WEBVTT 00:00:00.960 --> 00:00:03.936 This story begins in 1985, 00:00:03.960 --> 00:00:05.936 when at age 22, 00:00:05.960 --> 00:00:08.336 I became the world chess champion 00:00:08.360 --> 00:00:11.560 after beating Anatoly Karpov. 00:00:12.480 --> 00:00:13.736 Earlier that year, 00:00:13.760 --> 00:00:17.376 I played what is called simultaneous exhibition 00:00:17.400 --> 00:00:21.696 against 32 of the world's best chess-playing machines 00:00:21.720 --> 00:00:23.080 in Hamburg, Germany. 00:00:24.160 --> 00:00:25.360 I won all the games, 00:00:26.560 --> 00:00:29.736 and then it was not considered much of a surprise 00:00:29.760 --> 00:00:33.800 that I could beat 32 computers at the same time. 00:00:34.480 --> 00:00:37.056 To me, that was the golden age. 00:00:37.080 --> 00:00:39.176 (Laughter) 00:00:39.200 --> 00:00:40.720 Machines were weak 00:00:41.680 --> 00:00:43.016 and my hair was strong. 00:00:43.040 --> 00:00:45.240 (Laughter) 00:00:46.720 --> 00:00:48.776 Just 12 years later, 00:00:48.800 --> 00:00:53.416 I was fighting for my life against just one computer 00:00:53.440 --> 00:00:54.640 in a match 00:00:55.360 --> 00:00:57.416 called by the cover of "Newsweek" 00:00:57.440 --> 00:00:59.216 "The Brain's Last Stand." 00:00:59.240 --> 00:01:00.456 No pressure. 00:01:00.480 --> 00:01:02.000 (Laughter) 00:01:03.040 --> 00:01:05.616 From mythology to science fiction, 00:01:05.640 --> 00:01:08.376 human versus machine 00:01:08.400 --> 00:01:11.160 has been often portrayed as a matter of life and death. 00:01:11.960 --> 00:01:13.536 John Henry, 00:01:13.560 --> 00:01:15.256 called the steel-driving man 00:01:15.280 --> 00:01:19.056 in the 19th century African American folk legend 00:01:19.080 --> 00:01:20.456 was pitted in a race 00:01:20.480 --> 00:01:23.216 against a steam-powered hammer 00:01:23.240 --> 00:01:25.600 bashing a tunnel through mountain rock. 00:01:26.800 --> 00:01:31.000 John Henry's legend is a part of a long historical narrative 00:01:31.680 --> 00:01:34.760 pitting humanity versus technology. 00:01:36.200 --> 00:01:39.080 And this competitive rhetoric is standard now. 00:01:39.560 --> 00:01:41.520 We are in a race against the machines, 00:01:42.360 --> 00:01:44.440 in a fight or even in a war. 00:01:45.880 --> 00:01:47.496 Jobs are being killed off. 00:01:47.520 --> 00:01:51.080 People are being replaced as if they had vanished from the Earth. 00:01:52.240 --> 00:01:55.736 It's enough to think that the movies like "The Terminator" or "The Matrix" 00:01:55.760 --> 00:01:56.960 are nonfiction. 00:01:59.640 --> 00:02:03.960 There are very few instances of an arena where -- 00:02:05.360 --> 00:02:09.616 the human body and mind can compete on equal terms 00:02:09.639 --> 00:02:11.480 with a computer or a robot. 00:02:12.280 --> 00:02:14.138 Actually, I wish there were a few more. 00:02:15.760 --> 00:02:16.960 Instead, 00:02:17.840 --> 00:02:22.496 it was my blessing and my curse 00:02:22.520 --> 00:02:25.216 to literally become the proverbial man 00:02:25.240 --> 00:02:28.336 in the man versus machine competition 00:02:28.360 --> 00:02:30.240 that everybody is still talking about. 00:02:33.120 --> 00:02:38.136 In a most famous human-machine competition since John Henry, 00:02:38.160 --> 00:02:40.736 I played two matches 00:02:40.760 --> 00:02:44.200 against the IBM supercomputer Deep Blue. 00:02:47.040 --> 00:02:49.216 Nobody remembers that I won the first match -- 00:02:49.240 --> 00:02:51.576 (Laughter) 00:02:51.600 --> 00:02:55.000 (Applause) 00:02:55.920 --> 00:03:00.896 In Philadelphia, before losing the rematch the following year in New York. 00:03:00.920 --> 00:03:02.680 But I guess that's fair. 00:03:04.320 --> 00:03:09.416 There is no day in history, special calendar entry 00:03:09.440 --> 00:03:12.936 for all the people who failed to climb Mt. Everest 00:03:12.960 --> 00:03:15.696 before Sir Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay 00:03:15.720 --> 00:03:16.920 made it to the top. 00:03:17.960 --> 00:03:21.720 And in 1997, I was still the world champion 00:03:24.520 --> 00:03:28.720 when chess computers finally came of age. 00:03:29.520 --> 00:03:31.496 I was Mt. Everest, 00:03:31.520 --> 00:03:33.120 and Deep Blue reached the summit. 00:03:34.600 --> 00:03:38.656 I should stay of course, not that Deep Blue did it, 00:03:38.680 --> 00:03:40.816 but its human creators -- 00:03:40.840 --> 00:03:44.176 Anantharaman, Campbell, Hoane, Hsu. 00:03:44.200 --> 00:03:45.400 Hats off to them. 00:03:46.840 --> 00:03:51.256 As always, machine's triumph was a human triumph, 00:03:51.280 --> 00:03:56.040 something we tend to forget when humans are surpassed by our own creations. 00:03:58.360 --> 00:03:59.800 Deep Blue was victorious, 00:04:01.400 --> 00:04:02.600 but was it intelligent? 00:04:03.360 --> 00:04:05.120 No, no it wasn't, 00:04:06.200 --> 00:04:11.256 at least not in the way Alan Turing and other founders of computer science 00:04:11.280 --> 00:04:12.480 had hoped. 00:04:13.240 --> 00:04:18.016 It turned out that chess could be crunched by brute force, 00:04:18.040 --> 00:04:22.296 once hardware got fast enough 00:04:22.320 --> 00:04:25.280 and algorithms got smart enough. 00:04:26.760 --> 00:04:30.456 Although by the definition of the output, 00:04:30.480 --> 00:04:33.696 grandmaster-level chess, 00:04:33.720 --> 00:04:35.000 Deep Blue was intelligent. 00:04:37.320 --> 00:04:39.720 But even at the incredible speed, 00:04:40.560 --> 00:04:43.760 200 million positions per second, 00:04:45.360 --> 00:04:46.560 Deep Blue's method 00:04:47.360 --> 00:04:53.960 provided little of the dreamed-of insight into the mysteries of human intelligence. 00:04:56.960 --> 00:04:58.776 Soon, 00:04:58.800 --> 00:05:01.376 machines will be taxi drivers 00:05:01.400 --> 00:05:03.816 and doctors and professors, 00:05:03.840 --> 00:05:06.440 but will they be "intelligent"? 00:05:07.840 --> 00:05:10.336 I would rather leave these definitions 00:05:10.360 --> 00:05:13.920 to the philosophers and to the dictionary. 00:05:15.440 --> 00:05:19.320 What really matters is how we humans 00:05:20.320 --> 00:05:23.920 feel about living and working with these machines. 00:05:26.160 --> 00:05:31.416 When I first met Deep Blue in 1996 in February, 00:05:31.440 --> 00:05:34.040 I had been the world champion for more than 10 years, 00:05:36.080 --> 00:05:40.096 and I had played 182 world championship games 00:05:40.120 --> 00:05:45.216 and hundreds of games against other top players in other competitions. 00:05:45.240 --> 00:05:50.296 I knew what to expect from my opponents 00:05:50.320 --> 00:05:52.000 and what to expect from myself. 00:05:52.680 --> 00:05:57.856 I was used to measure their moves 00:05:57.880 --> 00:06:01.496 and to gauge their emotional state 00:06:01.520 --> 00:06:05.360 by watching their body language and looking into their eyes. 00:06:05.880 --> 00:06:09.880 And then I sat across the chessboard from Deep Blue. 00:06:12.960 --> 00:06:15.816 I immediately sensed something new, 00:06:15.840 --> 00:06:17.160 something unsettling. 00:06:19.440 --> 00:06:22.240 You might experience a similar feeling 00:06:23.320 --> 00:06:25.856 the first time you ride in a driverless car 00:06:25.880 --> 00:06:30.720 or the first time your new computer manager issues an order at work. 00:06:33.800 --> 00:06:36.920 But when I sat at that first game, 00:06:38.080 --> 00:06:40.216 I couldn't be sure 00:06:40.240 --> 00:06:43.920 what is this thing capable of. 00:06:44.920 --> 00:06:48.080 Technology can advance in leaps, and IBM had invested heavily. 00:06:48.680 --> 00:06:49.880 I lost that game 00:06:52.320 --> 00:06:54.096 and I couldn't help wondering, 00:06:54.120 --> 00:06:55.680 might it be invincible? 00:06:56.600 --> 00:06:58.960 Was my beloved game of chess over? 00:07:00.800 --> 00:07:04.936 These were human doubts, human fears, 00:07:04.960 --> 00:07:06.640 and the only thing I knew for sure 00:07:07.400 --> 00:07:10.296 was that my opponent Deep Blue had no such worries at all. 00:07:10.320 --> 00:07:12.080 (Laughter) 00:07:13.920 --> 00:07:15.320 I fought back 00:07:16.400 --> 00:07:18.080 after this devastating blow 00:07:19.000 --> 00:07:20.200 to win the first match, 00:07:20.960 --> 00:07:22.600 but the writing was on the wall. 00:07:24.400 --> 00:07:26.536 I eventually lost to the machine 00:07:26.560 --> 00:07:29.616 but I didn't suffer the fate of John Henry 00:07:29.640 --> 00:07:32.680 who won but died with his hammer in his hand. 00:07:37.720 --> 00:07:40.256 It turned out that the world of chess 00:07:40.280 --> 00:07:43.520 still wanted to have a human chess champion. 00:07:44.920 --> 00:07:46.600 And even today, 00:07:48.080 --> 00:07:51.536 when a free chess app on the latest mobile phone 00:07:51.560 --> 00:07:53.576 is stronger than Deep Blue, 00:07:53.600 --> 00:07:55.080 people are still playing chess, 00:07:56.680 --> 00:07:58.920 even more than ever before. 00:07:59.800 --> 00:08:03.016 Doomsayers predicted that nobody would touch the game 00:08:03.040 --> 00:08:05.296 that could be conquered by the machine, 00:08:05.320 --> 00:08:07.536 and they were wrong, proven wrong, 00:08:07.560 --> 00:08:11.016 but doomsaying has always been a popular pastime 00:08:11.040 --> 00:08:12.400 when it comes to technology. 00:08:14.360 --> 00:08:17.096 What I learned from my own experience 00:08:17.120 --> 00:08:21.776 is that we must face our fears 00:08:21.800 --> 00:08:25.520 if we want to get the most out of our technology, 00:08:26.360 --> 00:08:28.736 and we must conquer those fears 00:08:28.760 --> 00:08:34.000 if we want to get the best out of our humanity. 00:08:36.120 --> 00:08:37.895 While licking my wounds, 00:08:37.919 --> 00:08:39.880 I got a lot of inspiration 00:08:41.080 --> 00:08:43.775 from my battles against Deep Blue. 00:08:43.799 --> 00:08:46.920 As the old Russian saying goes, if you can't beat them, join them. 00:08:48.880 --> 00:08:50.256 Then I thought, 00:08:50.280 --> 00:08:52.616 what if I could play with a computer -- 00:08:52.640 --> 00:08:55.800 together with a computer at my side, combining our strengths, 00:08:57.160 --> 00:09:00.936 human intuition plus machine's calculation, 00:09:00.960 --> 00:09:03.656 human strategy, machine tactics, 00:09:03.680 --> 00:09:06.096 human experience, machine's memory. 00:09:06.120 --> 00:09:08.320 Could it be the perfect game ever played? 00:09:10.000 --> 00:09:11.680 My idea came to life 00:09:12.920 --> 00:09:16.296 in 1998 under the name of Advanced Chess 00:09:16.320 --> 00:09:22.000 when I played this human-plus-machine competition against another elite player. 00:09:23.280 --> 00:09:25.176 But in this first experiment, 00:09:25.200 --> 00:09:31.560 we both failed to combine human and machine skills effectively. 00:09:34.920 --> 00:09:37.160 Advanced Chess found its home on the Internet, 00:09:38.160 --> 00:09:43.016 and in 2005, a so-called freestyle chess tournament 00:09:43.040 --> 00:09:44.400 produced a revelation. 00:09:47.240 --> 00:09:50.776 A team of grandmasters and top machines participated, 00:09:50.800 --> 00:09:53.536 but the winners were not grandmasters, 00:09:53.560 --> 00:09:54.920 not a supercomputer. 00:09:55.680 --> 00:10:00.016 The winners were a pair of amateur American chess players 00:10:00.040 --> 00:10:03.200 operating three ordinary PCs at the same time. 00:10:05.560 --> 00:10:08.576 Their skill of coaching their machines 00:10:08.600 --> 00:10:14.376 effectively counteracted the superior chess knowledge 00:10:14.400 --> 00:10:15.976 of their grandmaster opponents 00:10:16.000 --> 00:10:20.160 and much greater computational power of others. 00:10:21.600 --> 00:10:23.560 And I reached this formulation. 00:10:24.560 --> 00:10:27.936 A weak human player plus a machine 00:10:27.960 --> 00:10:31.216 plus a better process is superior 00:10:31.240 --> 00:10:33.656 to a very powerful machine alone, 00:10:33.680 --> 00:10:37.576 but more remarkably, is superior to a strong human player 00:10:37.600 --> 00:10:39.560 plus machine 00:10:41.120 --> 00:10:43.520 and an inferior process. 00:10:46.360 --> 00:10:48.480 This convinced me that we would need 00:10:50.000 --> 00:10:53.680 better interfaces to help us coach our machines 00:10:54.520 --> 00:10:56.240 towards more useful intelligence. 00:10:58.320 --> 00:11:01.616 Human plus machine isn't the future, 00:11:01.640 --> 00:11:02.856 it's the present. 00:11:02.880 --> 00:11:07.016 Everybody that's used online translation 00:11:07.040 --> 00:11:11.336 to get the gist of a news article from a foreign newspaper, 00:11:11.360 --> 00:11:13.000 knowing its far from perfect. 00:11:13.680 --> 00:11:15.776 Then we use our human experience 00:11:15.800 --> 00:11:17.896 to make sense out of that, 00:11:17.920 --> 00:11:20.696 and then machine learns from our corrections. 00:11:20.720 --> 00:11:25.680 This model is spreading and investing in medical diagnosis, security analysis. 00:11:26.440 --> 00:11:28.560 The machine crunches data, 00:11:29.320 --> 00:11:31.056 calculates probabilities, 00:11:31.080 --> 00:11:34.736 gets 80 percent of the way, 90 percent, 00:11:34.760 --> 00:11:39.136 making it easier for analysis 00:11:39.160 --> 00:11:41.760 and decision-making of the human party. 00:11:42.280 --> 00:11:47.120 But you are not going to send your kids 00:11:48.000 --> 00:11:51.560 to school in a self-driving car with 90 percent accuracy, 00:11:52.600 --> 00:11:54.200 even with 99 percent. 00:11:55.560 --> 00:11:58.416 So we need a leap forward 00:11:58.440 --> 00:12:04.600 to add a few more crucial decimal places. 00:12:07.160 --> 00:12:11.200 Twenty years after my match with Deep Blue, 00:12:12.200 --> 00:12:13.816 second match, 00:12:13.840 --> 00:12:20.136 this sensational "The Brain's Last Stand" headline 00:12:20.160 --> 00:12:21.736 has become commonplace 00:12:21.760 --> 00:12:24.296 as intelligent machines 00:12:24.320 --> 00:12:25.520 move 00:12:26.560 --> 00:12:28.760 in every sector, seemingly every day. 00:12:30.160 --> 00:12:33.256 But unlike in the past, 00:12:33.280 --> 00:12:34.920 when machines replaced 00:12:36.480 --> 00:12:38.856 farm animals, manual labor, 00:12:38.880 --> 00:12:41.376 now they are coming after people with college degrees 00:12:41.400 --> 00:12:42.680 and political influence, 00:12:44.120 --> 00:12:46.216 and as someone who fought machines and lost, 00:12:46.240 --> 00:12:48.880 I am here to tell you this is excellent, excellent news. 00:12:51.000 --> 00:12:53.216 Eventually, every profession 00:12:53.240 --> 00:12:55.336 will have to feel these pressures 00:12:55.360 --> 00:13:00.960 or else it will mean humanity has ceased to make progress. 00:13:02.760 --> 00:13:03.960 We don't 00:13:05.440 --> 00:13:07.160 get to choose 00:13:08.480 --> 00:13:11.200 when and where technological progress stops. 00:13:13.160 --> 00:13:14.520 We cannot 00:13:15.960 --> 00:13:17.456 slow down. 00:13:17.480 --> 00:13:19.296 In fact, 00:13:19.320 --> 00:13:21.240 we have to speed up. 00:13:24.600 --> 00:13:27.240 Our technology excels at removing 00:13:29.200 --> 00:13:32.560 difficulties and uncertainties from our lives, 00:13:35.000 --> 00:13:37.816 and so we must seek out 00:13:37.840 --> 00:13:39.696 ever more difficult, 00:13:39.720 --> 00:13:43.800 ever more uncertain challenges. 00:13:48.200 --> 00:13:49.400 Machines have 00:13:51.880 --> 00:13:53.696 calculations. 00:13:53.720 --> 00:13:55.296 We have understanding. 00:13:55.320 --> 00:13:57.360 Machines have instructions. 00:13:58.840 --> 00:14:00.696 We have purpose. 00:14:00.720 --> 00:14:03.000 Machines have 00:14:05.080 --> 00:14:06.296 objectivity. 00:14:06.320 --> 00:14:07.520 We have passion. 00:14:08.600 --> 00:14:14.576 We should not worry about what our machines can do today. 00:14:14.600 --> 00:14:19.176 Instead, we should worry about what they still cannot do today, 00:14:19.200 --> 00:14:24.696 because we will need the help of the new, intelligent machines 00:14:24.720 --> 00:14:28.800 to turn our grandest dreams into reality. 00:14:30.000 --> 00:14:31.320 And if we fail, 00:14:32.240 --> 00:14:36.896 if we fail, it's not because our machines are too intelligent, 00:14:36.920 --> 00:14:38.320 or not intelligent enough. 00:14:39.200 --> 00:14:42.280 If we fail, it's because we grew complacent 00:14:43.680 --> 00:14:45.240 and limited our ambitions. 00:14:46.520 --> 00:14:49.560 Our humanity is not defined by any skill, 00:14:51.280 --> 00:14:53.960 like swinging a hammer or even playing chess. 00:14:54.560 --> 00:14:57.576 There's one thing only a human can do. 00:14:57.600 --> 00:14:58.800 That's dream. 00:15:00.120 --> 00:15:02.656 So let us dream big. 00:15:02.680 --> 00:15:03.896 Thank you. 00:15:03.920 --> 00:15:06.320 (Applause)