WEBVTT 00:00:00.879 --> 00:00:04.951 Joseph Keller used to jog around the Stanford campus, 00:00:04.975 --> 00:00:09.692 and he was struck by all the women jogging there as well. 00:00:09.716 --> 00:00:13.305 Why did their ponytails swing from side to side like that? 00:00:13.867 --> 00:00:17.005 Being a mathematician, he set out to understand why. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:17.029 --> 00:00:18.180 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:00:18.204 --> 00:00:20.510 Professor Keller was curious about many things: 00:00:20.534 --> 00:00:22.501 why teapots dribble 00:00:22.525 --> 00:00:24.355 or how earthworms wriggle. 00:00:24.847 --> 00:00:27.895 Until a few months ago, I hadn't heard of Joseph Keller. 00:00:28.581 --> 00:00:31.433 I read about him in the New York Times, 00:00:31.457 --> 00:00:32.889 in the obituaries. 00:00:32.913 --> 00:00:36.685 The Times had half a page of editorial dedicated to him, 00:00:36.709 --> 00:00:40.631 which you can imagine is premium space for a newspaper of their stature. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:41.368 --> 00:00:43.710 I read the obituaries almost every day. 00:00:44.690 --> 00:00:47.712 My wife understandably thinks I'm rather morbid 00:00:47.736 --> 00:00:52.136 to begin my day with scrambled eggs and a "Let's see who died today." NOTE Paragraph 00:00:52.160 --> 00:00:53.310 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:00:54.025 --> 00:00:55.317 But if you think about it, 00:00:55.341 --> 00:00:58.754 the front page of the newspaper is usually bad news, 00:00:58.778 --> 00:01:00.753 and cues man's failures. 00:01:00.777 --> 00:01:03.443 An instance where bad news cues accomplishment 00:01:03.467 --> 00:01:06.702 is at the end of the paper, in the obituaries. NOTE Paragraph 00:01:07.405 --> 00:01:08.769 In my day job, 00:01:08.793 --> 00:01:11.269 I run a company that focuses on future insights 00:01:11.293 --> 00:01:13.713 that marketers can derive from past data -- 00:01:13.737 --> 00:01:16.681 a kind of rearview-mirror analysis. 00:01:17.092 --> 00:01:18.247 And we began to think: 00:01:18.271 --> 00:01:23.389 What if we held a rearview mirror to obituaries from the New York Times? 00:01:24.514 --> 00:01:27.982 Were there lessons on how you could get your obituary featured -- 00:01:28.006 --> 00:01:29.983 even if you aren't around to enjoy it? NOTE Paragraph 00:01:30.007 --> 00:01:31.491 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:01:31.515 --> 00:01:34.143 Would this go better with scrambled eggs? NOTE Paragraph 00:01:34.167 --> 00:01:35.317 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:01:36.163 --> 00:01:39.161 And so, we looked at the data. 00:01:39.869 --> 00:01:44.363 2,000 editorial, non-paid obituaries 00:01:44.387 --> 00:01:48.029 over a 20-month period between 2015 and 2016. 00:01:48.053 --> 00:01:52.877 What did these 2,000 deaths -- rather, lives -- teach us? NOTE Paragraph 00:01:52.901 --> 00:01:54.934 Well, first we looked at words. 00:01:54.958 --> 00:01:56.719 This here is an obituary headline. 00:01:56.743 --> 00:01:59.039 This one is of the amazing Lee Kuan Yew. 00:01:59.063 --> 00:02:01.585 If you remove the beginning and the end, 00:02:01.609 --> 00:02:04.943 you're left with a beautifully worded descriptor 00:02:04.967 --> 00:02:09.642 that tries to, in just a few words, capture an achievement or a lifetime. 00:02:09.666 --> 00:02:11.827 Just looking at these is fascinating. 00:02:12.301 --> 00:02:15.596 Here are a few famous ones, people who died in the last two years. 00:02:15.620 --> 00:02:16.939 Try and guess who they are. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:16.963 --> 00:02:18.403 [An Artist who Defied Genre] 00:02:18.427 --> 00:02:19.612 That's Prince. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:20.497 --> 00:02:22.334 [Titan of Boxing and the 20th Century] 00:02:22.358 --> 00:02:23.518 Oh, yes. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:23.542 --> 00:02:24.766 [Muhammad Ali] NOTE Paragraph 00:02:24.790 --> 00:02:26.336 [Groundbreaking Architect] 00:02:26.360 --> 00:02:27.611 Zaha Hadid. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:28.843 --> 00:02:30.591 So we took these descriptors 00:02:30.615 --> 00:02:33.139 and did what's called natural language processing, 00:02:33.163 --> 00:02:34.934 where you feed these into a program, 00:02:34.958 --> 00:02:36.823 it throws out the superfluous words -- 00:02:36.847 --> 00:02:41.070 "the," "and," -- the kind of words you can mime easily in "Charades," -- 00:02:41.094 --> 00:02:43.287 and leaves you with the most significant words. 00:02:43.311 --> 00:02:45.132 And we did it not just for these four, 00:02:45.156 --> 00:02:47.675 but for all 2,000 descriptors. 00:02:47.699 --> 00:02:49.442 And this is what it looks like. 00:02:51.004 --> 00:02:55.831 Film, theatre, music, dance and of course, art, are huge. 00:02:56.485 --> 00:02:58.431 Over 40 percent. 00:02:58.455 --> 00:03:00.983 You have to wonder why in so many societies 00:03:01.007 --> 00:03:05.442 we insist that our kids pursue engineering or medicine or business or law 00:03:05.466 --> 00:03:07.053 to be construed as successful. 00:03:07.871 --> 00:03:09.564 And while we're talking profession, 00:03:09.588 --> 00:03:10.739 let's look at age -- 00:03:10.763 --> 00:03:13.273 the average age at which they achieved things. 00:03:13.297 --> 00:03:15.143 That number is 37. 00:03:16.274 --> 00:03:19.930 What that means is, you've got to wait 37 years ... 00:03:19.954 --> 00:03:23.349 before your first significant achievement that you're remembered for -- 00:03:23.373 --> 00:03:24.524 on average -- 00:03:24.548 --> 00:03:27.026 44 years later, when you die at the age of 81 -- 00:03:27.050 --> 00:03:28.218 on average. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:28.242 --> 00:03:29.243 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:03:29.267 --> 00:03:30.951 Talk about having to be patient. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:30.975 --> 00:03:32.032 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:03:32.056 --> 00:03:34.145 Of course, it varies by profession. 00:03:34.566 --> 00:03:35.759 If you're a sports star, 00:03:35.783 --> 00:03:37.910 you'll probably hit your stride in your 20s. 00:03:37.934 --> 00:03:40.579 And if you're in your 40s like me, 00:03:40.603 --> 00:03:42.594 you can join the fun world of politics. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:42.618 --> 00:03:43.674 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:03:43.698 --> 00:03:47.613 Politicians do their first and sometimes only commendable act in their mid-40s. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:47.637 --> 00:03:48.894 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:03:48.918 --> 00:03:50.855 If you're wondering what "others" are, 00:03:50.879 --> 00:03:52.355 here are some examples. 00:03:52.821 --> 00:03:54.937 Isn't it fascinating, the things people do 00:03:54.961 --> 00:03:56.843 and the things they're remembered for? NOTE Paragraph 00:03:56.867 --> 00:03:58.619 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:04:00.136 --> 00:04:01.980 Our curiosity was in overdrive, 00:04:02.004 --> 00:04:05.792 and we desired to analyze more than just a descriptor. 00:04:06.998 --> 00:04:11.944 So, we ingested the entire first paragraph of all 2,000 obituaries, 00:04:11.968 --> 00:04:14.742 but we did this separately for two groups of people: 00:04:14.766 --> 00:04:17.543 people that are famous and people that are not famous. 00:04:17.567 --> 00:04:20.256 Famous people -- Prince, Ali, Zaha Hadid -- 00:04:20.280 --> 00:04:24.515 people who are not famous are people like Jocelyn Cooper, 00:04:24.539 --> 00:04:25.693 Reverend Curry 00:04:25.717 --> 00:04:26.886 or Lorna Kelly. 00:04:26.910 --> 00:04:30.098 I'm willing to bet you haven't heard of most of their names. 00:04:30.122 --> 00:04:33.934 Amazing people, fantastic achievements, but they're not famous. 00:04:34.720 --> 00:04:37.508 So what if we analyze these two groups separately -- 00:04:37.532 --> 00:04:39.057 the famous and the non-famous? 00:04:39.081 --> 00:04:40.500 What might that tell us? NOTE Paragraph 00:04:40.524 --> 00:04:41.764 Take a look. 00:04:44.556 --> 00:04:46.025 Two things leap out at me. 00:04:46.569 --> 00:04:47.739 First: 00:04:48.106 --> 00:04:49.304 "John." NOTE Paragraph 00:04:49.328 --> 00:04:50.628 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:04:51.914 --> 00:04:55.302 Anyone here named John should thank your parents -- NOTE Paragraph 00:04:55.326 --> 00:04:56.655 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:04:56.679 --> 00:04:59.761 and remind your kids to cut out your obituary when you're gone. 00:05:01.061 --> 00:05:02.417 And second: 00:05:03.849 --> 00:05:05.003 "help." NOTE Paragraph 00:05:06.524 --> 00:05:09.989 We uncovered, many lessons from lives well-led, 00:05:10.013 --> 00:05:12.849 and what those people immortalized in print could teach us. 00:05:12.873 --> 00:05:17.611 The exercise was a fascinating testament to the kaleidoscope that is life, 00:05:17.635 --> 00:05:20.350 and even more fascinating 00:05:20.374 --> 00:05:23.442 was the fact that the overwhelming majority of obituaries 00:05:23.466 --> 00:05:26.464 featured people famous and non-famous, 00:05:26.488 --> 00:05:28.921 who did seemingly extraordinary things. 00:05:29.574 --> 00:05:32.684 They made a positive dent in the fabric of life. 00:05:32.708 --> 00:05:33.945 They helped. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:34.772 --> 00:05:37.363 So ask yourselves as you go back to your daily lives: 00:05:37.387 --> 00:05:40.307 How am I using my talents to help society? 00:05:40.331 --> 00:05:43.304 Because the most powerful lesson here is, 00:05:43.328 --> 00:05:47.664 if more people lived their lives trying to be famous in death, 00:05:47.688 --> 00:05:50.293 the world would be a much better place. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:51.062 --> 00:05:52.231 Thank you. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:52.255 --> 00:05:55.103 (Applause)