WEBVTT 00:00:00.560 --> 00:00:03.056 Over the years when you sit when teaching decision 00:00:03.056 --> 00:00:06.825 making processes to students and executives at MIT and elsewhere, 00:00:07.200 --> 00:00:11.604 I often set up group exercises that let students practice 00:00:11.880 --> 00:00:16.257 this sort of debate and constructive conflict in teams, 00:00:16.640 --> 00:00:19.779 and it gives them firsthand experience on how 00:00:19.840 --> 00:00:23.202 these processes reliably 00:00:23.202 --> 00:00:26.256 deliver higher quality decisions 00:00:26.480 --> 00:00:30.066 than decisions that didn't have this kind of design process. 00:00:30.160 --> 00:00:31.925 And so that's what I've talked about here. 00:00:31.925 --> 00:00:35.640 I also, in what I teach students and executives 00:00:35.640 --> 00:00:37.645 as well, will oftentimes watch 00:00:39.480 --> 00:00:42.944 clips of a movie, the motion picture called 13 Days, 00:00:43.120 --> 00:00:46.630 which depicted the decision making process that President 00:00:46.630 --> 00:00:50.389 Kennedy used during what was what's now called the Cuban Missile Crisis. 00:00:50.680 --> 00:00:53.575 This is probably one of the most consequential decisions 00:00:53.920 --> 00:00:56.620 that any president has ever made in history, 00:00:56.620 --> 00:01:00.734 because this is the closest time that the U.S. 00:01:00.734 --> 00:01:04.795 and Russia came to launching nuclear warheads on one 00:01:04.795 --> 00:01:08.908 another, essentially starting World War three, which would have undoubtedly 00:01:08.908 --> 00:01:12.611 killed millions of people probably pretty quickly as well. 00:01:13.640 --> 00:01:14.714 Historians have also 00:01:14.714 --> 00:01:18.685 watched the movie and given it their blessing that the way the dynamics 00:01:18.685 --> 00:01:22.127 are played out in the movie are mostly correct and accurate. 00:01:22.127 --> 00:01:24.062 So this is one of the reasons that I recommend it 00:01:24.062 --> 00:01:26.520 and I recommend it to you as well. 00:01:26.520 --> 00:01:29.621 Here are some of my own highlights that play out in the movie. 00:01:29.621 --> 00:01:34.397 And as you'll see, many of these are kind of core activities 00:01:34.397 --> 00:01:38.659 that Kennedy used in making this decision align with the four principles 00:01:38.659 --> 00:01:40.412 that I'm suggesting in our program. 00:01:40.412 --> 00:01:43.968 Number one, he was very clear about his goal, 00:01:44.280 --> 00:01:47.299 and his goal was to avoid nuclear war. 00:01:47.760 --> 00:01:53.616 Now, this is different than what tradition would have had suggested for a U.S. 00:01:53.616 --> 00:01:55.316 president. And tradition would say. 00:01:55.670 --> 00:01:59.546 The challenge or the goal is to overcome 00:01:59.546 --> 00:02:02.668 your adversary, to beat your adversary or to win. 00:02:03.080 --> 00:02:05.543 That's what traditional policy would have recommended. 00:02:05.543 --> 00:02:07.298 But he didn't take that route. 00:02:07.560 --> 00:02:11.351 The route that he took is he wants to avoid nuclear war. 00:02:13.320 --> 00:02:15.711 And as as you see in the movie, he had a lot of pressures 00:02:16.080 --> 00:02:19.680 to make to follow sort of a more traditional decision process 00:02:19.920 --> 00:02:21.302 as commander in chief. 00:02:21.302 --> 00:02:25.526 So this is my first principle is to be very clear about the problem 00:02:25.920 --> 00:02:27.322 or the decision 00:02:27.322 --> 00:02:30.923 or the goal that you're trying to achieve with this decision process. 00:02:31.480 --> 00:02:33.943 The second is that you'll see 00:02:34.280 --> 00:02:36.923 that he actually owned the decision process 00:02:37.360 --> 00:02:40.028 from the very beginning as commander in chief. 00:02:40.320 --> 00:02:43.445 Now, he sought out lots of different perspectives 00:02:43.720 --> 00:02:48.253 that he knew and his advisers knew were important to the decision making process. 00:02:48.600 --> 00:02:52.019 And as you'll see, he sought perspective from people 00:02:52.019 --> 00:02:55.625 who disliked him and even distrusted him. 00:02:56.000 --> 00:02:59.240 But he knew those people had valuable expertise 00:02:59.240 --> 00:03:02.658 that could inform his understanding of the problem. 00:03:03.160 --> 00:03:07.634 This was my second recommendation in designing a decision process 00:03:07.920 --> 00:03:12.824 is to seek out multiple perspectives to understand the problem that you face. 00:03:13.440 --> 00:03:17.434 The third thing I want to point out is he utilized teams of advisors, 00:03:17.434 --> 00:03:21.469 several sets of advisers to come up with creative solutions 00:03:21.760 --> 00:03:25.527 and multiple solutions to this problem that he was facing. 00:03:27.000 --> 00:03:27.960 Those alternative 00:03:27.960 --> 00:03:31.783 solutions that he faced actually led to some of the decisions 00:03:31.783 --> 00:03:36.052 that he actually made, the solutions that he actually put in place. 00:03:36.480 --> 00:03:40.929 And these solutions creatively did avoid these 00:03:40.929 --> 00:03:44.335 two countries going to nuclear war with one another. 00:03:44.760 --> 00:03:49.139 So this was my third suggested principle, is to when you're 00:03:49.320 --> 00:03:54.275 trying to arrive at decisions, especially on high stakes decision, 00:03:54.360 --> 00:03:58.664 generate multiple alternatives or multiple solutions to consider. 00:03:59.240 --> 00:04:01.242 And then finally, the fourth thing I want to point out 00:04:01.600 --> 00:04:04.335 is that President Kennedy made the tough call. 00:04:05.400 --> 00:04:09.270 And everybody sort of got behind him when he made those tough calls. 00:04:09.270 --> 00:04:10.830 And this is my fourth 00:04:10.830 --> 00:04:14.372 principle, is that, you know, when you make tough calls, 00:04:14.372 --> 00:04:15.730 make sure that now you're 00:04:15.730 --> 00:04:20.600 moving from decision making to decision implementation or decision execution. 00:04:20.600 --> 00:04:23.354 So at the end, I think that the movie provides 00:04:23.640 --> 00:04:26.581 an excellent illustration of some of the design principles 00:04:26.581 --> 00:04:29.830 for decision processes that I'm recommending in this program. 00:04:30.560 --> 00:04:34.382 More importantly, what I think the Cuban Missile Crisis shows is that if you have 00:04:34.382 --> 00:04:39.652 a high quality decision process, you're going to produce higher quality decisions. 00:04:40.520 --> 00:04:42.941 So that's the big point of sort of 00:04:43.080 --> 00:04:46.283 when you think of of architecting a decision process, 00:04:46.480 --> 00:04:50.944 you can architect a high quality process and you'll have higher quality decisions. 00:04:51.360 --> 00:04:55.240 Research done by Ohio State Professor Paul Nutt suggests 00:04:55.240 --> 00:04:58.105 that about 50% managers decisions 00:04:58.400 --> 00:05:01.226 fail to achieve their intended outcomes. 00:05:01.440 --> 00:05:04.030 So in general, I think you could rightly say that 00:05:04.360 --> 00:05:08.120 status quo decision processes in organizations earn about an F. 00:05:09.000 --> 00:05:10.738 In terms of a grading scale. 00:05:11.000 --> 00:05:14.428 And he one of the big insights that that came 00:05:14.480 --> 00:05:18.766 from his research of actual decisions and the consequences of those decisions 00:05:19.120 --> 00:05:23.871 is that managers used poor decision processes in making those decisions. 00:05:24.160 --> 00:05:27.204 As transformational leaders, I think you want to take some of the principles 00:05:27.480 --> 00:05:29.888 and some of the processes that we're describing here 00:05:30.960 --> 00:05:33.785 to help you make better decisions as you're 00:05:33.920 --> 00:05:37.392 looking at your organization holistically in terms of change 00:05:37.760 --> 00:05:40.840 and innovation by having a better decision process. 00:05:40.840 --> 00:05:44.538 We hope that you'll have better outcomes and better consequences 00:05:44.800 --> 00:05:46.631 in those decisions that you make. 00:05:46.760 --> 00:05:49.478 Remember that the best decisions can or 00:05:49.520 --> 00:05:53.020 can become an outcome of the best quality processes. 00:05:53.440 --> 00:05:57.167 And now we're going to turn our attention to sort of continue this logic of design 00:05:57.280 --> 00:06:01.832 thinking, but applying it specifically to ways approaches to innovation. 00:06:02.120 --> 00:06:04.933 And we're going to apply it to how to design high performing teams.