0:00:01.263,0:00:03.728 ♪ [音乐] ♪ 0:00:10.800,0:00:12.928 - [Joshua] 10月11日一大早 0:00:12.928,0:00:15.046 我心情紧张，iPhone 差点儿掉了 0:00:15.046,0:00:18.100 思绪全在诺贝尔奖是否会 0:00:18.100,0:00:20.600 改变我们Angrist家庭 0:00:20.800,0:00:22.599 我们的关系亲密和谐 0:00:22.599,0:00:23.954 衣食无忧 0:00:23.954,0:00:26.513 所以我很担心：[br]这个压力山大的诺贝尔奖头衔 0:00:26.513,0:00:27.900 不一定是个好事 0:00:28.200,0:00:30.000 但第一杯咖啡下肚之后 0:00:30.000,0:00:31.600 我开始放松 0:00:32.100,0:00:33.270 我忽然想到 0:00:33.270,0:00:34.619 公众认可 0:00:34.619,0:00:36.720 是如何影响学者生活的 0:00:36.720,0:00:40.100 不正是个简单的因果问题吗 0:00:40.461,0:00:41.812 诺贝尔奖的干预 0:00:41.812,0:00:45.316 是实质性的、突然的，而且很好衡量 0:00:45.316,0:00:48.500 像健康和财富等结果很容易获得 0:00:49.000,0:00:50.532 刚刚和我的同仁 0:00:50.532,0:00:53.503 Guido Imbens [br]与 David Card一起 0:00:53.503,0:00:57.390 因研究使用观察数据[br]回答因果问题而被授奖 0:00:57.400,0:00:59.800 0:01:00.216,0:01:02.193 0:01:02.193,0:01:05.700 0:01:05.900,0:01:08.200 0:01:08.400,0:01:12.700 0:01:13.100,0:01:15.300 0:01:15.700,0:01:19.800 0:01:19.800,0:01:23.500 0:01:23.900,0:01:26.061 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