WEBVTT 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Danas bih vam htjela reći ponešto o matematici ljubavi. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Mislim da se svi možemo složiti 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da su matematičari poznati po tome da s lakoćom pronalaze ljubav. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ali nije to samo zbog naših divnih osobnosti, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 fantastičnih društvenih vještina i izvrsnih pernica, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 već i stoga što smo zapravo stvarno puno radili na tome da izračunamo 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 kako pronaći savršenog partnera. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 U mojem najdražem članku na tu temu, čiji je naslov 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 „Zašto nemam djevojku” -- (smijeh) -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Peter Backus pokušava procijeniti svoje izglede da pronađe ljubav. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Peter nije vrlo pohlepan čovjek. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Od svih žena koje žive u Ujedinjenoj Kraljevini, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Peter traži takvu koja živi blizu njega, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 koja je prave dobi, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 koja je završila fakultet, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 s kojom bi se mogao dobro slagati, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 koja bi bila privlačna, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 kojoj bi on bio privlačan. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 (smijeh) 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Na kraju je procijenio da u cijeloj državi ima 26 takvih žena. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ne izgleda baš dobro, zar ne? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Da bismo to stavili u perspektivu, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to je oko 400 puta manji broj od najboljih procjena 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 toga koliko postoji inteligentnih izvanzemaljskih oblika života. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Peter tako ima šanse u omjeru 1 : 285 000 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da tijekom izlaska naleti na jednu 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 od tih posebnih žena. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Rado bih mislila da je to razlog iz kojeg 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 matematičari više baš i ne izlaze. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 No, ja osobno 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ne prihvaćam takav pesimistični stav. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Zato što znam, kao i svi vi, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da ljubav zapravo ne funkcionira tako. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ljudski osjećaji nisu uredni ni racionalni i ne može ih se lako predvidjeti. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ali znam i da to ne znači 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da nam matematika tu ne može ništa ponuditi 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 jer se ljubav, kao i mnogo toga u životu, često odvija po određenim uzorcima, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 a matematika je, na kraju krajeva, proučavanje uzoraka, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 od predviđanja vremenskih uvjeta do fluktuacija na tržištu dionica, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 kretanja planeta i rasta gradova. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 A, iskreno, ništa od toga 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 nije baš naročito uredno niti se može lako predvidjeti. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Vjerujem da je matematika toliko moćna da nam može 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 pružiti novi način gledanja bilo čega. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Čak i nečega misterioznog poput ljubavi. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Stoga, kako bih vas uvjerila 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da je matematika potpuno divna, odlična i relevantna. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 dat ću vam svoja tri glavna matematički provjerljiva savjeta za ljubav. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Savjet br. 1: 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Kako uspješno pronaći ljubav na internetu. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 OkCupid mi je najdraža internetska stranica za traženje partnera, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i to ne samo zato što ju je pokrenula skupina matematičara. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Budući da su matematičari, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 gotovo deset godina 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 prikupljaju podatke o svima koji koriste njihovu stranicu. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Nastoje pronaći uzorke 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 u načinu na koji govorimo o sebi 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i na koji komuniciramo jedni s drugima 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 na internetskoj stranici za traženje partnera. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 I otkrili su neke stvarno zanimljive stvari. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Meni je najdraže 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to što se pokazalo da na stranicama za traženje partnera 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 vaša popularnost ne ovisi o tome koliko ste privlačni 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i zapravo, ako ljudi misle da ste ružni, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to vam može ići u prilog. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Pokazat ću vam kako to funkcionira. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 U nasreću neobveznom dijelu OkCupida 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 možete ocijeniti koliko ljude smatrate privlačnima, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ocjenama od 1 do 5. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ako ovaj prosječan rezultat usporedimo 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 s brojem poruka koje primaju određeni ljudi, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 možete pomalo vidjeti 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 kakav je odnos privlačnosti i popularnosti na stranicama za traženje partnera. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ovaj su graf izradili dečki s OkCupida. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Važno je primijetiti da nije potpuno istina 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da ćete dobiti više poruka ako ste privlačniji. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ali postavlja se pitanje po čemu su to ljudi ovdje gore 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 toliko popularniji od ljudi ovdje dolje, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 iako imaju jednaku ocjenu privlačnosti? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Razlog je taj što nije bitan samo izgled. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Dat ću vam primjer za ilustraciju onoga što su otkrili. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Netko poput Portije de Rossi, na primjer. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Svi se slažu da je Portia de Rossi vrlo zgodna žena. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Nitko ne misli da je ružna, ali nije ni supermodel. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ako usporedite Portiju de Rossi s nekime poput Sarah Jessice Parker, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 mnogi ljudi, pa, moram priznati, i ja, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 misle da je Sarah Jessica Parker stvarno fantastična 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i možda jedno od najljepših bića 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 koja su ikad hodala Zemljom. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ali čini se da neki drugi ljudi, recimo većina ljudi na internetu, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 misle da malo naliči konju. (smijeh) 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Mislim da, kad biste pitali ljude za njihovo mišljenje o privlačnosti 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Sarah Jessice Parker i Portije de Rossi 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i kad biste tražili da ih ocijene od 1 do 5, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 mislim da bi u prosjeku imale otprilike jednak rezultat. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Ali ljudi bi glasali na vrlo različite načine. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Portijine bi ocjene uglavnom bile oko 4 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 jer se svi slažu da je prekrasna, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 dok se za Sarah Jessicu Parker mišljenja potpuno razlikuju. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Imala bi vrlo raznolike ocjene. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 I upravo je ta raznolikost bitna. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Zbog te ste raznolikosti popularniji 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 na stranicama za traženje partnera. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 To, dakle, znači 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da, ako neki ljudi misle da ste privlačni, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 zapravo je za vas bolje 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da neki drugi ljudi misle da ste rugoba. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 To je mnogo bolje nego sa svi misle 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 da ste slatka djevojka iz susjedstva. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Mislim da to ima malo više smisla 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ako razmišljate kao ljudi koji šalju te poruke. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Recimo da vam je netko privlačan, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ali mislite da drugi ljudi neće nužno biti toliko zainteresirani. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 To znači da imate manje konkurencije 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i to vam je dodatan poticaj da stupite u kontakt s tom osobom. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 S druge strane, netko vam je privlačan, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ali mislite da će ta osoba biti privlačna i svima drugima. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Budimo iskreni, zašto biste se ponižavali? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Dolazimo do stvarno zanimljivog dijela. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Kad ljudi biraju fotografije koje koriste na stranicama za traženje partnera, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 često nastoje pokazati što manje stvari 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 za koje misle da će nekima biti neprivlačne. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Tipičan su primjer ljudi koji su možda malo pretili 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 i koji namjerno biraju 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 99:59:59.999 --> 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