WEBVTT 00:00:06.800 --> 00:00:09.060 As the sun's rays reach the Earth's surface 00:00:09.320 --> 00:00:11.590 some are absorbed and re-emitted as heat 00:00:11.910 --> 00:00:15.080 greenhouse gases such as water vapor and carbon dioxide 00:00:15.300 --> 00:00:17.830 absorb and re-radiate some of this heat 00:00:18.420 --> 00:00:21.660 increased amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere mean more 00:00:21.660 --> 00:00:22.500 heat is trapped 00:00:22.950 --> 00:00:23.780 warming the Earth 00:00:24.510 --> 00:00:25.330 human activities 00:00:25.600 --> 00:00:28.490 especially the burning of fossil fuels have increased 00:00:28.600 --> 00:00:32.160 concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide by 40% 00:00:32.560 --> 00:00:33.940 mainly since 1900 00:00:34.540 --> 00:00:37.690 global average surface temperature has increased by 0.8 degrees 00:00:37.760 --> 00:00:40.300 Celsius over that time. 00:00:40.300 --> 00:00:42.770 Other changes to the climate in recent decades, 00:00:42.770 --> 00:00:45.050 can be seen in the warming of the oceans. 00:00:45.050 --> 00:00:46.230 A rise in sea level 00:00:47.010 --> 00:00:49.730 decreasing snow and ice cover in the northern hemisphere 00:00:50.400 --> 00:00:52.520 and a decline in sea ice in the Arctic. 00:00:54.620 --> 00:00:58.480 If emissions continue unchecked then further warming of 2.6 to 00:00:58.480 --> 00:00:59.390 4.8° 00:00:59.610 --> 00:01:02.880 Celsius would be expected by the end of the century. 00:01:02.880 --> 00:01:04.090 Even at the low end. 00:01:04.090 --> 00:01:07.000 This would have serious implications for human societies 00:01:07.240 --> 00:01:08.240 and the natural world. 00:01:12.470 --> 00:01:15.140 For more information about climate change from leading science academies, 00:01:16.030 --> 00:01:16.670 please visit 00:01:16.920 --> 00:01:19.160 royalsociety.org/climatechange 00:01:20.160 --> 00:01:23.070 or nas-sites.org/americasclimatechoices