[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.79,0:00:04.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I've been futuring,\Nwhich is a term I made up --
Dialogue: 0,0:00:04.18,0:00:05.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.82,0:00:09.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about three seconds ago.\NI've been futuring for about 20 years,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.47,0:00:13.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and when I first started,\NI would sit down with people,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.14,0:00:16.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and say, "Hey, let's talk\N10, 20 years out."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.09,0:00:17.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And they'd say, "Great."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.89,0:00:24.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I've been seeing that time\Nhorizon get shorter and shorter
Dialogue: 0,0:00:24.30,0:00:26.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and shorter,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:26.56,0:00:27.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so much so that I met\Nwith a CEO two months ago
Dialogue: 0,0:00:27.74,0:00:29.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I said, look, we started\Nour initial conversation.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.71,0:00:34.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,He goes, "I love what you do.\NI want to talk about the next six months."
Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.15,0:00:35.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:35.28,0:00:39.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We have a lot of problems\Nthat we are facing.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:39.73,0:00:43.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,These are civilizational-scale problems.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:43.39,0:00:45.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The issue though is,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.86,0:00:47.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we can't solve them
Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.65,0:00:50.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,using the mental models\Nthat we use right now
Dialogue: 0,0:00:50.54,0:00:51.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to try and solve these problems.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.45,0:00:55.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Yes, a lot of great technical work\Nis being done, but there is a problem
Dialogue: 0,0:00:55.34,0:00:58.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we need to solve for a priori,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.61,0:01:03.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,before, if we want to really\Nmove the needle on those big problems:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:03.40,0:01:05.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,short-termism.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:05.17,0:01:07.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right? There's no marches.\NThere's no bracelets.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.68,0:01:11.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's no petitions that you can sign\Nto be against short-termism.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.53,0:01:14.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I tried to put one up,\Nand no one signed.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:14.48,0:01:16.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was weird.\N(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:01:16.37,0:01:20.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But it prevents us from doing so much.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.57,0:01:23.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism, for many reason,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:23.08,0:01:26.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,has pervaded every nook\Nand cranny of our reality.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:26.13,0:01:28.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I just want you to take a second\Nand just think about an issue
Dialogue: 0,0:01:28.75,0:01:31.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that you're thinking, working on.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:31.64,0:01:33.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It could be personal,\Nit could be at work,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:33.70,0:01:35.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or it could be move-the-needle\Nworld stuff, and think about
Dialogue: 0,0:01:35.77,0:01:41.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,how far out you tend to think\Nabout the solution set for that.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:41.98,0:01:46.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because short-termism prevents the CEO
Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.12,0:01:50.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from buying really\Nexpensive safety equipment.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:50.04,0:01:52.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It'll hurt the bottom line.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:52.44,0:01:54.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we get the Deep Water Horizon.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:54.68,0:01:57.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism prevents teachers
Dialogue: 0,0:01:57.50,0:02:01.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from spending quality\None-on-one time with their students.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.08,0:02:03.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So right now in America,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:03.12,0:02:06.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a high school student drops out\Nevery 26 seconds.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:06.92,0:02:10.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Short-termism prevents Congress --
Dialogue: 0,0:02:10.43,0:02:12.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,sorry if there's anyone\Nin here from Congress,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.57,0:02:16.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or not really that sorry --\N(Laughter) --
Dialogue: 0,0:02:16.45,0:02:22.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from putting money into a real\Ninfrastructure bill.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:22.44,0:02:26.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what we get is the I-35 bridge collapse\Nover the Mississippi a few years ago,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.74,0:02:29.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,13 killed.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.25,0:02:30.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It wasn't always like this.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:30.99,0:02:32.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We did the Panama Canal.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.88,0:02:35.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We pretty much have eradicated\Nglobal polio.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:35.25,0:02:38.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We did the trans-continental railroad,\Nthe Marshall Plan,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.85,0:02:43.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it's not just big, physical\Ninfrastructure problems and issues.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:43.20,0:02:45.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Women's suffrage, the right to vote.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.14,0:02:47.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But in our short-termist time,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:47.80,0:02:50.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where everything seems to happen right now
Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.46,0:02:55.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we can only think out\Npast the next tweet or timeline post,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:55.05,0:02:57.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we get hyper-reactionary.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:57.06,0:02:58.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what do we do?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:58.50,0:03:02.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We take people who are fleeing\Ntheir war-torn country
Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.44,0:03:03.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we go after them.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:03.98,0:03:07.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We take low-level drug offenders\Nand we put them away for life,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:07.42,0:03:10.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and then we build McMansions\Nwithout even thinking about
Dialogue: 0,0:03:10.08,0:03:12.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,how we're going to get between\Nthem and their job.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:12.67,0:03:15.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a quick buck.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:15.02,0:03:18.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now the reality is,\Nfor a lot of these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:18.40,0:03:20.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,there are some technical fixes,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:20.26,0:03:21.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a lot of them.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:21.32,0:03:25.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I call these technical fixes\Nsandbag strategies. Right?
Dialogue: 0,0:03:25.04,0:03:26.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you know there's a storm coming,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:26.95,0:03:29.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the levee is broken,\Nno one's put any money into it,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:29.37,0:03:31.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you surround your home with sandbags,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.81,0:03:33.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and guess what? It works.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:33.92,0:03:36.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Storm goes away,\Nthe water level goes down,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:36.52,0:03:37.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you get rid of the sandbags,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:37.78,0:03:42.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do this storm\Nafter storm after storm.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:42.03,0:03:44.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And here's the insidious thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:44.20,0:03:46.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A sandbag strategy
Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.28,0:03:48.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,can get you reelected.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:48.49,0:03:51.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A sandbag strategy
Dialogue: 0,0:03:51.05,0:03:52.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,can help you make your quarterly numbers.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:52.97,0:03:57.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, if we want to move forward
Dialogue: 0,0:03:57.60,0:04:00.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,into a different future\Nthan the one we have right now,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.48,0:04:01.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because I don't think we've hit,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:01.84,0:04:04.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,2016 is not peak civilization.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:04.87,0:04:07.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's some more we can do,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:07.88,0:04:11.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but my argument is that unless\Nwe shift our mental models
Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.54,0:04:12.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and our mental maps
Dialogue: 0,0:04:12.66,0:04:14.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,on how we think about the short,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:14.67,0:04:16.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it's not going to happen.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.37,0:04:19.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what I've developed\Nis something called longpath,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.45,0:04:20.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it's a practice,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:20.99,0:04:25.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and longpath isn't a kind\Nof one-and-done exercise.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:25.23,0:04:28.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm sure everyone here at some point\Nhas done an off-site
Dialogue: 0,0:04:28.18,0:04:28.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with a lot of post-it notes\Nand white boards,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.78,0:04:35.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do, no offense to the consultants\Nin here who do that,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:35.17,0:04:38.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you do a long-term plan,\Nand then two weeks later,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:38.54,0:04:40.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,everyone forgets about it.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:40.18,0:04:43.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right? Or a week later.\NIf you're lucky, three months.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:43.44,0:04:48.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a practice because\Nit's not necessarily a thing that you do.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:48.79,0:04:51.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's a process where you have\Nto revisit different ways of thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:04:51.53,0:04:54.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for every major decision\Nthat you're working on.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:54.98,0:05:01.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I want to go through\Nthose three ways of thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:01.64,0:05:02.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So the first: transgenerational thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.15,0:05:02.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love the philosophers:
Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.40,0:05:07.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Plato, Socrates, Habermas, Heidegger.\NI was raised on them.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:07.35,0:05:10.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But they all did one thing
Dialogue: 0,0:05:10.31,0:05:13.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that didn't actually seem like a big deal
Dialogue: 0,0:05:13.02,0:05:14.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,until I really started kind of\Nlooking into this.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.41,0:05:16.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And they all took,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:16.47,0:05:19.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as a unit of measure\Nfor their entire reality
Dialogue: 0,0:05:19.91,0:05:22.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of what it meant to be virtuous and good,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:22.14,0:05:25.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the single lifespan, from birth to death.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:25.99,0:05:27.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But here's a problem with these issues:
Dialogue: 0,0:05:27.98,0:05:31.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they stack up on top of us, but because\Nthe only way we know how to do
Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.04,0:05:34.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,something good in the world is if\Nwe do it between our birth and our death.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:34.16,0:05:35.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's what we're programmed to do.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:35.52,0:05:38.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you go to the self-help section\Nin any bookstore,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:38.95,0:05:41.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it's all about you.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:41.65,0:05:43.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Which is great,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:43.47,0:05:48.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,unless you're dealing\Nwith some of these major issues.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:48.22,0:05:51.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And so with transgenerational thinking,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:51.53,0:05:54.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is really kind of\Ntransgenerational ethics,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:54.32,0:05:58.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you're able to expand how you think\Nabout these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:58.26,0:06:02.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what is your role\Nin helping to solve them.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:02.11,0:06:06.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, this isn't something that just has to\Nbe done at the Security Council chamber.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:06.71,0:06:10.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's something that you can do\Nin a very kind of personal way.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:10.14,0:06:13.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So every once in a while, if I'm lucky,\Nmy wife and I like to go out to dinner,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:13.48,0:06:17.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we have three children\Nunder the age of seven.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:17.73,0:06:21.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you can imagine it's a very\Npeaceful, quiet meal.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:21.06,0:06:26.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we sit down, and literally\Nall I want to do is just eat and chill,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:26.52,0:06:30.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and my kids have a completely\Nand totally different idea
Dialogue: 0,0:06:30.26,0:06:31.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of what we're going to be doing.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:31.51,0:06:33.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And so my first idea
Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.65,0:06:35.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is my sandbag strategy, right?
Dialogue: 0,0:06:35.48,0:06:37.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's to go into my pocket\Nand take out the iPhone
Dialogue: 0,0:06:37.71,0:06:39.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and give them "Frozen"
Dialogue: 0,0:06:39.44,0:06:42.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or some other bestselling game thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:42.14,0:06:47.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then I stop
Dialogue: 0,0:06:47.32,0:06:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I have to kind of put this\Ntransgenerational thinking cap.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:52.00,0:06:54.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I don't do this in the restaurant,\Nbecause it would be bizarre,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:54.39,0:06:55.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I have to --
Dialogue: 0,0:06:55.74,0:06:57.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I did it once, and that's how\NI learned it was bizarre.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:57.88,0:06:59.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:06:59.67,0:07:04.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And you have to kind of think,\Nokay, I can do this.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:04.24,0:07:07.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what is this teaching them?
Dialogue: 0,0:07:07.73,0:07:10.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what does it mean if I actually\Nbring some paper
Dialogue: 0,0:07:10.40,0:07:11.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or engage with them in conversation?
Dialogue: 0,0:07:11.77,0:07:14.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's hard. It's not easy, and I'm\Nmaking this very personal.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:14.46,0:07:17.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's actually more traumatic in some of\Nthe big issues that I work on in the world
Dialogue: 0,0:07:17.44,0:07:19.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is entertaining my kids at dinner.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:19.98,0:07:25.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what it does is it connects them\Nhere in the present with me,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:25.04,0:07:26.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it also,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:26.65,0:07:29.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this is the crux of\Ntransgenerational thinking ethics,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:29.68,0:07:33.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it sets them up to how they're\Ngoing to interact with their kids
Dialogue: 0,0:07:33.09,0:07:36.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and their kids and their kids.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:36.64,0:07:38.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Second, futures thinking.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.95,0:07:40.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When we think about the future,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:40.87,0:07:43.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,10, 15 years out,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:43.95,0:07:45.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,give me a vision of what the future is.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:45.98,0:07:48.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You don't have to give it to me,\Nbut think in your head.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:48.84,0:07:51.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And what you're probably going to see
Dialogue: 0,0:07:51.71,0:07:53.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is the dominant cultural lens
Dialogue: 0,0:07:53.47,0:07:56.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that dominates our thinking\Nabout the future right now:
Dialogue: 0,0:07:56.08,0:07:58.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,technology.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:58.10,0:07:59.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when we think about the problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:59.73,0:08:02.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we always put it through\Na technological lens,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:02.67,0:08:04.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a tech-centric, a techno-utopia,\Nand there's nothing wrong with that,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:04.31,0:08:08.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it's something that we have to\Nreally think deeply about
Dialogue: 0,0:08:08.28,0:08:11.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if we're going to move\Non these major issues,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:11.27,0:08:13.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because it wasn't always like this. Right?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:13.31,0:08:17.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The ancients had their way of thinking
Dialogue: 0,0:08:17.16,0:08:19.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about what the future was.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:19.53,0:08:25.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The Church definitely had their idea\Nof what the future could be,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:25.17,0:08:27.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you could actually pay your way\Ninto that future. Right?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:27.78,0:08:29.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And luckily for humanity,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:29.84,0:08:31.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we got the scientific revolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:31.95,0:08:33.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,From there, we got the technology,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:33.90,0:08:35.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but what has happened --
Dialogue: 0,0:08:35.94,0:08:38.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And by the way, this is not a critique.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:38.34,0:08:40.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love technology.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:40.16,0:08:43.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Everything in my house talks back to me,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:43.09,0:08:45.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from my children to my speakers\Nto everything.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:45.19,0:08:47.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:08:47.03,0:08:53.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But we've abdicated the future\Nfrom the high priests in Rome
Dialogue: 0,0:08:53.57,0:08:58.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to the high priests of Silicon Valley.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:58.17,0:09:01.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when we think, well, how are we\Ngoing to deal with climate
Dialogue: 0,0:09:01.11,0:09:03.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or with poverty or homelessness,\Nour first reaction is to think about it
Dialogue: 0,0:09:03.84,0:09:06.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,through a technology lens.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:06.82,0:09:11.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And look, I'm not advocating\Nthat we go to this guy.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:11.23,0:09:16.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I love Joel, don't get me wrong,\Nbut I'm not saying we go to Joel.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:16.47,0:09:18.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What I'm saying is we need to rethink
Dialogue: 0,0:09:18.73,0:09:23.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,our base assumption about only\Nlooking at the future in one way,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:23.08,0:09:25.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,only looking at it through\Nthe dominant lens,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:25.62,0:09:27.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because our problems\Nare so big and so vast
Dialogue: 0,0:09:27.42,0:09:29.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we need to open ourselves up.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:29.64,0:09:34.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So that's why I do everything in my power\Nnot to talk about the future.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:34.16,0:09:36.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I talk about futures.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:36.61,0:09:39.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It opens the conversation again.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:39.13,0:09:42.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So when you're sitting and thinking about
Dialogue: 0,0:09:42.16,0:09:44.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,how do we move forward\Non this major issue --
Dialogue: 0,0:09:44.67,0:09:46.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be at home,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:46.16,0:09:48.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be at work,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:48.21,0:09:51.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it could be again on the global stage --
Dialogue: 0,0:09:51.05,0:09:55.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,don't cut yourself off from thinking\Nabout something beyond technology as a fix
Dialogue: 0,0:09:55.52,0:09:59.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because we're more concerned\Nabout technological evolution right now
Dialogue: 0,0:09:59.05,0:10:01.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than we are about moral evolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:01.22,0:10:03.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And unless we fix for that,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:03.50,0:10:06.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we're not going to be able to get\Nout of short-termism and get
Dialogue: 0,0:10:06.37,0:10:07.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to where we want to be.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:07.81,0:10:10.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The final, telos thinking.\NThis comes from the Greek root.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:10.99,0:10:13.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ultimate aim and ultimate purpose.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:13.46,0:10:16.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it's really asking one question:
Dialogue: 0,0:10:16.38,0:10:18.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to what end?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:18.49,0:10:21.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When was the last time you asked yourself
Dialogue: 0,0:10:21.68,0:10:24.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to what end?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:24.07,0:10:26.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when you asked yourself that,\Nhow far out did you go?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:26.02,0:10:29.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because long isn't long enough anymore.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:29.87,0:10:31.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Three, five years doesn't cut it.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:31.74,0:10:35.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's 30, 40, 50, a hundred years.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:35.16,0:10:37.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In Homer's epic, "The Odyssey,"
Dialogue: 0,0:10:37.31,0:10:40.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Odysseus had the answer to his what end.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:40.48,0:10:42.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was Ithaca.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:42.81,0:10:45.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was this bold vision of what\Nhe wanted to return to to Penelope.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:45.72,0:10:47.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I can tell you, because\Nof the work that I'm doing,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:47.50,0:10:51.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but also you know it intuitively,\Nwe have lost our Ithaca.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:51.05,0:10:54.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We have lost our to what end,\Nso we stay on this hamster wheel.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:54.78,0:10:56.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And yes we're trying\Nto solve these problems,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:56.71,0:11:00.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but what comes after we solve the problem?
Dialogue: 0,0:11:00.47,0:11:04.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And unless you define what comes after,\Npeople aren't going to move.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:04.42,0:11:07.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The businesses --\Nthis isn't just about business --
Dialogue: 0,0:11:07.63,0:11:10.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but the businesses that do consistently\Nwho break out of short-termism
Dialogue: 0,0:11:10.53,0:11:12.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,not surprisingly\Nare family-run businesses.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:12.57,0:11:16.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They're transgenerational. They're telos.\NThey think about the futures.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:16.01,0:11:19.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this is an ad for ??.\NThey're 175 years old,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:19.81,0:11:24.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and what's amazing is that they literally\Nembody this kind of longpathian sense
Dialogue: 0,0:11:24.80,0:11:28.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in their brand, because by the way,\Nyou never actually own a ??,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:28.81,0:11:30.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I definitely won't,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:30.83,0:11:34.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,unless somebody wants to just\Nthrow 25,000 dollars on the stage.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:34.28,0:11:39.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You merely look after it\Nfor the next generation.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:39.14,0:11:41.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So it's important that we remember,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:41.80,0:11:45.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the future, we treat it like a noun.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:45.05,0:11:47.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's not. It's a verb.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:47.09,0:11:48.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It requires action.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:48.21,0:11:50.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It requires us to push into it.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:50.17,0:11:51.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's not this thing that washes over us.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:51.81,0:11:53.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's something that we actually\Nhave total control over,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:53.74,0:11:58.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but in a short-term society, we end up\Nfeeling like we don't.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:58.54,0:11:59.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We feel like we're trapped.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:59.44,0:12:02.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We can push through that.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:02.33,0:12:05.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now I'm getting more comfortable
Dialogue: 0,0:12:05.51,0:12:08.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the fact that at some point
Dialogue: 0,0:12:08.45,0:12:10.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the inevitable future,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:10.95,0:12:13.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I will die,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:13.45,0:12:16.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but because of these new ways\Nof thinking and doing,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:16.28,0:12:21.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,both in the outside world\Nand also with my family at home,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:21.51,0:12:24.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and what I'm leaving my kids,\NI get more comfortable in that fact.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:24.72,0:12:27.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it's something that a lot of us\Nare really uncomfortable with,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:27.20,0:12:29.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I'm telling you, think it through.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:29.98,0:12:31.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Apply this type of thinking and you can\Npush yourself past
Dialogue: 0,0:12:31.82,0:12:34.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what's inevitably very,\Nvery uncomfortable.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:34.36,0:12:40.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And it all begins really with\Nyourself asking this question:
Dialogue: 0,0:12:40.75,0:12:44.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what is your longpath?
Dialogue: 0,0:12:44.09,0:12:47.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But I ask you, when you ask yourself that
Dialogue: 0,0:12:47.16,0:12:49.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,now or tonight or behind a steering wheel
Dialogue: 0,0:12:49.36,0:12:53.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or in the boardroom or the situation room,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:53.82,0:12:57.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,push past the longpath, quick, oh,
Dialogue: 0,0:12:57.27,0:13:00.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what's my longpath the next\Nthree years or five years?
Dialogue: 0,0:13:00.14,0:13:03.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Try and push past your own life if you can
Dialogue: 0,0:13:03.99,0:13:06.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because it makes you do things\Na little bit bigger
Dialogue: 0,0:13:06.31,0:13:08.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than you thought were possible.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:08.25,0:13:12.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Yes, we have huge,\Nhuge problems out there.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:12.96,0:13:16.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,With this process, with this thinking,
Dialogue: 0,0:13:16.93,0:13:19.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think we can make a difference.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:19.06,0:13:21.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think you can make a difference,
Dialogue: 0,0:13:21.88,0:13:23.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I believe in you guys.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:23.70,0:13:24.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you.
Dialogue: 0,0:13:24.95,0:13:29.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause)