0:00:01.531,0:00:06.198 On the 17th of October, 2009, 0:00:06.222,0:00:10.690 President Mohamed Nasheed of the Maldives[br]did something unusual. 0:00:11.811,0:00:15.374 He held his cabinet meeting underwater. 0:00:19.614,0:00:24.130 He literally took his ministers[br]scuba diving, as it were, 0:00:24.154,0:00:28.633 to warn the world[br]that his country could drown 0:00:28.657,0:00:30.979 unless we control global warming. 0:00:31.741,0:00:35.146 Now I don't know whether he got[br]his message across to the world or not, 0:00:35.170,0:00:36.929 but he certainly caught mine. 0:00:37.908,0:00:39.868 I saw a political stunt. 0:00:40.901,0:00:42.577 You see, I'm a politician, 0:00:42.601,0:00:44.520 and I notice these things. 0:00:45.108,0:00:46.751 And let's be honest, 0:00:46.775,0:00:50.750 the Maldives are distant[br]from where I come from -- 0:00:50.774,0:00:52.493 my country is Bhutan -- 0:00:52.517,0:00:56.258 so I didn't lose any sleep[br]over their impending fate. 0:00:57.375,0:01:01.638 Barely two months later,[br]I saw another political stunt. 0:01:02.234,0:01:06.098 This time, the prime minister of Nepal, 0:01:06.122,0:01:09.845 he held his cabinet meeting[br]on Mount Everest. 0:01:11.102,0:01:16.428 He took all his ministers all the way up[br]to the base camp of Everest 0:01:16.452,0:01:18.394 to warn the world 0:01:18.418,0:01:20.379 that the Himalayan glaciers were melting. 0:01:21.170,0:01:22.869 Now did that worry me? 0:01:22.893,0:01:24.139 You bet it did. 0:01:24.163,0:01:25.527 I live in the Himalayas. 0:01:27.598,0:01:30.130 But did I lose any sleep over his message? 0:01:31.205,0:01:32.355 No. 0:01:32.748,0:01:38.579 I wasn't ready to let a political stunt[br]interfere with my beauty sleep. 0:01:38.952,0:01:40.722 (Laughter) 0:01:40.746,0:01:42.428 Now fast-forward 10 years. 0:01:43.865,0:01:46.386 In February this year, 0:01:46.410,0:01:48.690 I saw this report. 0:01:50.163,0:01:54.154 This here report basically concludes 0:01:54.178,0:02:00.332 that one-third of the ice[br]on the Hindu Kush Himalaya mountains 0:02:00.356,0:02:02.469 could melt by the end of the century. 0:02:03.085,0:02:05.380 But that's only if, 0:02:05.404,0:02:08.611 if we are able to contain global warming 0:02:08.635,0:02:12.916 to 1.5 degrees centigrade[br]over preindustrial levels. 0:02:12.940,0:02:15.810 Otherwise, if we can't, 0:02:15.834,0:02:17.817 the glaciers would melt much faster. 0:02:20.766,0:02:24.149 1.5 degrees Celsius. "No way," I thought. 0:02:24.173,0:02:27.490 Even the Paris Agreement's[br]ambitious targets 0:02:27.514,0:02:30.750 aimed to limit global warming[br]to two degrees centigrade. 0:02:31.317,0:02:35.822 1.5 degrees centigrade is what they call[br]the best-case scenario. 0:02:37.435,0:02:39.484 "Now this can't be true," I thought. 0:02:39.508,0:02:41.662 The Hindu Kush Himalaya region 0:02:41.686,0:02:45.512 is the world's third-largest[br]repository of ice, 0:02:45.536,0:02:47.186 after the North and South Poles. 0:02:47.210,0:02:49.781 That's why we are also called[br]the "Third Pole." 0:02:50.361,0:02:52.527 There's a lot of ice in the region. 0:02:53.377,0:02:55.860 And yes, the glaciers, they are melting. 0:02:56.380,0:02:57.535 We know that. 0:02:58.253,0:03:00.092 I have been to those in my country. 0:03:00.116,0:03:02.217 I've seen them, and yes, they are melting. 0:03:02.241,0:03:03.798 They are vulnerable. 0:03:03.822,0:03:06.734 "But they can't be that vulnerable,"[br]I remember thinking. 0:03:09.275,0:03:10.774 But what if they are? 0:03:11.739,0:03:15.675 What if our glaciers melt[br]much more quickly than I anticipate? 0:03:16.320,0:03:20.944 What if our glaciers are much more[br]vulnerable than previously thought? 0:03:20.968,0:03:24.439 And what if, as a result,[br]the glacial lakes -- 0:03:24.463,0:03:27.368 now these are lakes[br]that form when glaciers melt -- 0:03:27.392,0:03:31.233 what if those lakes burst[br]under the weight of additional water? 0:03:32.585,0:03:35.354 And what if those floods[br]cascade into other glacial lakes, 0:03:35.378,0:03:37.481 creating even bigger outbursts? 0:03:38.452,0:03:42.227 That would create unprecedented[br]flash floods in my country. 0:03:43.113,0:03:45.271 That would wreck my country. 0:03:46.302,0:03:48.914 That would wreak havoc in my country. 0:03:48.938,0:03:52.478 That would have the potential[br]to literally destroy our land, 0:03:52.502,0:03:55.009 our livelihood, our way of life. 0:03:58.491,0:04:02.371 So that report caught my attention 0:04:02.395,0:04:05.735 in ways that political stunts couldn't. 0:04:05.759,0:04:06.948 It was put together 0:04:06.972,0:04:11.537 by the International Centre for Integrated[br]Mountain Development, or ICIMOD, 0:04:11.561,0:04:12.846 which is based in Nepal. 0:04:13.600,0:04:18.315 Scientists and experts have studied[br]our glaciers for decades, 0:04:18.339,0:04:23.060 and their report kept me awake at night,[br]agonizing about the bad news 0:04:23.084,0:04:25.395 and what it meant for my country 0:04:25.419,0:04:26.569 and my people. 0:04:27.750,0:04:29.973 So after several sleepless nights, 0:04:29.997,0:04:33.170 I went to Nepal to visit ICIMOD. 0:04:34.892,0:04:39.296 I found a team of highly competent[br]and dedicated scientists there, 0:04:39.320,0:04:40.939 and here's what they told me. 0:04:41.828,0:04:42.978 Number one: 0:04:43.706,0:04:47.976 the Hindu Kush Himalaya glaciers[br]have been melting for some time now. 0:04:49.716,0:04:52.730 Take that glacier, for instance. 0:04:53.278,0:04:55.096 It's on Mount Everest. 0:04:55.120,0:05:00.604 As you can see, this once massive glacier[br]has already lost much of its ice. 0:05:02.029,0:05:03.538 Number two: 0:05:03.562,0:05:05.912 the glaciers are now melting[br]much more quickly -- 0:05:05.936,0:05:12.185 so quickly, in fact, that at just[br]1.5 degrees centigrade of global warming, 0:05:12.209,0:05:14.891 one-third of the glaciers would melt. 0:05:16.084,0:05:19.305 At two degrees centigrade[br]of global warming, 0:05:19.329,0:05:21.791 half the glaciers would disappear. 0:05:21.815,0:05:24.941 And if current trends were to continue, 0:05:24.965,0:05:28.434 a full two-thirds[br]of our glaciers would vanish. 0:05:30.339,0:05:31.489 Number three: 0:05:32.295,0:05:37.469 global warming means that our mountains[br]receive more rain and less snow ... 0:05:38.779,0:05:42.481 and, unlike snowfall, rain melts ice, 0:05:42.505,0:05:45.282 which just hurts[br]the health of our glaciers. 0:05:46.397,0:05:47.547 Number four: 0:05:49.457,0:05:52.458 pollution in the region has increased[br]the amount of black carbon 0:05:52.482,0:05:54.642 that's deposited on our glaciers. 0:05:54.666,0:05:56.021 Black carbon is like soot. 0:05:56.045,0:05:58.346 Black carbon absorbs heat 0:05:58.370,0:06:00.774 and just accelerates[br]the melting of glaciers. 0:06:02.243,0:06:03.393 To summarize, 0:06:04.344,0:06:06.592 our glaciers are melting rapidly, 0:06:07.775,0:06:11.251 and global warming is making them[br]melt much more quickly. 0:06:13.036,0:06:14.362 But what does this mean? 0:06:15.539,0:06:20.310 It means that the 240 million people 0:06:20.334,0:06:22.843 who live in the Hindu Kush[br]Himalaya region -- 0:06:22.867,0:06:28.119 in Afghanistan, Pakistan, India,[br]China, Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar 0:06:28.143,0:06:30.769 and my own beloved country, Bhutan -- 0:06:30.793,0:06:32.959 these people will be directly affected. 0:06:34.932,0:06:36.875 When glaciers melt, 0:06:36.899,0:06:38.816 when there's more rain and less snow, 0:06:38.840,0:06:43.117 there will be huge changes[br]in the way water behaves. 0:06:43.681,0:06:45.437 There will be more extremes: 0:06:46.800,0:06:49.966 more intense rain,[br]more flash floods, more landslides, 0:06:49.990,0:06:52.928 more glacial lake outburst floods. 0:06:52.952,0:06:57.364 All this will cause[br]unimaginable destruction 0:06:57.388,0:07:01.959 in a region that already has[br]some of the poorest people on earth. 0:07:03.971,0:07:06.797 But it's not just the people[br]in the immediate region 0:07:06.821,0:07:08.110 who'll be affected. 0:07:08.134,0:07:11.605 People living downstream[br]will also be hit hard. 0:07:13.619,0:07:18.318 That's because 10 of their major rivers 0:07:18.342,0:07:21.186 originate in the Hindu Kush[br]Himalaya mountains. 0:07:22.031,0:07:26.564 These rivers provide[br]critical water for agriculture 0:07:26.588,0:07:28.042 and drinking water 0:07:28.066,0:07:33.070 to more than 1.6 billion people[br]living downstream. 0:07:33.094,0:07:35.578 That's one in five humans. 0:07:37.149,0:07:39.254 That's why the Hindu Kush[br]Himalaya mountains 0:07:39.278,0:07:41.713 are also called[br]the "water towers of Asia." 0:07:43.815,0:07:45.219 But when glaciers melt, 0:07:46.213,0:07:47.830 when monsoons turn severe, 0:07:47.854,0:07:50.608 those rivers will obviously flood, 0:07:51.432,0:07:54.401 so there will be deluges[br]when water is not required 0:07:54.425,0:07:57.156 and droughts will be very common, 0:07:57.180,0:07:59.123 when water is desperately required. 0:07:59.147,0:08:04.942 In short, Asia's water tower[br]will be broken, 0:08:04.966,0:08:11.037 and that will be disastrous[br]for one-fifth of humanity. 0:08:14.765,0:08:16.407 Should the rest of the world care? 0:08:17.899,0:08:20.050 Should you, for instance, care? 0:08:20.472,0:08:23.645 Remember, I didn't care[br]when I heard that the Maldives 0:08:23.669,0:08:25.520 could disappear underwater. 0:08:25.544,0:08:28.670 And that is the crux[br]of the problem, isn't it? 0:08:28.694,0:08:30.273 We don't care. 0:08:32.428,0:08:35.043 We don't care until[br]we are personally affected. 0:08:35.729,0:08:38.420 I mean, we know.[br]We know climate change is real. 0:08:38.444,0:08:41.012 We know that we face[br]drastic and dramatic change. 0:08:41.036,0:08:42.526 We know that it is coming fast. 0:08:42.550,0:08:44.359 Yet most of us 0:08:45.662,0:08:48.947 act as if everything were normal. 0:08:50.359,0:08:51.724 So we must care, 0:08:52.726,0:08:54.308 all of us, 0:08:54.332,0:08:59.046 and if you can't care for those who are[br]affected by the melting of glaciers, 0:08:59.070,0:09:01.033 you should at least care for yourself. 0:09:02.193,0:09:05.266 That's because the Hindu Kush[br]Himalaya mountains -- 0:09:05.290,0:09:08.741 the entire region[br]is like the pulse of the planet. 0:09:10.819,0:09:13.191 If the region falls sick, 0:09:13.215,0:09:15.960 the entire planet will eventually suffer. 0:09:17.164,0:09:18.314 And right now, 0:09:18.970,0:09:21.646 with our glaciers melting rapidly, 0:09:21.670,0:09:23.511 the region is not just sick -- 0:09:23.535,0:09:25.361 it is crying out for help. 0:09:27.810,0:09:30.254 And how will it affect[br]the rest of the world? 0:09:30.278,0:09:34.664 One obvious scenario[br]is the potential destabilization 0:09:34.688,0:09:38.562 caused by tens of millions[br]of climate refugees, 0:09:38.586,0:09:41.763 who'll be forced to move[br]because they have no or little water, 0:09:41.787,0:09:44.748 or because their livelihoods[br]have been destroyed 0:09:44.772,0:09:46.475 by the melting of glaciers. 0:09:47.391,0:09:51.116 Another scenario we can't take lightly 0:09:51.140,0:09:54.066 is the potential of conflict over water 0:09:55.409,0:10:02.329 and the political destabilization[br]in a region that has three nuclear powers: 0:10:02.353,0:10:06.575 China, India, Pakistan. 0:10:09.175,0:10:14.439 I believe that the situation[br]in our region is grave enough 0:10:14.463,0:10:19.080 to warrant the creation[br]of a new intergovernmental agency. 0:10:20.022,0:10:23.877 So as a native[br]from that part of the world, 0:10:23.901,0:10:27.116 I want to propose here, today, 0:10:27.140,0:10:30.203 the establishment[br]of the Third Pole Council, 0:10:31.846,0:10:35.342 a high-level,[br]intergovernmental organization 0:10:35.366,0:10:39.030 tasked with the singular responsibility 0:10:39.054,0:10:42.449 of protecting the world's[br]third-largest repository of ice. 0:10:43.720,0:10:45.848 A Third Pole Council 0:10:45.872,0:10:49.819 would consist of all eight countries[br]located in the region 0:10:49.843,0:10:51.101 as member countries, 0:10:51.125,0:10:53.763 as equal member countries, 0:10:53.787,0:10:56.533 and could also include[br]representative organizations 0:10:56.557,0:11:00.311 and other countries[br]who have vested interests in the region 0:11:00.335,0:11:01.891 as non-voting members. 0:11:01.915,0:11:03.969 But the big idea 0:11:03.993,0:11:07.556 is to get all stakeholders together[br]to work together. 0:11:07.580,0:11:12.124 To work together to monitor[br]the health of the glaciers; 0:11:12.148,0:11:17.028 to work together to shape and implement[br]policies to protect our glaciers, 0:11:17.052,0:11:18.803 and, by extension, 0:11:18.827,0:11:23.951 to protect the billions of people[br]who depend on our glaciers. 0:11:25.602,0:11:27.009 We have to work together, 0:11:28.783,0:11:33.354 because thinking globally,[br]acting locally ... 0:11:34.552,0:11:35.991 does not work. 0:11:36.015,0:11:37.490 We've tried that in Bhutan. 0:11:38.463,0:11:42.720 We've made immense sacrifices[br]to act locally ... 0:11:44.705,0:11:49.831 and while individual localized efforts[br]will continue to be important, 0:11:49.855,0:11:53.308 they cannot stand up[br]to the onslaught of climate change. 0:11:53.677,0:11:57.407 To stand up to climate change,[br]we must work together. 0:11:58.272,0:12:01.931 We must think globally and act regionally. 0:12:03.017,0:12:06.932 Our entire region must come together, 0:12:06.956,0:12:08.498 to work together, 0:12:08.522,0:12:10.484 to fight climate change together, 0:12:10.508,0:12:13.252 to make our voices heard together. 0:12:15.751,0:12:20.068 And that includes India and China. 0:12:20.836,0:12:22.901 They must step up their game. 0:12:24.197,0:12:28.879 They must take the ownership[br]of the fight to protect our glaciers. 0:12:29.482,0:12:32.544 And for that, these two countries,[br]these two powerful giants, 0:12:32.568,0:12:35.419 must reduce their own greenhouse gases, 0:12:36.646,0:12:39.475 control their pollution,[br]and lead the fight. 0:12:41.134,0:12:44.428 Lead the global fight[br]against climate change. 0:12:45.950,0:12:48.886 And all that with a renewed[br]sense of urgency. 0:12:48.910,0:12:52.908 Only then -- and that, too, only maybe -- 0:12:52.932,0:12:54.808 will our region 0:12:54.832,0:12:57.268 and other regions[br]that depend on our glaciers 0:12:57.292,0:13:01.855 have any chance to avoid[br]major catastrophes. 0:13:03.554,0:13:04.998 Time is running out. 0:13:06.257,0:13:09.526 We must act together, now. 0:13:10.400,0:13:16.899 Otherwise, the next time[br]Nepal's cabinet meets on Mount Everest, 0:13:16.923,0:13:19.226 that spectacular backdrop ... 0:13:20.534,0:13:22.018 may look quite different. 0:13:25.316,0:13:26.466 And if that happens, 0:13:28.031,0:13:30.244 if our glaciers melt, 0:13:30.268,0:13:33.673 rising sea levels[br]could well drown the Maldives. 0:13:35.229,0:13:39.551 And while they can hold[br]their cabinet meetings underwater 0:13:39.575,0:13:42.226 to send an SOS to the world, 0:13:42.250,0:13:44.679 their country can keep existing 0:13:44.703,0:13:49.083 only if their islands keep existing. 0:13:51.256,0:13:55.931 The Maldives are still distant, away. 0:13:57.090,0:14:00.669 Their islands are distant[br]from where I live. 0:14:01.927,0:14:07.498 But now, I pay close attention[br]to what happens out there. 0:14:09.259,0:14:12.023 Thank you very much. 0:14:12.047,0:14:16.507 (Applause)