1 00:00:00,850 --> 00:00:04,189 [Music] 2 00:00:08,610 --> 00:00:10,406 Hello. I'm Philip Coelho, 3 00:00:10,406 --> 00:00:13,438 I'm an economic historian at Ball State University. 4 00:00:13,438 --> 00:00:15,128 Today, I'm here to talk about 5 00:00:15,128 --> 00:00:16,190 creative destruction. 6 00:00:16,190 --> 00:00:18,789 Economists talk a great deal about the term 7 00:00:18,789 --> 00:00:21,567 creative destruction. Creative destruction 8 00:00:21,567 --> 00:00:23,820 is a centerpiece for modern thinking 9 00:00:23,820 --> 00:00:26,230 about how economies evolve, but 10 00:00:26,230 --> 00:00:27,720 what is creative destruction? 11 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,378 It seems somewhat of an oxymoron. 12 00:00:31,378 --> 00:00:35,188 [Shattering glass] [Quiet music] 13 00:00:35,188 --> 00:00:37,194 Well, not quite. Creative destruction is 14 00:00:37,194 --> 00:00:38,266 an economic principle 15 00:00:38,266 --> 00:00:41,293 that an economist, Joseph Schumpeter, 16 00:00:41,293 --> 00:00:43,076 observed in 1942. 17 00:00:44,766 --> 00:00:46,872 The opening up of new markets, foreign 18 00:00:46,872 --> 00:00:49,385 or domestic, the organizational development 19 00:00:49,385 --> 00:00:51,157 from the craft shop and factory 20 00:00:51,157 --> 00:00:53,461 illustrate the same process of industrial 21 00:00:53,461 --> 00:00:56,183 mutation that incessantly revolutionizes the 22 00:00:56,183 --> 00:00:57,701 economic structure from within, 23 00:00:57,701 --> 00:01:00,231 incessantly destroying the old one, 24 00:01:00,231 --> 00:01:02,721 incessantly creating a new one. The 25 00:01:02,721 --> 00:01:04,581 process of creative destruction is the 26 00:01:04,581 --> 00:01:06,304 essential fact about capitalism. 27 00:01:06,304 --> 00:01:08,728 It is what capitalism consists of 28 00:01:08,728 --> 00:01:10,932 and what evert capitalist concern 29 00:01:10,932 --> 00:01:13,761 has got to live in. What do you mean by that? 30 00:01:13,761 --> 00:01:15,327 Step back a second and see if 31 00:01:15,327 --> 00:01:16,955 what Schumpeter said over 32 00:01:16,955 --> 00:01:19,215 70 years ago can still be applied today. 33 00:01:19,215 --> 00:01:22,226 Take the ice industry in the United States, 34 00:01:22,226 --> 00:01:24,479 for example. Ice production has had 35 00:01:24,479 --> 00:01:26,298 a very interesting and unique history 36 00:01:26,298 --> 00:01:28,864 over the past 700 years. Today, 37 00:01:28,864 --> 00:01:31,516 Americans consume tens of thousands 38 00:01:31,516 --> 00:01:33,604 of tons of ice every day. 39 00:01:33,604 --> 00:01:35,982 Ice consumption has become a regular 40 00:01:35,982 --> 00:01:38,966 part of the American daily life, as ice 41 00:01:38,966 --> 00:01:40,597 has hundreds of uses, including 42 00:01:40,597 --> 00:01:43,277 keeping food and drinks cold and icing 43 00:01:43,277 --> 00:01:45,607 injuries. Ice has not always been 44 00:01:45,607 --> 00:01:47,807 this readily available to the average person. 45 00:01:47,807 --> 00:01:50,844 Back in the 16th century, wealthy individuals 46 00:01:50,844 --> 00:01:52,787 would build personal ice houses 47 00:01:52,787 --> 00:01:54,659 on their property, cutting ice from 48 00:01:54,659 --> 00:01:57,360 nearby lakes and ponds in the winter months 49 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,130 and transporting them to ice houses, 50 00:01:59,130 --> 00:02:01,657 storing it for use during the summer months. 51 00:02:01,657 --> 00:02:05,058 The commercial ice trade then began around 52 00:02:05,058 --> 00:02:07,778 1800 in the United States. Large-scale 53 00:02:07,778 --> 00:02:10,339 ice mining operations sprang up, 54 00:02:10,339 --> 00:02:12,029 concentrated mostly in New England. 55 00:02:12,029 --> 00:02:14,487 These ice producers transferred ice 56 00:02:14,487 --> 00:02:16,317 throughout the United States and much 57 00:02:16,317 --> 00:02:19,388 of the Caribbean. By 1818, ice was fetching 58 00:02:19,388 --> 00:02:21,218 nearly 25 cents per pound in the 59 00:02:21,218 --> 00:02:24,379 United States. That seems kind of 60 00:02:24,379 --> 00:02:27,428 affordable, 25 cents per pound. Well, 61 00:02:27,428 --> 00:02:29,289 compare that with what ice costs today. 62 00:02:29,289 --> 00:02:32,037 Ice currently costs about 10 cents per pound, 63 00:02:32,037 --> 00:02:34,075 even though we've seen inflation 64 00:02:34,075 --> 00:02:36,545 approximately 1,800% since then. 65 00:02:36,545 --> 00:02:38,477 The average income per capita 66 00:02:38,477 --> 00:02:40,464 in the United States in 1818 was 67 00:02:40,464 --> 00:02:44,464 $1,919 per year. Comparing that with the 68 00:02:44,464 --> 00:02:46,362 United States today it is 69 00:02:46,362 --> 00:02:50,813 $49,965. What does it mean? 70 00:02:50,813 --> 00:02:53,327 Well, if we look at the price 71 00:02:53,327 --> 00:02:55,427 of ice as a percentage of income today 72 00:02:55,427 --> 00:02:58,227 compared to 1818, we found that one pound 73 00:02:58,227 --> 00:03:00,148 of ice took more than 65 times 74 00:03:00,148 --> 00:03:03,455 more income in 1818 than it does today. 75 00:03:03,455 --> 00:03:06,165 That is, if you buy ice commercially. 76 00:03:06,165 --> 00:03:08,326 In-home ice production is even cheaper. 77 00:03:08,326 --> 00:03:11,482 This means that in 1800's, ice 78 00:03:11,482 --> 00:03:13,881 could only be afforded by the wealthiest 79 00:03:13,881 --> 00:03:16,391 of individuals, and even then, only in a 80 00:03:16,391 --> 00:03:17,367 limited capacity. 81 00:03:17,367 --> 00:03:19,333 Well, now that we've established how much 82 00:03:19,333 --> 00:03:22,084 cheaper ice is than it was 200 years ago, 83 00:03:22,084 --> 00:03:24,491 let's look at how many people are employed 84 00:03:24,491 --> 00:03:26,041 in the industry over the years. 85 00:03:26,041 --> 00:03:29,085 In 1914, near the height of the commercial 86 00:03:29,085 --> 00:03:31,233 ice industry, there were more than 2,500 87 00:03:31,233 --> 00:03:33,792 companies producing ice, employing 88 00:03:33,792 --> 00:03:36,020 approximately 30,000 Americans. 89 00:03:36,020 --> 00:03:39,652 Then, in 1950, the automatic ice maker was 90 00:03:39,652 --> 00:03:43,652 developed. By 1965, its use was widespread 91 00:03:43,652 --> 00:03:46,482 throughout the United States. This innovation 92 00:03:46,482 --> 00:03:48,391 dramatically changed ice production in 93 00:03:48,391 --> 00:03:50,866 the commercial ice industry. Today, the ice 94 00:03:50,866 --> 00:03:52,866 industry is vastly different. The majority 95 00:03:52,866 --> 00:03:54,896 of ice is now being produced by personally 96 00:03:54,896 --> 00:03:56,896 owned ice makers. With the onset of home 97 00:03:56,896 --> 00:03:58,856 ice makers, thousands of ice workers lost 98 00:03:58,856 --> 00:04:01,747 their jobs. Today, there are about 500 99 00:04:01,747 --> 00:04:03,046 commercial ice producers 100 00:04:03,046 --> 00:04:06,519 that employ just over 7,000 workers. 101 00:04:06,519 --> 00:04:10,519 That is more than a 75% decrease in employment 102 00:04:10,519 --> 00:04:13,795 in the ice industry from 1914 to today. 103 00:04:14,778 --> 00:04:17,775 This is creative destruction on full display 104 00:04:17,775 --> 00:04:20,197 in the modern day. The massive ice 105 00:04:20,197 --> 00:04:22,443 industry of the early 1900's would 106 00:04:22,443 --> 00:04:24,003 be replaced through innovation, 107 00:04:24,003 --> 00:04:26,045 and now we enjoy a much higher standard 108 00:04:26,045 --> 00:04:27,231 of living because of it. 109 00:04:27,231 --> 00:04:29,726 Consuming more ice at a lower price 110 00:04:29,726 --> 00:04:32,047 and a higher quality than we ever have 111 00:04:32,047 --> 00:04:34,815 had before. Even though thousands 112 00:04:34,815 --> 00:04:36,699 of jobs were lost in the process, 113 00:04:36,699 --> 00:04:38,293 society as a whole has been made 114 00:04:38,293 --> 00:04:40,577 better off. Schumpeter knew that 115 00:04:40,577 --> 00:04:42,727 at times the process of creative destruction 116 00:04:42,727 --> 00:04:45,571 would be painful, especially in the short run. 117 00:04:45,571 --> 00:04:48,602 Creative destruction occurs in all 118 00:04:48,602 --> 00:04:50,251 kinds of industries today, 119 00:04:50,251 --> 00:04:52,821 and some individuals might be made worse off, 120 00:04:52,821 --> 00:04:54,219 not just in the short-term 121 00:04:54,219 --> 00:04:56,026 but perhaps throughout their lives. 122 00:04:56,026 --> 00:04:59,126 But he also knew that without creative 123 00:04:59,126 --> 00:05:00,568 destruction that our economies 124 00:05:00,568 --> 00:05:02,138 would stagnate and we would never 125 00:05:02,138 --> 00:05:03,713 experience the growth and 126 00:05:03,713 --> 00:05:04,873 higher living standards 127 00:05:04,873 --> 00:05:06,231 that this process enables. 128 00:05:08,077 --> 00:05:28,905 [Music]