1 00:00:00,686 --> 00:00:03,196 >>In the last video, we talked a little bit about 2 00:00:03,196 --> 00:00:06,531 compounding interest, and our example was interest 3 00:00:06,531 --> 00:00:09,608 that compounds annually, not continuously, 4 00:00:09,608 --> 00:00:11,107 like we would see in a lot of banks, 5 00:00:11,107 --> 00:00:13,716 but I really just wanted to let you understand that 6 00:00:13,716 --> 00:00:14,969 although the idea is simple, 7 00:00:14,969 --> 00:00:16,936 every year, you get 10% of the money 8 00:00:16,936 --> 00:00:18,393 that you started off with that year, 9 00:00:18,393 --> 00:00:20,969 and it's called compounding because the next year, 10 00:00:20,969 --> 00:00:23,252 you get money not just on your initial deposit, 11 00:00:23,252 --> 00:00:27,011 but you also get money or interest on the interest 12 00:00:27,011 --> 00:00:28,080 from previous years. 13 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:30,049 That's why it's called compounding interest. 14 00:00:30,049 --> 00:00:31,690 Although that idea is pretty simple, 15 00:00:31,690 --> 00:00:34,019 we saw that the math can get a little tricky. 16 00:00:34,019 --> 00:00:36,676 If you have a reasonable calculator, 17 00:00:36,676 --> 00:00:38,563 you can solve for some of these things, 18 00:00:38,563 --> 00:00:39,740 if you know how to do it, 19 00:00:39,740 --> 00:00:42,514 but it's nearly impossible to actually do it 20 00:00:42,514 --> 00:00:43,245 in your head. 21 00:00:43,245 --> 00:00:44,716 For example, 22 00:00:44,716 --> 00:00:45,615 at the end of the last video, 23 00:00:45,615 --> 00:00:47,988 we said, "Hey, if I have $100 and if I'm compounding 24 00:00:47,988 --> 00:00:51,018 "at 10% a year," that's where this 1 comes from, 25 00:00:51,018 --> 00:00:53,883 "how long does it take for me to double my money?" 26 00:00:53,883 --> 00:00:55,708 and end up with this equation. 27 00:00:55,708 --> 00:00:57,023 To solve that equation, 28 00:00:57,023 --> 00:01:00,929 most calculators don't have a log (base 1.1), 29 00:01:00,929 --> 00:01:02,698 and I have shown this in other videos. 30 00:01:02,698 --> 00:01:03,690 This, you could also say 31 00:01:03,690 --> 00:01:11,205 x = log (base 10) 2 / log (base 1.1) 2. 32 00:01:11,205 --> 00:01:14,721 This is another way to calculate log (base 1.1) 2. 33 00:01:14,721 --> 00:01:15,342 I say this ... 34 00:01:15,342 --> 00:01:16,457 Sorry. 35 00:01:16,457 --> 00:01:20,003 This should be log (base 10) 1.1. 36 00:01:20,003 --> 00:01:21,964 I say this because most calculators have 37 00:01:21,964 --> 00:01:23,595 a log (base 10) function, 38 00:01:23,595 --> 00:01:25,001 and this and this are equivalent, 39 00:01:25,001 --> 00:01:27,071 and I have proven it in other videos. 40 00:01:27,071 --> 00:01:28,461 In order to say, "How long does it take 41 00:01:28,461 --> 00:01:30,689 "to double my money at 10% a year?" 42 00:01:30,689 --> 00:01:32,432 you'd have to put that in your calculator, 43 00:01:32,432 --> 00:01:34,111 and let's try it out. 44 00:01:34,465 --> 00:01:35,872 Let's try it out right here. 45 00:01:35,872 --> 00:01:38,054 We're going to have 2, 46 00:01:38,054 --> 00:01:40,031 and we're going to take the logarithm of that. 47 00:01:40,031 --> 00:01:43,374 It's 0.3 divided by ... 48 00:01:43,374 --> 00:01:44,176 divided by ... 49 00:01:44,176 --> 00:01:46,584 ... I'll open parenthesis here just to be careful ... 50 00:01:46,584 --> 00:01:50,536 ... divided by 1.1 and the logarithm of that, 51 00:01:50,536 --> 00:01:53,066 and we close the parentheses, 52 00:01:53,066 --> 00:01:59,054 is equal to 7.27 years, so roughly 7.3 years. 53 00:01:59,054 --> 00:02:03,005 This is roughly equal to 7.3 years. 54 00:02:03,005 --> 00:02:03,843 As we saw in the last video, 55 00:02:03,843 --> 00:02:06,683 this not necessarily trivial to set up, 56 00:02:06,683 --> 00:02:08,843 but even if you understand the math here, 57 00:02:08,843 --> 00:02:11,226 it's not easy to do this in your head. 58 00:02:11,226 --> 00:02:13,370 It's literally almost impossible to do it in your head. 59 00:02:13,370 --> 00:02:15,994 What I will show you is a rule 60 00:02:15,994 --> 00:02:18,008 to approximate this question. 61 00:02:18,008 --> 00:02:21,772 How long does it take for you to double your money? 62 00:02:21,772 --> 00:02:23,407 That rule, 63 00:02:23,407 --> 00:02:26,683 this is called the Rule of 72. 64 00:02:26,683 --> 00:02:30,023 Sometimes it's the Rule of 70 or the Rule of 69, 65 00:02:30,023 --> 00:02:33,559 but Rule of 72 tends to be the most typical one, 66 00:02:33,559 --> 00:02:36,144 especially when you're talking about compounding 67 00:02:36,144 --> 00:02:37,660 over set periods of time, 68 00:02:37,660 --> 00:02:39,094 maybe not continuous compounding. 69 00:02:39,094 --> 00:02:39,902 Continuous compounding, 70 00:02:39,902 --> 00:02:42,354 you'll get closer to 69 or 70, 71 00:02:42,354 --> 00:02:44,664 but I'll show you what I mean in a second. 72 00:02:44,664 --> 00:02:46,025 To answer that same question, 73 00:02:46,025 --> 00:02:51,957 let's say I have 10% compounding annually, 74 00:02:51,957 --> 00:02:57,009 compounding, compounding annually, 75 00:02:57,009 --> 00:02:59,687 10% interest compounding annually, 76 00:02:59,687 --> 00:03:02,711 using the Rule of 72, I say how long does it take 77 00:03:02,711 --> 00:03:04,335 for me to double my money? 78 00:03:04,335 --> 00:03:06,436 I literally take 72. 79 00:03:06,713 --> 00:03:07,997 I take 72. 80 00:03:07,997 --> 00:03:09,327 That's why it's called the Rule of 72. 81 00:03:09,327 --> 00:03:11,354 I divide it by the percentage. 82 00:03:11,354 --> 00:03:13,330 The percentage is 10. 83 00:03:13,330 --> 00:03:15,279 Its decimal position is 0.1, 84 00:03:15,279 --> 00:03:18,013 but it's 10 per 100 percentage. 85 00:03:18,013 --> 00:03:23,044 So 72 / 10, and I get 7.2. 86 00:03:23,044 --> 00:03:26,009 It was annual, so 7.2 years. 87 00:03:26,009 --> 00:03:28,091 If this was 10% compounding monthly, 88 00:03:28,091 --> 00:03:29,954 it would be 7.2 months. 89 00:03:29,954 --> 00:03:34,024 I got 7.2 years, which is pretty darn close 90 00:03:34,024 --> 00:03:37,542 to what we got by doing all of that fancy math. 91 00:03:37,542 --> 00:03:38,426 Similarly, 92 00:03:38,426 --> 00:03:40,057 let's say that I am compounding ... 93 00:03:40,057 --> 00:03:41,643 Let's do another problem. 94 00:03:41,643 --> 00:03:46,002 Let's say I'm compounding 6. 95 00:03:46,002 --> 00:03:48,989 Let's say 6% compounding annually, 96 00:03:48,989 --> 00:03:56,618 compounding annually, so like that. 97 00:03:56,618 --> 00:03:59,013 Well, using the Rule of 72, 98 00:03:59,013 --> 00:04:07,100 I just take 72 / 6, and I get 6 goes into 72 12 times, 99 00:04:07,100 --> 00:04:11,288 so it will take 12 years for me to double my money 100 00:04:11,288 --> 00:04:13,226 if I am getting 6% on my money 101 00:04:13,226 --> 00:04:15,037 compounding annually. 102 00:04:15,037 --> 00:04:16,013 Let's see if that works out. 103 00:04:16,013 --> 00:04:19,027 We learned last time the other way to solve this 104 00:04:19,027 --> 00:04:21,255 would literally be we would say x. 105 00:04:21,255 --> 00:04:25,981 The answer to this should be close to log, 106 00:04:25,981 --> 00:04:30,709 log base anything really of 2 divided by ... 107 00:04:30,709 --> 00:04:32,690 This is where we get the doubling our money from. 108 00:04:32,690 --> 00:04:34,662 The 2 means 2x our money, 109 00:04:34,662 --> 00:04:38,573 divided by log base whatever this is, 10 of, 110 00:04:38,573 --> 00:04:42,648 in this case, instead of 1.1, it's going to be 1.06. 111 00:04:42,648 --> 00:04:44,671 You can already see it's a little bit more difficult. 112 00:04:44,671 --> 00:04:47,060 Get our calculator out. 113 00:04:47,060 --> 00:04:57,665 We have 2, log of that divided by 1.06, log of that, 114 00:04:57,665 --> 00:05:03,083 is equal to 11.89, so about 11.9. 115 00:05:03,083 --> 00:05:04,693 When you do all the fancy math, 116 00:05:04,693 --> 00:05:06,975 we got 11.9. 117 00:05:06,975 --> 00:05:07,951 Once again, you see, 118 00:05:07,951 --> 00:05:10,071 this is a pretty good approximation, 119 00:05:10,071 --> 00:05:14,175 and this math, this math is much, much, much simpler 120 00:05:14,175 --> 00:05:15,672 than this math. 121 00:05:15,672 --> 00:05:17,982 I think most of us can do this in our heads. 122 00:05:17,982 --> 00:05:20,667 This is actually a good way to impress people. 123 00:05:20,667 --> 00:05:22,685 Just to get a better sense of how good 124 00:05:22,685 --> 00:05:24,648 this number 72 is, 125 00:05:24,648 --> 00:05:27,964 what I did is I plotted on a spreadsheet. 126 00:05:27,964 --> 00:05:31,035 I said, OK, here is the different interest rates. 127 00:05:31,035 --> 00:05:34,017 This is the actual time it would take to double. 128 00:05:34,017 --> 00:05:37,304 I'm actually using this formula right here 129 00:05:37,304 --> 00:05:39,989 to figure out the actual, the precise amount of time 130 00:05:39,989 --> 00:05:41,657 it will take to double. 131 00:05:41,657 --> 00:05:43,461 Let's say this is in years, 132 00:05:43,461 --> 00:05:45,513 if we're compounding annually, 133 00:05:45,513 --> 00:05:46,653 so if you get 1%, 134 00:05:46,653 --> 00:05:48,631 it will take you 70 years to double your money. 135 00:05:48,631 --> 00:05:51,651 At 25%, it will only take you a little over three years 136 00:05:51,651 --> 00:05:52,689 to double your money. 137 00:05:52,689 --> 00:05:55,719 This is the actual, this is the correct, 138 00:05:55,719 --> 00:05:57,654 this is the correct, 139 00:05:57,654 --> 00:06:00,655 and I'll do this in blue, 140 00:06:00,655 --> 00:06:04,655 this is the correct number right here. 141 00:06:04,655 --> 00:06:08,670 This is actual right there. 142 00:06:08,670 --> 00:06:12,067 That right there is the actual. 143 00:06:12,067 --> 00:06:14,021 I plotted it here too. 144 00:06:14,021 --> 00:06:15,659 If you look at the blue line, 145 00:06:15,659 --> 00:06:16,989 that's the actual. 146 00:06:16,989 --> 00:06:18,673 I didn't plot all of them. 147 00:06:18,673 --> 00:06:21,607 I think I started at maybe 4%. 148 00:06:21,607 --> 00:06:23,030 If you look at 4%, 149 00:06:23,030 --> 00:06:26,025 it takes you 17.6 years to double your money. 150 00:06:26,025 --> 00:06:29,990 So 4%, it takes 17.6 years to double your money. 151 00:06:29,990 --> 00:06:32,007 That's that dot right there on the blue. 152 00:06:32,007 --> 00:06:34,356 At 5%, it takes you, 153 00:06:34,356 --> 00:06:38,986 at 5%, it takes you 14 years to double your money. 154 00:06:38,986 --> 00:06:40,347 This is also giving you an appreciation 155 00:06:40,347 --> 00:06:42,655 that every percentage really does matter 156 00:06:42,655 --> 00:06:44,677 when you're talking about compounding interest. 157 00:06:44,677 --> 00:06:45,991 When it takes 2%, 158 00:06:45,991 --> 00:06:48,030 it takes you 35 years to double your money. 159 00:06:48,030 --> 00:06:49,444 1% takes you 70 years, 160 00:06:49,444 --> 00:06:51,960 so you double your money twice as fast. 161 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:53,647 It really is really important, 162 00:06:53,647 --> 00:06:54,716 especially if you're thinking about 163 00:06:54,716 --> 00:06:56,559 doubling your money, or even tripling your money, 164 00:06:56,559 --> 00:06:57,674 for that matter. 165 00:06:57,674 --> 00:06:59,633 Now, in red, 166 00:06:59,633 --> 00:07:01,685 in red over here, 167 00:07:01,685 --> 00:07:04,694 I said what does the Rule of 72 predict? 168 00:07:04,694 --> 00:07:05,670 This is what the Rule ... 169 00:07:05,670 --> 00:07:09,009 So if you just take 72 and divide it by 1%, 170 00:07:09,009 --> 00:07:10,016 you get 72. 171 00:07:10,016 --> 00:07:12,653 If you take 72 / 4, you get 18. 172 00:07:12,653 --> 00:07:16,654 Rule of 72 says it will take you 18 years 173 00:07:16,654 --> 00:07:19,090 to double your money at a 4% interest rate, 174 00:07:19,090 --> 00:07:23,050 when the actual answer is 17.7 years, 175 00:07:23,050 --> 00:07:24,011 so it's pretty close. 176 00:07:24,011 --> 00:07:27,227 That's what's in red right there. 177 00:07:27,797 --> 00:07:29,687 That's what's in red right there. 178 00:07:29,687 --> 00:07:31,287 You can see, so I have plotted it here, 179 00:07:31,287 --> 00:07:33,280 the curves are pretty close. 180 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,680 For low interest rates, 181 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:36,703 for low interest rates, 182 00:07:36,703 --> 00:07:39,981 so that's these interest rates over here, 183 00:07:39,981 --> 00:07:41,715 the Rule of 72, 184 00:07:41,715 --> 00:07:43,974 the Rule of 72 slightly, 185 00:07:43,974 --> 00:07:46,289 slightly overestimates how long it will take 186 00:07:46,289 --> 00:07:47,716 to double your money. 187 00:07:47,716 --> 00:07:49,000 As you get to higher interest rates, 188 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,998 it slightly underestimates how long it will take you 189 00:07:51,998 --> 00:07:53,668 to double your money. 190 00:07:53,668 --> 00:07:54,998 Just if you had to think about, 191 00:07:54,998 --> 00:07:57,690 "Gee, is 72 really the best number?" 192 00:07:57,690 --> 00:07:59,604 this is what I did. 193 00:07:59,604 --> 00:08:01,691 If you just take the interest rate and you multiply it 194 00:08:01,691 --> 00:08:03,962 by the actual doubling time, 195 00:08:03,962 --> 00:08:05,705 and here, you get a bunch of numbers. 196 00:08:05,705 --> 00:08:07,720 For low interest rates, 69 works good. 197 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,994 For very high interest rates, 78 works good. 198 00:08:09,994 --> 00:08:11,001 But if you look at this, 199 00:08:11,001 --> 00:08:14,045 72 looks like a pretty good approximation. 200 00:08:14,045 --> 00:08:16,971 You can see it took us pretty well all the way from 201 00:08:16,971 --> 00:08:19,989 when I graphed here, 4% all the way to 25%, 202 00:08:19,989 --> 00:08:22,395 which is most of the interest rates most of us 203 00:08:22,395 --> 00:08:25,653 are going to deal with for most of our lives. 204 00:08:25,653 --> 00:08:26,999 Hopefully, you found that useful. 205 00:08:26,999 --> 00:08:28,963 It's a very easy way to figure out how fast 206 00:08:28,963 --> 00:08:30,000 it's going to take you to double your money. 207 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:31,980 Let's do one more just for fun. 208 00:08:31,980 --> 00:08:35,703 I have a, I don't know, a 4 ... 209 00:08:35,703 --> 00:08:37,309 well, I already did that. 210 00:08:37,309 --> 00:08:42,996 Let's say I have a 9% annual compounding. 211 00:08:42,996 --> 00:08:44,433 How long does it take me for me 212 00:08:44,433 --> 00:08:46,028 to double my money? 213 00:08:46,028 --> 00:08:52,006 Well, 72 / 9 = 8 years. 214 00:08:52,006 --> 00:08:55,485 It will take me 8 years to double my money. 215 00:08:55,485 --> 00:08:57,685 The actual answer, if this is using ... 216 00:08:57,685 --> 00:09:00,011 This is the approximate answer using the Rule of 72 217 00:09:00,011 --> 00:09:04,971 The actual answer, 9% is 8.04 years. 218 00:09:04,971 --> 00:09:06,843 Once again, in our head, we were able to do 219 00:09:06,843 --> 00:09:09,707 a very, very, very good approximation.