1 00:00:15,108 --> 00:00:19,109 Why are gas stations always built right next to other gas stations? 2 00:00:19,109 --> 00:00:21,809 Why is it that I can drive for a mile without finding a coffee shop 3 00:00:21,809 --> 00:00:24,143 and then stumble across three on the same corner? 4 00:00:24,143 --> 00:00:27,075 Why do grocery stores, auto repair shops and restaurants 5 00:00:27,075 --> 00:00:31,925 always seem to exist in groups instead of being spread evenly throughout a community? 6 00:00:31,925 --> 00:00:35,843 While there are several factors that might go into deciding where to place your business, 7 00:00:35,843 --> 00:00:39,475 clusters of similar companies can be explained by a very simple story 8 00:00:39,475 --> 00:00:43,711 called Hotelling's Model of Spatial Competition. 9 00:00:43,711 --> 00:00:45,092 Imagine that you sell ice cream at the beach. 10 00:00:45,092 --> 00:00:48,075 Your beach is one mile long and you have no competition. 11 00:00:48,075 --> 00:00:51,293 Where would you place your cart in order to sell the most product? 12 00:00:51,293 --> 00:00:52,392 In the middle. 13 00:00:52,392 --> 00:00:55,442 The one-half-mile walk may be too far for some people 14 00:00:55,442 --> 00:00:58,776 at each end of the beach, but your cart serves as many people as possible. 15 00:00:58,776 --> 00:01:02,692 One day you show up at work just as your cousin Teddy is arriving at the beach 16 00:01:02,692 --> 00:01:07,342 with his own ice cream cart. In fact, he's selling exactly the same type of ice cream as you are. 17 00:01:07,342 --> 00:01:10,810 You agree that you will split the beach in half. 18 00:01:10,810 --> 00:01:13,126 In order to insure that customer's don't have to walk too far 19 00:01:13,126 --> 00:01:16,376 you set up your cart a quarter mile south of the beach center, 20 00:01:16,376 --> 00:01:18,294 right in the middle of your territory. 21 00:01:18,294 --> 00:01:20,775 Teddy sets up a quarter mile north of the center, 22 00:01:20,775 --> 00:01:22,792 in the middle of Teddy territory. 23 00:01:22,792 --> 00:01:25,293 With this agreement, everyone south of you buys ice cream from you. 24 00:01:25,293 --> 00:01:29,241 Everyone north of Teddy buys from him, and the 50% of beachgoers in between 25 00:01:29,241 --> 00:01:33,775 walk to the closest cart. No one walks more than a quarter of a mile, 26 00:01:33,775 --> 00:01:36,677 and both vendors sell to half of the beachgoers. 27 00:01:36,677 --> 00:01:40,860 Game theorists consider this a socially optimal solution. 28 00:01:40,860 --> 00:01:44,376 It minimizes the maximum number of steps any visitor must take 29 00:01:44,376 --> 00:01:46,376 in order to reach an ice cream cart. 30 00:01:46,376 --> 00:01:48,259 The next day, when you arrive at work, 31 00:01:48,259 --> 00:01:51,058 Teddy has set up his cart in the middle of the beach. 32 00:01:51,058 --> 00:01:54,325 You return to your location a quarter mile south of center 33 00:01:54,325 --> 00:01:57,093 and get the 25% of customers to the south of you. 34 00:01:57,093 --> 00:02:00,659 Teddy still gets all of the customers north in Teddy territory, 35 00:02:00,659 --> 00:02:04,726 but now you split the 25% of people in between the two carts. 36 00:02:04,726 --> 00:02:07,559 Day three of the ice cream wars, you get to the beach early, 37 00:02:07,559 --> 00:02:10,191 and set up right in the center of Teddy territory, 38 00:02:10,191 --> 00:02:14,276 assuming you'll serve the 75% of beachgoers to your south, 39 00:02:14,276 --> 00:02:17,576 leaving your cousin to sell to the 25% of customers to the north. 40 00:02:17,576 --> 00:02:20,544 When Teddy arrives, he sets up just south of you 41 00:02:20,544 --> 00:02:24,859 stealing all of the southerly customers, and leaving you with a small group of people to the north. 42 00:02:24,859 --> 00:02:29,360 Not to be outdone, you move 10 paces south of Teddy to regain your customers. 43 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,860 When you take a mid-day break, Teddy shuffles 10 paces south of you, 44 00:02:32,860 --> 00:02:36,559 and again, steals back all the customers to the far end of the beach. 45 00:02:36,559 --> 00:02:40,025 Throughout the course of the day, both of you continue to periodically move south 46 00:02:40,025 --> 00:02:42,860 towards the bulk of the ice cream buyers, 47 00:02:42,860 --> 00:02:45,475 until both of you eventually end up at the center of the beach, 48 00:02:45,475 --> 00:02:49,743 back to back, each serving 50% of the ice-cream-hungry beachgoers. 49 00:02:49,743 --> 00:02:54,975 At this point, you and your competitive cousin have reached what game theorists call a Nash Equilibrium - 50 00:02:54,975 --> 00:02:59,961 the point where neither of you can improve your position by deviating from your current strategy. 51 00:02:59,961 --> 00:03:03,859 Your original strategy, where you were each a quarter mile from the middle of the beach, 52 00:03:03,859 --> 00:03:07,110 didn't last, because it wasn't a Nash Equilibrium. 53 00:03:07,110 --> 00:03:10,960 Either of you could move your cart toward the other to sell more ice cream. 54 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:12,825 With both of you now in the center of the beach, 55 00:03:12,825 --> 00:03:16,926 you can't reposition your cart closer to your furthest customers 56 00:03:16,926 --> 00:03:19,193 without making your current customers worse off. 57 00:03:19,193 --> 00:03:22,592 However, you no longer have a socially optimal solution, 58 00:03:22,592 --> 00:03:24,425 since customers at either end of the beach 59 00:03:24,425 --> 00:03:27,626 have to walk further than necessary to get a sweet treat. 60 00:03:27,626 --> 00:03:32,295 Think about all the fast food chains, clothing boutiques, or mobile phone kiosks at the mall. 61 00:03:32,295 --> 00:03:36,009 Customers may be better served by distributing services throughout a community, 62 00:03:36,009 --> 00:03:39,544 but this leaves businesses vulnerable to aggressive competition. 63 00:03:39,544 --> 00:03:42,810 In the real world, customers come from more than one direction, 64 00:03:42,810 --> 00:03:45,693 and businesses are free to compete with marketing strategies, 65 00:03:45,693 --> 00:03:47,508 by differentiating their product line, and with price cuts, 66 00:03:47,508 --> 00:03:51,942 but at the heart of their strategy, companies like to keep their competition 67 00:03:51,942 --> 00:03:55,942 as close as possible.