WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:08.220 00:00:08.220 --> 00:00:11.390 In the last video, we talked a little bit about compounding 00:00:11.390 --> 00:00:15.480 interest. Our example was interest that compounds 00:00:15.480 --> 00:00:17.830 annually, not continuously like we would 00:00:17.830 --> 00:00:18.790 see in a lot of banks. 00:00:18.790 --> 00:00:21.390 I'll really just wanted to let you understand that although 00:00:21.390 --> 00:00:22.290 the idea is simple. 00:00:22.290 --> 00:00:25.040 Every year you get 10% of the money that you started off 00:00:25.040 --> 00:00:25.650 with that year. 00:00:25.650 --> 00:00:28.720 And it's called compounding because the next year you get 00:00:28.720 --> 00:00:31.900 money not just on your initial deposit, but you also get 00:00:31.900 --> 00:00:35.300 money or interest on the interest from previous years. 00:00:35.300 --> 00:00:37.470 That's why it's called compounding interest. And 00:00:37.470 --> 00:00:40.290 although that idea is pretty simple, we saw that the math 00:00:40.290 --> 00:00:41.420 can get a little tricky. 00:00:41.420 --> 00:00:44.950 If you have a reasonable calculator, you can solve for 00:00:44.950 --> 00:00:46.870 some of these things if you know how to do it. 00:00:46.870 --> 00:00:50.550 But it's nearly impossible to actually do it in your head. 00:00:50.550 --> 00:00:53.640 For example, at the end of the last video, we said if I have 00:00:53.640 --> 00:00:54.700 a hundred dollars. 00:00:54.700 --> 00:00:57.860 And if I'm compounding at 10% a year, that's where this 1 00:00:57.860 --> 00:01:01.350 comes from, how long does it take for me to double my money 00:01:01.350 --> 00:01:02.910 and end up with this equation? 00:01:02.910 --> 00:01:06.420 And to solve that equation, most calculators don't have at 00:01:06.420 --> 00:01:08.110 log base 1.1. 00:01:08.110 --> 00:01:09.970 And I've shown this in other videos. 00:01:09.970 --> 00:01:15.050 This you could also say, x is equal to log base 10 of 2, 00:01:15.050 --> 00:01:18.610 divided by log base 1.1 of 2. 00:01:18.610 --> 00:01:23.900 This is another way to calculate log base 1.1 of 2. 00:01:23.900 --> 00:01:27.620 This should be log base 10 of 1.1. 00:01:27.620 --> 00:01:29.290 I say this because most calculators have 00:01:29.290 --> 00:01:30.700 a log base 10 function. 00:01:30.700 --> 00:01:32.620 And this and this are equivalent. 00:01:32.620 --> 00:01:34.320 I've proven it in other videos. 00:01:34.320 --> 00:01:36.400 So in order to say how long does it take to double my 00:01:36.400 --> 00:01:38.020 money at 10% a year? 00:01:38.020 --> 00:01:39.690 You'd have to put that in your calculator. 00:01:39.690 --> 00:01:41.860 And let's try it out. 00:01:41.860 --> 00:01:43.210 Let's try it out right here. 00:01:43.210 --> 00:01:46.030 We're going to have, 2, and we're going to take the 00:01:46.030 --> 00:01:56.090 logarithm of that, 0.3, divided by 1.1, and the 00:01:56.090 --> 00:01:57.950 logarithm of that. 00:01:57.950 --> 00:02:00.440 We close the parentheses. 00:02:00.440 --> 00:02:03.710 Is equal to 7.27 years. 00:02:03.710 --> 00:02:06.350 Roughly 7.3 years. 00:02:06.350 --> 00:02:10.410 So this is roughly equal to 7.3 years. 00:02:10.410 --> 00:02:13.280 As we saw in the last video, this is not necessarily 00:02:13.280 --> 00:02:16.220 trivial to set up, but even if you understand the math here, 00:02:16.220 --> 00:02:18.590 it's not easy to do this in your head. 00:02:18.590 --> 00:02:20.720 It's literally almost impossible to do in your head. 00:02:20.720 --> 00:02:23.640 So what I want to show you is a rule to 00:02:23.640 --> 00:02:25.400 approximate this question. 00:02:25.400 --> 00:02:29.000 How long does it take for you to doubles your money? 00:02:29.000 --> 00:02:34.060 And that rule is called the rule of 72. 00:02:34.060 --> 00:02:37.380 Sometimes it's the rule of 70 or the rule of 69. 00:02:37.380 --> 00:02:41.350 But rule of 72 tends to be the most typical one, especially 00:02:41.350 --> 00:02:43.900 when you're talking about compounding over 00:02:43.900 --> 00:02:45.000 set periods of time. 00:02:45.000 --> 00:02:46.590 Maybe not continuous compounding. 00:02:46.590 --> 00:02:49.670 Continuous compounding you'll get closer to 69 or 70. 00:02:49.670 --> 00:02:51.690 But I'll show you what I mean in a second. 00:02:51.690 --> 00:02:57.250 So to answer that same question, let's say I have 10% 00:02:57.250 --> 00:02:58.500 compounding annually. 00:02:58.500 --> 00:03:06.990 00:03:06.990 --> 00:03:10.470 Using the rule of 72, I say how long does it take for me 00:03:10.470 --> 00:03:11.740 to double my money? 00:03:11.740 --> 00:03:16.500 I literally take 72, that's why it's called the rule of 00:03:16.500 --> 00:03:18.570 72, I divide it by the percentage. 00:03:18.570 --> 00:03:20.780 So the percentage is 10. 00:03:20.780 --> 00:03:22.780 It's decimal representation is 0.1. 00:03:22.780 --> 00:03:25.460 But it's 10 per 100 percentage. 00:03:25.460 --> 00:03:27.490 So 72 two divided by 10. 00:03:27.490 --> 00:03:33.380 And I get 7.2, it was annual, so 7.2 years. 00:03:33.380 --> 00:03:35.680 If this was 10% compounding monthly, it 00:03:35.680 --> 00:03:37.320 would be 7.2 months. 00:03:37.320 --> 00:03:42.210 So I got 7.2 years, which is pretty darn close to what we 00:03:42.210 --> 00:03:44.910 got by doing all that fancy math. 00:03:44.910 --> 00:03:47.460 Similarly, let's say that I'm compounding-- 00:03:47.460 --> 00:03:49.230 let's do another problem. 00:03:49.230 --> 00:03:55.420 Let's say I have 6% compounding annually. 00:03:55.420 --> 00:04:04.370 00:04:04.370 --> 00:04:11.020 Using the rule of 72, I just take 72 divided by the 6. 00:04:11.020 --> 00:04:14.465 And I get 6 goes into 72, 12 times. 00:04:14.465 --> 00:04:19.060 So it'll take 12 years for me to double my money, if I'm 00:04:19.060 --> 00:04:22.350 getting 6% on my money compounding annually. 00:04:22.350 --> 00:04:23.570 Let's see if that works out. 00:04:23.570 --> 00:04:26.530 So we learned last time, the other way to solve this would 00:04:26.530 --> 00:04:30.490 literally be, we would say x, the answer to this, should be 00:04:30.490 --> 00:04:38.310 close to log base anything of 2 divided by-- this is where 00:04:38.310 --> 00:04:41.150 we get the doubling our money from, the 2 means 2 times our 00:04:41.150 --> 00:04:45.880 money-- divided by log base whatever this is 10 of. 00:04:45.880 --> 00:04:49.780 In this case instead of 1.1 it's going to be 1.06. 00:04:49.780 --> 00:04:52.270 So you can already see it's a little bit more difficult. 00:04:52.270 --> 00:04:54.460 Get our calculator out. 00:04:54.460 --> 00:05:04.770 So we have 2, log of that, divided by 1.06, log of that, 00:05:04.770 --> 00:05:08.680 is equal to 11.89. 00:05:08.680 --> 00:05:10.500 So about 11.9. 00:05:10.500 --> 00:05:14.540 So when you do all the fancy math, we got 11.9. 00:05:14.540 --> 00:05:17.330 So once again you see this is a pretty good approximation, 00:05:17.330 --> 00:05:22.720 and this math is much simpler than this math. 00:05:22.720 --> 00:05:25.300 And I think most of us can do this in our heads. 00:05:25.300 --> 00:05:27.960 So this is actually a good way to impress people. 00:05:27.960 --> 00:05:31.890 And just to get a better sense of how good this number 72 is, 00:05:31.890 --> 00:05:35.690 what I did is I plotted on a spreadsheet. 00:05:35.690 --> 00:05:38.760 I said, OK, here's the different interest rates. 00:05:38.760 --> 00:05:41.180 This is the actual time it would take to double. 00:05:41.180 --> 00:05:45.340 So I'm actually using this formula right here to figure 00:05:45.340 --> 00:05:48.900 out the precise amount of time it'll take to double. 00:05:48.900 --> 00:05:52.790 Let's say this is in years if we're compounding annually. 00:05:52.790 --> 00:05:55.190 So if you're at 1%, it'll take you 70 years 00:05:55.190 --> 00:05:55.980 to double your money. 00:05:55.980 --> 00:05:59.460 At 25% it'll only take you a little over 3 years to double 00:05:59.460 --> 00:06:00.710 your money. 00:06:00.710 --> 00:06:02.960 00:06:02.960 --> 00:06:10.870 This is the correct-- and I'll do this in blue-- 00:06:10.870 --> 00:06:11.970 number right here. 00:06:11.970 --> 00:06:13.220 So this is actual. 00:06:13.220 --> 00:06:19.570 00:06:19.570 --> 00:06:21.310 And I plotted it here, too. 00:06:21.310 --> 00:06:24.450 If you look at the blue line, that's the actual. 00:06:24.450 --> 00:06:26.140 I didn't plot all of them. 00:06:26.140 --> 00:06:28.600 I think I started at maybe 4%. 00:06:28.600 --> 00:06:32.560 So if you look at 4%, it takes you 17.6 years 00:06:32.560 --> 00:06:33.370 to double your money. 00:06:33.370 --> 00:06:37.360 So 4%, it takes 17.6 years to double your money. 00:06:37.360 --> 00:06:39.450 So that's that dot right there on the blue. 00:06:39.450 --> 00:06:46.270 At 5% percent, it takes you 14 years to double your money. 00:06:46.270 --> 00:06:48.200 And so this should also give you an appreciation that every 00:06:48.200 --> 00:06:50.780 percentage really does matter when you're talking about 00:06:50.780 --> 00:06:54.490 compounding interest. When it takes 2%, it takes you 35 00:06:54.490 --> 00:06:55.310 years to double your money. 00:06:55.310 --> 00:06:57.490 1% takes you 70 years. 00:06:57.490 --> 00:07:00.900 You double your money twice as fast. It it really is 00:07:00.900 --> 00:07:02.680 important, especially if you think about doubling your 00:07:02.680 --> 00:07:05.230 money, or even tripling your money for that matter. 00:07:05.230 --> 00:07:13.200 Now in red, I said what does the rule of 72 predict? 00:07:13.200 --> 00:07:17.280 So if you just take 72 and divided it by 1%, you get 72. 00:07:17.280 --> 00:07:21.730 If you take 72 divided by 4, you get 18. 00:07:21.730 --> 00:07:25.100 Rule of 72 says it'll take you 18 years to double your money 00:07:25.100 --> 00:07:27.580 at a 4% interest rate, when the actual 00:07:27.580 --> 00:07:30.520 answer is 17.7 years. 00:07:30.520 --> 00:07:31.420 So it's pretty close. 00:07:31.420 --> 00:07:34.455 So that's what's in red right there. 00:07:34.455 --> 00:07:37.490 00:07:37.490 --> 00:07:38.820 So I've plotted it here. 00:07:38.820 --> 00:07:40.680 The curves are pretty close. 00:07:40.680 --> 00:07:45.510 For low interest rates, so that's these interest rates 00:07:45.510 --> 00:07:53.140 over here, the rule of 72 slightly over estimates how 00:07:53.140 --> 00:07:54.880 long it'll take to double your money. 00:07:54.880 --> 00:07:57.610 And as you get to higher interest rates, it slightly 00:07:57.610 --> 00:08:01.340 underestimates how long it'll take you to double your money. 00:08:01.340 --> 00:08:05.090 If you had to think about is 72 really the best number? 00:08:05.090 --> 00:08:06.840 Well this is kind of what I did. 00:08:06.840 --> 00:08:09.340 If you just take the interest rate and you multiply it by 00:08:09.340 --> 00:08:11.270 the actual doubling time. 00:08:11.270 --> 00:08:12.790 And here you get a bunch of numbers. 00:08:12.790 --> 00:08:14.940 For low interest rate 69 works good. 00:08:14.940 --> 00:08:17.360 For very high interest rates 78 works good. 00:08:17.360 --> 00:08:20.470 But if you look at this, 72 looks like a pretty good 00:08:20.470 --> 00:08:21.290 approximation. 00:08:21.290 --> 00:08:26.150 You can see it took us pretty well all the way from 4% all 00:08:26.150 --> 00:08:27.620 the way to 25%. 00:08:27.620 --> 00:08:30.310 Which is most of the interest rates most of us are going to 00:08:30.310 --> 00:08:32.409 deal with for most of our lives. 00:08:32.409 --> 00:08:34.299 So hopefully you found that useful. 00:08:34.299 --> 00:08:36.750 It's a very easy way to figure out how fast it's going to 00:08:36.750 --> 00:08:37.530 take you to double your money. 00:08:37.530 --> 00:08:39.015 Let's do one more, just for fun. 00:08:39.015 --> 00:08:44.680 00:08:44.680 --> 00:08:50.480 Let's say I have a 9% percent annual compounding. 00:08:50.480 --> 00:08:53.500 And how long does it take for me to double my money? 00:08:53.500 --> 00:08:59.610 Well 72 divided by 9 is equal to 8 years. 00:08:59.610 --> 00:09:02.810 It'll take me 8 years to double my money. 00:09:02.810 --> 00:09:06.200 And the actual answer-- this is the approximate answer 00:09:06.200 --> 00:09:12.190 using the rule of 72-- 9% is 8.04 years. 00:09:12.190 --> 00:09:15.940 So once again, in our head we were able to do a very good 00:09:15.940 --> 00:09:17.190 approximation. 00:09:17.190 --> 00:09:27.858