54.68,0:04:57.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I want to go through\Nthose three ways of thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:57.96,0:05:00.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So the first: transgenerational thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:01.36,0:05:03.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love the philosophers:
Dialogue: 0,0:05:03.60,0:05:05.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Plato, Socrates, Habermas, Heidegger.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:05.44,0:05:06.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I was raised on them.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:08.04,0:05:09.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But they all did one thing
Dialogue: 0,0:05:10.00,0:05:11.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that didn't actually seem like a big deal
Dialogue: 0,0:05:12.00,0:05:14.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,until I really started\Nkind of looking into this.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.36,0:05:16.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And they all took,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:16.20,0:05:19.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as a unit of measure\Nfor their entire reality
Dialogue: 0,0:05:19.12,0:05:21.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of what it meant to be virtuous and good,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:21.88,0:05:23.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the single lifespan,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:23.96,0:05:25.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from birth to death.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:25.64,0:05:27.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But here's a problem with these issues:
Dialogue: 0,0:05:27.72,0:05:29.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they stack up on top of us,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:29.16,0:05:32.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because the only way we know\Nhow to do something good in the world
Dialogue: 0,0:05:32.32,0:05:34.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is if we do it between\Nour birth and our death.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:34.56,0:05:36.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's what we're programmed to do.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:36.28,0:05:38.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you go to the self-help section\Nin any bookstore,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:38.76,0:05:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it's all about you.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:41.40,0:05:43.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Which is great,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:43.28,0:05:46.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,unless you're dealing\Nwith some of these major issues.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:47.96,0:05:50.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And so with transgenerational thinking,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:51.28,0:05:53.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is really kind of\Ntransgenerational ethics,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:53.96,0:05:57.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you're able to expand\Nhow you think about these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:57.60,0:06:00.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what is your role\Nin helping to solve them.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:01.72,0:06:05.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, this isn't something that just has to\Nbe done at the Security Council chamber.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:06.48,0:06:09.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's something that you can do\Nin a very kind of personal way.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:09.76,0:06:14.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So every once in a while, if I'm lucky,\Nmy wife and I like to go out to dinner,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:14.20,0:06:17.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we have three children\Nunder the age of seven.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:17.48,0:06:19.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you can imagine\Nit's a very peaceful, quiet meal.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:19.93,0:06:21.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:06:21.16,0:06:26.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we sit down and literally\Nall I want to do is just eat and chill,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:26.76,0:06:29.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and my kids have a completely\Nand totally different idea
Dialogue: 0,0:06:29.44,0:06:31.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of what we're going to be doing.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:31.04,0:06:33.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And so my first idea
Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.40,0:06:35.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is my sandbag strategy, right?
Dialogue: 0,0:06:35.32,0:06:37.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's to go into my pocket\Nand take out the iPhone
Dialogue: 0,0:06:37.68,0:06:39.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and give them "Frozen"
Dialogue: 0,0:06:39.16,0:06:42.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or some other bestselling game thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:43.24,0:06:46.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then I stop
Dialogue: 0,0:06:46.96,0:06:51.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I have to kind of put on\Nthis transgenerational thinking cap.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:51.56,0:06:54.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I don't do this in the restaurant,\Nbecause it would be bizarre,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:54.56,0:06:55.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I have to --
Dialogue: 0,0:06:55.88,0:06:58.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I did it once, and that's how\NI learned it was bizarre.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:58.52,0:06:59.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:06:59.56,0:07:03.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And you have to kind of think,\N"OK, I can do this."
Dialogue: 0,0:07:04.44,0:07:06.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what is this teaching them?
Dialogue: 0,0:07:07.48,0:07:10.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what does it mean\Nif I actually bring some paper
Dialogue: 0,0:07:10.12,0:07:11.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or engage with them in conversation?
Dialogue: 0,0:07:11.88,0:07:14.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's hard. It's not easy,\Nand I'm making this very personal.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:14.76,0:07:16.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's actually more traumatic
Dialogue: 0,0:07:16.16,0:07:18.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than some of the big issues\Nthat I work on in the world --
Dialogue: 0,0:07:18.92,0:07:20.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,entertaining my kids at dinner.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:21.56,0:07:24.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what it does is it connects them\Nhere in the present with me,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:24.72,0:07:25.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it also --
Dialogue: 0,0:07:26.00,0:07:29.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this is the crux\Nof transgenerational thinking ethics --
Dialogue: 0,0:07:29.48,0:07:32.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it sets them up to how they're\Ngoing to interact with their kids
Dialogue: 0,0:07:32.80,0:07:34.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and their kids and their kids.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:36.36,0:07:38.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Second, futures thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.68,0:07:40.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When we think about the future,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:40.68,0:07:41.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,10, 15 years out,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:42.92,0:07:44.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,give me a vision of what the future is.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:46.00,0:07:48.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You don't have to give it to me,\Nbut think in your head.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:48.68,0:07:50.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And what you're probably going to see
Dialogue: 0,0:07:50.84,0:07:52.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is the dominant cultural lens
Dialogue: 0,0:07:52.68,0:07:55.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that dominates our thinking\Nabout the future right now:
Dialogue: 0,0:07:55.76,0:07:56.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,technology.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:57.84,0:07:59.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when we think about the problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:59.60,0:08:01.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we always put it through\Na technological lens,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:01.80,0:08:05.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a tech-centric, a techno-utopia,\Nand there's nothing wrong with that,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:05.08,0:08:08.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it's something that we have to\Nreally think deeply about
Dialogue: 0,0:08:08.40,0:08:11.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if we're going to move\Non these major issues,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:11.28,0:08:13.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because it wasn't always like this. Right?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:13.36,0:08:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The ancients had their way of thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:08:16.84,0:08:18.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about what the future was.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:19.64,0:08:24.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The Church definitely had their idea\Nof what the future could be,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:24.56,0:08:27.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you could actually pay your way\Ninto that future. Right?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:27.52,0:08:29.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And luckily for humanity,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:29.48,0:08:31.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we got the scientific revolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:31.64,0:08:33.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,From there, we got the technology,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:33.32,0:08:34.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but what has happened --
Dialogue: 0,0:08:35.00,0:08:37.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And by the way, this is not a critique.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:38.32,0:08:40.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love technology.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:40.72,0:08:42.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Everything in my house talks back to me,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:42.68,0:08:44.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from my children\Nto my speakers to everything.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:44.88,0:08:47.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:08:47.72,0:08:53.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But we've abdicated the future\Nfrom the high priests in Rome
Dialogue: 0,0:08:53.44,0:08:56.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to the high priests of Silicon Valley.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:57.88,0:09:01.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when we think, well,\Nhow are we going to deal with climate
Dialogue: 0,0:09:01.24,0:09:02.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or with poverty or homelessness,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:02.84,0:09:05.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,our first reaction is to think about it\Nthrough a technology lens.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:07.08,0:09:11.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And look, I'm not advocating\Nthat we go to this guy.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:11.72,0:09:13.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love Joel, don't get me wrong,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:14.40,0:09:16.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I'm not saying we go to Joel.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:16.08,0:09:17.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What I'm saying is we need to rethink
Dialogue: 0,0:09:17.92,0:09:22.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,our base assumption about\Nonly looking at the future in one way,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:22.72,0:09:24.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,only looking at it\Nthrough the dominant lens,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:24.88,0:09:27.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because our problems\Nare so big and so vast
Dialogue: 0,0:09:27.08,0:09:29.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we need to open ourselves up.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:29.92,0:09:33.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So that's why I do everything in my power\Nnot to talk about the future.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:34.32,0:09:36.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I talk about futures.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:36.92,0:09:38.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It opens the conversation again.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:38.68,0:09:41.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when you're sitting and thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:09:41.16,0:09:44.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about how do we move forward\Non this major issue --
Dialogue: 0,0:09:44.36,0:09:45.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be at home,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:45.92,0:09:47.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be at work,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:47.92,0:09:50.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be again on the global stage --
Dialogue: 0,0:09:50.80,0:09:55.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,don't cut yourself off from thinking\Nabout something beyond technology as a fix
Dialogue: 0,0:09:55.24,0:09:58.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because we're more concerned\Nabout technological evolution right now
Dialogue: 0,0:09:58.80,0:10:00.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than we are about moral evolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:00.96,0:10:02.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And unless we fix for that,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:03.00,0:10:05.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we're not going to be able\Nto get out of short-termism
Dialogue: 0,0:10:05.60,0:10:07.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and get to where we want to be.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:07.44,0:10:10.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The final, telos thinking.\NThis comes from the Greek root.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:10.68,0:10:12.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ultimate aim and ultimate purpose.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:12.96,0:10:15.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it's really asking one question:
Dialogue: 0,0:10:16.12,0:10:17.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to what end?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:18.28,0:10:21.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When was the last time\Nyou asked yourself: to what end?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:21.32,0:10:25.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when you asked yourself that,\Nhow far out did you go?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:25.64,0:10:28.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because long isn't long enough anymore.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:29.56,0:10:31.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Three, five years doesn't cut it.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:31.48,0:10:33.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's 30, 40, 50, a hundred years.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:34.80,0:10:37.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In Homer's epic, "The Odyssey,"
Dialogue: 0,0:10:37.04,0:10:40.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Odysseus had the answer to his "what end."
Dialogue: 0,0:10:40.12,0:10:41.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was Ithaca.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:41.88,0:10:43.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was this bold vision\Nof what he wanted --
Dialogue: 0,0:10:44.00,0:10:45.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to return to Penelope.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:45.40,0:10:48.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I can tell you,\Nbecause of the work that I'm doing,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:48.04,0:10:50.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but also you know it intuitively --\Nwe have lost our Ithaca.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:50.92,0:10:54.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We have lost our "to what end,"\Nso we stay on this hamster wheel.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:54.48,0:10:56.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And yes, we're trying\Nto solve these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:56.68,0:10:59.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but what comes after we solve the problem?
Dialogue: 0,0:11:00.16,0:11:03.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And unless you define what comes after,\Npeople aren't going to move.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:04.40,0:11:06.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The businesses --\Nthis isn't just about business --
Dialogue: 0,0:11:06.84,0:11:10.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but the businesses that do consistently\Nwho break out of short-termism
Dialogue: 0,0:11:10.16,0:11:12.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,not surprisingly\Nare family-run businesses.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:12.24,0:11:15.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They're transgenerational. They're telos.\NThey think about the futures.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:15.84,0:11:19.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this is an ad for Patek Philippe.\NThey're 175 years old,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:19.56,0:11:22.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and what's amazing\Nis that they literally embody
Dialogue: 0,0:11:22.64,0:11:25.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,this kind of longpathian sense\Nin their brand,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:25.48,0:11:28.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because, by the way,\Nyou never actually own a Patek Philippe,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:28.40,0:11:29.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I definitely won't --
Dialogue: 0,0:11:30.00,0:11:31.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:11:31.04,0:11:34.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,unless somebody wants to just\Nthrow 25,000 dollars on the stage.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:34.06,0:11:37.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You merely look after it\Nfor the next generation.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:38.84,0:11:41.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So it's important that we remember,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:41.32,0:11:44.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the future, we treat it like a noun.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:44.48,0:11:46.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's not. It's a verb.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:46.76,0:11:48.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It requires action.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:48.04,0:11:49.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It requires us to push into it.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:49.88,0:11:51.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's not this thing that washes over us.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:51.84,0:11:54.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's something that we\Nactually have total control over,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:54.52,0:11:57.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but in a short-term society,\Nwe end up feeling like we don't.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:57.44,0:11:58.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We feel like we're trapped.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:58.80,0:12:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We can push through that.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:02.00,0:12:04.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now I'm getting more comfortable
Dialogue: 0,0:12:05.20,0:12:07.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the fact that at some point
Dialogue: 0,0:12:08.36,0:12:09.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the inevitable future,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:11.00,0:12:12.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I will die,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:13.24,0:12:17.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but because of these new ways\Nof thinking and doing,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:17.36,0:12:21.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,both in the outside world\Nand also with my family at home,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:21.32,0:12:24.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and what I'm leaving my kids,\NI get more comfortable in that fact.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:24.48,0:12:27.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it's something that a lot of us\Nare really uncomfortable with,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:27.64,0:12:28.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I'm telling you,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:29.84,0:12:31.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,think it through.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:31.28,0:12:34.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Apply this type of thinking\Nand you can push yourself past
Dialogue: 0,0:12:34.04,0:12:36.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what's inevitably\Nvery, very uncomfortable.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:36.12,0:12:39.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it all begins really\Nwith yourself asking this question:
Dialogue: 0,0:12:40.84,0:12:42.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what is your longpath?
Dialogue: 0,0:12:43.88,0:12:46.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But I ask you, when you ask yourself that
Dialogue: 0,0:12:46.80,0:12:49.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,now or tonight or behind a steering wheel
Dialogue: 0,0:12:49.08,0:12:52.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or in the boardroom or the situation room:
Dialogue: 0,0:12:54.32,0:12:56.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,push past the longpath,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:56.52,0:12:59.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,quick, oh, what's my longpath\Nthe next three years or five years?
Dialogue: 0,0:12:59.84,0:13:03.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Try and push past your own life if you can
Dialogue: 0,0:13:03.48,0:13:05.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because it makes you do things\Na little bit bigger
Dialogue: 0,0:13:05.88,0:13:07.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than you thought were possible.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:08.80,0:13:11.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Yes, we have huge,\Nhuge problems out there.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:13.80,0:13:16.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,With this process, with this thinking,
Dialogue: 0,0:13:17.12,0:13:18.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think we can make a difference.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:19.24,0:13:21.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think you can make a difference
Dialogue: 0,0:13:21.80,0:13:23.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I believe in you guys.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:23.44,0:13:24.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:24.68,0:13:28.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause)