0:00:00.850,0:00:04.189 [Music] 0:00:08.610,0:00:10.406 Hello. I'm Philip Coelho, 0:00:10.406,0:00:13.438 I'm an economic historian at [br]Ball State University. 0:00:13.438,0:00:15.128 Today, I'm here to talk about 0:00:15.128,0:00:16.190 creative destruction. 0:00:16.190,0:00:18.789 Economists talk a great deal [br]about the term 0:00:18.789,0:00:21.567 creative destruction. Creative destruction 0:00:21.567,0:00:23.820 is a centerpiece for modern thinking 0:00:23.820,0:00:26.230 about how economies evolve, but 0:00:26.230,0:00:27.720 what is creative destruction? 0:00:27.960,0:00:31.378 It seems somewhat of an oxymoron. 0:00:31.378,0:00:35.188 [Shattering glass] [Quiet music] 0:00:35.188,0:00:37.194 Well, not quite. Creative destruction is 0:00:37.194,0:00:38.266 an economic principle 0:00:38.266,0:00:41.293 that an economist, Joseph Schumpeter, 0:00:41.293,0:00:43.076 observed in 1942. 0:00:44.766,0:00:46.872 The opening up of new markets, foreign 0:00:46.872,0:00:49.385 or domestic, the organizational [br]development 0:00:49.385,0:00:51.157 from the craft shop and factory 0:00:51.157,0:00:53.461 illustrate the same process of industrial 0:00:53.461,0:00:56.183 mutation that incessantly [br]revolutionizes the 0:00:56.183,0:00:57.701 economic structure from within, 0:00:57.701,0:01:00.231 incessantly destroying the old one, 0:01:00.231,0:01:02.721 incessantly creating a new one. The 0:01:02.721,0:01:04.581 process of creative destruction is the 0:01:04.581,0:01:06.304 essential fact about capitalism. 0:01:06.304,0:01:08.728 It is what capitalism consists of 0:01:08.728,0:01:10.932 and what every capitalist concern 0:01:10.932,0:01:13.761 has got to live in. What do you mean [br]by that? 0:01:13.761,0:01:15.327 Step back a second and see if 0:01:15.327,0:01:16.955 what Schumpeter said over 0:01:16.955,0:01:19.215 70 years ago can still be applied today. 0:01:19.215,0:01:22.226 Take the ice industry in the [br]United States, 0:01:22.226,0:01:24.479 for example. Ice production has had 0:01:24.479,0:01:26.298 a very interesting and unique history 0:01:26.298,0:01:28.864 over the past several hundred years. Today, 0:01:28.864,0:01:31.516 Americans consume tens of thousands 0:01:31.516,0:01:33.604 of tons of ice every day. 0:01:33.604,0:01:35.982 Ice consumption has become a regular 0:01:35.982,0:01:38.966 part of the American daily life, as ice 0:01:38.966,0:01:40.597 has hundreds of uses, including 0:01:40.597,0:01:43.277 keeping food and drinks cold and icing 0:01:43.277,0:01:45.607 injuries. Ice has not always been 0:01:45.607,0:01:47.807 this readily available to the [br]average person. 0:01:47.807,0:01:50.844 Back in the 16th century, [br]wealthy individuals 0:01:50.844,0:01:52.787 would build personal ice houses 0:01:52.787,0:01:54.659 on their property, cutting ice from 0:01:54.659,0:01:57.360 nearby lakes and ponds in the [br]winter months 0:01:57.360,0:01:59.130 and transporting them to ice houses, 0:01:59.130,0:02:01.657 storing it for use during the [br]summer months. 0:02:01.657,0:02:05.058 The commercial ice trade then began around 0:02:05.058,0:02:07.778 1800 in the United States. Large-scale 0:02:07.778,0:02:10.339 ice mining operations sprang up, 0:02:10.339,0:02:12.029 concentrated mostly in New England. 0:02:12.029,0:02:14.487 These ice producers transferred ice 0:02:14.487,0:02:16.317 throughout the United States and much 0:02:16.317,0:02:19.388 of the Caribbean. By 1818, [br]ice was fetching 0:02:19.388,0:02:21.218 nearly 25 cents per pound in the 0:02:21.218,0:02:24.379 United States. That seems kind of 0:02:24.379,0:02:27.428 affordable, 25 cents per pound. Well, 0:02:27.428,0:02:29.289 compare that with what ice costs today. 0:02:29.289,0:02:32.037 Ice currently costs about [br]10 cents per pound, 0:02:32.037,0:02:34.075 even though we've seen inflation 0:02:34.075,0:02:36.545 approximately 1,800% since then. 0:02:36.545,0:02:38.477 The average income per capita 0:02:38.477,0:02:40.464 in the United States in 1818 was 0:02:40.464,0:02:44.464 $1,919 per year. Comparing that with the 0:02:44.464,0:02:46.362 United States today it is 0:02:46.362,0:02:50.813 $49,965. What does it mean? 0:02:50.813,0:02:53.327 Well, if we look at the price 0:02:53.327,0:02:55.427 of ice as a percentage of income today 0:02:55.427,0:02:58.227 compared to 1818, we found that one pound 0:02:58.227,0:03:00.148 of ice took more than 65 times 0:03:00.148,0:03:03.455 more income in 1818 than it does today. 0:03:03.455,0:03:06.165 That is, if you buy ice commercially. 0:03:06.165,0:03:08.326 In-home ice production is even cheaper. 0:03:08.326,0:03:11.482 This means that in 1800's, ice 0:03:11.482,0:03:13.881 could only be afforded by the wealthiest 0:03:13.881,0:03:16.391 of individuals, and even then, only in a 0:03:16.391,0:03:17.367 limited capacity. 0:03:17.367,0:03:19.333 Well, now that we've established how much 0:03:19.333,0:03:22.084 cheaper ice is than it was 200 years ago, 0:03:22.084,0:03:24.491 let's look at how many people are employed 0:03:24.491,0:03:26.041 in the industry over the years. 0:03:26.041,0:03:29.085 In 1914, near the height of the commercial 0:03:29.085,0:03:31.233 ice industry, there were more than 2,500 0:03:31.233,0:03:33.792 companies producing ice, employing 0:03:33.792,0:03:36.020 approximately 30,000 Americans. 0:03:36.020,0:03:39.652 Then, in 1950, the automatic ice maker was 0:03:39.652,0:03:43.652 developed. By 1965, its use was widespread 0:03:43.652,0:03:46.482 throughout the United States. [br]This innovation 0:03:46.482,0:03:48.391 dramatically changed ice production in 0:03:48.391,0:03:50.866 the commercial ice industry. [br]Today, the ice 0:03:50.866,0:03:52.866 industry is vastly different. The majority 0:03:52.866,0:03:54.896 of ice is now being produced by personally 0:03:54.896,0:03:56.896 owned ice makers. With the onset of home 0:03:56.896,0:03:58.856 ice makers, thousands of ice workers lost 0:03:58.856,0:04:01.747 their jobs. Today, there are about 500 0:04:01.747,0:04:03.046 commercial ice producers 0:04:03.046,0:04:06.519 that employ just over 7,000 workers. 0:04:06.519,0:04:10.519 That is more than a 75% decrease [br]in employment 0:04:10.519,0:04:13.795 in the ice industry from 1914 to today. 0:04:14.778,0:04:17.775 This is creative destruction on [br]full display 0:04:17.775,0:04:20.197 in the modern day. The massive ice 0:04:20.197,0:04:22.443 industry of the early 1900's would 0:04:22.443,0:04:24.003 be replaced through innovation, 0:04:24.003,0:04:26.045 and now we enjoy a much higher standard 0:04:26.045,0:04:27.231 of living because of it. 0:04:27.231,0:04:29.726 Consuming more ice at a lower price 0:04:29.726,0:04:32.047 and a higher quality than we ever have 0:04:32.047,0:04:34.815 had before. Even though thousands 0:04:34.815,0:04:36.699 of jobs were lost in the process, 0:04:36.699,0:04:38.293 society as a whole has been made 0:04:38.293,0:04:40.577 better off. Schumpeter knew that 0:04:40.577,0:04:42.727 at times the process of [br]creative destruction 0:04:42.727,0:04:45.571 on society would be painful, [br]especially in the short run. 0:04:45.571,0:04:48.602 Creative destruction occurs in all 0:04:48.602,0:04:50.251 kinds of industries today, 0:04:50.251,0:04:52.821 and some individuals might be [br]made worse off, 0:04:52.821,0:04:54.219 not just in the short-term 0:04:54.219,0:04:56.026 but perhaps throughout their lives. 0:04:56.026,0:04:59.126 But he also knew that without creative 0:04:59.126,0:05:00.568 destruction that our economies 0:05:00.568,0:05:02.138 would stagnate and we would never 0:05:02.138,0:05:03.713 experience the growth and 0:05:03.713,0:05:04.873 higher living standards 0:05:04.873,0:05:06.231 that this process enables. 0:05:08.077,0:05:28.905 [Music]