0:00:00.960,0:00:03.936 This story begins in 1985, 0:00:03.960,0:00:05.936 when at age 22, 0:00:05.960,0:00:08.336 I became the World Chess Champion 0:00:08.360,0:00:11.560 after beating Anatoly Karpov. 0:00:12.480,0:00:13.736 Earlier that year, 0:00:13.760,0:00:17.376 I played what is called[br]simultaneous exhibition 0:00:17.400,0:00:21.696 against 32 of the world's[br]best chess-playing machines 0:00:21.720,0:00:23.080 in Hamburg, Germany. 0:00:24.160,0:00:25.360 I won all the games, 0:00:26.560,0:00:29.736 and then it was not considered[br]much of a surprise 0:00:29.760,0:00:33.800 that I could beat 32 computers[br]at the same time. 0:00:34.480,0:00:37.056 To me, that was the golden age. 0:00:37.080,0:00:39.176 (Laughter) 0:00:39.200,0:00:40.720 Machines were weak, 0:00:41.680,0:00:43.016 and my hair was strong. 0:00:43.040,0:00:45.240 (Laughter) 0:00:46.720,0:00:48.776 Just 12 years later, 0:00:48.800,0:00:53.416 I was fighting for my life[br]against just one computer 0:00:53.440,0:00:54.640 in a match 0:00:55.360,0:00:57.416 called by the cover of "Newsweek" 0:00:57.440,0:00:59.216 "The Brain's Last Stand." 0:00:59.240,0:01:00.456 No pressure. 0:01:00.480,0:01:02.000 (Laughter) 0:01:03.040,0:01:05.616 From mythology to science fiction, 0:01:05.640,0:01:08.376 human versus machine 0:01:08.400,0:01:11.160 has been often portrayed[br]as a matter of life and death. 0:01:11.960,0:01:13.536 John Henry, 0:01:13.560,0:01:15.256 called the steel-driving man 0:01:15.280,0:01:19.056 in the 19th century[br]African American folk legend, 0:01:19.080,0:01:20.456 was pitted in a race 0:01:20.480,0:01:23.216 against a steam-powered hammer 0:01:23.240,0:01:25.600 bashing a tunnel through mountain rock. 0:01:26.800,0:01:31.000 John Henry's legend[br]is a part of a long historical narrative 0:01:31.680,0:01:34.760 pitting humanity versus technology. 0:01:36.200,0:01:39.080 And this competitive rhetoric[br]is standard now. 0:01:39.560,0:01:41.520 We are in a race against the machines, 0:01:42.360,0:01:44.440 in a fight or even in a war. 0:01:45.880,0:01:47.496 Jobs are being killed off. 0:01:47.520,0:01:51.080 People are being replaced[br]as if they had vanished from the Earth. 0:01:52.240,0:01:55.736 It's enough to think that the movies[br]like "The Terminator" or "The Matrix" 0:01:55.760,0:01:56.960 are nonfiction. 0:01:59.640,0:02:03.960 There are very few instances of an arena 0:02:05.360,0:02:09.616 where the human body and mind[br]can compete on equal terms 0:02:09.639,0:02:11.480 with a computer or a robot. 0:02:12.280,0:02:14.138 Actually, I wish there were a few more. 0:02:15.760,0:02:16.960 Instead, 0:02:17.840,0:02:22.496 it was my blessing and my curse 0:02:22.520,0:02:25.216 to literally become the proverbial man 0:02:25.240,0:02:28.336 in the man versus machine competition 0:02:28.360,0:02:30.240 that everybody is still talking about. 0:02:33.120,0:02:38.136 In the most famous human-machine[br]competition since John Henry, 0:02:38.160,0:02:40.736 I played two matches 0:02:40.760,0:02:44.200 against the IBM supercomputer, Deep Blue. 0:02:47.040,0:02:49.216 Nobody remembers[br]that I won the first match -- 0:02:49.240,0:02:51.576 (Laughter) 0:02:51.600,0:02:55.000 (Applause) 0:02:55.920,0:03:00.896 In Philadelphia, before losing the rematch[br]the following year in New York. 0:03:00.920,0:03:02.680 But I guess that's fair. 0:03:04.320,0:03:09.416 There is no day in history,[br]special calendar entry 0:03:09.440,0:03:12.936 for all the people[br]who failed to climb Mt. Everest 0:03:12.960,0:03:15.696 before Sir Edmund Hillary[br]and Tenzing Norgay 0:03:15.720,0:03:16.920 made it to the top. 0:03:17.960,0:03:21.720 And in 1997, I was still[br]the world champion 0:03:24.520,0:03:28.720 when chess computers finally came of age. 0:03:29.520,0:03:31.496 I was Mt. Everest, 0:03:31.520,0:03:33.120 and Deep Blue reached the summit. 0:03:34.600,0:03:38.656 I should say of course,[br]not that Deep Blue did it, 0:03:38.680,0:03:40.816 but its human creators -- 0:03:40.840,0:03:44.176 Anantharaman, Campbell, Hoane, Hsu. 0:03:44.200,0:03:45.400 Hats off to them. 0:03:46.840,0:03:51.256 As always, machine's triumph[br]was a human triumph, 0:03:51.280,0:03:56.040 something we tend to forget when humans[br]are surpassed by our own creations. 0:03:58.360,0:03:59.800 Deep Blue was victorious, 0:04:01.400,0:04:02.600 but was it intelligent? 0:04:03.360,0:04:05.120 No, no it wasn't, 0:04:06.200,0:04:11.256 at least not in the way Alan Turing[br]and other founders of computer science 0:04:11.280,0:04:12.480 had hoped. 0:04:13.240,0:04:18.016 It turned out that chess[br]could be crunched by brute force, 0:04:18.040,0:04:22.296 once hardware got fast enough 0:04:22.320,0:04:25.280 and algorithms got smart enough. 0:04:26.760,0:04:30.456 Although by the definition of the output, 0:04:30.480,0:04:33.696 grandmaster-level chess, 0:04:33.720,0:04:35.000 Deep Blue was intelligent. 0:04:37.320,0:04:39.720 But even at the incredible speed, 0:04:40.560,0:04:43.760 200 million positions per second, 0:04:45.360,0:04:46.560 Deep Blue's method 0:04:47.360,0:04:53.960 provided little of the dreamed-of insight[br]into the mysteries of human intelligence. 0:04:56.960,0:04:58.776 Soon, 0:04:58.800,0:05:01.376 machines will be taxi drivers 0:05:01.400,0:05:03.816 and doctors and professors, 0:05:03.840,0:05:06.440 but will they be "intelligent?" 0:05:07.840,0:05:10.336 I would rather leave these definitions 0:05:10.360,0:05:13.920 to the philosophers and to the dictionary. 0:05:15.440,0:05:19.320 What really matters is how we humans 0:05:20.320,0:05:23.920 feel about living and working[br]with these machines. 0:05:26.160,0:05:31.416 When I first met Deep Blue[br]in 1996 in February, 0:05:31.440,0:05:34.040 I had been the world champion[br]for more than 10 years, 0:05:36.080,0:05:40.096 and I had played 182[br]world championship games 0:05:40.120,0:05:45.216 and hundreds of games against[br]other top players in other competitions. 0:05:45.240,0:05:50.296 I knew what to expect from my opponents 0:05:50.320,0:05:52.000 and what to expect from myself. 0:05:52.680,0:05:57.856 I was used to measure their moves 0:05:57.880,0:06:01.496 and to gauge their emotional state 0:06:01.520,0:06:05.360 by watching their body language[br]and looking into their eyes. 0:06:05.880,0:06:09.880 And then I sat across[br]the chessboard from Deep Blue. 0:06:12.960,0:06:15.816 I immediately sensed something new, 0:06:15.840,0:06:17.160 something unsettling. 0:06:19.440,0:06:22.240 You might experience a similar feeling 0:06:23.320,0:06:25.856 the first time you ride[br]in a driverless car 0:06:25.880,0:06:30.720 or the first time your new computer[br]manager issues an order at work. 0:06:33.800,0:06:36.920 But when I sat at that first game, 0:06:38.080,0:06:40.216 I couldn't be sure 0:06:40.240,0:06:43.920 what is this thing capable of. 0:06:44.920,0:06:48.080 Technology can advance in leaps,[br]and IBM had invested heavily. 0:06:48.680,0:06:49.880 I lost that game. 0:06:52.320,0:06:54.096 And I couldn't help wondering, 0:06:54.120,0:06:55.680 might it be invincible? 0:06:56.600,0:06:58.960 Was my beloved game of chess over? 0:07:00.800,0:07:04.936 These were human doubts, human fears, 0:07:04.960,0:07:06.640 and the only thing I knew for sure 0:07:07.400,0:07:10.296 was that my opponent Deep Blue[br]had no such worries at all. 0:07:10.320,0:07:12.080 (Laughter) 0:07:13.920,0:07:15.320 I fought back 0:07:16.400,0:07:18.080 after this devastating blow 0:07:19.000,0:07:20.200 to win the first match, 0:07:20.960,0:07:22.600 but the writing was on the wall. 0:07:24.400,0:07:26.536 I eventually lost to the machine 0:07:26.560,0:07:29.616 but I didn't suffer the fate of John Henry 0:07:29.640,0:07:32.680 who won but died[br]with his hammer in his hand. 0:07:37.720,0:07:40.256 It turned out that the world of chess 0:07:40.280,0:07:43.520 still wanted to have[br]a human chess champion. 0:07:44.920,0:07:46.600 And even today, 0:07:48.080,0:07:51.536 when a free chess app[br]on the latest mobile phone 0:07:51.560,0:07:53.576 is stronger than Deep Blue, 0:07:53.600,0:07:55.080 people are still playing chess, 0:07:56.680,0:07:58.920 even more than ever before. 0:07:59.800,0:08:03.016 Doomsayers predicted[br]that nobody would touch the game 0:08:03.040,0:08:05.296 that could be conquered by the machine, 0:08:05.320,0:08:07.536 and they were wrong, proven wrong, 0:08:07.560,0:08:11.016 but doomsaying has always been[br]a popular pastime 0:08:11.040,0:08:12.400 when it comes to technology. 0:08:14.360,0:08:17.096 What I learned from my own experience 0:08:17.120,0:08:21.776 is that we must face our fears 0:08:21.800,0:08:25.520 if we want to get the most[br]out of our technology, 0:08:26.360,0:08:28.736 and we must conquer those fears 0:08:28.760,0:08:34.000 if we want to get the best[br]out of our humanity. 0:08:36.120,0:08:37.895 While licking my wounds, 0:08:37.919,0:08:39.880 I got a lot of inspiration 0:08:41.080,0:08:43.775 from my battles against Deep Blue. 0:08:43.799,0:08:46.920 As the old Russian saying goes,[br]if you can't beat them, join them. 0:08:48.880,0:08:50.256 Then I thought, 0:08:50.280,0:08:52.616 what if I could play with a computer -- 0:08:52.640,0:08:55.800 together with a computer at my side,[br]combining our strengths, 0:08:57.160,0:09:00.936 human intuition[br]plus machine's calculation, 0:09:00.960,0:09:03.656 human strategy, machine tactics, 0:09:03.680,0:09:06.096 human experience, machine's memory. 0:09:06.120,0:09:08.320 Could it be the perfect game ever played? 0:09:10.000,0:09:11.680 My idea came to life 0:09:12.920,0:09:16.296 in 1998 under the name of Advanced Chess 0:09:16.320,0:09:22.000 when I played this human-plus-machine[br]competition against another elite player. 0:09:23.280,0:09:25.176 But in this first experiment, 0:09:25.200,0:09:31.560 we both failed to combine[br]human and machine skills effectively. 0:09:34.920,0:09:37.160 Advanced Chess found[br]its home on the internet, 0:09:38.160,0:09:43.016 and in 2005, a so-called[br]freestyle chess tournament 0:09:43.040,0:09:44.400 produced a revelation. 0:09:47.240,0:09:50.776 A team of grandmasters[br]and top machines participated, 0:09:50.800,0:09:53.536 but the winners were not grandmasters, 0:09:53.560,0:09:54.920 not a supercomputer. 0:09:55.680,0:10:00.016 The winners were a pair[br]of amateur American chess players 0:10:00.040,0:10:03.200 operating three ordinary PCs[br]at the same time. 0:10:05.560,0:10:08.576 Their skill of coaching their machines 0:10:08.600,0:10:14.376 effectively counteracted[br]the superior chess knowledge 0:10:14.400,0:10:15.976 of their grandmaster opponents 0:10:16.000,0:10:20.160 and much greater[br]computational power of others. 0:10:21.600,0:10:23.560 And I reached this formulation. 0:10:24.560,0:10:27.936 A weak human player plus a machine 0:10:27.960,0:10:31.216 plus a better process is superior 0:10:31.240,0:10:33.656 to a very powerful machine alone, 0:10:33.680,0:10:37.576 but more remarkably,[br]is superior to a strong human player 0:10:37.600,0:10:39.560 plus machine 0:10:41.120,0:10:43.520 and an inferior process. 0:10:46.360,0:10:48.480 This convinced me that we would need 0:10:50.000,0:10:53.680 better interfaces[br]to help us coach our machines 0:10:54.520,0:10:56.240 towards more useful intelligence. 0:10:58.320,0:11:01.616 Human plus machine isn't the future, 0:11:01.640,0:11:02.856 it's the present. 0:11:02.880,0:11:07.016 Everybody that's used online translation 0:11:07.040,0:11:11.336 to get the gist of a news article[br]from a foreign newspaper, 0:11:11.360,0:11:13.000 knowing its far from perfect. 0:11:13.680,0:11:15.776 Then we use our human experience 0:11:15.800,0:11:17.896 to make sense out of that, 0:11:17.920,0:11:20.696 and then the machine[br]learns from our corrections. 0:11:20.720,0:11:25.680 This model is spreading and investing[br]in medical diagnosis, security analysis. 0:11:26.440,0:11:28.560 The machine crunches data, 0:11:29.320,0:11:31.056 calculates probabilities, 0:11:31.080,0:11:34.736 gets 80 percent of the way, 90 percent, 0:11:34.760,0:11:39.136 making it easier for analysis 0:11:39.160,0:11:41.760 and decision-making of the human party. 0:11:42.280,0:11:47.120 But you are not going to send your kids 0:11:48.000,0:11:51.560 to school in a self-driving car[br]with 90 percent accuracy, 0:11:52.600,0:11:54.200 even with 99 percent. 0:11:55.560,0:11:58.416 So we need a leap forward 0:11:58.440,0:12:04.600 to add a few more crucial decimal places. 0:12:07.160,0:12:11.200 Twenty years after[br]my match with Deep Blue, 0:12:12.200,0:12:13.816 second match, 0:12:13.840,0:12:20.136 this sensational[br]"The Brain's Last Stand" headline 0:12:20.160,0:12:21.736 has become commonplace 0:12:21.760,0:12:24.296 as intelligent machines 0:12:24.320,0:12:25.520 move 0:12:26.560,0:12:28.760 in every sector, seemingly every day. 0:12:30.160,0:12:33.256 But unlike in the past, 0:12:33.280,0:12:34.920 when machines replaced 0:12:36.480,0:12:38.856 farm animals, manual labor, 0:12:38.880,0:12:41.376 now they are coming[br]after people with college degrees 0:12:41.400,0:12:42.680 and political influence. 0:12:44.120,0:12:46.216 And as someone[br]who fought machines and lost, 0:12:46.240,0:12:48.880 I am here to tell you[br]this is excellent, excellent news. 0:12:51.000,0:12:53.216 Eventually, every profession 0:12:53.240,0:12:55.336 will have to feel these pressures 0:12:55.360,0:13:00.960 or else it will mean humanity[br]has ceased to make progress. 0:13:02.760,0:13:03.960 We don't 0:13:05.440,0:13:07.160 get to choose 0:13:08.480,0:13:11.200 when and where[br]technological progress stops. 0:13:13.160,0:13:14.520 We cannot 0:13:15.960,0:13:17.456 slow down. 0:13:17.480,0:13:19.296 In fact, 0:13:19.320,0:13:21.240 we have to speed up. 0:13:24.600,0:13:27.240 Our technology excels at removing 0:13:29.200,0:13:32.560 difficulties and uncertainties[br]from our lives, 0:13:35.000,0:13:37.816 and so we must seek out 0:13:37.840,0:13:39.696 ever more difficult, 0:13:39.720,0:13:43.800 ever more uncertain challenges. 0:13:48.200,0:13:49.400 Machines have 0:13:51.880,0:13:53.696 calculations. 0:13:53.720,0:13:55.296 We have understanding. 0:13:55.320,0:13:57.360 Machines have instructions. 0:13:58.840,0:14:00.696 We have purpose. 0:14:00.720,0:14:03.000 Machines have 0:14:05.080,0:14:06.296 objectivity. 0:14:06.320,0:14:07.520 We have passion. 0:14:08.600,0:14:14.576 We should not worry[br]about what our machines can do today. 0:14:14.600,0:14:19.176 Instead, we should worry[br]about what they still cannot do today, 0:14:19.200,0:14:24.696 because we will need the help[br]of the new, intelligent machines 0:14:24.720,0:14:28.800 to turn our grandest dreams into reality. 0:14:30.000,0:14:31.320 And if we fail, 0:14:32.240,0:14:36.896 if we fail, it's not because our machines[br]are too intelligent, 0:14:36.920,0:14:38.320 or not intelligent enough. 0:14:39.200,0:14:42.280 If we fail, it's because[br]we grew complacent 0:14:43.680,0:14:45.240 and limited our ambitions. 0:14:46.520,0:14:49.560 Our humanity is not defined by any skill, 0:14:51.280,0:14:53.960 like swinging a hammer[br]or even playing chess. 0:14:54.560,0:14:57.576 There's one thing only a human can do. 0:14:57.600,0:14:58.800 That's dream. 0:15:00.120,0:15:02.656 So let us dream big. 0:15:02.680,0:15:03.896 Thank you. 0:15:03.920,0:15:07.807 (Applause)