1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:03,056 Over the years when you sit when teaching decision 2 00:00:03,056 --> 00:00:06,825 making processes to students and executives at MIT and elsewhere, 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:11,604 I often set up group exercises that let students practice 4 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,257 this sort of debate and constructive conflict in teams, 5 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,779 and it gives them firsthand experience on how 6 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,202 these processes reliably 7 00:00:23,202 --> 00:00:26,256 deliver higher quality decisions 8 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:30,066 than decisions that didn't have this kind of design process. 9 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:31,925 And so that's what I've talked about here. 10 00:00:31,925 --> 00:00:35,640 I also, in what I teach students and executives 11 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:37,645 as well, will oftentimes watch 12 00:00:39,480 --> 00:00:42,944 clips of a movie, the motion picture called 13 Days, 13 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:46,630 which depicted the decision making process that President 14 00:00:46,630 --> 00:00:50,389 Kennedy used during what was what's now called the Cuban Missile Crisis. 15 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,575 This is probably one of the most consequential decisions 16 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,620 that any president has ever made in history, 17 00:00:56,620 --> 00:01:00,734 because this is the closest time that the U.S. 18 00:01:00,734 --> 00:01:04,795 and Russia came to launching nuclear warheads on one 19 00:01:04,795 --> 00:01:08,908 another, essentially starting World War three, which would have undoubtedly 20 00:01:08,908 --> 00:01:12,611 killed millions of people probably pretty quickly as well. 21 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:14,714 Historians have also 22 00:01:14,714 --> 00:01:18,685 watched the movie and given it their blessing that the way the dynamics 23 00:01:18,685 --> 00:01:22,127 are played out in the movie are mostly correct and accurate. 24 00:01:22,127 --> 00:01:24,062 So this is one of the reasons that I recommend it 25 00:01:24,062 --> 00:01:26,520 and I recommend it to you as well. 26 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,621 Here are some of my own highlights that play out in the movie. 27 00:01:29,621 --> 00:01:34,397 And as you'll see, many of these are kind of core activities 28 00:01:34,397 --> 00:01:38,659 that Kennedy used in making this decision align with the four principles 29 00:01:38,659 --> 00:01:40,412 that I'm suggesting in our program. 30 00:01:40,412 --> 00:01:43,968 Number one, he was very clear about his goal, 31 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,299 and his goal was to avoid nuclear war. 32 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:53,616 Now, this is different than what tradition would have had suggested for a U.S. 33 00:01:53,616 --> 00:01:55,316 president. And tradition would say. 34 00:01:55,670 --> 00:01:59,546 The challenge or the goal is to overcome 35 00:01:59,546 --> 00:02:02,668 your adversary, to beat your adversary or to win. 36 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,543 That's what traditional policy would have recommended. 37 00:02:05,543 --> 00:02:07,298 But he didn't take that route. 38 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,351 The route that he took is he wants to avoid nuclear war. 39 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,711 And as as you see in the movie, he had a lot of pressures 40 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,680 to make to follow sort of a more traditional decision process 41 00:02:19,920 --> 00:02:21,302 as commander in chief. 42 00:02:21,302 --> 00:02:25,526 So this is my first principle is to be very clear about the problem 43 00:02:25,920 --> 00:02:27,322 or the decision 44 00:02:27,322 --> 00:02:30,923 or the goal that you're trying to achieve with this decision process. 45 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:33,943 The second is that you'll see 46 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,923 that he actually owned the decision process 47 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,028 from the very beginning as commander in chief. 48 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:43,445 Now, he sought out lots of different perspectives 49 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:48,253 that he knew and his advisers knew were important to the decision making process. 50 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:52,019 And as you'll see, he sought perspective from people 51 00:02:52,019 --> 00:02:55,625 who disliked him and even distrusted him. 52 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,240 But he knew those people had valuable expertise 53 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,658 that could inform his understanding of the problem. 54 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:07,634 This was my second recommendation in designing a decision process 55 00:03:07,920 --> 00:03:12,824 is to seek out multiple perspectives to understand the problem that you face. 56 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:17,434 The third thing I want to point out is he utilized teams of advisors, 57 00:03:17,434 --> 00:03:21,469 several sets of advisers to come up with creative solutions 58 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,527 and multiple solutions to this problem that he was facing. 59 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:27,960 Those alternative 60 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:31,783 solutions that he faced actually led to some of the decisions 61 00:03:31,783 --> 00:03:36,052 that he actually made, the solutions that he actually put in place. 62 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:40,929 And these solutions creatively did avoid these 63 00:03:40,929 --> 00:03:44,335 two countries going to nuclear war with one another. 64 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:49,139 So this was my third suggested principle, is to when you're 65 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:54,275 trying to arrive at decisions, especially on high stakes decision, 66 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,664 generate multiple alternatives or multiple solutions to consider. 67 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,242 And then finally, the fourth thing I want to point out 68 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,335 is that President Kennedy made the tough call. 69 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:09,270 And everybody sort of got behind him when he made those tough calls. 70 00:04:09,270 --> 00:04:10,830 And this is my fourth 71 00:04:10,830 --> 00:04:14,372 principle, is that, you know, when you make tough calls, 72 00:04:14,372 --> 00:04:15,730 make sure that now you're 73 00:04:15,730 --> 00:04:20,600 moving from decision making to decision implementation or decision execution. 74 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,354 So at the end, I think that the movie provides 75 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,581 an excellent illustration of some of the design principles 76 00:04:26,581 --> 00:04:29,830 for decision processes that I'm recommending in this program. 77 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:34,382 More importantly, what I think the Cuban Missile Crisis shows is that if you have 78 00:04:34,382 --> 00:04:39,652 a high quality decision process, you're going to produce higher quality decisions. 79 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:42,941 So that's the big point of sort of 80 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:46,283 when you think of of architecting a decision process, 81 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,944 you can architect a high quality process and you'll have higher quality decisions. 82 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:55,240 Research done by Ohio State Professor Paul Nutt suggests 83 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,105 that about 50% managers decisions 84 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,226 fail to achieve their intended outcomes. 85 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,030 So in general, I think you could rightly say that 86 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:08,120 status quo decision processes in organizations earn about an F. 87 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:10,738 In terms of a grading scale. 88 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,428 And he one of the big insights that that came 89 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,766 from his research of actual decisions and the consequences of those decisions 90 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:23,871 is that managers used poor decision processes in making those decisions. 91 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,204 As transformational leaders, I think you want to take some of the principles 92 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,888 and some of the processes that we're describing here 93 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,785 to help you make better decisions as you're 94 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,392 looking at your organization holistically in terms of change 95 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,840 and innovation by having a better decision process. 96 00:05:40,840 --> 00:05:44,538 We hope that you'll have better outcomes and better consequences 97 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:46,631 in those decisions that you make. 98 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,478 Remember that the best decisions can or 99 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:53,020 can become an outcome of the best quality processes. 100 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:57,167 And now we're going to turn our attention to sort of continue this logic of design 101 00:05:57,280 --> 00:06:01,832 thinking, but applying it specifically to ways approaches to innovation. 102 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:04,933 And we're going to apply it to how to design high performing teams.