WEBVTT

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大家好。

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我是赫曼。

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我一直在思考
为何这世上

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最重要的，最具影响力的
翻天覆地的变化

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总是来自于

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那些我们最不认为会产生这种影响的事情。

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我，作为一个电脑科学家，

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我记得当脸书还只是个
大学寝室发家的一个图片分享网站，

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而现在，基于你问谁，

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脸书已经可以左右我们的大选。

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我记得当加密货币和自动交易

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还只是小众人的游戏

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在金融行业和自动交易行业中，

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或者说，整体的网络环境下。

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它们现在正加速塑造着我们的办事习惯。

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你们每个人都应该记得那一时刻，

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当一个想法看起来一无是处，

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但，突然，它发展得
正似比特币价值般突飞猛进。

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你再想想，谁当选了美国总统？

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现实是，在我看来，

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我们将会再次遇到这情况。

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我认为

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对我们生活，

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对我们如何受教育，

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怎么挣工资有着最大影响的

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并非来自于人工智能技术，

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并非是太空旅行或者生物科技，

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虽然这些都是非常重要的未来发展，

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但在下五年，

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最大影响来自于电子游戏。

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好大的口气！我知道。

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我也看到了观众中质疑的脸。

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但让我们试着

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看看电子游戏在我们今天的生活中
已变成了什么,

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以及一点点的技术进步

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将会创造出什么，

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它开始变得越来越不可避免。

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我认为它的可能性穷乎其穷。

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让我们想想它的规模。

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现今已经有着26亿人玩电子游戏。

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比五年前，多了十亿。

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五年内增加了十亿人。

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没有任何一个宗教和媒体可以做到。

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我们可以展望到10亿的增加，

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在非洲和印度的科技发展

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可以充分发挥游戏的可能性。

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但我感到十分特别的是，
这常常会惊到他人，

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是玩游戏者的平均年龄。
你们猜一猜。

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并不是六岁，不是18岁，
也不是12岁。

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是34岁。

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[美国游戏者平均年龄]

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我都比这年轻。

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这也告诉我们，

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游戏不再是儿童的娱乐。

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它已成为向文学一般的媒介，

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使我们生活不可或缺的一部分。

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我很喜欢的一组数据显示了
那些在

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过去十五到二十年中开始打游戏的人们

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不会停下。

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在这一媒介发展的途中，有些东西变了。

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而且已经大于游戏本身，
已经不再仅仅是玩了，对吗？

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你听到过这些例子，

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人们现在通过打游戏挣工资。

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而且还不仅如此。

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是的，有电游竞技，有奖金，

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有很多机会可以让你从竞赛中挣钱。

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但是你也可以从游戏中模组，
设计桥段，

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设计艺术争取薪酬。

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这样的发展规模与文艺复兴一样

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而这一切就发生在客厅里孩子正玩弄的
Iphone中。

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被很多人忽略了。

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现在，让我更感到惊喜的是
未来还会发生什么。

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当你再想打游戏的时候，

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你可能已经在想象

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游戏中无限的世界，

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但其实，

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游戏在很长一段时间中，
都被限制了，

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而我们这些业界人士

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正努力在把这一事实掩盖。

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我喜欢用一个比喻，
让我变极客一下，

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就是戏剧性。

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在过去的十年中，

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游戏的视觉效果得到了很大的提升，

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游戏前段和视觉冲击。

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但在幕后，

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游戏世界的实际经验

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仍然是有限的。

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我来解释一下。

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我现在可以离开这个舞台。

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我可以去涂鸦，可以打架，可以坠入爱河。

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我可能真的会在这演出之后
做这些事，

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但是，这些事会有后果。

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这些事会改变我的现实，

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所有人可以在同一时间做出反应。

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这也会是长期的。

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这些就是为何真实世界是真实地原因。

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但在游戏幕后，

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我们被限制了。

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在视觉效果背后，

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在单个游戏世界中,

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玩家或实体之间交换的实际信息

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已经被一个事实所深深束缚,

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即玩家大多发生在一个服务器或一台机器上。

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或一台机器上。

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