0:00:06.800,0:00:09.060 As the sun's rays reach [br]the Earth's surface 0:00:09.320,0:00:11.590 some are absorbed and re-emitted as heat 0:00:11.910,0:00:15.080 greenhouse gases such as water [br]vapor and carbon dioxide 0:00:15.300,0:00:17.830 absorb and re-radiate some of this heat 0:00:18.420,0:00:21.660 increased amounts of greenhouse gases [br]in the atmosphere mean more 0:00:21.660,0:00:22.500 heat is trapped 0:00:22.950,0:00:23.780 warming the Earth 0:00:24.510,0:00:25.330 human activities 0:00:25.600,0:00:28.490 especially the burning of fossil [br]fuels have increased 0:00:28.600,0:00:32.160 concentrations of atmospheric [br]carbon dioxide by 40% 0:00:32.560,0:00:33.940 mainly since 1900 0:00:34.540,0:00:38.840 global average surface temperature [br]has increased by 0.8° C over that time 0:00:40.300,0:00:42.770 Other changes to the climate [br]in recent decades, 0:00:42.770,0:00:45.050 can be seen in the warming of the oceans. 0:00:45.050,0:00:46.230 A rise in sea level 0:00:47.010,0:00:49.730 decreasing snow and ice cover [br]in the northern hemisphere 0:00:50.400,0:00:52.520 and a decline in sea ice in the Arctic. 0:00:54.620,0:00:58.480 If emissions continue unchecked [br]then further warming of 2.6 to 4.8° C 0:00:59.610,0:01:02.880 would be expected by [br]the end of the century. 0:01:02.880,0:01:04.090 Even at the low end. 0:01:04.090,0:01:07.000 This would have serious implications [br]for human societies 0:01:07.240,0:01:08.240 and the natural world. 0:01:12.470,0:01:15.140 For more information about climate [br]change from leading science academies, 0:01:16.030,0:01:16.670 please visit 0:01:16.920,0:01:19.160 royalsociety.org/climatechange 0:01:20.160,0:01:23.070 or nas-sites.org/americasclimatechoices