1 00:00:01,175 --> 00:00:04,215 This story begins in 1985, 2 00:00:04,215 --> 00:00:06,157 when at age 22, 3 00:00:06,157 --> 00:00:08,708 I became the world chess champion 4 00:00:08,708 --> 00:00:12,636 after beating Anatoly Karpov. 5 00:00:12,636 --> 00:00:13,994 Earlier that year, 6 00:00:13,994 --> 00:00:17,586 I played what is called simultaneous exhibition 7 00:00:17,586 --> 00:00:22,001 against 32 of the world's best chess playing machines 8 00:00:22,001 --> 00:00:24,179 in Hamburg, Germany. 9 00:00:24,179 --> 00:00:26,386 I won all the games, 10 00:00:26,386 --> 00:00:29,686 and then it was not considered much of a surprise 11 00:00:29,686 --> 00:00:34,752 that I could beat 32 computers at the same time. 12 00:00:34,752 --> 00:00:37,291 To me, that was the golden age. 13 00:00:37,291 --> 00:00:39,847 (Laughter) 14 00:00:39,847 --> 00:00:41,671 Machines were weak, 15 00:00:41,671 --> 00:00:43,684 and my hair was strong. 16 00:00:43,684 --> 00:00:46,030 (Laughter) 17 00:00:46,030 --> 00:00:49,076 Just 12 years later, 18 00:00:49,076 --> 00:00:53,706 I was fighting for my life against just one computer 19 00:00:53,706 --> 00:00:55,041 in a match 20 00:00:55,041 --> 00:00:57,676 called by the cover of Newsweek 21 00:00:57,676 --> 00:00:59,573 "The Brain's Last Stand." 22 00:00:59,573 --> 00:01:00,971 No pressure. 23 00:01:00,971 --> 00:01:03,140 (Laughter) 24 00:01:03,140 --> 00:01:06,018 From mythology to science fiction, 25 00:01:06,018 --> 00:01:08,436 human versus machine 26 00:01:08,436 --> 00:01:12,274 has been often portrayed as a matter of life and death. 27 00:01:12,274 --> 00:01:15,611 John Henry called the steel-driving man 28 00:01:15,611 --> 00:01:19,394 in the 19th century African American folk legend 29 00:01:19,394 --> 00:01:20,889 was pitted in a race 30 00:01:20,889 --> 00:01:23,748 against steam-powered hammer 31 00:01:23,748 --> 00:01:27,247 bashing a tunnel through mountain rock. 32 00:01:27,247 --> 00:01:31,883 John Henry's legend is a part of a long historical narrative 33 00:01:31,883 --> 00:01:36,026 pitting humanity versus technology. 34 00:01:36,026 --> 00:01:39,840 And this competitive rhetoric is standard now. 35 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:42,452 We are in a race against the machines, 36 00:01:42,452 --> 00:01:46,146 in a fight or even in a war. 37 00:01:46,146 --> 00:01:47,779 Jobs are being killed off. 38 00:01:47,779 --> 00:01:51,902 People are being replaced as if they had vanished from the Earth. 39 00:01:51,902 --> 00:01:55,992 It's enough to think that the movies like "The Terminator" or "The Matrix" 40 00:01:55,992 --> 00:01:58,180 are nonfiction. 41 00:01:58,180 --> 00:02:05,577 There are very few instances in an arena 42 00:02:05,577 --> 00:02:09,715 where the human body and mind can compete on equal terms 43 00:02:09,715 --> 00:02:12,454 with a computer or a robot. 44 00:02:12,454 --> 00:02:14,841 Actually, I wish there were a few more. 45 00:02:14,841 --> 00:02:22,971 Instead, it was my blessing and my curse 46 00:02:22,971 --> 00:02:25,500 to literally become the proverbial man 47 00:02:25,500 --> 00:02:28,582 in the man versus machine competition 48 00:02:28,582 --> 00:02:33,362 that everybody is still talking about. 49 00:02:33,362 --> 00:02:38,433 In a most famous human-machine competition since John Henry, 50 00:02:38,433 --> 00:02:41,003 I played two matches 51 00:02:41,003 --> 00:02:44,616 against the IBM supercomputer Deep Blue. 52 00:02:47,539 --> 00:02:49,758 Nobody remembers that I won the first match -- 53 00:02:49,758 --> 00:02:51,596 (Laughter) 54 00:02:51,596 --> 00:02:57,750 (Applause) -- 55 00:02:57,750 --> 00:03:00,849 in Philadelphia, before losing the rematch the following year in New York. 56 00:03:00,849 --> 00:03:04,286 But I guess that's fair. 57 00:03:04,286 --> 00:03:09,841 There is no day in history special calendar entry 58 00:03:09,841 --> 00:03:13,348 for all the people who failed to climb Mt. Everest 59 00:03:13,348 --> 00:03:16,033 before Sir Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay 60 00:03:16,033 --> 00:03:18,152 made it to the top. 61 00:03:18,470 --> 00:03:22,683 And in 1997, I was still the world champion 62 00:03:22,683 --> 00:03:30,012 when chess computers finally came of age. 63 00:03:30,012 --> 00:03:32,020 I was Mt. Everest, 64 00:03:32,020 --> 00:03:34,264 and Deep Blue reached the summit. 65 00:03:34,264 --> 00:03:38,946 I should stay of course, not that Deep Blue did it, 66 00:03:38,946 --> 00:03:41,391 but its human creators -- 67 00:03:41,391 --> 00:03:44,748 Anantharaman, Campbell, Hoane, Hsu. 68 00:03:44,748 --> 00:03:46,374 Hats off to them. 69 00:03:46,374 --> 00:03:51,626 As always, machine's triumph was a human triumph, 70 00:03:51,626 --> 00:03:58,585 something we tend to forget when humans are surpassed by our own creations. 71 00:03:58,585 --> 00:04:00,780 Deep Blue was victorious, 72 00:04:00,780 --> 00:04:03,687 but was it intelligent? 73 00:04:03,687 --> 00:04:06,600 No, no it wasn't, 74 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:11,539 at least not in the way Alan Turing and other founders of computer science 75 00:04:11,539 --> 00:04:13,486 had hoped. 76 00:04:13,486 --> 00:04:18,048 It turned out that chess could be crunched by brute force, 77 00:04:18,048 --> 00:04:22,625 once hardware got fast enough 78 00:04:22,625 --> 00:04:26,637 and algorithms got smart enough. 79 00:04:26,637 --> 00:04:30,453 Although by the definition of the output, 80 00:04:30,453 --> 00:04:36,772 grandmaster-level chess, Deep Blue was intelligent, 81 00:04:36,772 --> 00:04:40,525 but even at the incredible speed, 82 00:04:40,525 --> 00:04:45,549 200 million positions per second, 83 00:04:45,549 --> 00:04:47,833 Deep Blue's method 84 00:04:47,833 --> 00:04:54,986 provided little of the dreamed-of insight into the mysteries of human intelligence. 85 00:04:57,425 --> 00:05:01,266 Soon, machines will be taxi drivers 86 00:05:01,266 --> 00:05:03,860 and doctors and professors, 87 00:05:03,860 --> 00:05:06,145 but will they be "intelligent?" 88 00:05:06,145 --> 00:05:10,115 I would rather leave these definitions 89 00:05:10,115 --> 00:05:15,472 to the philosophers and to the dictionary. 90 00:05:15,472 --> 00:05:19,809 What really matters is how we humans 91 00:05:19,809 --> 00:05:25,703 feel about living and working with these machines. 92 00:05:25,703 --> 00:05:31,929 When I first met Deep Blue in 1996 in February, 93 00:05:31,929 --> 00:05:35,340 I had been the world champion for more than 10 years, 94 00:05:35,340 --> 00:05:40,634 and I had played 182 world championship games 95 00:05:40,634 --> 00:05:45,672 and hundreds of games against other top players in other competitions. 96 00:05:45,672 --> 00:05:50,640 I knew what to expect from my opponents 97 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,246 and what to expect from myself. 98 00:05:53,246 --> 00:05:55,600 I was used to measure 99 00:05:55,600 --> 00:06:01,889 their moves and to gauge their emotional state 100 00:06:01,889 --> 00:06:04,233 by watching their body language and looking into their eyes. 101 00:06:04,233 --> 00:06:12,192 And then I sat across the chess board from Deep Blue. 102 00:06:12,192 --> 00:06:16,375 I immediately sensed something new, 103 00:06:16,375 --> 00:06:18,631 something unsettling. 104 00:06:18,631 --> 00:06:26,390 You might experience a similar feeling 105 00:06:26,390 --> 00:06:28,339 the first time you ride in a driverless car 106 00:06:28,339 --> 00:06:32,499 or the first time your new computer manager issues an order at work. 107 00:06:32,499 --> 00:06:38,745 But when I sat at that first game, 108 00:06:38,745 --> 00:06:42,804 I couldn't be sure 109 00:06:42,804 --> 00:06:45,485 what is the thing capable of. 110 00:06:45,485 --> 00:06:49,102 Technology can advance in leaps, and IBM had invested heavily. 111 00:06:49,102 --> 00:06:52,816 I lost that game, 112 00:06:52,816 --> 00:06:54,821 and I couldn't help wondering, 113 00:06:54,821 --> 00:06:57,427 might it be invincible? 114 00:06:57,427 --> 00:07:02,027 Was my beloved game of chess over? 115 00:07:02,027 --> 00:07:05,904 These were human doubts, human fears, 116 00:07:05,904 --> 00:07:07,743 and the only thing I knew for sure 117 00:07:07,743 --> 00:07:13,133 was that my opponent Deep Blue had no such worries at all. 118 00:07:13,133 --> 00:07:14,189 (Laughter) 119 00:07:14,189 --> 00:07:16,768 I fought back 120 00:07:16,768 --> 00:07:19,451 after this devastating blow to win the first match, 121 00:07:19,451 --> 00:07:24,877 but the writing was on the wall. 122 00:07:24,877 --> 00:07:28,113 I eventually lost to the machine 123 00:07:28,113 --> 00:07:30,217 but I didn't suffer the fate of John Henry 124 00:07:30,217 --> 00:07:37,927 who won but died with his hammer in his hand. 125 00:07:37,927 --> 00:07:40,717 It turned out that the world of chess 126 00:07:40,717 --> 00:07:45,293 still wanted to have a human chess champion. 127 00:07:45,293 --> 00:07:50,069 And even today, when a free chess app 128 00:07:50,069 --> 00:07:54,360 on the latest mobile phone is stronger than Deep Blue, 129 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,090 people are still playing chess, 130 00:07:57,090 --> 00:08:01,741 even more than ever before. 131 00:08:01,741 --> 00:08:04,013 Doomsayers predicted that nobody would touch the game 132 00:08:04,013 --> 00:08:05,742 that could be conquered by the machine, 133 00:08:05,742 --> 00:08:08,099 and they were wrong, proving wrong, 134 00:08:08,099 --> 00:08:11,695 but doomsaying has always been a popular pasttime 135 00:08:11,695 --> 00:08:14,840 when it comes to technology. 136 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,660 What I learned from my own experience 137 00:08:17,660 --> 00:08:22,380 is that we must face our fears 138 00:08:22,380 --> 00:08:25,343 if we want to get the most out of our technology, 139 00:08:25,343 --> 00:08:29,102 and we must conquer those fears 140 00:08:29,102 --> 00:08:35,698 if we want to get the best out of our humanity. 141 00:08:35,698 --> 00:08:38,242 While licking my wounds, 142 00:08:38,242 --> 00:08:41,726 I got a lot of inspiration 143 00:08:41,726 --> 00:08:44,556 from my battles against Deep Blue. 144 00:08:44,556 --> 00:08:49,367 As the old Russian saying goes, if you can't beat them, join them. 145 00:08:49,367 --> 00:08:50,676 Then I thought, 146 00:08:50,676 --> 00:08:54,119 what if I could play with a computer, 147 00:08:54,119 --> 00:08:57,545 together with a computer at my side, combining our strengths, 148 00:08:57,545 --> 00:09:01,998 human intuition plus machine's calculation, 149 00:09:01,998 --> 00:09:04,252 human strategy, machine tactics, 150 00:09:04,252 --> 00:09:06,513 human experience, machine's memory. 151 00:09:06,513 --> 00:09:10,556 Could it be the perfect game ever played? 152 00:09:10,556 --> 00:09:13,245 My idea came to life 153 00:09:13,245 --> 00:09:16,960 in 1998 on the name of advanced chess 154 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:20,907 when I played this human-plus-machine competition against another elite player, 155 00:09:20,907 --> 00:09:25,516 but in this first experiment, 156 00:09:25,516 --> 00:09:35,307 we both failed to combine human and machine skills effectively. 157 00:09:35,307 --> 00:09:38,798 Advanced chess found its home on the Internet, 158 00:09:38,798 --> 00:09:43,623 and in 2005, a so-called freestyle chess tournament 159 00:09:43,623 --> 00:09:46,206 produced a revelation. 160 00:09:46,206 --> 00:09:51,055 A team of grandmasters and top machines participated, 161 00:09:51,055 --> 00:09:54,632 but the winners were not grandmasters, 162 00:09:54,632 --> 00:09:55,986 not a supercomputer. 163 00:09:55,986 --> 00:10:01,138 The winners were a pair of amateur American chess players 164 00:10:01,138 --> 00:10:05,944 operating three ordinary PCs at the same time. 165 00:10:05,944 --> 00:10:09,101 Their skill of coaching their machines 166 00:10:09,101 --> 00:10:12,466 effectively counteracted the superior chess knowledge 167 00:10:12,466 --> 00:10:16,593 of their grandmaster opponents 168 00:10:16,593 --> 00:10:21,964 and much greater computational power of others, 169 00:10:21,964 --> 00:10:24,860 and I reached this formulation. 170 00:10:24,860 --> 00:10:28,349 A weak human player plus a machine 171 00:10:28,349 --> 00:10:31,550 plus a better process is superior 172 00:10:31,550 --> 00:10:34,007 to a very power machine alone, 173 00:10:34,007 --> 00:10:37,655 but more remarkably, is superior to a strong human player 174 00:10:37,655 --> 00:10:46,803 plus machine and an inferior process. 175 00:10:46,803 --> 00:10:49,999 This convinced me that we would need 176 00:10:49,999 --> 00:10:54,716 better interfaces to help us coach our machines 177 00:10:54,716 --> 00:10:57,672 towards more useful intelligence. 178 00:10:57,672 --> 00:11:01,935 Human plus machine isn't the future, 179 00:11:01,935 --> 00:11:03,108 it's present. 180 00:11:03,108 --> 00:11:09,620 Everybody that's used online translation to get the gist of a news article 181 00:11:09,620 --> 00:11:11,755 from a foreign newspaper 182 00:11:11,755 --> 00:11:14,041 knowing its far from perfect. 183 00:11:14,041 --> 00:11:16,142 Then we use our human experience 184 00:11:16,142 --> 00:11:18,252 to make sense out of that, 185 00:11:18,252 --> 00:11:21,061 and then machine learns from our corrections. 186 00:11:21,061 --> 00:11:27,045 This model is spreading and investing in medical diagnosis, security analysis. 187 00:11:27,045 --> 00:11:30,527 The machine crunches data, 188 00:11:30,527 --> 00:11:31,576 calculates probabilities, 189 00:11:31,576 --> 00:11:35,047 gets 80 percent of the way, 90 percent, 190 00:11:35,047 --> 00:11:39,173 making it easier for analysis 191 00:11:39,173 --> 00:11:42,725 and decision-making of the human party. 192 00:11:42,725 --> 00:11:48,764 But you are not going to send your kids 193 00:11:48,764 --> 00:11:53,113 to school in self-driving car with 90 percent accuracy, 194 00:11:53,113 --> 00:11:55,827 even with 99 percent. 195 00:11:55,827 --> 00:11:58,712 So we need a leap forward 196 00:11:58,712 --> 00:12:07,236 to add a few more crucial decimal places. 197 00:12:07,236 --> 00:12:12,450 Twenty years after my match with Deep Blue, 198 00:12:12,450 --> 00:12:14,363 second match, 199 00:12:14,363 --> 00:12:19,365 this sensational "The Brain's Last Stand" headline 200 00:12:19,365 --> 00:12:22,239 has become commonplace 201 00:12:22,239 --> 00:12:24,630 as intelligent machines 202 00:12:24,630 --> 00:12:30,721 move in every sector, seemingly every day. 203 00:12:30,721 --> 00:12:33,514 But unlike in the past, 204 00:12:33,514 --> 00:12:38,186 when machines replaced farm animals, 205 00:12:38,186 --> 00:12:42,637 manual labor, now they are coming after people with college degrees 206 00:12:42,637 --> 00:12:44,637 and political influence, 207 00:12:44,637 --> 00:12:47,639 and as someone who fought machines and lost, I am here to tell you 208 00:12:47,639 --> 00:12:51,323 this is excellent, excellent news. 209 00:12:51,323 --> 00:12:53,692 Eventually, every profession 210 00:12:53,692 --> 00:12:55,768 will have to feel these pressures 211 00:12:55,768 --> 00:13:02,583 or else it will mean humanity has ceased to make progress. 212 00:13:02,583 --> 00:13:08,749 We don't get to choose 213 00:13:08,749 --> 00:13:13,484 when and where technological progress stops. 214 00:13:13,484 --> 00:13:18,215 We cannot slow down. 215 00:13:18,215 --> 00:13:25,183 In fact, we have to speed up. 216 00:13:25,183 --> 00:13:29,764 Our technology excels at removing 217 00:13:29,764 --> 00:13:32,057 difficulties and uncertainties 218 00:13:32,057 --> 00:13:35,341 from our lives, 219 00:13:35,341 --> 00:13:38,361 and so we must seek out 220 00:13:38,361 --> 00:13:40,403 ever more difficult, 221 00:13:40,403 --> 00:13:48,766 ever more uncertain challenges. 222 00:13:48,766 --> 00:13:54,044 Machines have calculations. 223 00:13:54,044 --> 00:13:56,032 We have understanding. 224 00:13:56,032 --> 00:13:58,316 Machines have instructions. 225 00:13:58,316 --> 00:14:00,890 We have purpose. 226 00:14:00,890 --> 00:14:04,253 Machines have objectivity. 227 00:14:04,253 --> 00:14:08,781 We have passion. 228 00:14:08,781 --> 00:14:15,038 We should not worry about what our machines can do today. 229 00:14:15,038 --> 00:14:19,457 Instead, we should worry about what they still cannot do today, 230 00:14:19,457 --> 00:14:25,064 because we will need the help of the new, intelligent machines 231 00:14:25,064 --> 00:14:30,410 to turn our grandest dreams into reality. 232 00:14:30,410 --> 00:14:32,597 And if we fail, 233 00:14:32,597 --> 00:14:36,299 if we fail, it's not because our machines 234 00:14:36,299 --> 00:14:39,631 are too intelligent, or not intelligent enough. 235 00:14:39,631 --> 00:14:44,084 If we fail, it's because we grew complacent 236 00:14:44,084 --> 00:14:47,110 and limited our ambitions. 237 00:14:47,110 --> 00:14:51,815 Our humanity is not defined by any skill, 238 00:14:51,815 --> 00:14:54,888 like swinging a hammer or even playing chess. 239 00:14:54,888 --> 00:14:58,034 There's one thing only a human can do. 240 00:14:58,034 --> 00:15:00,049 That's dream. 241 00:15:00,049 --> 00:15:02,851 So let us dream big. 242 00:15:02,851 --> 00:15:04,869 Thank you. 243 00:15:04,869 --> 00:15:07,807 (Applause)