1 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,060 As the sun's rays reach the Earth's surface 2 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,590 some are absorbed and re-emitted as heat 3 00:00:11,910 --> 00:00:15,080 greenhouse gases such as water vapor and carbon dioxide 4 00:00:15,300 --> 00:00:17,830 absorb and re-radiate some of this heat 5 00:00:18,420 --> 00:00:21,660 increased amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere mean more 6 00:00:21,660 --> 00:00:22,500 heat is trapped 7 00:00:22,950 --> 00:00:23,780 warming the Earth 8 00:00:24,510 --> 00:00:25,330 human activities 9 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,490 especially the burning of fossil fuels have increased 10 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,160 concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide by 40% 11 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:33,940 mainly since 1900 12 00:00:34,540 --> 00:00:38,840 global average surface temperature has increased by 0.8° C over that time 13 00:00:40,300 --> 00:00:42,770 Other changes to the climate in recent decades, 14 00:00:42,770 --> 00:00:45,050 can be seen in the warming of the oceans. 15 00:00:45,050 --> 00:00:46,230 A rise in sea level 16 00:00:47,010 --> 00:00:49,730 decreasing snow and ice cover in the northern hemisphere 17 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,520 and a decline in sea ice in the Arctic. 18 00:00:54,620 --> 00:00:58,480 If emissions continue unchecked then further warming of 2.6 to 4.8° C 19 00:00:59,610 --> 00:01:02,880 would be expected by the end of the century. 20 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:04,090 Even at the low end. 21 00:01:04,090 --> 00:01:07,000 This would have serious implications for human societies 22 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:08,240 and the natural world. 23 00:01:12,470 --> 00:01:15,140 For more information about climate change from leading science academies, 24 00:01:16,030 --> 00:01:16,670 please visit 25 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,160 royalsociety.org/climatechange 26 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,070 or nas-sites.org/americasclimatechoices