1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] What is the lifecycle theory of savings? 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the theory about how a person chooses to spend and save 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 throughout her lifetime. 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But before diving into these choices, 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we need to examine a person's typical income over time. 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Most people's incomes don't stay flat their entire lives, 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they change in predictable ways. 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's a typical pattern showing a person's income 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 over their life with their income on the vertical axis 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and time on the horizontal axis. 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When you're young and still in school, 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you might make a little bit of money 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 waiting tables or occasionally mowing lawns. 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Your first job out of school -- it's going to pay a lot more. 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After a few years of experience, 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and hopefully a few raises along the way, 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you make more than you ever have. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then, as you age, you look forward to retirement 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when your income falls, but you're no longer working 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you could really enjoy your golden years. 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now let's imagine if your consumption followed 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the same path as your income and you never saved or borrowed. 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You'd struggle when young, 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and you'd be unable to invest in an education. 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then, you'd spend every cent you make 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 during your prime working years. 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, that sounds like a lot of fun, but without any savings, 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 your income will drop suddenly when you retire, 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and so will your consumption. 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Your golden years wouldn't be so golden. 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So instead people tend to follow lifecycle theory of savings. 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A person can start out consuming more than she makes, 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 borrowing to fill that gap, 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and to pay for things like an education. 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then during her prime working years, she makes more than she consumes, 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 paying down her debt and saving the extra income 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for retirement, and when retirement comes, 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 she can spend those savings and enjoy the golden years 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even without working. 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We call it "dissaving," 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but that just means spending your own savings. 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, of course, many people deviate 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from this exact path, depending on details. 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They consume less in college than they do as professionals. 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Ramen noodles are no longer are a staple of my diet, 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but generally speaking, many people follow a pattern 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of borrowing, saving and dissaving 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to smooth their consumption path over their lifetime.