1 00:00:01,175 --> 00:00:04,215 This story begins in 1985, 2 00:00:04,215 --> 00:00:06,157 when at age 22, 3 00:00:06,157 --> 00:00:08,708 I became the world chess champion 4 00:00:08,708 --> 00:00:12,636 after beating Anatoly Karpov. 5 00:00:12,636 --> 00:00:13,994 Earlier that year, 6 00:00:13,994 --> 00:00:17,586 I played what is called simultaneous exhibition 7 00:00:17,586 --> 00:00:22,001 against 32 of the world's best chess playing machines 8 00:00:22,001 --> 00:00:24,179 in Hamburg, Germany. 9 00:00:24,179 --> 00:00:26,386 I won all the games, 10 00:00:26,386 --> 00:00:29,686 and then it was not considered much of a surprise 11 00:00:29,686 --> 00:00:34,752 that I could beat 32 computers at the same time. 12 00:00:34,752 --> 00:00:37,291 To me, that was the golden age. 13 00:00:37,291 --> 00:00:39,847 (Laughter) 14 00:00:39,847 --> 00:00:41,671 Machines were weak, 15 00:00:41,671 --> 00:00:43,684 and my hair was strong. 16 00:00:43,684 --> 00:00:46,030 (Laughter) 17 00:00:46,030 --> 00:00:49,076 Just 12 years later, 18 00:00:49,076 --> 00:00:53,706 I was fighting for my life against just one computer 19 00:00:53,706 --> 00:00:55,041 in a match 20 00:00:55,041 --> 00:00:57,676 called by the cover of Newsweek 21 00:00:57,676 --> 00:00:59,573 "The Brain's Last Stand." 22 00:00:59,573 --> 00:01:00,971 No pressure. 23 00:01:00,971 --> 00:01:03,140 (Laughter) 24 00:01:03,140 --> 00:01:06,018 From mythology to science fiction, 25 00:01:06,018 --> 00:01:08,436 human versus machine 26 00:01:08,436 --> 00:01:12,274 has been often portrayed as a matter of life and death. 27 00:01:12,274 --> 00:01:15,611 John Henry called the steel-driving man 28 00:01:15,611 --> 00:01:19,394 in the 19th century African American folk legend 29 00:01:19,394 --> 00:01:20,889 was pitted in a race 30 00:01:20,889 --> 00:01:23,748 against steam-powered hammer 31 00:01:23,748 --> 00:01:27,247 bashing a tunnel through mountain rock. 32 00:01:27,247 --> 00:01:31,883 John Henry's legend is a part of a long historical narrative 33 00:01:31,883 --> 00:01:36,026 pitting humanity versus technology. 34 00:01:36,026 --> 00:01:39,840 And this competitive rhetoric is standard now. 35 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:42,452 We are in a race against the machines, 36 00:01:42,452 --> 00:01:46,146 in a fight or even in a war. 37 00:01:46,146 --> 00:01:47,779 Jobs are being killed off. 38 00:01:47,779 --> 00:01:51,902 People are being replaced as if they had vanished from the Earth. 39 00:01:51,902 --> 00:01:55,992 It's enough to think that the movies like "The Terminator" or "The Matrix" 40 00:01:55,992 --> 00:01:58,180 are nonfiction. 41 00:01:58,180 --> 00:02:05,577 There are very few instances in an arena 42 00:02:05,577 --> 00:02:09,715 where the human body and mind can compete on equal terms 43 00:02:09,715 --> 00:02:12,454 with a computer or a robot. 44 00:02:12,454 --> 00:02:14,841 Actually, I wish there were a few more. 45 00:02:14,841 --> 00:02:22,971 Instead, it was my blessing and my curse 46 00:02:22,971 --> 00:02:25,500 to literally become the proverbial man 47 00:02:25,500 --> 00:02:28,582 in the man versus machine competition 48 00:02:28,582 --> 00:02:33,362 that everybody is still talking about. 49 00:02:33,362 --> 00:02:38,433 In a most famous human-machine competition since John Henry, 50 00:02:38,433 --> 00:02:41,003 I played two matches 51 00:02:41,003 --> 00:02:44,616 against the IBM supercomputer Deep Blue. 52 00:02:47,539 --> 00:02:49,758 Nobody remembers that I won the first match -- 53 00:02:49,758 --> 00:02:51,596 (Laughter) 54 00:02:51,596 --> 00:02:57,750 (Applause) -- 55 00:02:57,750 --> 00:03:00,849 in Philadelphia, before losing the rematch the following year in New York. 56 00:03:00,849 --> 00:03:04,286 But I guess that's fair. 57 00:03:04,286 --> 00:03:09,841 There is no day in history special calendar entry 58 00:03:09,841 --> 00:03:13,348 for all the people who failed to climb Mt. Everest 59 00:03:13,348 --> 00:03:16,033 before Sir Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay 60 00:03:16,033 --> 00:03:18,152 made it to the top. 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And in 1997, I was still the world champion 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when chess computers finally came of age. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I was Mt. Everest, 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and Deep Blue reached the summit. 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I should stay of course, not that Deep Blue did it, 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but its human creators -- 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Anantharaman, Campbell, Hoane, Hsu. 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Hats off to them. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As always, machine's triumph was a human triumph, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 something we tend to forget when humans are surpassed by our own creations. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Deep Blue was victorious, 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but was it intelligent? 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 No, no it wasn't, 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at least not in the way Alan Turing and other founders of computer science 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 had hoped. 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It turned out that chess could be crunched by brute force, 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 once hardware got fast enough 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and algorithms got smart enough. 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Although by the definition of the output, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 grandmaster-level chess, Deep Blue was intelligent, 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but even at the incredible speed, 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 200 million positions per second, 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Deep Blue's method 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 provide little of the dreamed-of insight into the mysteries of human intelligence. 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Soon, machines will be taxi drivers 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and doctors and professors, 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but will they be "intelligent?" 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I would rather leave these definitions 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the philosophers and to the dictionary. 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What really matters is how we humans 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 feel about living and working with these machines. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When I first met Deep Blue in 1996 in February, 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I had been the world champion for more than 10 years, 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I had played 182 world championship games 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and hundreds of games against other top players in other competitions. 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I knew what to expect from my opponents 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and what to expect from myself. 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I was used to measure 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 their moves and to gauge their emotional state 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by watching their body language and looking into their eyes. 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then I sat across the chess board from Deep Blue. 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I immediately sensed something new, 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 something unsettling. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You might experience a similar feeling 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the first time you ride in a driverless car 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or the first time your new computer manager issues an order at work. 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But when I sat at that first game, 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I couldn't be sure 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what is the thing capable of. 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Technology can advance in leaps, and IBM had invested heavily. 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I lost that game, 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I couldn't help wondering, 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 might it be invincible? 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Was my beloved game of chess over? 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These were human doubts, human fears, 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the only thing I knew for sure 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was that my opponent Deep Blue had no such worries at all. 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Laughter) 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I fought back 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 after this devastating blow to win the first match, 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but the writing was on the wall. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I eventually lost to the machine 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but I didn't suffer the fate of John Henry 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who won by died with his hammer in his hand. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It turned out that the world of chess 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 still wanted to have a human chess champion. 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And even today, when a free chess app 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on the latest mobile phone is stronger than Deep Blue, 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 people are still playing chess, 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even more than ever before. 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Doomsayers predicted that nobody would touch the game 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that could be conquered by the machine, 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they were wrong, proving wrong, 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but doomsaying has always been a popular pasttime 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when it comes to technology. 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What I learned from my own experience 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that we must face our fears 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if we want to get the most out of our technology, 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we must conquer those fears 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if we want to get the best out of our humanity. 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 While licking my wounds, 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I got a lot of inspiration 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from my battles against Deep Blue. 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As the old Russian saying goes, if you can't beat them, join them. 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then I thought, 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what if I could play with a computer, 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 together with a computer at my side, combining our strengths, 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 human intuition plus machine's calculation, 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 human strategy, machine tactics, 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 human experience, machine's memory. 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Could it be the perfect game ever played? 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 My idea came to life 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in 1998 on the name of advanced chess 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when I played this human-plus-machine competition against another elite player, 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but in this first experiment, 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we both failed to combine human and machine skills effectively. 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Advanced chess found its home on the Internet, 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and in 2005, a so-called freestyle chess tournament 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 produced a revelation. 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A team of grandmasters and top machines participated, 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but the winners were not grandmasters, 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not a supercomputer. 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The winners were a pair of amateur American chess players 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 operating three ordinary PCs at the same time. 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Their skill of coaching their machines 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 effectively counteracted the superior chess knowledge 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of their grandmaster opponents 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and much greater computational power of others, 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I reached this formulation. 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A weak human player plus a machine 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 plus a better process is superior 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to a very power machine alone, 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but more remarkably, is superior to a strong human player 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 plus machine and an inferior process. 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This convinced me that we would need 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 better interfaces to help us coach our machines 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 towards more useful intelligence. 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Human plus machine isn't the future, 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's present. 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Everybody that's used online translation to get the gist of a news article 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from a foreign newspaper 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 knowing its far from perfect. 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then we use our human experience 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to make sense out of that, 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then machine learns from our corrections. 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This model is spreading and investing in medical diagnosis, security analysis. 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The machine crunches data, 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 calculates probabilities, 189 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 gets 80 percent of the way, 90 percent, 190 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 making it easier for analysis 191 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and decision-making of the human party. 192 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But you are not going to send your kids 193 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to school in self-driving car with 90 percent accuracy, 194 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even with 99 percent. 195 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So we need a leap forward 196 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to add a few more crucial decimal places. 197 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Twenty years after my match with Deep Blue, 198 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 second match, 199 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this sensational "The Brain's Last Stand" headline 200 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has become commonplace 201 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as intelligent machines 202 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 move in every sector, seemingly every day. 203 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But unlike in the past, 204 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when machines replaced farm animals, 205 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 manual labor, now they are coming after people with college degrees 206 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and political influence, 207 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and as someone who fought machines and lost, I am here to tell you 208 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this is excellent, excellent news. 209 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Eventually, every profession 210 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will have to feel these pressures 211 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or else it will mean humanity has ceased to make progress. 212 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We don't get to choose 213 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when and where technological progress stops. 214 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We cannot slow down. 215 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, we have to speed up. 216 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our technology excels at removing 217 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 difficulties and uncertainties 218 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from our lives, 219 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and so we must seek out 220 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ever more difficult, 221 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ever more uncertain challenges. 222 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Machines have calculations. 223 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have understanding. 224 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Machines have instructions. 225 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have purpose. 226 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Machines have objectivity. 227 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have passion. 228 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We should not worry about what our machines can do today. 229 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Instead, we should worry about what they still cannot do today, 230 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because we will need the help of the new, intelligent machines 231 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to turn our grandest dreams into reality. 232 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And if we fail, 233 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if we fail, it's not because our machines 234 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are too intelligent, or not intelligent enough. 235 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If we fail, it's because we grew complacent 236 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and limited our ambitions. 237 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our humanity is not defined by any skill, 238 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like swinging a hammer or even playing chess. 239 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There's one thing only a human can do. 240 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's dream. 241 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So let us dream big. 242 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you. 243 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Applause)