[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:01.07,0:00:02.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Homem: Só a da Pfizer. Dialogue: 0,0:00:02.31,0:00:06.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Se tentarem me dar a da Johnson,\Nprefiro pegar COVID. Dialogue: 0,0:00:06.07,0:00:09.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Narrador: A internet parece saber\Nexatamente quais vacinas são as melhores Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.45,0:00:10.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,e as piores. Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.80,0:00:11.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,M: A da Moderna? Dialogue: 0,0:00:11.82,0:00:13.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Medíocre, regular. Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.42,0:00:14.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Regular nem pensar. Dialogue: 0,0:00:14.59,0:00:16.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Mira Fricke: As pessoas adoram comparar. Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.34,0:00:19.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Não é de admirar que estamoa fazendo isso Dialogue: 0,0:00:19.77,0:00:23.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,O problema é que não podemos\Ncomparar vacinas dessa forma. Dialogue: 0,0:00:23.29,0:00:27.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,E fazer isso pode até ser\Nprejudicial em uma pandemia. Dialogue: 0,0:00:28.68,0:00:30.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,N: Temos a tendência\Nde analisar esses números, Dialogue: 0,0:00:30.46,0:00:31.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,taxas de eficácia, Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.68,0:00:34.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,porque eles medem a probabilidade\Nde contrairmos COVID-19 Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.94,0:00:36.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,após termos sido vacinados. Dialogue: 0,0:00:37.98,0:00:41.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,MF: O problema é que esses números\Nnão foram gerados em momentos iguais, Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.15,0:00:45.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,mas são determinados por quando\Ne onde os testes de eficácia aconteceram. Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.60,0:00:46.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Carlos Guzmán: Creio Dialogue: 0,0:00:46.68,0:00:49.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,que comparações simples\Nde eficácia de vacina fora de contexto Dialogue: 0,0:00:49.41,0:00:51.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,podem levar a conclusões muito erradas. Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.84,0:00:56.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Há diferenças essenciais\Nna população de estudo como, por exemplo, Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.82,0:01:02.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,idade, gênero, fator ambiental genético,\Ncondições preexistentes. Dialogue: 0,0:01:02.88,0:01:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,N: Como funcionam os testes de eficácia? Dialogue: 0,0:01:05.02,0:01:07.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Os participantes\Nsão divididos em dois grupos. Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.33,0:01:10.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Um grupo toma a vacina;\No outro, um placebo. Dialogue: 0,0:01:10.81,0:01:13.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Depois eles retornam à vida normal. Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.76,0:01:15.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Após certo tempo, Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.42,0:01:18.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,pesquisadores contam\Nquantos deles contraíram COVID-19. Dialogue: 0,0:01:19.12,0:01:22.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Se todos os participantes que ficaram\Ndoentes vieram do grupo do placebo, Dialogue: 0,0:01:22.81,0:01:24.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,e nenhum do grupo da vacina, Dialogue: 0,0:01:24.95,0:01:27.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a vacina seria 100% eficaz. Dialogue: 0,0:01:28.27,0:01:32.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,E se exatamente o mesmo número de pessoas\Nde ambos os grupos ficaram doentes, Dialogue: 0,0:01:32.11,0:01:34.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a eficácia da vacina seria zero Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.34,0:01:38.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,porque o risco de contrair a doença\Nnão mudou com a vacina. Dialogue: 0,0:01:38.91,0:01:42.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Mas a chance de os participantes\Ncontraírem a doença durante um teste Dialogue: 0,0:01:42.67,0:01:45.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,corresponde à taxa de infecção geral\Nno ambiente deles. Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.08,0:01:51.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,CG: Há também diferenças com relação\Nà presença ou à ausência de variante do vírus Dialogue: 0,0:01:51.60,0:01:56.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,que são neutralizadas de modo\Nmais ou menos eficiente pelos anticorpos Dialogue: 0,0:01:56.56,0:02:01.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.27,0:02:04.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.77,0:02:08.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:08.53,0:02:12.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:13.49,0:02:15.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:15.47,0:02:19.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:19.10,0:02:22.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:22.42,0:02:25.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:27.50,0:02:30.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:30.93,0:02:32.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.64,0:02:33.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:33.66,0:02:37.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:40.16,0:02:43.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:43.25,0:02:44.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:44.97,0:02:46.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:46.70,0:02:49.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:49.70,0:02:53.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.61,0:02:57.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:57.60,0:03:03.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:03.14,0:03:10.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:10.46,0:03:14.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.90,0:03:19.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.04,0:03:20.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:21.12,0:03:22.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:22.48,0:03:26.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:26.62,0:03:30.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:33.38,0:03:37.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:38.07,0:03:39.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:39.42,0:03:42.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:42.06,0:03:43.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:43.56,0:03:46.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.16,0:03:48.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:48.59,0:03:52.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:53.68,0:03:55.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:55.72,0:03:59.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:59.07,0:04:03.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:04.16,0:04:06.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:06.93,0:04:11.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.70,0:04:15.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:15.16,0:04:19.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.59,0:04:23.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:24.01,0:04:25.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:25.75,0:04:29.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.33,0:04:31.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:31.64,0:04:34.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.71,0:04:36.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:36.97,0:04:40.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:41.06,0:04:44.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:44.61,0:04:47.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:47.75,0:04:51.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:51.93,0:04:54.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:55.32,0:04:58.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:59.00,0:05:02.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:06.97,0:05:07.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:07.100,0:05:13.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:13.34,0:05:14.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.37,0:05:15.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:15.92,0:05:20.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:20.47,0:05:22.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:22.59,0:05:24.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:24.69,0:05:26.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:26.71,0:05:28.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:29.14,0:05:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.02,0:05:33.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:33.58,0:05:35.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:35.07,0:05:38.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:38.16,0:05:40.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:41.84,0:05:46.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:46.11,0:05:47.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:47.39,0:05:48.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:48.71,0:05:52.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:52.15,0:05:55.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:55.03,0:05:57.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:05:58.53,0:06:00.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:06:00.69,0:06:04.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:06:04.45,0:06:07.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:06:07.70,0:06:09.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:06:10.26,0:06:12.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:06:12.51,0:06:15.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,