WEBVTT 00:00:00.206 --> 00:00:01.300 ♪ [音乐] ♪ 00:00:03.640 --> 00:00:04.768 在经济学中 00:00:04.768 --> 00:00:07.780 你会经常听到 “边际” 这个词 00:00:08.473 --> 00:00:09.720 边际效益 00:00:09.720 --> 00:00:11.140 边际成本 00:00:11.140 --> 00:00:12.595 边际收益 00:00:12.835 --> 00:00:14.480 这样的例子不胜枚举 00:00:14.760 --> 00:00:16.727 那么经济学家认为边际是什么呢? 00:00:16.727 --> 00:00:18.177 为什么很重要呢? 00:00:19.300 --> 00:00:20.938 边际只是多一点或少一点的意思 00:00:20.938 --> 00:00:23.300 [] 00:00:24.320 --> 00:00:26.317 我们想象一下你正在看一部电影 00:00:27.228 --> 00:00:28.760 而你听不到对白 00:00:29.060 --> 00:00:31.225 你将音量稍微调高一点 00:00:31.225 --> 00:00:32.840 [来自电影的声音] 00:00:32.840 --> 00:00:34.056 你应该调高几多? 00:00:34.390 --> 00:00:37.511 嗯,这是比较增加音量的 00:00:37.511 --> 00:00:40.060 边际效益和边际成本的问题 00:00:42.380 --> 00:00:44.393 增加一格音量听起来不错 00:00:44.640 --> 00:00:46.780 现在你可以听到演员的对白 00:00:46.780 --> 00:00:48.150 [声音稍微大一点] 00:00:48.400 --> 00:00:49.940 你再增加了一格音量 00:00:50.082 --> 00:00:51.550 [声音更大] 00:00:52.120 --> 00:00:54.700 扬声器有点失真 但你还是比较喜欢这样子 00:00:54.987 --> 00:00:56.238 [声音更大] 00:00:57.900 --> 00:00:58.920 再增加一格 00:01:00.406 --> 00:01:01.457 [声音爆炸] 00:01:01.457 --> 00:01:02.512 嗯—哦 00:01:03.068 --> 00:01:04.720 现在是动作场面 00:01:04.720 --> 00:01:05.841 太大声了 00:01:05.841 --> 00:01:07.497 你不想吵醒室友 00:01:08.747 --> 00:01:10.300 于是你降低一格 00:01:11.010 --> 00:01:12.010 [声音更小] 00:01:12.720 --> 00:01:13.989 继续这样做 00:01:13.989 --> 00:01:16.390 边际地调高调低 00:01:16.680 --> 00:01:19.822 将每一步的边际效益与边际成本进行比较 00:01:20.228 --> 00:01:21.620 [] 00:01:22.940 --> 00:01:24.043 边际的考虑意味着 00:01:24.043 --> 00:01:28.084 将下一个决策的效益与其成本进行比较 00:01:29.108 --> 00:01:30.919 要注意,边际的考虑— 00:01:30.919 --> 00:01:33.840 是达成最理想或最佳决策的一种方法或途径 00:01:33.840 --> 00:01:36.020 [] 00:01:36.680 --> 00:01:39.820 如果我问你看电影用什么音量最好 00:01:39.820 --> 00:01:41.515 你可能难以回答 00:01:42.018 --> 00:01:44.700 但如果你一直在边际上思考和行动 00:01:45.060 --> 00:01:46.333 你会到达边际收益等于边际成本— 00:01:46.333 --> 00:01:49.020 [] 00:01:49.640 --> 00:01:50.780 这是最理想的情况 00:01:51.180 --> 00:01:52.604 因此,边际思考 00:01:52.604 --> 00:01:55.839 是寻找和找到答案的一种方式 00:01:55.839 --> 00:01:58.370 否则可能会很难才找到问题的答案 00:01:59.540 --> 00:02:01.121 边际思考 00:02:01.121 --> 00:02:03.180 还告诉你一些其他重要的事情 00:02:03.740 --> 00:02:05.580 不该考虑的事情 00:02:06.140 --> 00:02:08.540 假设你经营一家小型服装店 00:02:08.760 --> 00:02:12.920 而你认为 20 世纪 70 年代即将迎来复兴 00:02:13.680 --> 00:02:15.040 我记得那些时候 00:02:15.040 --> 00:02:16.100 ♪ [音乐] ♪ 00:02:16.100 --> 00:02:19.940 因此你买了 100 条牛仔喇叭裤 00:02:20.660 --> 00:02:23.260 假设支付了 75 美元一条 00:02:23.680 --> 00:02:25.670 你把牛仔裤定价为 100 美元— 00:02:26.060 --> 00:02:30.080 这能够支付你的成本,包括租金和工资 00:02:31.120 --> 00:02:35.228 但不幸的是,牛仔裤卖不出去 00:02:35.228 --> 00:02:36.770 - 什么? - 你要做什么呢? 00:02:37.180 --> 00:02:38.860 你会考虑降价 00:02:39.216 --> 00:02:40.476 但你的会计师告诉你 00:02:40.476 --> 00:02:42.720 如果把售价降到 100 美元以下 00:02:42.720 --> 00:02:45.000 你肯定会蒙受损失 00:02:45.440 --> 00:02:46.612 [尖叫音效] 00:02:47.720 --> 00:02:49.986 幸运的是,你在高中或大学 00:02:49.986 --> 00:02:51.454 上过很好的经济学课 00:02:51.900 --> 00:02:54.577 所以你记得 00:02:54.577 --> 00:02:55.593 你为牛仔裤付的钱是无关紧要的 00:02:56.040 --> 00:02:57.959 这是沉没成本 00:02:58.923 --> 00:03:00.620 现在重要的是 00:03:00.620 --> 00:03:02.971 比较你的选项的边际效益和边际成本 00:03:02.971 --> 00:03:05.788 [] 00:03:06.500 --> 00:03:10.058 One option would be to put the jeans in storage and hope, 00:03:10.058 --> 00:03:12.175 hope they'll come back in style. 00:03:12.520 --> 00:03:15.460 Maybe you can get $100 per pair in the future, 00:03:16.160 --> 00:03:18.255 but you get no money now, 00:03:18.255 --> 00:03:20.260 plus you have to pay for storage. 00:03:21.820 --> 00:03:24.584 Another option is to slash prices. 00:03:25.066 --> 00:03:27.407 Sell them all now for $50 each. 00:03:27.407 --> 00:03:29.583 That lets you clear out your inventory 00:03:29.583 --> 00:03:31.760 and invest in something else. 00:03:32.580 --> 00:03:34.243 You choose option two 00:03:34.243 --> 00:03:36.440 and invest in the next big thing: 00:03:36.846 --> 00:03:37.997 leg warmers! 00:03:39.020 --> 00:03:41.140 Now, I know this sounds simple, 00:03:41.526 --> 00:03:44.280 but actually, even experienced businesspeople -- 00:03:44.762 --> 00:03:48.660 they often focus too much on what they paid for an item 00:03:49.240 --> 00:03:52.960 and not enough on their best choices right now. 00:03:53.520 --> 00:03:56.360 It's called the sunk cost, or fixed cost fallacy. 00:03:57.280 --> 00:04:01.180 In fact, I snuck an example of the fallacy right past you. 00:04:01.560 --> 00:04:02.580 Did you catch it? 00:04:03.740 --> 00:04:06.956 Earlier, I said you price the jeans at $100 -- 00:04:07.440 --> 00:04:10.460 a price that will cover your costs, including rent and wages. 00:04:10.819 --> 00:04:12.436 But that's also wrong. 00:04:13.260 --> 00:04:16.660 If bell-bottom jeans turn out to be in huge demand, for example -- 00:04:17.300 --> 00:04:19.596 then you should price them for more than $100. 00:04:20.600 --> 00:04:23.370 What you paid for the jeans is irrelevant -- 00:04:24.340 --> 00:04:27.840 whether your decision was a bad one or a good one. 00:04:28.980 --> 00:04:32.120 People fall prey to this kind of error all the time, 00:04:32.780 --> 00:04:35.418 especially holding on to past mistakes. 00:04:36.400 --> 00:04:39.102 Maybe you've been told, "Never give up!" 00:04:39.830 --> 00:04:41.800 Well, take the advice of an economist. 00:04:42.400 --> 00:04:45.460 Sometimes giving up is the smart thing to do. 00:04:46.340 --> 00:04:48.297 Is the movie you're watching boring? 00:04:48.788 --> 00:04:50.746 Well, buying the ticket was a bad decision. 00:04:51.580 --> 00:04:53.291 But that cost is sunk. 00:04:53.291 --> 00:04:55.140 Don't throw good time after bad. 00:04:55.859 --> 00:04:56.859 Walk out! 00:04:57.509 --> 00:05:00.860 No one likes to admit that they made a bad decision, 00:05:01.560 --> 00:05:03.724 and so they stay in bad relationships, 00:05:03.724 --> 00:05:05.987 bad businesses, and bad careers, 00:05:06.356 --> 00:05:08.940 hoping, hoping to turn things around 00:05:09.140 --> 00:05:13.600 and prove that their past decisions weren't so bad after all. 00:05:13.980 --> 00:05:18.080 An economist says, "Ignore what you can't change. 00:05:18.667 --> 00:05:22.046 Ignore the past. Focus on the future." 00:05:23.612 --> 00:05:25.740 Let's summarize thinking on the margin. 00:05:26.400 --> 00:05:29.061 First, think about a little bit more 00:05:29.061 --> 00:05:30.280 or a little bit less, 00:05:30.460 --> 00:05:33.100 and keep going until you'll arrive at a point 00:05:33.380 --> 00:05:36.546 where the marginal benefits equal the marginal costs. 00:05:37.117 --> 00:05:38.284 That's the optimum. 00:05:38.610 --> 00:05:40.940 Second, when making a choice, 00:05:41.455 --> 00:05:44.297 only think about the costs and benefits 00:05:44.297 --> 00:05:47.060 that change with that choice. 00:05:47.980 --> 00:05:49.700 Ignore sunk costs. 00:05:50.380 --> 00:05:51.633 Thinking on the margin -- 00:05:51.633 --> 00:05:52.641 it's useful, 00:05:53.051 --> 00:05:55.035 and not just for Economics classes. 00:05:55.840 --> 00:05:58.020 But if you are teaching an Economics class, 00:05:58.340 --> 00:06:01.580 check out our free unit plan that incorporates this video. 00:06:02.060 --> 00:06:05.720 I promise, the marginal benefit will exceed the marginal cost. 00:06:06.460 --> 00:06:08.378 And if you're ready to test yourself, 00:06:08.588 --> 00:06:10.220 check out our practice questions. 00:06:11.180 --> 00:06:14.301 Finally, if you're ready for more microeconomics, 00:06:14.954 --> 00:06:16.444 click for the next video. 00:06:16.444 --> 00:06:17.710 ♪ [music] ♪